Local Disaster Risk Reduction & Management Office Municipality of Naga Province of Zamboanga Sibugay What is climate change? • Climate change refers to long-term shifts in temperatures and weather patterns. These shifts may be natural, such as through variations in the solar cycle. (UN Climate Action)
• But since the 1800s,
human activities have been the main driver of climate chan ge , primarily due to burning fossil fuels like coal, oil and gas. The Greenhouse Effect • The presence of atmospheric, or greenhouse gases is not a bad thing. The Earth needs some greenhouse gases to trap the right amount of heat to regulate the earths temperature and keeps it from becoming too cold or too hot. • The ocean absorbs much of the solar radiation reaching Earth. Because of this, the ocean has had, and will continue to have, a significant influence on climate change by absorbing, storing, and moving heat, carbon and water. The Greenhouse Effect What are the biggest contributor of Greenhouse Gases • The largest source of greenhouse gas emissions from human activities in the United States is from burning fossil fuels for electricity, heat, and transportation. The primary sources of greenhouse gas emissions: • Transportation • Electricity Production • Industry • Commercial and Residential • Agriculture • Land Use and Forestry Transportation • (27% of 2020 greenhouse gas emissions) – The transportation sector generates the largest share of greenhouse gas emissions. Greenhouse gas emissions from transportation primarily come from burning fossil fuel for our cars, trucks, ships, trains, and planes. Over 90% of the fuel used for transportation is petroleum based, which includes primarily gasoline and diesel.2 Electricity Production • (25% of 2020 greenhouse gas emissions) – Electricity production generates the second largest share of greenhouse gas emissions. Approximately 60% of our electricity comes from burning fossil fuels, mostly coal and natural gas.3 Industry • 24% of 2020 greenhouse gas emissions) – Greenhouse gas emissions from industry primarily come from burning fossil fuels for energy, as well as greenhouse gas emissions from certain chemical reactions necessary to produce goods from raw materials. Commercial and Residential • (13% of 2020 greenhouse gas emissions) – Greenhouse gas emissions from businesses and homes arise primarily from fossil fuels burned for heat, the use of certain products that contain greenhouse gases, and the handling of waste. Agriculture • (11% of 2020 greenhouse gas emissions) – Greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture come from livestock such as cows, agricultural soils, and rice production. Land Use and Forestry 13% of 2020 greenhouse gas emissions) – Land areas can act as a sink (absorbing CO2 from the atmosphere) or a source of greenhouse gas emissions. In the United States, since 1990, managed forests and other lands are a net sink, i.e., they have absorbed more CO2 from the atmosphere than they emit. Impact (Effects) of Climate Change Major rainfall changes in patterns and distributions A 2011 PAGASA report suggests a decrease in rainfall by 2020 in most parts of the country except Luzon. As far as extreme rainfall is concerned, however, the number of days with heavy rainfall (e.g., greater than 200 mm) is expected to increase with global warming by the year 2020 and 2050. Impact (Effects) of Climate Change in the Philippines
Threats to natural ecosystems
Approximately 1 million hectares of grasslands in the Philippines are highly vulnerable to climate change in the future. Most grasslands in the uplands are prone to fires particularly during extended periods of dryness and lack of rainfall during summer Impact (Effects) of Climate Change in the Philippines Threats to natural ecosystems Coral Loss The 2016 Low Carbon Monitor Report foresees that 98 percent of coral reefs in Southeast Asia will die by 2050, practically an extinction by the end of the century if current global warming trends will continue. The IPCC projects that by years 2051 to 2060, the maximum fish catch potential of Philippine seas will decrease by as much as 50% compared to 2001-2010 levels. Impact (Effects) of Climate Change in the Philippines Threats to natural ecosystems Declining rice yields An analysis of temperature trends and irrigated field experiments at the International Rice Research Institute shows that grain yield decreased by at least 10% for each 1°C increase in growing-season minimum temperature in the dry season. Impact (Effects) of Climate Change in the Philippines Threats to natural ecosystems More intense droughts Global warming exacerbates the effects of El Niño the most recent of which was experienced in the country from 2015 to 2016. The Department of Agriculture estimated that 413,456 farmers have been directly affected by El Niño-associated drought and dry spells during the last El Niño period.. Impact (Effects) of Climate Change in the Philippines Threats to natural ecosystems Higher sea level rise Observed sea level rise is remarkably highest at 60 centimeters in the Philippines, about three times that of the global average of 19 centimeters. This puts at risk 60% of LGUs covering 64 coastal provinces, 822 coastal municipalities, 25 major coastal cities, and an estimated 13.6 million Filipinos that would need relocation. Impact (Effects) of Climate Change in the Philippines Threats to natural ecosystems Water scarcity Climate change, rapid urbanization, and population growth drives water scarcity worldwide. A study conducted by the World Resources Institute predicts that Philippines will experience a 'high' degree of water shortage by the year 2040. The country ranked 57th likely most water stressed country in 2040 out of 167 countries Impact (Effects) of Climate Change in the Philippines Threats to natural ecosystems Labor productivity declined According to a 2016 United Nations study, climate change-induced heat in the workplace is projected to render 1% loss in working hours by 2025, 2% by 2050, and 4% by 2085. Impact (Effects) of Climate Change in the Philippines Threats to natural ecosystems Labor productivity declined According to a 2016 United Nations study, climate change-induced heat in the workplace is projected to render 1% loss in working hours by 2025, 2% by 2050, and 4% by 2085. Impact (Effects) of Climate Change in the Philippines Threats to natural ecosystems More public health emergencies Higher temperatures also trigger the surge of diseases such as dengue, malaria, cholera, and typhoid. In 1998, when the Philippines experienced the strongest El Nino phenomenon to-date, almost 40,000 dengue cases, 1,200 cholera cases, and nearly 1,000 typhoid fever cases, were recorded nationwide. Impact (Effects) of Climate Change in the Philippines Threats to natural ecosystems More women endangered and killed A paper released by the World Health Organization (WHO) examining gender, climate change, and health, stated that the impacts of natural hazards such as droughts, floods and storms affect more women than men, and tend to affect women at a younger age. Climate-sensitive and gender-specific health impacts affect women disproportionately than men. What is adaptation? Adaptation 1. Reacting or changing to fit the new circumstance 2. Coping with impacts that cannot be avoided Climate Change Adaptation • Adaptation refers to changes in biological, social, and economic systems as a result of real or anticipated climatic stimuli, as well as their ramifications or impacts. • It refers to modifications in procedures, methods, and structures to mitigate possible harm or take advantage of climate-change opportunities. In basic terms, countries and communities must develop adaptation solutions and take action to address current and future impacts of climate change. Structural and physical adaptation options wide variety of adaptation option, example for FLOODING!
• Installing protective and/ or resilient technologies and materials in
properties that are prone to flooding. • Requiring waterfront properties to have higher foundation.. • Raising pumps at wastewater treatment plants • Installing devices to prevent seawater from backflowing into storm drains • Flooding could be prevented by using and protecting mangroves Climate Change Adaptation Water: Water availability, floods and droughts Number of people exposed to water stress • Ecosystems: Species number and risk of extinction. Coastal wetlands, area Coral bleaching Species range shifts and wildfire risk Climate Change Adaptation Food: Productivity of cereals Local impacts on small holders Coasts: Number of people exposed to flooding each year Damage from floods and storms Average rate of sea level rise Health: Changed distribution of some disease vectors Number of people exposed to malnutrition, diarrhoeal, cardio-respiratory, and other infectious diseases Morbidity and mortality from heat waves, floods, and droughts Burden on health services (expenditures) What is Mitigation Mitigation
1. To prevent the worsening of destruction
2. To decrease force or intensity. To lower risk. Climate Change Mitigation • Mitigating climate change entails lowering greenhouse gas emissions that contribute to global warming. • Retrofitting buildings to make them more energy efficient; adopting renewable energy sources such as solar, wind, and small hydro; assisting cities in developing more sustainable modes of transportation such as bus rapid transit, electric vehicles, and biofuels; and promoting more sustainable land and forest uses are all examples of mitigation strategies. Lowering GH Gas! The mitigation puzzle piece is simple to understand but difficult to implement. We must make the shift from utilizing fossil fuels to using clean, renewable energy. We must halt deforestation and restore natural habitats until we achieve net-zero carbon emissions, which means that the release of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere is balanced by their capture and storage in places like tree roots LET’S GO GREEN! Basically! Adaptation (structural/system) 1. Reacting or changing to fit the new circumstance 2. Coping with impacts that cannot be avoided
Mitigation (reducing the release of GH gases)
3. To prevent the worsening of destruction 4. To decrease force or intensity. To lower risk. Question!
As a youth and part of an organization, how
can you help in adapting and mitigating Climate Change in your Community? Question!
Can we avoid Climate Change?
Question!
What are your steps and action on
Lessening the effects and impact of Climate Changes? GROUP ACTIVITY! • In manila paper, list down what are the ADAPTATIONS and MITIGATIONS that you can implement in your community. and share it to the group!