Financial Markets and Institutions in Ethiopia The State Bank of Ethiopia operated as both a commercial and central bank until 1963 when it was dissolved to form the central bank, the National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE), and the Commercial Bank of Ethiopia (CBE). A number of other private financial institutions were also established during the 1960s. The structure of Ethiopia's financial system therefore resembled that of other African countries at this time. All of this changed with the overthrow of the monarchy of Haile Selassie in 1974.
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Cont… Under the Derg (meaning the committee [of solders] in Amharic) regime all privately owned financial institutions including three commercial banks, thirteen insurance companies and two non-bank financial intermediaries were nationalized on 1 January1975. The NBE continued its functions as a central bank, although the directives of the planning system now circumscribed its activities. The NBE fixed both deposit and loan rates (both of which were set at very low levels), administered the allocation of foreign exchange (all of which had to be surrendered to NBE), and directly financed the fiscal deficit (NBE 1996a).
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Cont… NBE's bank supervision and regulation was largely restricted to off-site inspection of a few bank branches. By allocating credit and foreign exchange in favor of the state sector, NBE constituted a powerful tool for imposing state-led development. Credit to the private sector fell from nearly 100 per cent of total bank credit under the monarchy to only 40 per cent under the Derg. The Agriculture and Industrial Development Bank(known today as the Development Bank of Ethiopia) allocated 68 per cent of its resources to State farms.
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Economic transition and financial reform Economic reform began soon after the new government took power. War and the Derg's policies had left a crippled economy and an impoverished people. Fiscal policy aimed to raise revenue and to reduce the fiscal deficit which became a source of inflation. Structural reforms concentrated on lifting most domestic price controls, reducing import tariffs, and moving to a market-based system of foreign exchange allocation. Exchange-rate reform, which was an essential first step in achieving economic recovery, began in October 1992. 08/21/21 GHY 2020 5 Cont… In 2016, the government is following a managed floating exchange rate policy. Until recently, despite a significant gap between imports and exports, where exports financing only 20% of imports by 2016 – the parallel market premium remained insignificant being about Birr 0.20- to 0.30 (1.5%). This premium has dramatically increased to about 5 Birr (about 23 %) in January, 2017 –doubling from 14% in November 2016. This has happened following the relapse to violent conflict in the country after nearly a decade of relative peace. 08/21/21 GHY 2020 6 Cont… The economy has responded reasonably well to reform despite the structural constraints characteristic of a predominantly agrarian economy (large annual fluctuations in GDP occur in response to weather variations), terms of trade shocks (the decline in the coffee price) and the 1998-2000 war with Eritrea. Inflation also became a major macro challenge since the 2005 violent election. Following this early period of post-reform Ethiopia in the 1990s, economic growth has been very good (extremely good if we take the official statics which shows a double digit growth for a decade. 08/21/21 GHY 2020 7 The New Private Banks Financial reform began in earnest in 1994. NBE's role in overseeing the commercial banks was codified. Sector-specific interest rates administered by NBE were also ended, and replaced with a minimum deposit rate (10 per cent) and a maximum lending rate (15 percent). The domestic private sector was permitted to enter the banking and insurance business (foreign financial institutions are not yet permitted to invest). The response to these reforms has been promising. There were 6 private banks at the initial stage of this reform and this has grown to 19 by 2016. There were also 8 private insurance companies at the initial stage of the reform. This has grown to 14 by 2016. 08/21/21 GHY 2020 8 Cont… The market shares of the private banks, although growing, still remain small relative to those of the publicly owned CBE. CBE dominates the deposit market (its share was 87.6 per cent in 1995/96) a reflection of CBE's national coverage . However, CBE's dominance in the loan market has eroded, its share having fallen to 56.3 per cent in 1997/ 98 from 83.9 per cent in 1995/96 and to 51.2 % in 2015. Another public institution, the Development Bank of Ethiopia, has captured some of this share, but the new private banks have raised their share to 17.3 per cent at this initial stage of the reform.
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Regulating the New Financial Sector Financial markets are inherently imperfect, characterized as they are by asymmetric information in the relationship of borrower to lender. In Ethiopia this imperfection is aggravated by the institutional under-investment of the Derg era. It is after the fall of the Derg , the public and private banks beg an developing the capacity to evaluate loan risks in the context of a market economy and are yet to offer the full range of financial instruments required by potential clients (which vary from large commercial enterprises to micro- entrepreneurs).
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Cont… The supporting framework of commercial law and accounting practice both essential to sound financial systems are highly underdeveloped in Ethiopia. For these reasons, investment in NBE's capacity to regulate the financial system in the public interest must get the highest priority. Under the Derg, regulation consisted of enforcing interest- rate controls and the allocation of credit and foreign exchange according to the dictates of the planners. Thus, it was a must for NBE to learn the skills of prudential regulation and supervision appropriate to a market-based financial system
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Cont… NBE's supervision consists of both off-site surveillance and on-site examination. NBE's off-site surveillance mechanisms require banks to submit key financial data such as the composition of lending and the scale of non-performing loans on a regular basis in order to identify all the risks to which each bank is exposed. To maintain further the stability of the financial sector the NBE has also issued various directives. The NBE, first, stipulated the maximum outstanding loan relative to the total capital not exceed 35 per cent of the total capital of the commercial bank in question.
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Cont… Second, to reduce ex-ante risks, it has issued a loan provision directive that force banks to craft and work out Non- Performing Loan (NPL) reduction plan. Third, the NBE has also issued various directives with the aim of reducing other ex-ante risks. These includes: reserve requirements (15%), liquidity requirements (25%), minimum capital adequacy ratio (of 12%), minimum paid up capital (of 75 million Birr out of 500 million startup), among others.
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The Development, Policy and Regulation of the Banking, Insurance and Microfinance Markets • Ethiopia has conducted financial sector reform following the change in government and economic policy in 1991. • It has re-established the National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE) as central bank and financial market regulator and opened the banking and insurance sectors for domestic private investment through monetary, banking and insurance supervision laws that are enacted in 1994 and amended in 2008. • It has made inter-bank money and foreign exchange markets operational as of 1998. 08/21/21 GHY 2020 14 Cont… • It has also introduced a regulatory regime for microfinance, required the formal establishment of the microfinance institutions within the financial system, and required the NBE to promote development of the traditional savings institutions of the society along with the microfinance institutions and to encourage participation of the banks and other financial institutions in the provision of microfinance by a law enacted in July 1996 and amended in 2009. • It subjects the banks, insurers and microfinance institutions to supervision laws that are similarly fashioned and complementary to one another. 08/21/21 GHY 2020 15 Cont… • It also allows the transformation of the microfinance institutions into formal banks and the direct engagement of the formal banks and insurers in the provision of microfinance. • It has licensed twelve private banks, eleven private insurers, thirty microfinance institutions and more than one thousand insurance auxiliaries under this regime. • There are also government owned three banks and one insurer.
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Cont… • The country has not, however, achieved desirable level of banking, insurance and microfinance services. • All the services are at their beginning stage of development and a substantial size of the Ethiopian population still lives without them. • The banks, insurers and microfinance institutions are also weak in their fixed capitals, service types, governance and competitiveness. • They have not diversified, modernized, automated and networked their services.
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Cont… • The banks, other than the Development Bank of Ethiopia, also concentrate on short and medium term trade finance while the insurers concentrate on short term general insurance making the total long-term insurance less than six percent of the total insurance business in the country.
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The Development, Policy and Regulation of Securities Market • Ethiopia had a securities market in the 1960s and 70s. • The market was closed because of change of policy in 1974. • The country does not have a securities market currently. • It has created only an agricultural commodity market which is owned fully by the government and operated outside the financial market. • The creation of securities market is justified in the country by the following functions:
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Cont… • providing long term finance which the banks are not doing; • meeting the growing need for domestic resource to finance investment; • providing market place and thereby enhancing the transferability, liquidity and proprietary value of existing securities; • curing the excess reserve and liquidity positions of the banks; • enabling the NBE to enforce monetary and financial policy objectives through indirect and open market instruments; 08/21/21 GHY 2020 20 Cont… • encouraging the creation of institutional savers and investors, diversifying the financial market and increasing competition; • motivating companies to go public and widen their ownership bases; • enhancing information flow and corporate management, accounting and control; • assisting individuals, households, business firms and the financial institutions to diversify their income and investment portfolios; and • facilitating future privatization. 08/21/21 GHY 2020 21 The Development, Policy and Regulation of Private Pensions • Ethiopia does not have comprehensive social security. It has only occupational pension for government employees, some provident fund scheme for private sector employees, and some social assistance for the old, the destitute and the needy. • The occupational pension for the government employees does not serve as universal basic system since it provides only subsistent income to very small population of the country. • It does not also serve the functions of facilitating saving, employment, investment, corporate finance and capital market development since its benefit payments are small and its resources are hardly invested. 08/21/21 GHY 2020 22 Cont… • The private sector provident funds and social assistances do not also serve these functions since they are informal and voluntary payments. • The occupational benefits and severance pays in the private sector are also piecemeal and negligible. • The provision (and consumption) of life insurance and pension annuity is also very negligible. • The country needs to expand its pension coverage in order to curb these problems and reduce retirement poverty.
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Cont… • The country also needs to focus on two functions which are important for the development of the financial market: a) forcing saving and b) mobilizing the saving for investment. • The Ethiopian households and individuals are reported to have very limited saving due to both their expenditure habits and the low levels of their incomes.
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The Design of Means of Enforcement of Regulation • Ethiopia makes the NBE regulator of all the financial institutions, markets and auxiliaries and enforces the existing regulations through banking, insurance and microfinance supervision departments organized in it. • It confers it with the powers of licensing, inspecting, examining and sanctioning the financial institutions, markets and auxiliaries. • It also confers it with some discretion and autonomy from the government. • It also authorizes it to finance its regulatory functions by its own funds except in cases where it has been fixed by law that the funding has to be borne by the regulated institutions. 08/21/21 GHY 2020 25