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FINANCIAL PLANNING
Financial analysis: An Introduction
Financial analysis
2. Competitors’ Ratios:
• Ratios of some selected firms, especially:
the most progressive and successful competitor, at
the same point in time i.e.,
Single period or
Cross-section based standards.
3. Industry Ratios
• Ratios of the industry to which the firm belongs
i.e.,
Industry based standards
4. Projected Ratios
• Ratios developed using the projected, or pro
forma, FS of the same firm i.e.,
Projected (pro forma) statements based
standards
Types of Ratio Analysis
1. Liquidity ratios
2. Activity ratios
3. Debt/leverage ratios
4.Profitability ratios
5.Market value ratios
1. Liquidity Ratio
• Liquidity refers to the firm’s ability to meet its
obligation in the short-run, usually one year.
CA
CR = CL
Example: The current ratio of GLOBAL Company for 2008 is:
Br. 347
CR = Br. 99
= 3.5 times or = 3.5:1
• The general minimum norm for CR at international
level is 2.0.
• But the acceptability of a value of CR depends on
the nature of the industry in which the firm is
categorized and standards established for
comparisons.
• Assume, the industry average for GLOBAL
Company is 4.1 times.
• GLOBAL’s CR is below the average of its industry,
• So its liquidity position is relatively weak.
• A very high CR may imply that:
There is excessive cash due to poor cash
management
Receivables are excess due to poor credit
management
The prevalence of excessive inventory due
to lack of proper inventory management.
Very High CR
• The result of very high CR is to:
have very high liquidity which is safety
of funds for:
Or
• The general principle, however, is the lower is the better without leaving the
• It indicates how many times A/R is converted into cash during the year.
• The higher the value of ARTO, the more efficient is the expected credit
management.
• Too higher figure of ARTO might indicate that the firm is delaying
• If the ARTO is too low, it would suggest that the firm is having
sales.
collections.
ACP = Account Receivable or
Net Sales/360
ACP = 365* A/R
NS
DR = 1- ER
• Example: The DR of GLOBAL Company
DR = 299,000 = 32.25 %
927,000
• The DR of GLOBAL Company shows that liabilities covers
about 32.25 % of their capital structure.
• Creditors have supplied for GLOBAL Company about 32 cents
of every birr in assets.
ii) Debt Equity Ratio (DER)
• The DER indicates the r/nship b/n:
the firm.
DER = TD = TA -1
TE TE
ER = 1- DR
• Example: The proportion of debt and equity in financing the assets of GLOBAL
Company is
DER = 299,000 = 47.61 %
628,000
expense.
TIER= EBIT
Interest expense
charges.
GPM = GP
NS
b) Operating Profit Margin (OPM)
expenses.
OPM = NOP
NS
of net sales.
c) Net Profit Margin (NPM)
NPM/PM= NI
NS
• Example: PM= 64,000 = 8%
830,000
d) Return on Investment (ROI)
• It reflects the total earning produced with the use of the total
ROI = NI
TA
• This implies that GLOBAL generates about 7 cents for every birr
invested in assets.
e) Return on Equity (ROE)
ROE= NI
TE
• Example: ROE = 64,000 = 10%
628,000
shareholders equity.
5. Valuation Ratios / Market/BV Ratios
• It is also called SH ratios.
• It includes:
4. Price-Earning Ratio
5. Market Values to Book Values Ratio
a) Earning Per Share (EPS)
• EPS is the amount of income earned during a period per share of common
stock.
EPS = NIAFCSHs
No. of shares outstanding
• EPS does not show how much is retained and how much is distributed as
dividend.
b) Dividends per Share (DPS)
DPS = D
NSO
Example: DPS = 15,000 = 1.5
10,000
c) Dividend Payout Ratio (DPOR)
• It is simply DPS divided by the EPS.
DPOR = DPS
EPS
earnings in dividends.
d) Price-Earning Ratio (PER)
• It is widely used by the security analysts to values the firm’s
performance.
future performance.
• The higher the PER, the greater is the investors’ confidence in the
firm’s future.
• Illustration
3. Index Analysis
• It expresses items in the FS as an index relative to the base
year.
all FS figures for the base year are equated to 100 % and
base year.
• Illustration
FINANCIAL PLANNING
• The management of every firm always tries to
maximize efficiency and wealth of the SHs.
• This is through having a well designed financial
planning and budgeting.
• In the process of financial planning:
the mgt tries to identify the required
financial gap and
assess the need for external financing .
• Financial planning indicates:
firm’s growth,
Its performance,
Plan for investment and
fund requirement during a period of time.
• It involves the preparation of projected FS.
Financial Planning:
evaluates the impact of alternative investing
and financing decisions;
attempts to make optimal decisions,
projects the consequence of these decisions
for the firm in the form of financial plan and
compare future performance against the
plan.
Planning Process
• Planning:
is the design of future state of an entity and
1)Set up Objective:
strategic,
operational and
financial objectives.
2) Make Assumptions:
3) Determine Goals
• Goals are operational specifications of
the broad objectives with:
time dimension and
quantity dimensions.
• Goals are quantified targets to be
attained within a specific period.
4) Determine Strategies
• It lays down the foundation or the activities to be
followed in attaining the objectives and goals.
• It specifies the way to achieve the objectives and goals.
• Example:
cash budget,
sales budget,
• It expresses:
the cash flows,
financial positions, and
operating results.
that many (but not all) IS & B/sheet items maintain a constant
known.
Sales forecast
• It starts with a review of sales during the past five to ten
years.
• The development of sales forecast may consider:
Product divisions.
The level of economic activity
change in population growth
The firm’s probable market share
The exchange rate fluctuations for export oriented firms
Advertising campaigns, promotional discounts, credit terms, etc
Forecasting an Income Statement
• The level of detail in IS will affect how many
items will fluctuate with sales.
Illustration
• GLOBAL Co. for the year 2008 prepare the pro-forma
IS for 2009.
• Assume that sales increases by 20 percent.
• Forecasted sales
830,000
• Forecasted CGS :
Interest expense.
• Example: take the b/sheet of GLOBAL
Co. for the year 2008 to prepare the pro-forma
b/sheet for the year 2009.
Cash
• It is proportional to sales.
• If the firm sells more goods, it accumulates more cash.
= 78,000 = 9%
830,000
• Forecasted A/R:
= 996,000x0.9
= Br. 89,640
Inventory
• Inventory to sales percentage:
= 210,000 = 25%
830,000
• Forecasted balance of inventory:
=996,000 x0.25
= Br. 249,000
• B/sheet Accounts have no relation with sales:
Prepaid Expenses
Fixed Assets
Accumulated Depreciation
Patent
Spontaneous Sources of Financing
• These are the sources of financing that:
• E.g.
Accounts Payable
• is one of the spontaneous sources of financing for GLOBAL
Company and is directly related to sales.
• Accounts payable to sales percentage :
= 76,000 = 9%
830,000
• Forecasted balance of accounts payable:
= 996,000x0.09 = Br. 89,640
Accrued wages and salaries:
• are accrued liabilities representing primarily accrued expenses
which are spontaneous sources of financing.
• Accrued wages and salaries to sales percentage
= 4,000 = 0.05%
830,000
= 996,000x0.005 = Br. 4,980
The following elements have no relation with
sales
Interest Payable
Long Term Notes Payable and
Common Stocks
Retained Earnings
• It will increase with sales but not in the same rate
as sales.
• The balance for RE of GLOBAL Co.is:
= 328,000 + 84,310
= Br. 412,310
Additional Funds Needed
• It is the d’ce b/n TA and TL & TEs.
• After completing forecasting, the balance
must be A = L +C.
• But the sum of the projected balances will not
balance.
• The additional fund required is financed
through discretionary financing sources.
• The fund is also called discretionary financing
fund.
a) Deficit Discretionary Funds
• It is when the firm’s forecasted TA > L+E.
• Therefore, arrangement should be made for
more liabilities and/or equities to finance the
level of assets needed to support the volume of
sales expected.
= 955,440 - 1,038,036
= (Br. 82,596).
• It is indicates, GLOBAL Company expects to have
Br. 82,596 more in discretionary funds that:
are needed to support its forecasted level of
assets.