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statistical analysis

How Graphs
mislead us
What are Statistics
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• Statistics is a science 4
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• Data collection  1.5
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• Data analyzation  Datenreihe 1 Datenreihe 2 Datenreihe 3
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• Data interpretation  Datenreihe 1


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• Data presentation 
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Different ways of visualizing data
Bar Graph Line Graph Pie Graph
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Bar Graph
Bar Graph • 1 variable
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• Direct comparison
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Line Graph
Line Graph • 2 variables
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• Used a lot with time
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• Can be logarithmic
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Pie Graph
Pie Graph • 1 variable

• Can’t be logarithmic

• Is always to scale (if the data is)

• Used with percentages


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3. Quartal 4. Quartal
What is a logarithmic graph
• Goes up by exponentials of 10

• Sometimes only at the top

• Makes it so you can see all the data


clearly

• But the Data is no longer to scale with


eachother
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Misleading Graphs

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What are misleading graphs?
• Unreliable data

• Manipulated scales

• Omitting (leaving out) Data

• Blatant lies
Manipulated Scales
Omitting the baseline
To scale
Chart Title
600000

500000

400000
Chart Title
490000 300000

480000
200000
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460000 100000
450000
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420000 The Times Daily Telegraph .


Kategorie 1

The Times Daily Telegraph


To scale
Welfare Recipients
120000000

100000000

80000000

60000000

40000000

20000000

0
2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 .
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

Welfare Recipients
Manipulated Scales
missing/misused/misunderstood data
Manipulated Scales
103000000103000000
Cumulative scales
Manipulated Scales
Honorabe mentions
Unreliable Data
• Isn’t always obvious

• Unreliable sources

• Sometimes accidentally

• Sometimes intentional
Data Fallacies
Cherry Picking Data Dredging Survivorship Bias
Data Fallacies
Cobra Effect False Causality Gerrymandering
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Time

Temperature Pirates
Data Fallacies
Sampling Bias Gamblers Fallacy Regression
Toward the Mean
Data Fallacies
Hawthorne Simpson’s McNamara Fallacy
Effect Paradox
In conclusion
• Not every graph can shows the bigger picture

• Graphs aren’t concrete unopposable facts

• Always look twice at the scales of a graph

• Always think about who is presenting the graph and what they’re
motives are
FIN

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