ESTIMATION OF INDUSTRIAL

WATER DEMAND IN INDIA

USING CENSUS-BASED
STATISTICAL DATA

Presented By: Group 1

Abhishek Yadav 2102011
Akhil Sharma 2102025
Amit Kumar Mahato 2102032
Sapnil Bhoi 2102234
Shiwani Sinha 2102253

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 70%
Indus trial Water Demand agricultural water
demand-the largest

Introduction part of the national

water consumption

1.4% 9%
annual rate of the annual growth of
increase in non- chemical and
agricultural water construction industry
demands
Blue Water Footprint Primary Consumers
24%
blue water footprint
the total volume of both surface primary consumers of blue water
of India(243
and groundwater resources resources in India are agriculture, BCM/year) of the
consumed by eva- potranspiration industry and households. global total
or incorporated into a product

Lack of reliable data Varied Estimates

a proper quantification of several national and international
industrial water demand in agencies have estimated industrial
India has yet to be made water demand in India, their
estimates vary significantly

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 Estimation of Industrial Water Demand
01 Water use data from the industrial sector is very scarce in many developing countries.

Previous studies used economic and technological development indicators as a proxy to estimate the industrial water
02 use - include GDP, electricity consumption and population - they can partially reflect the change in industrial water use

03 However, the structural change of industries, which involves the variations in industrial production and the
consumables by industry, also needs to be considered

04 Factoring in the structural change of industries can account for some part of the change in water use intensity due to
the newly developing industries

05 industrial water use may be overestimated when only the structural change of industries is considered, and improving water
use efficiency is neglected
• technological development – enhanced water recycling, continuous water supply and leakage management

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represents the change in
industrial production
str
u ctu
ra
l ch
an
ge
a new modelling framework that
includes the integration of multiple
e indicators obtained from census-based
a ng
c al
c h statistical data using a PCA-based
g i
hn
o lo multivariate linear-regression model.
c/ te c
represents the change in i
nom
water use efficiency o
ec
 Datasets

Data Source Salient Features of Data used

GDP (US$) World Bank
Population Density World Bank • Seasonality exists for the dataset
(people/sq.Km) • Datasets have a time frame window
Datasets Used
Electricity Consumption World Bank starting from 1982 to 2015
(B.kWh) • Transition to renewable has reduced
Data & Methods Industrial Survey Statistical Database, Indiastat rate of increase of industrial water
Components
consumption
Industrial Production data Statistical Database, Indiastat
(B.kg) • Textile and paper industries will result
Industrial Output Value (US$) World Bank
in accelerated growth of water use in
India
No of factories (Nos) Statistical Database, Indiastat

Population (Nos) World Bank

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 Limitations of the conventional
approach in estimating industrial
water demand

The water use per unit production is assumed to be constant in

this approach, and the resulting estimates are shown as ‘Control’
case. The industrial water demand estimated by study using
industrial production data and economic/technological indicators
are shown as ‘Treatment’ case

Results
• The results of ‘Control case’, however, follow a
different long-term trend compared to the
NCIWRD estimates

• The conventional model results are significantly

lower than the NCIWRD estimate for years
before 2001 and significantly higher than the
NCIWRD estimate after 2001. This deviation
from the NCIWRD estimates may indicate that
w w w . y o u r c o m p a n y . the
c o mindustrial water use per unit production
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changes with time

 Cont……

Water Demand per

industry
Treatment Case
It shows a decline in the water demand per
industry from 1982 to 2010 and agrees closely
with the observed data

Control case
Shows deviation from the observed data,
with underestimation of water demand per product before 2001
and overestimation of water demand per product after 2001

Behavior
The rate of decline of industrial water demand per product shows
a steep slope from 1982 to 1990 followed by transitioning into a
gentle slope (Fig. 3). This behavior corresponds to the changing
rate of increase in technological development in India, which is
represented by electric power consumption in India

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 Methods adopted

Correlation
Industrial water demand shows high
correlation with these indicators, and they
are cross-correlated as well

2000-10
The exponential growth of industrial water demand in
2000–2010 (Fig. 1) corresponds to the rapid rise of GDP
and electric power consumption during the same
period.

Method
A multivariate regression model is used to
estimate the industrial water demand with these
variables in three categories as predictors

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 NOTES
Since only four data points for industrial water demand are available, four combinations of the cross-
(a)
validation are performed.

The country-level estimate of industrial water demand is disaggregated to State-level based on State-
(b)
level industrial data.

Further, with a period of 20 years from 1991 to 2010, the data is consistent with the exponential growth
(c) of industrial water demand after 2002. Therefore, the country-level data is disaggregated to State level
based on the number of factories and the obtained results are shown as spatial maps

The State of Jammu and Kashmir is not considered in the present study owing to data constraints and
(d)
political boundary issues.

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 RESULTS

• Below Table lists the percentage of difference of the model estimate from the observed

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 INDUSTRIAL
WATER DEMAND
Spatial Map of Industrial Water
(a)
Demand in India in 1991

Spatial Map of Industrial Water

(b)
Demand in India in 2010

Average Annual Industrial Water

(c) Demand in India from 1991 to 2010

Increase rate in Industrial Water

(d) Demand in India from 1991 to 2010

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 Conclusions
This study identified the need to integrate the structural
(a)
change of industries and the influence of economic/technological
development on industrial water use quantification in India.

The model generates continuous time-series of State-wise monthly

(b)
industrial water demand in India for the period 1991 to 2010.
This dataset is useful for managing water resources in conjunction
with the other water uses, and to help in the design of water
resources infrastructure.

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 Conclusions
State-level industrial water demand estimates show higher values
(c)
for Maharashtra (6.7 BCM), Andhra Pradesh (5.9 BCM), Tamil
Nadu
(8.7 BCM) and Gujarat (5.4 BCM), which contribute more than
50%
of the total industrial water demand in India.
Industrial water demand exhibits seasonal variation with the
(d)
highest water demand occurring in March and less seasonal
fluctuations from April to September.

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 Thank You

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