Professional Documents
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Capital Budgeting Techniques Capital Budgeting Techniques
Capital Budgeting Techniques Capital Budgeting Techniques
Capital
Capital Budgeting
Budgeting
Techniques
Techniques
13.1 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
After Studying Chapter 13,
you should be able to:
1. Understand the payback period (PBP) method of project evaluation and
selection, including its: (a) calculation; (b) acceptance criterion; (c)
advantages and disadvantages; and (d) focus on liquidity rather than
profitability.
2. Understand the three major discounted cash flow (DCF) methods of
project evaluation and selection – internal rate of return (IRR), net
present value (NPV), and profitability index (PI).
3. Explain the calculation, acceptance criterion, and advantages (over the
PBP method) for each of the three major DCF methods.
4. Define, construct, and interpret a graph called an “NPV profile.”
5. Understand why ranking project proposals on the basis of IRR, NPV, and
PI methods “may” lead to conflicts in rankings.
6. Describe the situations where ranking projects may be necessary and
justify when to use either IRR, NPV, or PI rankings.
7. Understand how “sensitivity analysis” allows us to challenge the single-
point input estimates used in traditional capital budgeting analysis.
8. Explain the role and process of project monitoring, including “progress
reviews” and “post-completion audits.”
13.2 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
Capital
Capital Budgeting
Budgeting
Techniques
Techniques
• Project Evaluation and Selection
• Potential Difficulties
• Capital Rationing
• Project Monitoring
• Post-Completion Audit
13.3 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
Project
Project Evaluation:
Evaluation:
Alternative
Alternative Methods
Methods
• Payback Period (PBP)
• Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
• Net Present Value (NPV)
• Profitability Index (PI)
• Refer to the additional PowerPoint slides and the Excel
spreadsheet “VW13E-13b.xlsx” for computer-based
solutions.
13.4 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
Proposed
Proposed Project
Project Data
Data
Julie Miller is evaluating a new project
for her firm, Basket Wonders (BW).
She has determined that the after-tax
cash flows for the project will be
$10,000; $12,000; $15,000; $10,000;
and $7,000, respectively, for each of
the Years 1 through 5. The initial
cash outlay will be $40,000.
13.5 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
Independent Project
• For this project, assume that it is
independent of any other potential
projects that Basket Wonders may
undertake.
• Independent – A project whose
acceptance (or rejection) does not
prevent the acceptance of other
projects under consideration.
13.6 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
Payback
Payback Period
Period (PBP)
(PBP)
0 1 2 3 4 5
–40 K 10 K 12 K 15 K 10 K 7K
Cumulative
Inflows PBP =a+(b–c)/d
= 3 + (40 – 37) / 10
= 3 + (3) / 10
= 3.3 Years
13.8 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
Payback
Payback Solution
Solution (#2)
(#2)
0 1 2 3 4 5
–40 K 10 K 12 K 15 K 10 K 7K
–40 K –30 K –18 K –3 K 7K 14 K
13.12 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
IRR
IRR Solution
Solution
13.13 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
IRR
IRR Solution
Solution (Try
(Try 10%)
10%)
$40,000 = $10,000(PVIF10%,1) + $12,000(PVIF10%,2) +
$15,000(PVIF10%,3) + $10,000(PVIF10%,4) +
$ 7,000(PVIF10%,5)
$40,000 = $10,000(0.909) + $12,000(0.826) +
$15,000(0.751) + $10,000(0.683) +
$ 7,000(0.621)
$40,000 = $9,090 + $9,912 + $11,265 +
$6,830 + $4,347
= $41,444 [Rate is too low!!]
13.14 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
IRR
IRR Solution
Solution (Try
(Try 15%)
15%)
$40,000 = $10,000(PVIF15%,1) + $12,000(PVIF15%,2) +
$15,000(PVIF15%,3) + $10,000(PVIF15%,4) +
$ 7,000(PVIF15%,5)
$40,000 = $10,000(0.870) + $12,000(0.756) +
$15,000(0.658) + $10,000(0.572) +
$ 7,000(0.497)
$40,000 = $8,700 + $9,072 + $9,870 +
$5,720 + $3,479
= $36,841 [Rate is too high!!]
13.15 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
IRR
IRR Solution
Solution (Interpolate)
(Interpolate)
0.10 $41,444
X $1,444
0.05 IRR $40,000 $4,603
(0.15-0.10) 0.15 $36,841
X $1,444
0.05 = $4,603
13.16 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
10% 41430
0.05 X IRR 40,000 1430 4590
15% 36,841
X/0.05 =1430/4590
X=1430/4590*0.05=0.0155
13.17 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
IRR
IRR Solution
Solution (Interpolate)
(Interpolate)
0.10 $41,444
X $1,444
0.05 IRR $40,000 $4,603
0.15 $36,841
X $1,444
0.05 = $4,603
13.18 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
IRR
IRR Solution
Solution (Interpolate)
(Interpolate)
0.10 $41,444
X $1,444
0.05 IRR $40,000 $4,603
0.15 $36,841
X = ($1,444)(0.05) X = 0.0157
$4,603
IRR = 0.10 + 0.0157 = 0.1157 or 11.57%
13.19 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
AT 10% AT 15%
year C.F PV.F PVCF year C.F PV.F PVCF
1 10,000 0.909 9090 1 10,000 0.870 8700
2 12,000 0.826 9912 2 12,000 0.756 9072
3 15,000 0.751 11250 3 15,000 0.658 9870
4 10,000 0.683 6830 4 10,000 0.572 5720
5 7,000 0.621 4347 5 7,000 0.497 3479
36,841
41430
13.20 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
IRR
IRR Acceptance
Acceptance Criterion
Criterion
The management of Basket Wonders
has determined that the hurdle rate is
13% for projects of this type.
Should this project be accepted?
13.21 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
IRRs on the Calculator
13.22 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
Actual
Actual IRR
IRR Solution
Solution Using
Using
Your
Your Financial
Financial Calculator
Calculator
Steps in the Process
Step 1: Press CF key
Step 2: Press 2nd CLR Work keys
Step 3: For CF0 Press -40000 Enter keys
Step 4: For C01 Press 10000 Enter keys
Step 5: For F01 Press 1 Enter keys
Step 6: For C02 Press 12000 Enter keys
Step 7: For F02 Press 1 Enter keys
Step 8: For C03 Press 15000 Enter keys
Step 9: For F03 Press 1 Enter keys
13.23 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
Actual
Actual IRR
IRR Solution
Solution Using
Using
Your
Your Financial
Financial Calculator
Calculator
Steps in the Process (Part II)
Step 10:For C04 Press 10000 Enter keys
Step 11:For F04 Press 1 Enter keys
Step 12:For C05 Press 7000 Enter keys
Step 13:For F05 Press 1 Enter keys
Step 14: Press keys
Step 15: Press IRR key
Step 16: Press CPT key
13.25 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
Net
Net Present
Present Value
Value (NPV)
(NPV)
13.26 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
NPV
NPV Solution
Solution
Basket Wonders has determined that the
appropriate discount rate (k) for this
project is 13%.
NPV = $10,000 +$12,000 +$15,000 +
(1.13)1 (1.13)2 (1.13)3
$10,000 $7,000
4 + 5 - $40,000
(1.13) (1.13)
13.27 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
NPV
NPV Solution
Solution
NPV = $10,000(PVIF13%,1) + $12,000(PVIF13%,2) +
$15,000(PVIF13%,3) + $10,000(PVIF13%,4) +
$ 7,000(PVIF13%,5) – $40,000
NPV = $10,000(0.885) + $12,000(0.783) +
$15,000(0.693) + $10,000(0.613) +
$ 7,000(0.543) – $40,000
NPV = $8,850 + $9,396 + $10,395 +
$6,130 + $3,801 – $40,000
= - $1,428
13.28 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
NPV
NPV Acceptance
Acceptance Criterion
Criterion
The management of Basket Wonders
has determined that the required
rate is 13% for projects of this type.
Should this project be accepted?
13.29 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
NPV on the Calculator
Thre
e of th
10 ese
poin
t s ar
e ea
sy n
5 IRR ow!
NPV@13%
0
-4
0 3 6 9 12 15
Discount Rate (%)
13.34 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
Creating NPV Profiles
Using the Calculator
13.37 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
PI
PI Strengths
Strengths
and
and Weaknesses
Weaknesses
Strengths: Weaknesses:
• Same as NPV • Same as NPV
• Allows • Provides only
comparison of relative profitability
different scale • Potential Ranking
projects
Problems
13.38 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
Evaluation Summary
13.40 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
Other Project
Relationships
• Dependent – A project whose
acceptance depends on the
acceptance of one or more other
projects.
• Mutually Exclusive – A project whose
acceptance precludes the acceptance
of one or more alternative projects.
13.41 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
Potential
Potential Problems
Problems
Under
Under Mutual
Mutual Exclusivity
Exclusivity
Ranking of project proposals may
create contradictory results.
A. Scale of Investment
B. Cash-flow Pattern
C. Project Life
13.42 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
A.
A. Scale
Scale Differences
Differences
Compare a small (S) and a
large (L) project.
A.
A. Scale
Scale Differences
Differences
Year CF - Small CF - Large
0 $ (100) $ (100,000)
1 $ - $ - Graph the NPV Profiles for 'Small' and 'Large'
2 $ 400 $ 156,250
projects
$350.00 $60,000.00
Discount rate: 10%
IRR: 100.00% 25.00%
$300.00
NPV: $ 230.58 $ 29,132.23 $50,000.00
PI: 3.31 1.29
$250.00
$40,000.00
BEST!!
Greatest NPV $200.00
$30,000.00
$150.00 NPV - Small
project at various
Project I discount rates.
400
NPV@10%
200
IRR
Project D
0
-200
0 5 10 15 20 25
Discount Rate (%)
13.48 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
600
Net Present Value ($)
Fisher’s
Fisher’s Rate
Rate of
of Intersection
Intersection
At k>10%, D is best!
0 5 10 15 20 25
Discount Rate ($)
13.49 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
Remember to refer to Excel spreadsheet
‘VW13E-13b.xlsx’ and the ‘Pattern’ tab.
B.
B. Cash
Cash Flow
Flow Pattern
Pattern
Year CF - Decrease CF - Increase
0 $ (1,200) $ (1,200)
1 $ 1,000 $ 100
2 $ 500 $ 600
3 $ 100 $ 1,080
$300.00
Rate NPV - Decrease NPV Increase NPV - Decrease
0% $400.00 $580.00 NPV Increase
$200.00
2% $355.21 $492.45
4% $312.72 $411.00 $100.00
6% $272.36 $335.13
8% $233.98 $264.33 $0.00
10% $197.45 $198.20 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24%
12% $162.63 $136.32 ($100.00)
14% $129.42 $78.37
16% $97.72 $24.01 ($200.00)
18% $67.41 ($27.02)
20% $38.43 ($75.00)
22%
24%
$10.67
($15.92)
($120.15)
($162.69)
Refer to VW13E-13b.xlsx on the ‘Pattern’ tab.
13.50 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
C.
C. Project
Project Life
Life Differences
Differences
Let us compare a long life (X) project
and a short life (Y) project.
13.52 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
Remember to refer to Excel spreadsheet
‘VW13E-13b.xlsx’ and the ‘Life’ tab.
C.
C. Project
Project Life
Life Differences
Differences
Year CF - X CF - Y
0 $ (1,000) $ (1,000)
1 $ - $ 2,000
2 $ - $ -
3 $ 3,375 $ -
13.53 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
Another Way to
Look at Things
1. Adjust cash flows to a common terminal
year if project “Y” will NOT be replaced.
Compound Project Y, Year 1 @10% for 2 years.
Year 0 1 2 3
CF –$1,000 $0 $0 $2,420
–$1,000 $2,000
–1,000 $2,000
–1,000 $2,000
–$1,000 $1,000 $1,000 $2,000
Results: IRR = 100% NPV* = $2,238.17
*Higher NPV, but the same IRR. Y is Best.
Best
13.55 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
Remember to refer to Excel spreadsheet
‘VW13E-13b.xlsx’ and the ‘Life2’ tab.
C.
C. Project
Project Life
Life Differences
Differences
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Year CF - X CF - Y
-1000 2000
0 $ (1,000) $ (1,000) -1000 2000
1 $ - $ 1,000 -1000 2000
2 $ - $ 1,000 -1000 1000 1000 2000
3 $ 3,375 $ 2,000
25
–100
0 40 80 120 160 200
Discount Rate (%)
13.66 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.
NPV Profile – Multiple IRRs
13.67 Van Horne and Wachowicz, Fundamentals of Financial Management, 13th edition. © Pearson Education Limited 2009. Created by Gregory Kuhlemeyer.