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Chapter 9

Audit Sampling
9-2

What is Audit Sampling?

 Applying a procedure to less than


100% of a population
 To estimate some characteristic of the
population
 Qualitative
 Quantitative

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9-3

Advantages of Statistical Sampling

 Design efficient samples


 Measure sufficiency of evidence
 Objectively evaluate sample results

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9-4

Selection of Random Sample

 Random number tables


 Random number generators
 Systematic selection

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9-5

Random Number Table

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9-6

Types of Statistical Sampling Plans

 Attributes sampling
 Discovery sampling
 Classical variables sampling
 Probability-proportional-to-size sampling

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9-7

Requirements of Audit
Sampling Plans
 When planning the sample consider:
 The relationship of the sample to the relevant audit objective
 Materiality or the maximum tolerable misstatement or deviation
rate
 Allowable sampling risk
 Characteristics of the population
 Select sample items in such a manner that they can be
expected to be representative of the population
 Sample results should be projected to the population
 Items that cannot be audited should be treated as
misstatements or deviations in evaluating the sample results
 Nature and cause of misstatements or deviations should be
evaluated

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9-8

Sampling Risks--Tests of Controls

True State of Population


Deviation Rate Deviation Rate
Exceeds Is Less Than
Auditors’ Conclusion Tolerable Rate Tolerable Rate
From the Sample Is:
Incorrect
Deviation Rate Correct Decision
Exceeds (Risk of Assessing
Tolerable Rate
Decision
Control Risk
Too High)
Incorrect
Deviation Rate
Is Less Than Decision Correct
Tolerable Rate (Risk of Assessing
Decision
Control Risk
Too Low)

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9-9

Audit Sampling for Tests of Controls

 Determine the objective of the test


 Define the attributes and deviation conditions
 Define the population to be sampled
 Choose an audit sampling technique
 Specify:
 The risk of assessing control risk too low
 The tolerable deviation rate
 Estimate the population deviation rate
 Determine the sample size
 Select the sample
 Test the sample items
 Evaluate the sample results
 Document the sampling procedure

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9-10

Sampling Risks--Substantive Tests

True State of Population


Misstatement in Misstatement in
Account Exceeds Account Is Less
Auditors’ Conclusion Tolerable Amount Than Tolerable
From the Sample Is: Amount

Incorrect
Misstatement in Correct Decision
Account Exceeds
Tolerable Amount Decision (Risk of Incorrect
Rejection)

Misstatement in Incorrect
Account Is Less Decision Correct
Than Tolerable (Risk of Incorrect Decision
Amount Acceptance)

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9-11

Audit Sampling for Substantive


Tests

 Determine the objective of the test


 Define the population and sampling
unit
 Choose an audit sampling technique
 Determine the sample size
 Select the sample
 Test the sample items
 Evaluate the sample results
 Document the sampling procedure

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9-12

Population Variability—Why it Matters

Item Population A Population B


1 2,100 8,000
2 2,100 25
3 2,100 2,000
4 2,100 400
5 2,100 75

Mean 2,100 2,100

Standard
deviation -0- 3,395

 The variability determines how much information each of the


items in the population tells you about the other items in the
population.

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9-13

Factors Affecting Sample Size

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9-14

Determining Sample Size--MPU

Sample size =
 Pop. size x Incorrect rej . coef . x Est. SD 
 
 Planned allowance for sampling risk 

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9-15

Determining Sample Size--MPU


Sampling

Planned allowance Tolerable misstatement


______________________
for sampling risk =
1 + Incorrect acceptance coef.
Incorrect rejection coef.

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9-16

Variables Sampling Illustration--MPU

Adjusted allowance
for sampling risk =
Tolerable _ (Population size * Incorrect acceptance coef. * Sample stan. dev.)
misstatement Sample size

 This formula “adjusts” the allowance for sampling risk to consider the standard
deviation of the audited values in the sample. It holds the risk of incorrect
acceptance at its planned level.

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9-17

Variables Sampling Illustration--MPU


Using the text example with a standard deviation of audited values of $16
Adjusted allowance
for sampling risk =
Tolerable _ (Population size * Incorrect acceptance coef. * Sample stan. dev.)
misstatement Sample size

= $364,000 _ ($100,000 * 1.64 * $16)


225
= $189,067

 We would still “accept” the book balance because the $6,250,000 (book
value) falls within this interval

Estimate of total + Adjusted allowance


audited value for sampling risk
$6,100,000 + $189,067
[$5,910,933 to $6,289,067]

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9-18

Acceptance Interval

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9-19

Nonstatistical Variables Sampling


Illustration
 Plan Sample:
 Population:
 Size = 363 items
 Book value = $200,000

 Tolerable misstatement = $10,000


 Risk assessments:
 Inherent and control risk = Slightly below maximum
 Other substantive tests = Moderate

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9-20

Nonstatistical Sampling--
Determination of Sample Size

Sample size = Population book value X Reliability factor


Tolerable misstatement

= $200,000 X 2.0 = 40 items


$10,000

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9-21

Nonstatistical Sampling--Evaluation
of Sample Results

 Sample results:
40 accounts in sample
$350 net overstatement
$60,000 book value of sample items

 Projected misstatement:

= [Sample net misstatement] X Book value of population


[ Book value of sample ]
= [ $350 ] X $200,000
[$60,000]
= $1,167

Since the projected misstatement is only 11.7 percent ($1,167/$10,000) of


tolerable misstatement, it is likely that the auditors would conclude that the
account balance is materially correct.

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9-22

PPS Sampling Illustration

 Population book value = $6,250,000


 Other Information:
 Tolerable misstatement = $364,000
 Sampling risk--Incorrect acceptance = 5%
 Expected misstatement = $50,000
 Use Figures 9-14 and 9-15 to obtain a
“reliability factor” and an “expansion
factor.”

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9-23

PPS Sample Size Computation

Sample size =

Recorded amount of population * Reliability factor

Tolerable misstatement - (Expected misstatement * Expansion factor)

= $6,250,000 * 3.0 = 66
$364,000 - ($50,000 * 1.6)

Sampling interval = Book value of the population


Sample size
= $6,250,000 = $95,000 (approximately)
66

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9-24

PPS Evaluation of Results

Upper Limit on misstatement =


Projected misstatement
+ Basic precision (Rel. factor x interval)
+ Incremental allowance

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9-25

Calculation of Upper Limit on Misstatement

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