Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Dividend Policy
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Chapter Outline
• Dividend Decision
• Dividend Irrelevancy Theory
– Modigliani and Miller (MM) Hypothesis
• Dividend Residual Theory
• Relevance of Dividend
– “Birds in the Hand” Theory
– Clientele Effect
• Dividend Signalling
• Stock Repurchase
• Scrip Dividend or Scrip Issue
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Dividend Decision
What is dividend?
• A payment which a company pays to its shareholders. It is not an
expenses but it is a liability declared as dividend payable.
• It is a distribution of assets among the shareholders from the
company’s profits or net earnings.
• It determines what funds flow to investors and what is retained by
the firm for investment. The dividends pays may be treated as a
signal to investors. A company needs to take account of different
clienteles of shareholders in dividend decision.
• If it is distributed out of capital, it is known as liquidating dividend
• Dividend is expressed as:
Dollar per share (dividend per share)
Percentage of the market price (dividend yield)
Percentage of earnings per share (dividend pay out)
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The Importance of Dividend Policy
The relationship between dividend decision and financing
decision:
• It is a strategy in regard to the amount they would pay to
their shareholders as dividend.
• Determines what portion of earnings will be paid out to the
shareholders and what will be retained in the business.
• The firm has three options to decide what to do with the
profits:
– Retain all the profits within the firm
– Distribute all the profits in the form of dividends to their
shareholders
– Retain some of the profits in the firm and distribute the remainder
as dividend
• Mostly, firms adopt the third option in formulating their
dividend policy 4
Trade-off between dividend and retained earnings
There seems to be an inverse relationship between retained earnings and
dividends.
• The decision to pay a large dividend would mean little amount for retained earning for
funding the growth. The firm will therefore place a greater reliance on external funding for
its investments.
Internal funding
dividend Retained but shareholders
earnings unhappy
• The decision to pay a small dividend would lead to higher profit retention and in turn
reduce the need for externally generated funds to finance the firm’s investments. But it
will make the shareholders unhappy especially to those rely on dividend as their current
income.
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Types of Dividends
1. Regular cash dividend.
– It’s paid out of a firm’s profits to the ordinary shareholders. It
can be stated as dividends per share or dividend yield.
– Reduces cash and retained earnings of the firm
2. Stock dividends or Scrip Issue.
– New issues of shares to existing shareholders as dividend for
free. Popularly known as bonus issue shares or scrip
dividend. Increases the number of shares outstanding and
reduces the value of each share
3. Stock Split
– Increase the number of shares outstanding.
– Stock split occurs for example when each OS of RM1.00 each
is split into two shares of RM0.50 each, thus creating cheaper
shares with greater marketability. (Investors may expect a company
which splits its shares is planning for substantial earnings growth and dividend growth in
the future.)
– Stock price will drop after stock split 6
The Dividend Payment Process
• Dates describing the general chronology of a dividend payment:
– Declaration date – the day the board of directors announces its
intention to pay a dividend at AGM. The board will also
announce a date of record and a payment date.
– In-dividend date (Cum-dividend date) – the last day before the
ex-dividend date. On this day, the buyers will receive the
dividend whereas the seller will lose their right to the dividend
– Ex-dividend date – the day on which all shares bought and sold
no longer come attached with the right to be paid the most
recently declared dividend.
– Date of record – the dividend is payable to shareholders whose
names appear in the register of members as on the record date.
– Payment date – day when the company actually mails out the
cheques to the shareholders listed on the register of members
on the record date
Chapter 12 7
Procedure for Cash Dividend Payment
15 Jan.
27 Jan. 28 Jan. 30 Jan 16 Feb.
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Dividend Irrelevancy Theory
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Dividend Irrelevancy Theory
• The dividend irrelevancy theory put forward by Modigliani &Miller (M&M)
argues that in a perfect capital market (no taxation, no transaction costs, no
market imperfections), existing shareholders will only be concerned about
increasing their wealth, but will be indifferent as to whether that increase
comes in the form of a dividend or through capital growth.
• As a result, a company can pay any level of dividend, with any funds
shortfall being met through a new equity issue, provided it is investing in all
available positive NPV projects.
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Dividend Irrelevancy Theory
• MM argument that after dividend paid, the market share price (MP)
of the firm will correspondingly drop equal to the value of dividend
paid because cash is used to pay dividend thus reducing asset
available.
• The share price of the firm before dividend must equal to share
price after dividend plus value of dividends (DPS). Therefore no
effect on share price
27 Jan. 28 Jan.
DPS : RM0.20
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Price Behavior around the Ex-Dividend Date
• In a perfect world, the stock price will fall by the amount of
the dividend on the ex-dividend date.
-t …
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 …
RMP
RMP - div
The price drops by the Ex-dividend
amount of the cash Date
dividend RM0.20
Taxes complicate things a bit. Empirically, the price drop is
less than the dividend and occurs within the first few minutes
of the ex-date.
Chapter 9 - Dividend Policy 14
Dividend Policy Irrelevance Theory
• Share price before or close to ex-date (cum dividend
date) usually increase because of the market forces
drive by the dividend gain and capital gain investors.
• When close to ex-date, dividend gain investor normally
will buy to enjoy dividend but capital gain investor will
sell to utilize the higher price of shares to benefit the
higher profit on disposal of shares
• However, after ex-date, normally the share price will
drop by the amount equal to the value of dividend paid
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Dividend Policy Irrelevance Theory -
investors’ perspective
• From an investor's perspective, if a company's dividend is too small,
an investor could sell some shares to create capital gain to replicate
the cash flow he or she expected.
• As such, the dividend is irrelevant to investors, meaning investors
care little about a company's dividend policy since they can simulate
their own personalized income or homemade dividend
• The manner in which earnings are divided into dividends and RE
does not affect the value of the firm
• Investors are concerned only with total returns from investment
decisions because they are indifferent whether these returns from
dividend gain or capital gains.
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Dividend Policy Irrelevance Theory –
homemade dividends
Example: Mr. A holds 1,000 unit shares. A firm declare RM0.20 DPS. If Mr. A
would like to have RM2,000 income , he can sell part of the shares to top-up
the dividend income . MP of shares on ex-date is RM4.80.
Unit of shares sold = RM1,800 / RM4.80 = 375. Next year Mr. A has 625 unit of
shares to entitle for a dividend income. Mr. A is creating RM1,800 as
homemade as his own income stream.
In other words, dividend policy will have no impact on the value of the firm
because investors can create whatever income stream they prefer by
using homemade dividends.
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Conclusion
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Dividend Policy Relevance Theory
Gordon (1962) and Lintner (1964)
• Taxation and transaction costs do impact on the dividend
policy of the firm that cause homemade dividend costly.
• Gordon (1962) and Lintner 1964) argued that investors
value current dividends more than future dividend or capital
gains when making decisions related to stocks.
• Investors prefer current dividend because less risky due to:
– Dividends are more predictable than capital gains
– Dividends are more certain than capital gains
• Less risky lead to lower discount rate will lead to higher
firm’s value
• Dividend Gordon growth model the firm’s value and growth
potential : High dividend will attract investors to buy so lead to high
firm’s value when investors perceived earnings is good.
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Dividend Policy Relevance Theory
Gordon (1962) and Lintner (1964)
• The bird-in-the-hand may sound familiar as it is taken from an old
Malay proverb:
• "a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.“
• In this theory "the bird in the hand' is referring to current
dividends and "the bush" is referring to future dividend and
capital gains.
• Investors appreciate “what is currently available (current dividend)
is preferable to what may or may not be available in the future
(future dividend and capital gains)”
– Current dividend resolves uncertainty and remove any chance of
risk in the future
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Dividend Relevance Policy and Investors
The Clientele Effect
• The clientele effect is the idea that the type of investors
attracted to a particular kind of securities will affect the
price of the security when policies change.
• High dividend payout may attract investors that:
– Need a regular cash income as source of fund to meet the their
living expenses
– Low income tax bracket
– Risk averse investor (low risk taker) such as the institutional
investor who prefer regular and stable dividend
– Those rely on fixed income like the retired pensioner, widow,
orphan
• Lead to increase in demand for the firm’s share and
positive effect on the firm’s value
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Dividend Relevance Policy and Investors
The Clientele Effect
• Some clientele would prefer a company that doesn't pay
dividends at all, but instead invests their retained
earnings to finance project with positive NPV.
• Investors believe the good growth potential and positive
NPV project will increase earnings and rise in share
price and apparently will create healthy capital gains.
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Dividend Relevance Policy and Investors
The Clientele Effect
• The existence of clientele effect implies that certain investors
buying shares because of the dividend policy employed.
Firms need to adopt a stable and consistent dividend policy.
• Those who prefer dividend gain over capital gain, there are
a subsets of clientele might prefer a stock that pays a high
dividend, while another subset might look for a balance
between dividend payout and reinvestment in the
company; low dividend.
• Any change in the dividend policy would influence the
clientele group that might force them to sell the shares that
eventually will result in a drop in the share price
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Dividend Signalling
Information Content of Dividend
• When a management has the information about the firm’s
future prospect that the investors don’t have, that is called as
market imperfection; information asymmetry
• How do investors analyze firm’s profitability?
– Dividend payout policy is one of the indicator; changes in
dividend policy as source of information about the firm’s
profitability that can affect share price.
– Informational effect: Price of a firm’s stock will generally
rise when its current dividend is increased and fall when its
current dividend has been reduced or omitted.
– Signaling effect: High dividend signaling an optimistic view
(has many positive NPV project) while declining dividend
implies pessimistic view (no project, poor earnings)
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Dividend Signalling
Information Content of Dividend
• A dividend increase is management’s signal to the market that
the firm is expected to do well. The rise in stock price following
dividend signal is called “Information content effect of the dividend”.
This theory of information content is also known as the
signaling hypothesis.
• Conversely, the market infers a decrease in cash flows from a
dividend reduction leading to fall in stock price. This raises an
interesting corporate strategies; Could management increase
dividends just to make the market think that cash flow will be higher
even the management knows that the cash flows will not rise?
• The equation below must hold if a firm is neither issuing nor
repurchasing stock. If it’s not paid out in dividends, it must be used
in some expenditures either involves a capital expenditure or stock
repurchases. Dividends and stock repurchases are perfect substitutes.
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Stock Repurchase versus Dividend – I
Consider a firm that wishes to distribute $100,000 to its
shareholders.
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Scrip Dividend or Scrip Issue
BENEFITS DRAWBACKS
• It can preserve a company’s cash • Assuming that dividend per share
position if a substantial number of is maintained or increased, the
shareholders take up the share total cash paid as a dividend will
option increase.
• Investors may be able to obtain • Scrip dividend may be seen as
tax advantage if dividends are in negative signal by the market. The
the form of shares company is experiencing the cash
• Investors looking to expand their flow issues.
holding can do so without
incurring the transaction costs of
buying more shares
• A small scrip dividend issue will
not dilute the share price
significantly.
• A share issue will decrease the
company’s gearing, therefore
enhance its borrowing capacity. 33
Sources was adapted from:
• Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe, Rodziah, Shelia, (2016) Corporate Finance (2nd.
Ed), McGraw Hill.
• Rodziah Abd Samad, Shelia Christabel, Mohd. Nizal Haniff, (2013) Financial
Management for Beginners, (4th Edition) McGraw-Hill.
• ACCA F9 Financial Management Study Text 2016
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