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Game Theory Bayesian Games

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Game Theory Bayesian Games
 In games of complete information, the
players know not only their own preferences,
but also the preferences of other players as
well.
 In many situations of economic interest,

however, there is likely to be considerable


uncertainty on the part of each player
regarding the preferences of his or her
opponents.

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Game Theory Bayesian Games
 To incorporate this possibility, we introduce
Bayesian Games, or games of incomplete
information.
 Complete games are characterized by three

things: players, actions and payoffs. Bayesian


Games build on the static games of complete
information.

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Game Theory Bayesian Games
 In Bayesian Games, each player can be one of
a certain number of types.
 Each player knows his or her own type, but

cannot observe the type of the other players


directly.
 From the perspective of a given player the

others’ types are random draws from some


given prior distribution.

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Game Theory Bayesian Games
 The type of a player influences that player in
two ways.
 First, the player’s payoff in the game can

depend on both the actions chosen, and on


the types of all players.
 Thus, the combination of types influences

each player’s payoff.

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Game Theory Bayesian Games
 Second, each type of each player has its own
set of possible actions in the game, but we
frequently assume that the set of possible
actions does not depend on the type of
player.
 Given his type, each player in the game

selects an action from those available.

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Game Theory Bayesian Games
 Similar to dynamic games, in Bayesian Games
a strategy for each player is a plan which
specifies an action for each possible type.
 Knowing another player’s strategy in a

Bayesian Game does not yet allow a player to


predict the other’s action for certain, because
other players’ type is unknown.

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Game Theory Bayesian Games
 However, given the other player’s strategy
and the player’s prior distribution each player
can figure out his or her expected payoff
from the actions that are available to him or
her.

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Game Theory Bayesian Games
 Of the actions available, each player will
choose some particular action.
 Therefore, given his or her type, the strategy

of each player and the prior distribution, each


player can figure out his or her expected
payoff from the actions that are available to
him or her.

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Game Theory Bayesian Games
 Of the actions available, each player can
therefore figure out a best possible action or
actions for each of his or her own types.
 The best possible action for each of his or her

types is a player’s best responses to each


other then the strategies constitute a
Bayesian Nash Equilibrium.

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Take It Or Leave It Offer
 An Example of Bayesian Game: Take It Or
Leave It Offer
 As in the standard Take it or leave it offer

game, there are two players: a buyer and a


seller. Each player’s type is his value for the
good, vB; vS.

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Take It Or Leave It Offer
 Both values are independent draws form a
uniform distribution on [0; 1] ;so that
Pr (vi ≤ x) = x.
 The buyer is given the opportunity to make a

take it or leave it offer to the seller of a price


p at which he or she will be willing to buy the
good.

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Take It Or Leave It Offer
 If the price exceeds the seller’s value, then
the seller accepts, if it isn’t the seller rejects
the proposal.
 What price will the buyer choose? Given his or

her value vB the buyer selects her price to


maximize her expected payoff

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Take It Or Leave It Offer

Max Pr (vS > p) (vB - p) =

max p (vB - p) 

p* = vB/2

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Take It Or Leave It Offer
 Thus the buyer "shades" her bid by half in
order to trade o¤ the chance that her offer is
rejected with her payoff if it is accepted.
 This leads to a outcomes that can be bad

socially.

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Take It Or Leave It Offer
 If the seller’s value were known, whenever the
buyer’s value was larger the parties would
transact.
 Thus the party who values the good most

would always receive it and the collective


payoff is as large as possible.

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Take It Or Leave It Offer
 When the seller’s value is unknown, the buyer
shades his bid, so in order for trade to occur,
the buyer’s value has to be larger than twice
the seller’s value, which occurs less often.
 Thus, because a value is private, it is more

difficult to trade and the collective good is


harmed.

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