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The Andes

Group Nº 3

1. BRA Coronel Marcos dos Santos Silva


2. BRA Capitão de Mar e Guerra Marcos Aurelio de Arruda
3. BRA Coronel Fábio Serpa de Carvalho Lima
4. DOM Teniente Coronel Ángel Marín Cuevas Castillo
5. GUA Coronel de Infantería DEM Wiliam A. Lopez Chay
6. HAI Pierre Michel Bonnet
7. MEX Inspector General Lic. Víctor Hugo Torres Miranda
8. PAN Comisionado Heriberto Lorenzo Rodríguez
9. USA Commander Matthew T. Brown
10. USA CDR Jay D. Bijeau
11. USA LtCol Michael Ducar.
Agenda

• Introduction
• Economic Description

• Budget Planning
• Clusters & Innovation
• Threats / Concerns / Challenges

• Recommendations
• Conclusions
The Andes - Introduction
Economic Characteristics

BOLÍVIA

• GDP: US$ 33.9 billion


• Defense Budget: US$ 0.56
billion
• Main product: Natural Gas
• President Evo Morales
interferes in economic
issues and the fear of
expropriation remains high
and blocks the growth of
private sector
Economic Characteristics

COLOMBIA

• GDP: US$ 253 billion


• Defense budget: US$ 4.9
billion
• Main products: Oil and
Coffee
• Public debt & inflation under
control
• Economic growth: ~5% per
year over the last 5 years
• Member of Pacific Alliance
Economic Characteristics

ECUADOR

• GDP: US$ 94 billion


• Defense budget: US$ 2.5
billion
• Main product: Iron ore
• Government interferes in
economy
• Strengthened ties with
Venezuela and China
• Almost one third of
population is extremely
poor
Economic Characteristics

PERU

• GDP: US$ 178 billion


• Defense budget: US$ 2.2
billion
• Main product: Copper ore
• Strong Macroeconomic
Environment
• Free trade treaty with U.S.
in 2007
• Economic growth is higher
than neighbors
Economic Characteristics

VENEZUELA

• GDP: US$ 185 bilion


• Defense budget: US$ 8.5
billion
• Main product: Oil
• Vulnerable to fluid oil prices
• Economic indices
diminishing
• Government interference in
the economy
• Multinational companies
leaving the country
Economic Characteristics

GDP and Defense Expenditure


Challenges / Spending Factors

Major
Acquisitions

Force
Maintenance Transnational
and Crime (Drugs
Readiness and Arms)
Spending
Factors

Gangs
and Border
FARC Control
Challenges / Spending Factors

Inflation

Common
Personnel Area
Issues
Revenue

US Tighter
Aid Control
Unemployment Levels
Clusters
Effectiveness of Defense Industry Clusters in the Sub-Region

...”concept developed by
Michael Porter (1990), as a
group of associated
businesses and organizations
that are located in a specific
geographic area and whose
characteristics and
complementarities make up
an industrial network...”

Source: Reyes, Mirlis. Los Clusters Industriales


de Defensa como Impulsores de la Innovación
Tecnológica en América Latina, 2014.
Regional Defense Industry

MISSION:
Developing the prodution
of military materials to
support Armed Forces
and Nacional Police in
their defence and
security tasks

Source: www. gsed.gov and


www.ciac.gov.br/product
Regional Defense Industry

Source:
www.institutoespacial.gob.ec.
Regional Defense Industry

Source:
www.sima.com.pe
Regional Defense Industry

Source:www.cavim.com.ve.
OIL PRODUCTION
Clusters
Effectiveness of Defense Industry Clusters in the Sub-Region

NOT EFFECTIVE IN THE SUBREGION

COLOMBIA AND PERU CAN BE PART


OF A DEFENSE CLUSTER IN SOUTH
AMERICA

COLOMBIA: RIVER PATROL SHIPS


AND AIRCRAFTS (A29 AND KC 390)

PERU: SMALL SHIPS (SIMA) AND


AIRCRAFT MAINTENANCE

VENEZUELA, ECUADOR AND BOLÍVIA


ARE PART OF A CLUSTER BASED ON
ITS OIL&GAS EXPERTISE
Innovation

Source: Political Economy,


session 6, 7 Nov 2016.
Regional Defense Budget

Source:
www.resdal.org.
Regional Defense Budget

Source:
www.resdal.org.
Innovation
Innovation and Creation in the Realm of Defense and Security

THE REDUCED DEFENSE BUDGET


IMPACTS SUBREGIONAL INSERTION
IN THE DEFENSE INDUSTRY AND
INNOVATION

SPILLOVER (EMBRAER-CIAC/S.
KOREA-SEMAN)

SUBREGIONAL CHOICE: INNOVATION


DEVELOPMENT BASED ON
INSERTION IN A DEFENSE CLUSTER
Threats / Concerns / Challenges

Organized Crime

Drug Trafficking
Level of Political
THREATS Influence

Populism

Overexploitation of Natural
Resources
Threats / Concerns / Challenges

Extreme Poverty

Distribution of Wealth

Gender Equality
CONCERNS
Social Justice

Territorial
Development
Threats / Concerns / Challenges

Annual Single Digit Inflation

Fiscal Deficit less than 3% of


GDP

Public Debt to 50% of DGP


CHALLENGES
Consolidate Economic Projects wit
other Regions

Regional Organizations
Recommendations

• Mobilize public & private investments

• Establish economic policies that support investment


and public-private partnerships

• Strengthen institutional fiscal structures to reduce


evasion of taxes

• Create collaborative markets


Conclusions

• Economic Description

• Budget Planning

• Clusters & Innovation

• Threats / Concerns / Challenges

• Recommendations

In order to face the economic challenges, the sub-region needs polices and
strategies as recommended to strengthen innovation and clustering within the
defense industry sector.
Bibliography

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South
  and Central America 7, no. 3 (2014): 439-462, accessed November 8, 2016,
http://search.proquest.com/docview/1654997304?accountid=173708.
 
Sara, Schaefer Mu, "Colombia Unlikely to Cut Defense Budget if FARC Deal is Reached,
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://www.slideshare.net/EconomiaBo/1-presharvard-university-05-09-14-ultimo.
Bibliography

Mirlis Reyes Salarichs, “Los Clusters Industriales de Defensa como Impulsores de la Innovación
Tecnológica en América Latina”, IADC Review XXXI, July 2014.

Grupo Social y Empresarial de la Defensa, “Qué es el GSED?,” accessed November 9, 2016,


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8b3aea254dd0a42a63&guest
.

Corporación da la Industria Aeronáutica de Colombia, “ Servicios,” accessed November 10,


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2016, http://cavim.com.ve/index.php/produtos.
Bibliography

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American Defense College, November 7, 2016).

RESDAL, “Comparative Atlas of Defense in Latin America and Caribbean/2016,” 38, accessed
November 15, 2016, http://www.resdal.org/wordpress_a/?p=412.

The Atlas of Economic Complexity, “What did Country export in 2014?,” accessed November
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accessed November 17, 2016, http://www.analítica.com/opinion/opinion-internacional/la-
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Comunidad Andina, “Portal de la Comunidad Andina,” accessed November 14, 2016,http


://www.comunidadandina.org/.
Thank You For You Time

Questions?

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