Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Mortgage-Backed Securities
10-2
Mortgages
A mortgage is a loan secured by the collateral of
specified real estate property, which obliges the
borrower to make a predetermined series of payments
• Lender: mortgagee
• Borrower: mortgagor
The lender makes the loan based on the credit of the
borrower and on the collateral for the mortgage.
The lender has the right to seize/foreclose the property if
payments are not received.
10-3
Mortgages: Residential vs. Non-Residential
10-4
Mortgage Participants: Originators
Mortgage originators generate income by:
• Collecting origination fee, expressed in points (1 point =
1% borrowed funds)
• Holding mortgage as part of portfolio
• Receive principal and interest according to payment
schedule
• Selling mortgage at a profit in secondary market
• Mortgage faces interest rate risk, like any other bond
10-5
Mortgage Originators
Originators will perform a credit evaluation. Two
primary factors in the lending decision.
• Payment to Income (PTI)
• Measures ability to make monthly payments
• The lower this ratio, the greater the likelihood that the
applicant will be able to meet the required payments.
• Loan to Value (LTV): amount of loan to market price of
the property
• Provides measure of protection lender has in a default.
Lower this ratio, more protection.
10-6
Mortgage Insurers
Mortgage insurance is usually required on loans with
LTV > 80% (down payment is less than 20%). There are
two types of insurance:
• Government Sponsored (if borrower qualifies)
• Federal Housing Administration (FHA)
• Veterans Administration (VA)
• Mortgage Insurance Programme (MIP in HK)
• Private mortgage insurance companies (PMI)
Cost of insurance is paid by lender, but passed along to
borrower.
10-7
Mortgage Insurers: Credit Life
Credit life is another kind of mortgage insurance offered
by life insurance companies.
Credit life is not required by the lender. The policy
provides for a continuation of mortgage payments after
the death of the insured person, which allows the
survivors to continue living in the house.
From the lender’s perspective, mortgage insurance is
more important than credit life.
10-8
Mortgage Participants: Mortgage Servicers
10-9
Types of Mortgage
The interest on the mortgage loan is called contract rate
or mortgage rate. The contract rate must be higher than
the risk-free rate to compensate for costs of
collection/servicing, costs associated with default,
poorer liquidity and prepayment option.
Loans can be mainly classified by the contract rate :
• Fixed rate mortgages (FRMs)
• Adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs)
10-10
Fixed Rate Mortgages
An FRM (fixed rate mortgage) is a mortgage that makes
payment in equal installments over the life of the
mortgage (amortization schedule).
Monthly payments include
• Interest payment: 1/12 of the annual contract rate times
the remaining balance of the outstanding mortgage
• Principal payment: a portion of the outstanding mortgage
principal
10-11
FRMs: Mathematics
Monthly payment in fixed rate mortgages are just
annuities.
Where
• MP is the periodic mortgage payment
• y is the periodic interest rate
• n is the number of periods
• MB0 is the original balance
10-12
FRMs: Example
Example: a 30-year loan with initial principal of
$250,000 and fixed contract rate of 6%
• Monthly rate = 0.06/12 = 0.005
• Number of periods: 30x12 = 360
• Monthly payment
10-13
FRMs: Example (cont’d)
The monthly payment is $1,498.88. What portion of the
first month payment is interest and what portion is
principal?
• First month interest payment is the monthly rate times the
initial principal:
10-14
FRMs: Example (cont’d)
Principal Ending
Month Balance Payment Interest Repay Balance
1 $250,000 $1,498.88 $1,250.00 $248.88 $249,751
2 $249,751 $1,498.88 $1,248.76 $250.12 $249,501
3 $249,501 $1,498.88 $1,247.50 $251.38 $249,250
10-17
FRMs: More about Mortgage Math
If MB0 is the original balance and MP is the periodic
mortgage payment, after j payments, the remaining
principal is
10-18
Adjustable Rate Mortgages
An ARM (adjustable-rate mortgage) is a loan in which
the contract rate is reset periodically in accordance with
some appropriately chosen reference rate, typically one
based on a short-term interest rate.
• One typical reference rate is the Treasury-based rates.
• Another typical reference rate is the National Cost of
Funds Index and it is calculated based upon all federally
insured S&Ls.
10-19
Adjustable Rate Mortgages
Aggregate interest rate risk cannot be made to disappear.
However, who faces that risk can be controlled by
choice of contract written.
• FRM: Lender takes on interest rate risk
• ARM: Borrower takes on interest rate risk
Most common type of ARM’s are hybrid ARM’s where
the interest rate is locked in for a few years:
• Example: 3/1 ARM – rate locked in for 3 years
– rate reset every 1 year
10-20
Adjustable Rate Mortgages
To encourage borrowers to accept ARMs (and take on
the interest rate risk) rather than fixed-rate mortgages,
mortgage originators generally offer an initial contract
rate (teaser rate) that is less than the prevailing market
mortgage rate.
10-21
Other Mortgages
Reverse mortgages: A type of mortgage in which a
homeowner can borrow money against the value of his
or her home.
• No repayment of the mortgage (principal or interest) is
required until the borrower dies or the home is sold.
• Advantage: provides income; the borrower's credit is not
relevant, and is often unchecked.
• Disadvantage: large origination costs relative to other
types of mortgages; high interest rate.
10-22
Other Mortgages
Assumable mortgages: A type of financing
arrangement in which the outstanding mortgage and its
terms can be transferred from the current owner to a
buyer.
• Attractive during times of rising interest rates.
• By assuming the previous owner's remaining debt, the
buyer can avoid having to obtain his or her own mortgage.
• The interest rate on assumable mortgages is generally
higher than the interest rate on non-assumable mortgages.
10-23
Other Mortgages
Prepayment penalty mortgage: a mortgage designed to
mitigate the borrower’s right to prepay.
• All mortgage loans have a “due on sale” clause, which
means that the remaining balance of the loan must be paid
when the house is sold.
• Homeowners often repay all or part of their mortgage
balance prior to the scheduled maturity date.
The design reduces the uncertainty in the cash flows.
10-24
Mortgage Prepayment
Prepayment occurs for a variety of reasons:
• Moving homeowner sells home
• Property is refinanced
• Lower interest rates
• Improved financial condition of borrower
• Homeowner cannot meet obligation
• House repossessed and sold
• Property is destroyed
• Insurance prepays for owner
10-25
Risks Associated with Investing in Mortgages
10-26
Mortgages: Secondary Market
Historically, mortgage loans on individual homes were
extremely illiquid, typically remaining with bank that
originated loan
• Difficult to diversify risk of ‘bust-town’
• Difficult to provide funds for ‘boom-town’
To create liquidity and to provide support to the
mortgage market, government agencies were created to
convert illiquid residential mortgage loans into liquid
mortgage-backed securities (MBS) through
securitization.
10-27
Mortgages: Secondary Market
This can be done privately or through government
organizations such as:
• Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac)
• Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae)
• Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie Mae)
• The Hong Kong Mortgage Corporation Limited (HKMC):
mortgage-backed securities programme
10-28
Types of MBS
Mortgage pass-through securities: created when one or
more holders of mortgages form a collection (pool) of
mortgages and sell shares or participation certificates in the
pool
Collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs): created
when the cash flows of mortgage-related products are
redistributed to different bond classes
Stripped mortgage-backed securities: created for investors
to receive either principal or interest payment from a pool of
mortgage loans.
10-29
MBS: WAC and WAM
Not all mortgages in pool have same rate and maturity.
Hence, mortgage pool is described by
Weighted average coupon rate (WAC): mortgage rate
of loan in pool weighted by the amount of balance
outstanding.
Weighted average maturity (WAM): the remaining
number of months to maturity for each loan weighted by
the amount of balance outstanding
10-30
MBS: Average Life
Macaulay duration is sometimes used to determine an
“average maturity” associated with the expected cash
flows of a MBS. More commonly, however is the
Average Life, defined as
10-31
Mortgage Pass-Throughs
Payments of a pass-through security are made each
month.
• However, neither the amount nor the timing of the cash
flow from the loan pool is identical to that of the cash
flow passed through to investors.
• The monthly cash flow for a pass-through security is less
than the monthly cash flow of the loan pool by an amount
equal to servicing and other fees.
• Pass-through rate < WAC
Because of prepayments, the cash flow of a pass-through
is also not known with certainty.
10-32
Mortgage Pass-Throughs
Government-sponsored pass-throughs are free of default
risk
• Government-sponsored entities (GSEs) cover losses due
to defaults so that defaults basically look like
prepayments.
10-36
Mortgage-Backed Securities
It should be emphasized that risk is not created or
destroyed by creating these different securities. Rather,
risk is only redistributed.
• Sometimes, there can be a “win-win” situation where two
investors can purchase securities with more desirable risk
characteristics.
• For example, one derivative can be made low-risk by
creating another that faces a lot of risk.
• As a 2nd example, CMOs create some “tranches” with
shorter “average lives” and other “tranches” with longer
“average lives”.
10-37
Collateralized Mortgage Obligations (CMO)
10-38
Accrual Bonds and CMO’s
In many sequential pay CMO’s, at least one tranche does
not receive any interest payments early on. Instead, the
“interest due” would accrue and be added to the
principal balance. This tranche is known as the
“accrual tranche”
Moreover, the interest that would typically go to the
accrual tranche instead goes to paying down the
principal of the most senior tranche.
• Note that the accrual tranche will not receive any cash
flows for a long time, reducing “reinvestment rate” risk,
at least for several years.
10-39
Stripped MBS’s
Principal Only: claim to all principal payments
Interest Only: claim to all interest payments
Because principal payments are guaranteed by GSE’s,
CF’s associated with PO securities are known. Due to
prepayment risk, however, the timing of the CF’s is
unknown.
• PO investors want prepayment to be fast.
In contrast, when prepayments occur, future interest
payments are never paid.
• IO investors want prepayment to be slow.
10-40
End of the Notes!
10-41
Appendix
PSA CONVENTION
10-42
Prepayment Conventions
To value a pass-through security, it is necessary to
project its cash flow.
• To do this, one needs a “prepayment model”: making
some assumption about the prepayment rate over the life
of the underlying mortgage pool.
10-43
Prepayment Conventions
Several conventions have been used as a benchmark for
prepayment rates:
• Federal Housing Administration (FHA) experience
• Assumes that the prepayment rate will be the same as the
FHA experience with 30-year mortgage loans.
• This convention is no longer used.
• Public Securities Association (PSA) prepayment
benchmark
• The conditional prepayment rate
10-44
Prepayment Conventions: CPR
The model assumes that some fraction of the remaining
principal in the pool is prepaid each month for the
remaining term of the mortgage.
The prepayment rate assumed for a pool, called the
conditional prepayment rate (CPR), is based on the
characteristics of the pool (including its historical
prepayment experience) and the current and expected
future economic environment.
• Conditional on the remaining balance.
10-45
Prepayment Conventions: CPR
The Conditional Prepayment Rate (CPR) is an annual
prepayment rate.
To estimate monthly prepayments, the CPR must be
converted into a monthly prepayment rate, commonly
referred to as the single-monthly mortality rate (SMM).
A formula can be used to determine the SMM for a
given CPR:
10-46
Prepayment Conventions: CPR
SMM Rate and Monthly Prepayment
• An SMM of w% means that approximately w% of the
remaining mortgage balance at the beginning of the
month, less the scheduled principal payment, will prepay
that month.
• That is,
10-47
Prepayment Conventions: CPR
Example: Suppose that an investor owns a pass-through
in which the remaining mortgage balance at the
beginning of some month is $290 million. Assuming that
the CPR is 6% and the scheduled principal payment is
$3 million, what is the estimated prepayment for the
month?
Solution:
• SMM rate is
• Prepayment:
10-48
Prepayment Conventions: PSA
The Public Securities Association (PSA) provides a
benchmark conditional prepayment rate (CPR).
• CPRs are low for newly originated mortgages and then
will speed up with seasoning.
• if month t < 30: CPR =
• if month t > 30 CPR = 6%
The benchmark is referred to as “100 PSA”.
Note: this is only a convention/benchmark:
• Not sophisticated enough for pricing
• Predicts that prepayments independent of rates
10-49
PSA Models
PSA Models
0.0
10-50
“Survival” in Pass Through
In month t, the Single-Monthly Mortality Rate (SMM) is
:
• is the probability of a mortgage being prepaid in month t
conditional on surviving up to month t.
• is the probability of a mortgage ‘surviving’ in month t
conditional on surviving up to month t.
10-51
“Survival” in Pass Through
0 1 2
Prepay? No (1 – SMM1) No (1 – SMM1) (1 – SMM2)
Yes (SMM1) Yes (1 – SMM1) (SMM2)
10-52
PSA Prepayment Benchmark
Once you have determined the proportion of mortgages
that remain in the pool, it is straightforward to determine
the cash flows of the pass through.
Intuitively, if a proportion p(t) of the mortgages remain
in the pool at month-t, then the outstanding balance is
p(t) times the outstanding balance of the amortization
schedule.
Ex: if p(t) = ½, then the remaining balance is ½ of that
implied from the amortization schedule.
10-53
PSA Prepayment Benchmark: Example
10-54
PSA Prepayment Benchmark: Example
Amortization Schedule
period balance payment interest principal end balance
1 250,000,000 1,498,876 1,250,000 248,876 249,751,124
2 249,751,124 1,498,876 1,248,756 250,121 249,501,003
3 249,501,003 1,498,876 1,247,505 251,371 249,249,632
10-55
PSA Prepayment Benchmark: Example
Survival Schedule
Prepayment Assumption: 200PSA
10-56
PSA Prepayment Benchmark: Example
period
balance payment interest principal int-5.5% total principal
CF
1 250,000,000 1,498,876 1,250,000 248,876 1,145,833 332,280 1,478,113
2 249,667,720 1,498,376 1,248,339 250,037 1,144,310 416,928 1,561,239
3 249,250,792 1,497,373 1,246,254 251,119 1,142,399 501,499 1,643,898