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Amazon Logistic Activities

Demand Forecasting
?Associate Company: Lafooco

Course: Intro To Logistics & Supply Chain


Lecturer: Nguyen Ngo Tinh Giang
Presenter: Pham Le Phuong Lan
ID: s3836374
Presentation Include

Demand Production Warehousing &


Procurement Transportation
Forecasting Operation Inventory
Lan Pham Huyen Tran Linh Le Vinh Le Han Ha
s3836374 s3878692 s3891591 s3863874 s380094
Company Introduction
AMAZON
- World’s largest online retailer
- In Vietnam: Amazon Global Selling (AGS)
- In Vietnam, AGS established 2 dedicated teams based in
HCM and HN to train and guide Vietnamese business.

LAFOOCO
- Founded in 1985
- Producer & exporter of nuts and dried fruits
- Deliver best quality products to high-end markets worldwide
- One of many FBA retailers on Amazon platform.
Demand Forecasting
What is Demand Forecasting?

• Based on historical data, trends, and knowledge, Forecasting is a common


statistical technique used to accurately predict future demand. (Hyndman &
Athanasopoulos 2018)

• In logistics, it is vital for business planning and future predictions and also
initiates the supply chain management push processes (Ivanov 2019)

• Important for AMZ sellers:


• Manage inventory effectively
• Utilize capital
• Identify opportunities and threats.
Managerial
Responsibilities
• Satistical Methods
Integrate business intelligence within the organization, In order to develop forecasts
at multiple levels of aggregation, managers should analyze past sales trends data to
identify demand drivers and trends to find the best forecasting method. (Kolassa &
Siemsen 2015)

(Amazon Web Services 2020)


2. Using demand forecasting software

Not only assist companies in reducing risks


and make efficient financial decisions but
also helps them to create optimal orders,
increase filling rate, analyze excess stocks,
and accelerate replenishment.

(Amazon Web Services 2020)


1.
Create Accurate Budgeting & Increase
Supply Chain Efficiency
(Chron 2018)

Logistics Value 2.
Optimizing the inventory levels more effectively, more
accurate adaptation of different stock levels and
reduction of planning efforts (Carbonneau et al. 2008)
R?eferences
• Amazon Web Services, n.d, Amazon Forecast, viewed 18 Aug 2021,
<https://aws.amazon.com/forecast/>
• Amazon Web Services, n.d, ‘What is Amazon Forecast', Developer Guide, viewed 18 Aug 2021,
<https://docs.aws.amazon.com/forecast/latest/dg/what-is-forecast.html>
• Connolly, B, 2021, ‘Amazon Inventory Forecasting & Demand Planning with Jungle Scout’, Junglescout, 15 Jul, viewed 18 Aug 2021,
<https://www.junglescout.com/blog/inventory-forecasting/>
• Carbonneau, R, Laframboise, K, & Vahidov, R, 2008, ‘Application of machine learning techniques for supply chain demand forecasting’, European Journal of Operational Research, 184(3), 1140-1154, viewed 18
Aug 2021,
• Hofmann, E & Rutschmann, E, 2018, ‘Big data analytics and demand forecasting in supply chains: a conceptual analysis’, The International Journal of Logistics Management, Vol. 29 No. 2, pp. 739-766, viewed
18 Aug 2021,
<https://doi.org/10.1108/IJLM-04-2017-0088>
• Hyndman, R & Athanasopoulos, G, 2018, ‘Forecasting: Principles and Practice’, Otexts, p.14, viewed 18 Aug 2021,
<https://books.google.com.vn/books?id=_bBhDwAAQBAJ&printsec=frontcover&dq=principles+of+demand+forecasting&hl=vi&sa=X&redir_esc=y#v=onepage&q&f=false >
• Ivanov, D, Tsipoulanidis, A & Schönberger, J, 2019, ‘Demand Forecasting: A Decision-Oriented Introduction to the Creation of Value’, p.319-333, viewed 18 Aug 2021, Researchgate,
<https://www.researchgate.net/publication/327918130_Demand_Forecasting_A_Decision-Oriented_Introduction_to_the_Creation_of_Value >
• Kot, S, Grondys, K & Szopa, R, 2011, ‘Theory of Inventory Management Based on Demand Forecasting', Polish Journal of Management Studies, p.148-156, viewed 18 Aug 2021, Researchgate,
<https://www.researchgate.net/publication/227470655_Theory_of_inventory_management_based_on_demand_forecasting>
• Milano, S, 2018, ‘The advantage of Demand Forecasting, Chron, 12 Dec, viewed 18 Aug 2021,
<https://smallbusiness.chron.com/advantages-demand-forecasting-60405.html>
• Fuse Inventory, 2020, ‘Unlocking Amazon’s Secret to Success: Supply Chain’, 1 Febl viewed 18 Aug 2021,
<https://www.fuseinventory.com/blog/unlocking-amazons-secret-to-success-supply-chain>
• Wisner, D, Tan, K & Keong Leong, G, 2012, ‘Principles of Supply Chain Management', Cencage Learning, Singapore, viewed 18 Aug 2021,
<https://books.google.com.vn/books?hl=vi&lr=&id=yTN-BAAAQBAJ&oi=fnd&pg=PP1&dq=wisner+leong+tan&ots=ZaAg-518S6&sig=33dmhGhZMaZUam-
EHlnpaumQdyk&redir_esc=y#v=onepage&q&f=false>

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