Professional Documents
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Chapter Outline
• Standardizing Features:
– Contract Size
– Delivery Month
• Netting out - a buyer (seller) can “net out” his futures position with a sale (with a
purchase).
• Daily resettlement - Marked to the market Minimizes the chance of default and
requires extra liquidity by the firm
• Initial Margin About 4% of contract value, cash or T-bills held by brokerage firm.
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• Currently CAN$1 = ¥140 and it appears that the CAN dollar is strengthening.
• If you enter into a three-month futures contract to sell ¥ at the rate of CAN$1 = ¥150
you will make money if the yen depreciates. The contract size is ¥12,500,000.
CAN $1
• Your initial margin is 4% of the contract value: CAN $3,333.33 = 0.04 × ¥12,500,000 ×
¥150
• If tomorrow, futures rate closes at CAN$1 = ¥149, then your position’s value drops.
¥12,500,000
• Your broker will let you slide until you run through your maintenance margin. Then
you must post additional funds or your position will be closed out. This is usually
done with a reversing trade.
• The CME Group that owns the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBT)
is by far the largest.
• In Canada:
– Montreal Exchange (ME)
– Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) ICE Futures Canada (Winnipeg)
• Others include:
– Intercontinental Exchange (USA)
– The Tokyo International Financial Futures Exchange
– The London International Financial Futures and Options Exchange
Canola Futures
• First delivery day: the first business day of the delivery month.
• Last trading: trading day preceding the fifteenth calendar day of the delivery month.
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• Open interest refers to the # of contracts outstanding for a particular delivery month.
• The breadth of the market would be how many different contracts (expiry month,
currency) are outstanding.
26.4 Hedging
• Two counterparties with offsetting risks can eliminate risk.
– Ex: if a wheat farmer and a flour mill operator enter into a forward contract, they can eliminate
the risk each other faces regarding the future price of wheat.
• Hedgers can also transfer price risk to speculators & speculators absorb price risk from hedgers.
• Short hedge - takes a short position in a futures c.&commits to a future selling price
• Long-hedge - takes a long position in a futures c.& commits to a future purchase price
• You speculate that copper increase in price, so you go long (commit to purchase copper) 10 copper
contracts for delivery in 3 months. A contract is for 25,000 lbs and price is quoted in cents per
pound. The price is US$0.70 per lb or US$17,500 per contract.
• If the futures price rises by 5 cents, you will gain 25,000 × 0.05 × 10 = US$12,500
• If the price decrease by 5 cents, your Loss 25,000 × –0.05 × 10 = -US$12,500
26.4 Hedging
Example - Short Position: How Many Contracts?
• You are a farmer and you will harvest 50,000 bushels of corn in three months. You want
to hedge against a price decrease. Corn is quoted in U.S. cents per bushel at 5,000
bushels per contract. It is currently at 460 cents for a contract three months out and the
current spot price is US$0.344/bushel.
50,000 bushels
• To hedge you will sell 10 corn futures contracts: =10 contracts
5,000 bushels per contract
• Now you can quit worrying about the price of corn and get back to worrying about the
weather.
• Futures Contracts
−Pforward
C C C C+F
…
0 N N+1 N+2 N+3 N+2T
• Find the value of a 5-year forward contract on a 20-year Government of Canada bond.
• The coupon rate is 6 percent per annum and payments are made semiannually on a par
value of $1,000.
• First, compute the value of a 20-year T-bond at the maturity of the forward contract:
• Determine the price of the forward contract as PV of the bond price today (5 years
earlier):
Futures Contracts
• The pricing equation given in previous slide will be a good approximation of a futures
contract on this 20-year bond.
• Differences:
– The daily resettlement requirement of marked to the market.
– Delivery can take place any time within the delivery month.
– Due to liquidity in the market, the contract can be quickly netted out.
• A mortgage lender who has agreed to loan money in the future at prices set today can
reduce the risk by selling those mortgages forward.
• It may be difficult to find a counterparty for the forward contract who wants the
precise mix of risk, maturity, and size.
• It’s likely to be easier and cheaper to use interest rate futures contracts to accomplish
the same result.
Duration Hedging
• As an alternative to hedging with futures or forwards, one can hedge by matching the
interest rate risk of assets with the interest rate risk of liabilities.
• Duration measures the combined effect of maturity, coupon rate, and YTM on bond’s
price sensitivity.
– Measure of the bond’s effective maturity
– Measure of the average life of the security
– Weighted average maturity of the bond’s cash flows
• Properties:
– Longer maturity, longer duration
– Duration increases at a decreasing rate
– Higher coupon, shorter duration
– Higher yield, shorter duration
Definitions
The Swap Bank is a generic term to describe a financial institution that facilitates
swaps between counterparties.
• Bank A is a AAA-rated international bank located in the U.K. and wishes to raise
US$10,000,000 to finance floating-rate euro-dollar loans.
– Bank A is considering issuing five-year fixed-rate euro-dollar bonds at 10-percent.
– It would make more sense for the bank to issue floating-rate notes at LIBOR to
finance floating-rate euro-dollar loans.
• If they can find a British multi-national company with a mirror-image financing need
they may both benefit from a swap.
• If the spot exchange rate is S0($/£) = CAN$1.60/£, the Canadian firm needs to
find a British firm wanting to finance dollar borrowing in the amount of
CAN$16,000,000.
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• Both firms wish to finance a project in each other’s country of the same size. Their
borrowing opportunities are given in the table below.
£11% £12%
CAN$8% Firm Firm £12%
A B
£11% £12%
CAN$8% Firm Firm £12%
A B
A saves £.6%
£11% £12%
CAN$8% Firm Firm £12%
A B
B saves $.6%
£11% £12%
CAN$8% Firm At S0($/£) = $1.60/£, that is Firm £12%
A a gain ofCAN$124,000 per B
year for 5 years.
The swap bank faces
exchange rate risk, but
maybe they can lay it
off (in another swap).
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• Currency Swaps
– fixed for fixed
– fixed for floating
– floating for floating
– amortizing
• Interest Rate Swaps
– zero-for floating
– floating for floating
• Exotics For a swap to be possible, two humans must like the idea. Beyond that,
creativity is the only limit.
• Basis Risk
– If the floating rates of the two counterparties are not pegged to the same index.
• Credit Risk Major risk faced by a swap dealer - risk that a counter party will
default on its end of the swap.
• Mismatch Risk It’s hard to find a counterparty that wants to borrow the same
amount of money for the same amount of time.
• Sovereign Risk Risk that a country will impose exchange rate restrictions that will
interfere with performance on the swap.
Pricing a Swap
• How to:
– Plain vanilla fixed for floating swap gets valued just like a bond.
– Currency swap gets valued just like a nest of currency futures.
• A credit default swap (CDS) is a contract that pays off when a credit event occurs -
default by a particular company, termed as the reference entity.
• The buyer of a CDS makes periodic payments to the seller. Upon the default of the
reference entity, the buyer has the right to sell the bonds issued by the reference entity
to the seller at full face value.