Kabita Kafl e Ankit Sharma Paudel Ranjana Shibakoti Ankit Chhetri Dipesh Karki Prasiddha Khanal MEANING In economics, inflation is a rise in the general level of prices of goods and services in an economy over a period of time. when the general price level rises, each unit of currency buys fewer goods and services. THEORY & CAUSES OF INFLATION The main cause of inflation is the increase in the demands of goods and services and at the same time decrease in the supply of goods and services. There are two theories related to the causes of inflation: Demand – pull (when there is excess demand) Cost push (when cost rise) Demand Pull Inflation Demand pull inflation occurs when there is an increase in aggregate demand, categorized by the four sections of the macroeconomis: households, businesses, governments, and foreign buyers. For example, an increase in government spending can increase aggregate demand, thus raising prices. Demand pull inflation Demand pull inflation can also be shown on a Phillips Curve. A rise in demand causes a fall in unemployment (from 6% to 3%) but an increase in inflation from inflation of 2% to 5%. COST- PUSH INFLATION Cost-push inflation occurs when we experience rising prices due to higher costs of production and higher costs of raw materials. Cost-push inflation can lead to lower economic growth and often causes a fall in living standards, though it often proves to be temporary. COST PUSH INFLATION For example, In early 1970s, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Counties (OPEC) took steps to decrease global oil supply in order to boost price levels. This resulted in a supply shock and an increase in general prices, since oil is an important component of most production processes. Since there was no increase in demand, this rise in inflation can be attributed to Cost-Push Inflation. Forms of inflation Open inflation The continuous rise in price level is visible in the naked eye. One can see the annual rate of increase in the price level. Galloping inflation Vary rapid inflation which is almost impossible to reduce. Repressed Inflation There is excess demand The excess demand is prevented from increasing price level by some repressive measure The measure taken by the government like price control, rationing etc. Hyper Inflation The price level goes on rising at a very fast rate. Often there happens hourly increase in price level. It often leads to demonetization. EFFECT OF INFLATION • Effect depends on the speed of inflation and the nature of the economy. Rising price of imports. Lower national savings. Redistribution of income & wealth Collapse of monetary system Adverse impact socially & politically Discourage investment & savings Higher interest/ income tax rates Monetary Policy Monetary policy essentially implies the policy followed by financial institution. High interest rates and slow growth of money supply are the traditional ways through which central bank fight or prevent inflation Fiscal measure Reduction in unnecessary expenditure. Increases in taxes Increases in savings Adopt surplus budget Stop repayment of public debt until inflationary pressure are controlled. Other measures To increase production Rational wages policy Price control INFLATION IN NEPAL The inflation rate in Nepal was recorded at 4.9% in 2019. Inflation rate in Nepal averaged 8.18% from 1964 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 30.42% in may of 1966 and a record low of -11.54% in may 1967. Inflation rate in Nepal is reported by the Nepal Rastra Bank. Thank you