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Chapter 22

Adding
Government
and Trade to
the Simple
Macro Model

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In this chapter you will learn to

1. Describe the relationship between national income and


government purchases and tax revenues.

2. Describe the relationship between national income and


exports and imports.
3. Explain the distinction between the marginal propensity to
consume and the marginal propensity to spend.
4. Explain why the presence of government and foreign
trade reduces the value of the simple multiplier.
5. Describe the effect of government fiscal policy on the level
of national income.
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Introducing Government

Government Purchases
Government purchases of goods and services (G) are part of
desired aggregate expenditures
- not including transfer payments

Net Tax Revenues

Net taxes (T) are total tax revenues net of transfer payments.

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Introducing Government

We assume net taxes are given by:


T=tY
where t is the net tax rate.

The Budget Balance


The budget balance is the difference between G and T:
- if G < T: a budget surplus
- if G > T: a budget deficit

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Budget Balance and Saving

Private saving is the amount that household save:

= disposable income – consumption expenditure

Public saving is saving on the part of the government


=T–G

Budget surplus: public saving is positive

Budget deficit: public saving is negative

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State and Local Governments

When measuring the overall contribution of government to


desired aggregate expenditure, all levels of government must
be included:

- federal, state, and local

- combined purchases of state and local


governments are larger than those of the federal
government.

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Summary

The presence of government affects our simple model by:

- adding directly to desired AE through G

- collecting tax revenue (T) and make transfer


payments

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Introducing Foreign Trade

Net Exports
We make two central assumptions:
- U.S. exports are autonomous with respect to U.S.
GDP
- U.S. imports rise as U.S. GDP rises

For imports, we assume:


IM = mY
where m is the marginal propensity to import.

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Introducing Foreign Trade

Thus, net exports are given by:


NX = X - mY

Ceteris paribus, changes in domestic GDP lead to changes


in net exports:
- as Y rises, NX falls
- as Y falls, NX rises

The relationship between Y and NX is shown by the net


export function.

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Figure 22.1 The Net Export
Function

The NX function is drawn


holding constant:
• foreign GDP
• domestic and foreign prices
• the exchange rate

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Shifts in the Net Export Function

An increase in foreign income leads to more foreign demand


for U.S. goods:
- increases X and shifts NX function upward

A rise in U.S. prices (holding foreign prices constant):


- decreases X
- IM function rotates up as Americans switch
toward foreign goods
 NX function shifts down and gets steeper

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Figure 22.2 Shifts in the Net
Export Function

Illustration of a rise in U.S.


prices relative to foreign
prices.

This could be caused by:


- Δ exchange rate
- Δ price levels

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Summary

The presence of foreign trade modifies our basic model by:

- foreign firms and households purchase U.S.-made


goods (X)

- all components of domestic expenditure (C, I, and


G) include some import content (IM).

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Equilibrium National Income

Desired Consumption and National Income


With taxation, YD is less than Y.

If T = (0.1)Y, then YD = (0.9)Y.

 The MPC out of national


C = 30 + (0.8)YD
income (0.72) is less than
C = 30 + (0.8)(0.9)Y the MPC out of disposable
income (0.8).
C = 30 + (0.72)Y
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The Desired Consumption Function

From the numerical example above, we can generally write:

C = a + b(1 – t)Y

where b = MPC

t = tax rate

a = autonomous consumption

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The AE Function

We then expand the AE function:

AE = C + I + G + (X – M)

Recall that the slope of the AE function is the marginal


propensity to spend out of national income.
Summing the four components of desired AE:

AE = a + b(1 – t)Y + I + G + (X – mY)


= [ a + I + G + X ] + [b(1 – t) – m]Y

We call: b(1 - t) - m = z
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Equilibrium National Income

As before, output is assumed to be demand determined in


this model:
- equilibrium condition is Y = AE(Y)

In words, equilibrium Y occurs where desired aggregate


expenditure equals actual national income.

Whenever AE is not equal to Y, there are unintended


changes in inventories and firms have an incentive to change
production.
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Figure 22.3 The Aggregate
Expenditure Function

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Changes in Equilibrium National
Income

The Multiplier with Taxes and Imports


Imports and taxes make z smaller:
• z = MPC(1 – t) – m

The simple multiplier is also smaller:


• multiplier = 1/{1 –[ MPC(1 – t) – m]}

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Net Exports

As with other elements of AE:


- if NX function shifts upward, equilibrium Y rises
- if NX function shifts downward, equilibrium Y falls
Exports are autonomous with respect to domestic GDP, but
they depend on:
- foreign income
- domestic and foreign prices
- exchange rate
- tastes
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Fiscal Policy

Fiscal policy is the use of the government’s spending and tax


policies.

Any policy that attempts to stabilize Y at or near Y* is called


stabilization policy.

It is often clear in which direction fiscal policy could be


adjusted, but less clear how much adjustment is necessary.

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Figure 22.4 The Objective of
Stabilization Policy

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Changes in Government
Purchases
AE AE =Y
Consider some G < 0. E0
e0 • AE0

Equilibrium national G AE1


income will fall: e´1 •

Y = G x simple multiplier e1 •
E1

Y1 Y0
Y
Y
For example, suppose z = 0.62 ==> multiplier = 2.63.
G = -$100 million ==> Y = - $263 million.
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Figure 22.5 The Effect of
Changing the Tax Rate
The government may
attempt to change
national income by
changing the net tax
rate.

- a lower t causes the


AE function to
become steeper
- a higher t causes
the AE function to
become flatter

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Demand-Determined Output

Our simple macro model (Chapters 21 and 22) is based on


three central concepts:

• equilibrium national income


• the simple multiplier
• demand-determined output

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Demand-Determined Output

Equilibrium National Income


The equilibrium level of national income is that level where
desired AE equals actual national income.

The Simple Multiplier


Simple multiplier; 1/(1-z)
Closed economy with no government: z = MPC
Open economy with government: z = MPC(1-t) - m

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Demand-Determined Output

Demand-Determined Output
The model assumes a constant price level so that national income
is demand determined.
When is this a reasonable assumption?
1. When output is below potential, firms can increase output
without increasing their costs.
2. When firms are price setters they often respond to shocks
by changing output (and only later changing their price).

In the next chapter, we allow a variable price level:


- more complicated
- more realistic
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