Latin America Integrantes: Cyntia Adrianzén Roxana Benaducci The USA Financial Crisis It is an ongoing financial crisis triggered by a dramatic rise in mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures in the United States, with major adverse consequences for banks and financial markets around the globe.
Many USA mortgages issued
in recent years are subprime, meaning that little or no downpayment was made, and that they were issued to households with low incomes and assets, and with troubled credit histories. The USA Financial Crisis When USA house prices began to decline in 2006- 07,mortgage delinquencies soared, and securities backed with subprime mortgages, widely held by financial firms, lost most of their value.
The crisis began with the
bursting of the United States housing bubble and high default rates on "subprime" and adjustable rate mortgages (ARM), beginning in approximately 2005– 2006. Causes of the USA Financial Crisis The crisis can be attributed to a number of factors pervasive in both housing and credit markets, factors which emerged over a number of years.
Causes proposed include
the: Inability of homeowners to make their mortgage payments. Poor judgment by borrowers and/or lenders. Speculation and overbuilding during the boom period. Causes of the USA Financial Crisis Risky mortgage products.
High personal and corporate debt levels.
Financial products that distributed and perhaps
concealed the risk of mortgage default.
Monetary policy.
And government regulation (or the lack thereof).
Consequences On the heels of the near bankruptcy of a major insurance company and the effective end of all major US investment banks, financial markets around the world sustained severe losses in the first two weeks of October, 2008, accelerating the downward trend that started at the beginning of the year.
As a consequence, from New York to Moscow, and London
to Sao Paulo, equity prices have fallen sharply – with the major stock indices of the G7 and BRICs losing nearly half of their value since the beginning of the year. This has seriously damaged banks’ balance sheets and restricted their lending capacity. Consequences With the cost of short-term credit rising dramatically and liquidity drying up, these events have been dubbed the worst financial meltdown since the Great Depression in 1930s. More importantly, the shock waves from the US financial market have spread throughout the globe, with many countries on the brink of recession. The U.S. government spent (or committed) more than a trillion dollars in trying to prevent the collapse of U.S. financial markets. Following the bailout of Bear Sterns, AIG, Freddie Mac, and Fannie Mae, the U.S. Congress approved the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act to give authority to the U.S. Treasury to buy troubled mortgages and mortgage- related securities. However, the original package (US$ 700 billion) has been revised to include a recapitalization of banks, federal guarantees on new bank debt for three years and FDIC insurance for non- interest bearing accounts. In Europe, the Bank of England pledged US$ 87 billion in direct support to the country’s major financial institutions. British Prime Minister Gordon Brown’s rescue package which involves direct capitalization and guarantee of inter-bank lending has been adopted by other major European countries and the U.S. government (as mirrored by the new revisions adopted by the U.S. Treasury). Furthermore, central banks around the world (Fed, ECB, Canada, Sweden, Switzerland, and China) introduced coordinated interest rate cuts to lower the cost of borrowing, with the aim of restoring confidence in the global economy. The G-20 meeting was set in London, the outlook for Latin American growth in 2009 is grim, as the tempo of foreign direct investment ( FDI) and loans stand-by credits and development funds plummet, the demand for commodities diminish, and foreign remittances plunge . Pamela Cox, The World Bank vice president for Latin America and the Caribbean, is forecasting 0.3 percent growth for Latin America this year. Some Latin America's banking systems may be strong enough to weather the storm because many have not invested significantly in the US market and their domestic financial markets are not as developed as those of other Western countries. Restrictions on credit may prove to be the most immediate risk for the region. n addition, the fact that the region’s financial markets are small to begin with suggests a significant reduction in investment can be anticipated for next year. Nations that are relatively more linked to other regions, like Argentina, Peru, and Brazil, will see a delayed impact, as long as China's growth remains robust. Those who diversify: Peru
Countries most closely linked with the U.S.
economy will be hit the hardest. South American nations like Peru have diversified their bilateral trade partners, , may be less impacted by the global recession. Regional trade agreements could also help to soften the blow on the continent. Nonetheless, much of South America is now experiencing a recession, and the debate on how to most effectively respond to it varies widely among economists. Trade agreement with Australia went into effect on March 6, 2009. FTAs with Canada and Singapore.
Peru’s trade deal with China should also
take effect within the next few months.
Agreements with South
Korea, Central America,
and Japan are currently under negotiation. Those Who Diversify: Chile Maintained an anti-tariff rhetoric and pledged to remain “committed to avoiding protectionist measures.” Chile is erecting trade barriers, they are pursuing their free trade model, with a free trade agreement. Chile has signed FTAs with the US, Canada, the EU, South Korea, Japan, Central America and Mexico. Michelle Bachelet announced a $4 billion scenario to curtail the effects of the global recession on January 6, 2009. The primary aim of the stimulus is to create the conditions for economic growth as well as to generate 100,000 new jobs. Santiago is also mulling over temporarily cutting the 19 percent value-added tax (VAT) and adding a one-time payment to low-income families as a third economic stimulus, according to a Reuters report. Those Who Stimulate: Brazil Brasil is implementing national stimulus packages. Brazil also announced 2009 tax cuts of 8.4 billion reais (US $3.6 billion), directed primarily at the obligations borne consumers. The measure also included a tax reduction provided on the Tax on Industrialized products for the Brazilian auto industry, making prices for their vehicles considerably cheaper. Colombia Colombia’s plan represents the largest annual infrastructure spending in its history. The 55 trillion peso (US$22 billion) stimulus plan includes over 100 electricity, transportation, oil, and sanitation projects. Colombia’s economy is predicted to grow less than 2 percent this year, and the stimulus is expected to allow it to weather the storm. Those who tariff: Argentina Raised tariffs to protect their domestic markets. Argentina imposed tariffs on a variety of goods. new system of licensing and minimum pricing that it has applied to over 1,000 imports. Those who tariff: Paraguay Apply certain tariffs to imports from Argentina and Brazil in order to protect its local industry. Measures would “be temporary” and serve as part of the economic recovery plan. “Buy National” campaign similar to the U.S. Those who tariff: Ecuador Force citizens to “Buy Ecuadoran” products with his newly imposed import restrictions. Quito raised tariffs between 5 and 20 percent on 940 products. Ecuador’s new tariffs have been criticized as one of the world’s most protectionist responses to the global economic crisis, situation because it adopted the U.S. dollar as its official currency in 2000 after the country was beset by a withering banking crisis. A Global Solution to a Global problem American nations are pursuing various trade deals, implementing economic stimulus packages, and imposing new tariffs in response. Latin American stocks have
plummeted and the International
Labor Organization has issued a warning that 2.4 million Latin Americans shortly could join the ranks of the unemployed this year. At this point, the only thing the world’s economies seem to agree on is that the financial regulatory system needs to be reformed, but exactly to what extent, continues to be a serious concern. Developing nations also fear that they will be “crowded out” by developed nations in terms of access to loans and investment capital. Latin American finance ministers have called for a recapitalization of the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB), currently the largest lender in Latin America for major development projects. The World Bank is proposing a Vulnerability Fund that would similarly focus on infrastructure projects and maintaining adequate financing of schools, health care, and loans for small businesses for low income elements of the population. The world powers must listen to the worthy voices of developing nations and work together to overcome the global crisis.