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Chapter 1

Data and Statistics I need


Applications in Economics help!

Data
Data Sources
Descriptive Statistics
Statistical Inference
Computers and
Statistical Analysis
Applications in Economics
Statistics: a methodology to use data to
learn the “truth.” i.e., Uncover the true
data mechanism

Probability: Branch of mathematics that


models of the truth

In economics, we estimate and test economic models


and their predictions

Use empirical models for prediction,


forecasting, and policy analysis.
Applications in Business

 Marketing
Electronic point-of-sale scanners at
retail checkout counters are used to
collect data for a variety of marketing
research applications.

 Production
Statistical quality
control charts are used to monitor
the output of a production process.
Applications in Finance

 Finance

Financial advisors use statistical models


to guide their investment advice.
Data, Data Sets,
Elements, Variables, and Observations
Observation Variables
Element
Names Annual Earn/
Company Sales($M) Share($)

Dataram Dataram 73.10 0.86


EnergySouth EnergySouth 74.00 1.67
Keystone Keystone 365.70 0.86
LandCare LandCare 111.40 0.33
Psychemedics Psychemedics 17.60 0.13

Data Set
Data and Data Sets
 Data are the facts and figures collected,
summarized, analyzed, and interpreted.
 The data collected in a particular study are referred
to as the data set.
Elements, Variables, and Observations

 The elements are the entities on which data are


collected.
 A variable is a characteristic of interest for the elements.
 The set of measurements collected for a particular
element is called an observation.
 The total number of data values in a data set is the
number of elements multiplied by the number of
variables.
Scales of Measurement

Data

Qualitative Quantitative

Numerical Nonnumerical Numerical

Nominal Ordinal Nominal Ordinal Interval Ratio


Scales of Measurement
Scales of measurement include:
Nominal Interval
Ordinal Ratio

The scale determines the amount of information


contained in the data.

The scale indicates the data summarization and


statistical analyses that are most appropriate.
Scales of Measurement
 Nominal
Data are labels or names used to identify an
attribute of the element.

A nonnumeric label or numeric code may be used.


Scales of Measurement

 Nominal

Example:
Students of a university are classified by the
dorm that they live in using a nonnumeric label
such as Farley, Keenan, Zahm, Breen-Phillips,
and so on.
A numeric code can be used for
the school variable (e.g. 1: Farley, 2: Keenan,
3: Zahm, and so on).
Scales of Measurement
 Ordinal
The data have the properties of nominal data and
the order or rank of the data is meaningful.

A nonnumeric label or numeric code may be used.


Scales of Measurement
 Ordinal
Example:
Students of a university are classified by their
class standing using a nonnumeric label such as
Freshman, Sophomore, Junior, or Senior.
A numeric code can be used for
the class standing variable (e.g. 1 denotes
Freshman, 2 denotes Sophomore, and so on).
Scales of Measurement
 Interval

The data have the properties of ordinal data, and


the interval between observations is expressed in
terms of a fixed unit of measure.

Interval data are always numeric.


Scales of Measurement
 Interval
Example: Average Starting Salary Offer 2003
Economics/Finance: $40,084
History: $32,108
Psychology: $27,454

Econ & Finance majors earn $7,976 more than


History majors and $12,630 more than
Psychology majors.

Source: National Association of Colleges and Employers


Scales of Measurement
 Ratio
The data have all the properties of interval data
and the ratio of two values is meaningful.

Variables such as distance, height, weight, and time


use the ratio scale.

This scale must contain a zero value that indicates


that nothing exists for the variable at the zero point.
Scales of Measurement
 Ratio

Example:
Econ & Finance majors salaries are 1.24 times
History major salaries and are 1.46 times
Psychology major salaries
Qualitative and Quantitative Data

Data can be qualitative or quantitative.

The appropriate statistical analysis depends


on whether the data for the variable are qualitative
or quantitative.

There are more options for statistical


analysis when the data are quantitative.
Qualitative Data
Labels or names used to identify an attribute of each
element. E.g., Black or white, male or female.

Referred to as categorical data

Use either the nominal or ordinal scale of


measurement

Can be either numeric or nonnumeric

Appropriate statistical analyses are rather limited


Quantitative Data

Quantitative data indicate how many or how much:


Discrete, if measuring how many. E.g., number
of 6-packs consumed at tail-gate party
Continuous, if measuring how much. E.g., pounds
of hamburger consumed at tail-gate party

Quantitative data are always numeric.

Ordinary arithmetic operations are meaningful for


quantitative data.
Cross-Sectional Data

Cross-sectional data observations across individuals


at the same point in time.

Example: the growth rate from 1960 to 2004 of


each country in the world (about 182 of them).
Example: wages for head of household in
Indiana
Time Series Data

Time series data are collected over several time


periods.
Example: the sequence of U.S. GDP growth each
Year from 1960 to 2005
Example: the sequence of Professor Mark’s wage
each year from 1983 to 2005.
Data Sources
 Existing Sources
Within a firm – almost any department
Business database services – Dow Jones & Co.
Government agencies - U.S. Department of Labor
Industry associations – Travel Industry Association
of America
Special-interest organizations – Graduate Management
Admission Council
Collect your own
Data Sources
 Statistical Studies
In experimental studies variables of interest
are identified. Then additional factors are
varied to obtain data that tells us how
those factors influence the variables.

In observational (nonexperimental) studies we


cannot control or influence the
variables of interest.
a survey is a
good example
Descriptive Statistics
 Descriptive statistics are the tabular, graphical,
and numerical methods used to summarize
data.
Example: Hudson Auto Repair

The manager of Hudson Auto


would like to understand the cost
of parts used in the engine
tune-ups performed in the
shop. She examines 50
customer invoices for tune-ups. The costs of parts,
rounded to the nearest dollar, are listed on the next
slide.
Example: Hudson Auto Repair

 Sample of Parts Cost for 50 Tune-ups

91 78 93 57 75 52 99 80 97 62
71 69 72 89 66 75 79 75 72 76
104 74 62 68 97 105 77 65 80 109
85 97 88 68 83 68 71 69 67 74
62 82 98 101 79 105 79 69 62 73
Tabular Summary:
Frequency and Percent Frequency

Parts Parts Percent


Cost ($) Frequency Frequency
50-59 2 4
60-69 13 26
(2/50)100
70-79 16 32
80-89 7 14
90-99 7 14
100-109 5 10
50 100
Graphical Summary: Histogram
18
16 Tune-up Parts Cost
14
Frequency

12
10
8
6
4
2
Parts
5059 6069 7079 8089 9099 100-110 Cost ($)
Numerical Descriptive Statistics
 The most common numerical descriptive statistic
is the average (or sample mean).
 Hudson’s average cost of parts, based on the 50
tune-ups studied, is $79 (found by summing the
50 cost values and then dividing by 50).
Statistical Inference

Population  the set of all elements of interest in a


particular study
Sample  a subset of the population

Statistical inference  the process of using data obtained


from a sample to make estimates
and test hypotheses about the
characteristics of a population
Census  collecting data for a population

Sample survey  collecting data for a sample


Process of Statistical Inference
1. Population
consists of all 2. A sample of 50
tune-ups. Average engine tune-ups
cost of parts is is examined.
unknown.
unknown

4. The sample average 3. The sample data


provide a sample
is used to estimate the average parts cost
population average. of $79 per tune-up.

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