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Chapter 7 - Currency Option 2021may
Chapter 7 - Currency Option 2021may
SEVEND
FOREIGN CURRENCY
OPTIONS
1
CHAPTER OVERVIEW
• Introduction
• Contract specifications
• Option positions
• Hedging using option contract
• Strategy on currencies option
• Option pricing
2
FOREIGN CURRENCY OPTIONS
3
FOREIGN CURRENCY OPTIONS MARKETS
Table shows option prices on British pound taken from the online edition of
Wall Street Journal on Friday, January 31, 2007
4
11/23/22 5
FOREIGN CURRENCY OPTIONS
6
FOREIGN CURRENCY OPTIONS
7
FOREIGN CURRENCY OPTIONS MARKETS
8
OPTION POSITIONS
There are four types of options positions: #
• A long position in a call option
• A long position in a put option
• A short position in a call option
• A short position in a put option
The underlying assets
• Commodities
• Stock
• Foreign currency
• Index
• Futures…
9
PROFIT & LOSS FOR THE BUYER OF A CALL OPTION
+5
Unlimited profit
0 Spot price
160 165 170 175 180 (US cents/£)
Limited loss
-5
Break-even price
- 10
Loss
The buyer of a call option on £, with a strike price of 170 cents/£, has a limited loss of 50 cents/£ at
spot rates less than 170 (“out of the money”), and an unlimited profit potential at spot rates above 170
cents/£ (“in the money”). 10
PROFIT & LOSS FOR THE WRITER OF A CALL OPTION
Profit
(US cents/£) Strike price
+ 10
+5 Break-even price
Limited profit
0 Spot price
160 165 170 175 180 (US cents/£)
-5 Unlimited loss
- 10
Loss
The writer of a call option on £, with a strike price of 170cents/£, has a limited profit of 5 cents/£ at
spot rates less than 170, and an unlimited loss potential at spot rates above (to the right of) 175
cents/SF. 11
PROFIT & LOSS FOR THE BUYER OF A PUT OPTION
+5 Profit up
To 165
0 Spot price
160 165 170 175 180 (US cents/£)
Limited loss
-5
Break-even
price
- 10
Loss
The buyer of a put option on £, with a strike price of 170cents/£, has a limited loss of
5 cents/£ at spot rates greater than 170 (“out of the money”), and a profit
potential at spot rates less than 170cents/£ (“in the money”) up to 165 cents. 12
PROFIT & LOSS FOR THE WRITER OF A CALL OPTION
Profit
(US cents/£) Strike price
+ 10
Break-even
+5 price
Limited profit
0 Spot price
160 165 170 175 180 (US cents/£)
-5
Loss up
- 10 To 165
Loss
The writer of a put option on £, with a strike price of 170 cents/£ has a limited profit of
5 cents/£ at spot rates greater than 165 and a loss potential at spot rates
less than 165 cents/£.
13
11/23/22 14
OPTION POSITIONS
There are four types of options positions: #
• A long position in a call option: MUA QUYỀN CHỌN MUA: ĐẦU
TƯ GIÁ TĂNG MẠNH: thực hiện khi S(t)>E, không thực hiện khi
S(t)<E
• A long position in a put option: MUA QUYỀN CHỌN BÁN: ĐẦU TƯ
GIÁ GIẢM MẠNH: thực hiện khi S(t)<E, không thực hiện khi S(t)>E
• A short position in a call option: BÁN QUYỀN CHỌN MUA: ĐẦU
TƯ GIÁ GIẢM NHẸ HOẶC KHÔNG TĂNG KHÔNG GIẢM
QUANH VÙNG GIÁ THỰC HIỆN:thực hiện khi S(t)>E, không thực
hiện khi S(t)<E
• A short position in a put option: BÁN QUYỀN CHỌN BÁN: ĐẦU TƯ
GIÁ TĂNG NHẸ HOẶC KHÔNG TĂNG KHÔNG GIẢM QUANH
VÙNG GIÁ THỰC HIỆN: thực hiện khi S(t)<E, không thực hiện khi
S(t)>E
15
STRATEGIES INVOLVING A SINGLE
OPTION AND A STOCK
stock position in a
stock
(c) (d)
16
B1. BULL SPREAD CREATED USING CALL OPTION-
Buying a call on a stock with a certain price and selling a call on the same stock with a higher
price
X1 X2 ST
17
B1. BULL SPREAD CREATED USING CALL OPTION-
Buying a call on a stock with a certain price and selling a call on the same stock with a higher
price
X1 X2 ST
18
B2. BULL SPREAD CREATED USING PUT OPTION Buying a
put on a stock with a certain price and selling a put on the same stock with a higher price
Profit
X1 X2 ST
19
B3. BEAR SPREAD CREATED USING CALL OPTION
Buying a call AT a strike price and selling a call with a LOWER strike price
X1 X2 ST
20
B4. BEAR SPREAD CREATED USING PUT OPTION-
Buying a put at a strike price and selling a put with a lower strike price
Profit
X1 X2 ST
21
B5. BUTTERFLY SPREAD CREATED USING CALL
OPTIONS- Buying one call at low price X and buying another call at high strike price X
1 3
and selling two call with a strike price X 2, halfway between X1 & X3
Profit
This strategy refer to
an investment who
fells that large stock
price moves are
unlikely
X1 X2 X3
ST
22
BASIC OPTION PRICING RELATIONSHIPS AT EXPIRY
Profit
Out-of-the-money In-the-money
Loss E
Copyright © 2014 by the McGraw-Hill Companies,
Inc. All rights reserved.
EUROPEAN OPTION PRICING RELATIONSHIPS
When the option is in-the-money, both strategies have the same payoff.
When the option is out-of-the-money, it has a higher payoff than the borrowing
and lending strategy.
Thus,
ST E
Ce > Max – ,0
(1 + i£) (1 + i$)
Using a similar portfolio to replicate the upside potential of a put, we can show
that:
E ST
Pe > Max – ,0
(1 + i$) (1 + i£)
where
F 1
ln T σ 2T
E 2
d1 d 2 d1 T
T
30
11/23/22 31
Exhibit: Intrinsic Value, Time Value & Total Value for a Call Option
on British Pounds with a Strike Price of $1.70/£
Option Premium
(US cents/£)
-- Valuation on first day of 90-day maturity --
6.0
5.67
Total value
5.0
4.0 4.00
3.30
3.0
2.0 1.67
Time value
1.0 Intrinsic
value
0.0
1.66 1.67 1.68 1.69 1.70 1.71 1.72 1.73 1.74
18.00
16.00
Total value
14.00
12.00
10.00
8.00
6.00
3.30
Intrinsic
4.00
value
2.00
Time value
0.00
157.2 158.5 159.8 161.0 162.3 163.6 164.9 166.1 167.4 168.7 170.0 171.2 172.5 173.8 175.1 176.3 177.6 178.9 180.2 181.4 182.7 184.0 185.3
5 3 0 8 5 3 0 8 5 3 0 8 5 3 0 8 5 3 0 8 5 3 0
Spot exchange rate
OPTION PRICING AND VALUATION
• The total value (premium) of an option is equal to the
intrinsic value plus time value
• Time value captures the portion of the option value due to the
volatility in the underlying asset during the option life
– The time value of an option is always positive and declines with time,
reaching zero on the maturity date
• Intrinsic value is the financial gain if the option is exercised
immediately
– On the date of maturity, an option will have a value equal to its
intrinsic value (due to the zero time value at maturity)
CURRENCY OPTION PRICING SENSITIVITY
• If currency options are to be used effectively, either for
the purposes of speculation or risk management, the
traders need to know how option values react to their
various factors, including S, K, T, rf, rd, and σ
• More specifically, we will study the sensitivity of
option values with respect to S, K, T, rf, rd, and σ
• These sensitivities are often denoted with Greek letters,
so they also have the name “Greeks” or “Greek letters”
DELTA
• Spot rate sensitivity (delta):
– Delta is defined as the rate of change of option price with
respect to the price of the spot exchange rate.
c
Delta (for calls) e-rf T N(d1 ) > 0
S
p
Delta (for puts) e-rf T N(-d1 ) < 0
S
10
17
6.
38
17
7.
65
17
8.
93
18
0.
20
18
1.
48
18
2.
75
18
4.
03
18 Delta (N(d1)
5.
30
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
DELTA
• For the example, the delta of the option is 0.5, so the change of the spot
exchange rate by ±$0.01/ £ will cause the change of the option value
approximately by 0.5× ±$0.01 = ±$0.005. More specifically, the option
value will become $0.033 ± $0.005
• Please note that the Delta estimation works well only when the change of
the exchange rate S is small. (If the spot exchange rate increases by
$0.1/ £ , the Delta estimation predicts the option value becoming $0.083.
• The larger the absolute value of Delta, the larger risk the portfolio is
exposed to the exchange rate changes
THETA
• Time to maturity sensitivity (theta): #
– Option values increase with the length of time to maturity
c
Theta θ (for calls) 0
T
p
Theta θ (for puts) 0
T
• 15 to14 days
premium cent 1.37 1.32
theta 0.05
time 15 14
• 5 to 4 days
premium cent 0.7929 0.7093
theta 0.08
time 54
• The rapid deterioration of option value in the last days prior to
expriration day
Theta: Option Premium Time value Deterioration
※ The negative slope means the option value decreases with the time
approaching the expiration date
※ For the at-the-money options, the decay of option values accelerates
when the time approaches the expiration date
VEGA
• Sensitivity to volatility (Vega): #
– The vega for calls and puts are the same
c
Vega ν (for calls) =Se-rf T n(d1 ) T 0
σ
p
Vega ν (for puts) =Se-rf T n(d1 ) T 0
σ
9.0
8.0
7.0
6.0
ITM call (K=$1.65/ £ )
5.0 ATM call (K=$1.70/ £ )
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
-0.06 -0.04 -0.02 -3.46944695195361E-17 0.02 0.04 0.06
rUS$ – r £
※ When the interest rate differential (rd – rf) increases, the foreign
currency call value indeed increases
RHO AND PHI
• Speculation strategy based on the expectation of the
domestic interest rate
– Because rd↑ c↑ and rd ↓ p↑, a trader should purchase a
call (put) option on foreign currency before the domestic
interest rate rises (declines). This timing will allow the trader
to purchase the option before its price increases
SUMMARY OF OPTION VALUE SENSITIVITY
Greek Definition Interpretation
Delta Δ Expected change in the option value The higher (lower) the delta, the more
for a small change in the spot rate likely the call (put) will move in-the-
money
Theta Θ Expected change in the option value For at-the-money options, premiums are
for a small change in time to relatively insensitive until the final 30
expiration days
Vega υ Expected change in the option value Option values rise with increases in
for a small change in volatility volatility both for calls and puts
Rho ρ Expected change in the option value Increases in domestic interest rates
for a small change in domestic cause increasing call values and
interest rate decreasing put values
Phi φ Expected change in the option value Increases in foreign interest rates cause
for a small change in foreign interest decreasing call values and increasing put
rate values