Dr. Noman Saeed INTRODUCTION • At the time of independence 1947, Pakistan had negligible industrial base. • Now Pakistan has fairly diversified industrial base. • It helps in import substitution and saves substantial amount of foreign exchange. INTRODUCTION • The East Pakistan produced 70 percent of the world’s jute. But, there was not a single Jute Mill • The newly-emerged state of Pakistan did not even have its own bank sand depended on the reserve bank of India • Similarly in 1947, Pakistan did not have a single ordnance factory INTRODUCTION • Therefore, rapid industrialization of the country was a great challenge for Pakistan. • With the services of the patriot economic experts, engineers and capitalists, the country achieved high growth rates in manufacturing in Pakistan for 1950-55 Growth of Industrial Sector in Pakistan • Industrial performance in terms of growth can be analysis in the following period of time. 1. Growth of industrial sector from 1947 to 1950 2. Growth of industrial sector in 1950’s 3. Growth of industrial sector in 1960’s Growth of Industrial Sector in Pakistan 4. Performance of industrial sector in 1970 to 1976 5. Performance of industrial sector from July 1977 to 1988. 6. Performance of industrial sector from 1988 to 1999. 7. Performance of industrial sector from October 1999 to 2007. 8. Performance of industrial sector from 2007 to onward. Growth of Industrial Sector from 1947 to 1950 • At its inception in 1947, Pakistan had a predominantly agrarian economy–agriculture contributed 53% of GDP in 1947 • Pakistan had a population of 30 million with 6 million people living in urban areas • 65% of the labor force working in the agricultural sector, and • Agricultural output contributing 99.2% of exports and about 90% of Pakistan’s foreign exchange earnings Growth of Industrial Sector from 1947 to 1950 • Out of 921 industrial units operating in the British India, Pakistan got only 34 industries i.e 4% of the total industries established in subcontinent. • All industries were in small size like sugar mills, cotton ginning factories, flour mills and rice husking mills. Growth of Industrial Sector from 1947 to 1950 • Government of Pakistan Called an Industrial Conference in December, 1947 to industrial growth. • The Conference recommended to establish such an industries which use locally produced raw material. • Private entrepreneur was encouraged to set up industries. Growth of Industrial Sector from 1947 to 1950 • The infrastructure for the heavy industries was also be established. • Development board was established in 1948 to implement these recommendations. • The Government also set up an International Finance Corporation (IFC) and Industrial Investment and Credit Corporation ( IICC) in 1948. • The contribution of industrial sector was 6.9% in 1950. Growth of Industrial Sector in 1950’s • Private sector was shy to invest in heavy industries due to » Lack of capital » Technical Know- how » Absence of entrepreneurship • Pakistan banned the imports of cotton textiles and luxury goods in 1952 and regulated virtually all imports in 1953 • Consequently, Pakistan joined the group of the most rapidly growing countries in the 1950s Growth of Industrial Sector in 1950’s • Government established PIDC in 1952 to invest in those industries where heavy initial investment required. • PIDC invested in paper board, cement, fertilizer, jute mills, shipyards, and Sui Karachi gas pipeline • PIDC completed 59 industrial unit by June 1971. Growth of Industrial Sector in 1950’s • Woolen, cycle tyres and tubes, paint, varnishes and glass industries were established in First five year plan 1955-56. • The reduction of export duties and introduction of export bonus scheme in 1958 increased export of manufactured goods. • The share of industrial sector to GDP was 11.9% in 1959-60 Growth of Industrial Sector in 1960’s • This period covers two five year plan. • The country achieved self sufficiency in consumer goods industries. • There was a shift in the establishment of consumer goods industries to heavy industries such as machine tools, petro- chemical, electrical complex, and iron and steel. Growth of Industrial Sector in 1960’s • The industrial performance in terms of growth, export and productivity increased during the Second five year plan. • The share of industrial sector to GNP went to 11.8% from 1960 to 1965. • The large-scale manufacturing grew at a rate of 16% per annum during 1960/61-1964/65 due to protection of domestic industry from imports and subsidies for exporters Growth of Industrial Sector in 1960’s • The third five year plan 1965-1970 could not achieved success due to reduction in USA aid, political unrest . • The reduced Foreign Economic Assistance caused the large-scale manufacturing to grow at a lower rate of 10% per annum during 1965-70 Performance of Industrial Sector from 1970 to 77 • This was the era of disappointment in terms of growth ,productivity and exports due to • Fight with India • Suspension of foreign aid • Fall in exports • Nationalization of Industries • World recession Performance of Industrial Sector from 1970 to 77 • There was an increase in Pakistan’s import bill due to the October 1973 world oil price shock • A serious post-1973 global recession during 1974-77, failures of cotton crops in 1974-75 • Pest attacks on crops, and massive floods in 1973, 1974, and 1976-77 • Pakistan experienced the worst inflation during 1972-77