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using support
vector machines
Author: Kyoung-jae Kim
2003 Elsevier B.V.
Outline
• Introduction to SVM
• Introduction to datasets
• Experimental settings
• Analysis of experimental results
Linear separability
• Linear separability
– In general, two groups are linearly separable in n-
dimensional space if they can be separated by an
(n − 1)-dimensional hyperplane.
Support Vector Machines
• Maximum-margin hyperplane
maximum-margin hyperplane
Formalization
• Training data
• Hyperplane
• Overfitting
* F.E.H. Tay, L. Cao, Application of support vector machines in -nancial time series forecasting, Omega 29 (2001) 309–317
Experimental results
• The results of SVMs with various δ2 where C is fixed
at 78
• Small value of δ2
• overfitting*
• Large value of δ2
• underfitting*
* F.E.H. Tay, L. Cao, Application of support vector machines in -nancial time series forecasting, Omega 29 (2001) 309–317
Experimental results and conclusion
• SVM outperformes BPN and CBR
• SVM minimizes structural risk
• SVM provides a promising alternative for
financial time-series forecasting
• Issues
– parameter tuning