Forecast on immediate and long-term impact on the environment due to the

pandemic and our society’s intervention and prevention actions

Supervisor Name : Dr Farooq

Candidate Name : Zubair Ahmed Khan
Registration No : 2018-MSTFE-04

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 FORECAST ON IMMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM EFFECTS OF

AND OUR SOCIETY’S INTERVENTION AND PREVENTION ACTIONS

IMPACT ON THE
ENVIRONMENT DUE TO THE
PANDEMIC
AND OUR SOCIETY’S INTERVENTION AND PREVENTION ACTIONS

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What is Covid 19 ?

 Corona Virus December 19

 The virus was confirmed to have
reached Pakistan on 26 February 2020,
when a student in Karachi tested positive
upon returning from Iran.
 As of 14 July 2020, there have been
about 253,424 confirmed cases with
169,896 recoveries and 5,313 deaths in
the country. Pakistan

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 UP FRONT FACTS
 The considerable decline in planned travel has caused many regions to experience a large drop in
air pollution.
 Governance-system-controlled investments towards a sustainable energy transition.
 European Union's seven-year €1 trillion budget proposal and €750 billion recovery plan "Next
Generation EU" which seeks to reserve 25% of EU spending for climate-friendly
expenditure.
 The Outbreak has also provided cover for illegal activities such as deforestation of the Amazon
rainforest and poaching in Africa.
 Economic fallout that some predict will slow investment in green energy technologies.
 Hindered environmental diplomacy efforts.

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AIR QUALITY
 IMMEDIATE EFFECTS:
 Quarantine and travel bans, resulted in a 25 per cent reduction of carbon emission in China.
 50 per cent decrease in CO in NewYork.
 75% decrease in Spain and 10% in Northern Italy in Nox emmissions after lockdown.

 LONG TERM EFFECTS:

 China's attempts to return to previous rates of growth amidst trade wars and supply chain disruptions in the
energy market will worsen its environmental impact.
 The 2008 financial crisis caused a 1 percent dip in carbon dioxide but once the economy recovered, emissions
crept back up–at a rate faster then before the crisis. Similar situation may happen.
 the rise of remote work, have been accelerated with the pandemic and will have lasting effects on cutting
carbon emissions and slowing global warming.

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 Air Quality Of Lahore
Think of the AQI as a yardstick that runs
from 0 to 500. The higher the AQI value, the
greater the level of air pollution and the
greater the health concern. For example, an
AQI value of 50 or below represents good air
quality, while an AQI value over 300
represents hazardous air quality.

Before Lock Down 45 AQI Healthy

After Lock Down

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WASTE
 IMMEDIATE EFFECTS:
 The huge demand for disposable medical products.
 In Wuhan, China, the volume of medical waste is reported to have risen from 40 to 240 tons a day at the
height of the epidemic.
 Plastic packaging is enjoying an increase in popularity during the coronavirus pandemic.
 In Italy, consumer spend on packaged mandarins rose over 111 percent in the week ending on March 8,
versus the same period in 2019.
 About 165 billion packages are shipped in the US each year, with the cardboard used roughly equating to
more than 1 billion trees.

 LONG TERM EFFECTS:

 The United Nations predicts that there will be more plastic in the ocean than fish by 2050. The coronavirus
pandemic will undoubtably accelerate this trend, while contributing to other problems–clogging drainage
systems, litter and releasing pollutants when burned.

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IMPACT ON WILDLIFE
 IMMEDIATE EFFECTS:
 Demand for fish and fish prices have both decreased due to the pandemic, and fishing fleets around the
world sit mostly idle.
 Many animals are returning to their natural habitats due to the lowered levels of human interference
and light pollution.
 Fatal vehicle collisions with animals such as deer, elk, moose, bears, mountain lions fell by 58% during
March and April and will continue to decrease.
 Gabon decided to ban the human consumption of bats and pangolins, to stem the spread of zoonotic
diseases. Other countries might follow suit.

 LONG TERM EFFECTS:

 Fish biomass will increase due to the sharp decline in fishing, and projected that in European waters,
some fish such as herring could double their biomass.
 African countries might experience a massive surge in bush meat poaching due to the economic
downturn.

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PREDICTED REBOUND EFFECT

 The restarting of greenhouse-gas producing industries and transport would contribute to

increasing greenhouse gas production rather than reducing it.
 In the transport sector, the pandemic could trigger remote work – which could, in turn,
translate in reductions of emissions from transport.
 Shift away from public transport, driven by fear of contagion, and reliance on single-
occupancy cars, which would significantly increase emissions.
 The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development recommends governments
continue to enforce existing air pollution regulations during the COVID-19 crisis.
 Public transport providers to enhance capacity and quality with a focus on reducing
crowding and promoting cleaner facilities.
 Governments to come up with new environmental policies during the pandemic to shift the
direction of climate change.

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