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term planning: • This enables the planning authority to make adequate preparations for the solution of problems that may
arise in the future.
• Besides, perspective plans make it possible to assess the long-term implications of medium-term and
short-term decisions.
• Stimulant: -
• Long-term plans by making obvious future choices and by reducing uncertainties enable decision-makers
to act boldly in respect of decisions for shorter-term plans.
• Public opinion too gets adequately stimulated because perspective plans open up prospects for progress
and reduce incomprehension of the implications of the present.
• Such knowledge on the part of the public reduces hesitations with respect to short-term plans.
Long term…
Short-term plans are also annual plans because the action for the period of one year is linked with the budgets of the
government, usually presented after every one year.
•Controlling plans:- these plans are also called controlling plans mainly for two reasons.
1) Government gets authority from parliament to spend money, which is usually for one year.
2) It is during this one-year period that resources are actually matched to requirements or targets.
• Thus, the actual operation of any plan is controlled in the one-year document.
• Framework:
• Annual plans are governed by medium- and long-term plans, both with respect of the goals to be pursued and the
methods by which these are to be achieved.
• In the words of Jan Tinbergen “The main function of both 5-year (i.e., Medium-term) and perspective plans is to
specify the government intentions.
• One-year plans, on the other hand, have the task of setting out how the government’s policy should be carried in to
effect.”
Summary
Fixed…
• It provides for stability in the economy:
• Because it imparts certainty to the functioning of the
system.
• Fixed plans act as performance tests to check on the efforts
made, their adequacy or inadequacy, and success/ failure to
locate the points that deserve approbation/ disapproval as
well as to draw lessons therefrom.
• There is a “checking” mechanism built into the planning
system.
• Everyone will therefore be subjected to scrutiny.
• There is bound to be disciplined thinking and action with
respect to the formulation of policies and their execution .
• Shortcomings of Fixed Plans:
• Weaknesses arise from the inflexibility of such plans.
• Plan targets are rigidly fixed.
• Changes can not be easily made.
• Wastage of resources prevails if the plan gets out of tune
with reality.
B)Rolling Plans:
•As the name implies, it involves the rolling of a plan at intervals,
usually one year, so that it continues to be a plan of a certain
number of years.
•To illustrate a rolling plan let us take a hypothetical plan for the
Fixed… five-year period, 1980 – 1985.
After the first year is over in 1980, another year 1986 is added,
so that it becomes a five-year plan for 1981-1986.
In 1982, one year, namely 1981, gets dropped, and 1987 added.
As a result, in 1982 there is again a five-year plan of 1982-
1987. And so on and so forth.
Thus, as the first year is over, the fifth year is stretched into the
next year.
The time span of such plans roll, shedding the initial one year
and adding one as the terminal year.
Thus, every year the time horizon is kept for the five-year
period.
Rolling…
• Features of Rolling Plans:
They are based on unfixed dates
Revisions and adjustments are part and parcel of the technique of rolling planning
Provision for change: - rolling plans always beep open the door for changes.
A) Decentralized Planning.
Based on
• the predominant characteristic of decentralized planning is
the dominance of the market in decision-making.
A) Inductive planning:
•serves as a guide to decision-making.
•This planning is to be found in capitalist economies /mixed
3.5 Planning based on economies
the sphere of •It helps to coordinate different economic units
implementation and •Indicative planning enables the prediction of the probable
formulation of plans. or feasible future. Besides, it specifics a desirable future, in
terms of growth rates for the economy
•It brings forth more commitment to its implementation/
execution.
Inductive and imperative…
B) Imperative /Directive Planning.
• In imperative planning, the implementation is provided for along with plan formulation.
• In other words, once a plan is drawn up, its implementation is a matter of enforcement.
• For this reason, it is also called directive planning.
8) Planning by direction and planning by inducement
A) Planning by Direction.
- it is an integral part of a socialist society
- it entails the complete absence of laissez-faire
- There is one central authority that plans, directs, and orders the execution of the plan in accordance with pre-
determined targets and priorities.
- It is comprehensive planning and encompasses the entire economy
- The various ministries and enterprises are duty-bound to carry out the targets and directives of the national plan
- The state holds the “commanding posts” in its hands by taking over the entire private industrial and agricultural
sectors, and banking and transport.
Direction and inducement…
• bureaucratic and totalitarian regime.
• There is a complete absence of consumer sovereignty.
• People are not allowed to spend and consume according to their
choice.
• Even the right to choose one’s own occupation does not exist.
Drawbacks • Both the consumer and labor markets are determined by the
planning authority.
• Rationing and price controls lead to corruption and nepotism
of planning /cronyism
• involves directions for almost the whole of our life.
B ) Planning by inducement.
- a democratic planning
- planning by manipulating the market
- no compulsion but persuasion
- freedom of enterprise, freedom of consumption, and freedom of production.
- But these freedoms are subject to state control and regulation
- People are induced to act in a certain way through various monetary and fiscal measures
- If the planning authority wishes to encourage the production of a commodity, it can give subsidies to the firms.
- When the planning authority finds a shortage of goods in the market, it can introduce price controls and rationing.
- To increase the rate of capital formation, the planning authority can then undertake public investment and/or
encourage private investment. It can adopt a suitable monetary policy and at the same time a taxation policy that
encourages investment and discourages consumption
- Planning by inducement can achieve the same results as those likely to be achieved under planning by direction
with less sacrifice of individual liberty.
Direction and inducement…
• The incentives offered may not be adequate for the producers and consumers to act
the way the state desires them to behave.
• It may upset the government plans.
• Surpluses and shortages are bound to arise because the actual working of the plan
Difficulties of is left to the market forces. In other words, proper adjustment between demand and
inducement • Shortages are frequent and they necessitate price control and rationing which are
the forms of direction. In such a station, planning by inducement merges with
planning by direction
• Monetary and fiscal measures alone are not adequate to induce planned
development of the economy by raising the rate of capital formation.
3.5 planning based on resource allocation
• Financial Planning
• Finance is the key to economic planning
• If sufficient finance is available, it is not difficult to achieve physical targets. However, without the stipulated
financial resources, it is not possible to carry the plan to its successful culmination
• Financial planning is essential to remove maladjustments between supplies and demand and to calculate the costs
and benefits of the various projects.
• In the case of financial planning, “the outlay is fixed in terms of money and the estimates are made based on various
hypotheses regarding the growth of the national income, consumption, imports, etc., to cover the outlay by taxation,
savings and the increase in the cash holding. “
9) Financial and
• Financial planning should also establish an equilibrium between
physical planning . investment and public investment
• Private
• Foreign payments and Foreign receipts etc
• By securing a balance between demands and supplies, financial planning should avoid inflation and bring about
economic stability.
• Limitations of financial planning.
i) Measures to mobilize financial resources through taxation may adversely affect
B) Physical Planning.
- This is planning in terms of factor allocations and product yields to maximize incomes and
employment
- The physical balance consists of a proper evaluation of the relation between investment and output.
- Investment decisions to be made in each sector are articulated in physical planning. Besides, the amount
and kinds of various goods needed to obtain an increase of output of a product are specified
- In physical planning, an overall assessment is made of the available real resources such as raw
materials, manpower, etc.
- Physical planning requires the fixation of physical targets with regard to:
o Agricultural and industrial production
o Socio-cultural and transportation service
o Consumption levels and employment
o Income and investment levels of the economy
- Physical planning has to be viewed as an overall long-term planning rather than a short-term piecemeal
planning.
Financial and physical…
• Limitations of Physical planning.
i) Lack of statistical data and information about the
available physical resources. If physical targets are
fixed beyond the availability of resources based on
inaccurate data, planning will end in a fiasco.
ii) Problem of balancing the different segments of the
economy
• It is not possible to attain internal consistency of a high
order in an underdeveloped country due to its inherent
structural difficulties.
i) Shortages in physical targets are likely to lead to
inflationary pressures through an increase in prices.
ii) Physical planning cannot succeed without financial
backing.
3.6 Planning based on political regime
10) Democratic planning and totalitarian planning.
A) Democratic planning
•It implies planning within a democracy.
- people are associated at every step in the formulation and implementation of the plan.
- It seeks to avoid clashes and tries to harmonize all opinions that are for the welfare of the people.
- Cooperation of different agencies, and voluntary groups, and associations play a major role in its execution.
- The plan is fully debated in the parliament and the state legislatures and in the private forums.
- It is planning from below.
- respects the institution of private property. .
• Price mechanism is allowed to play its due role.
• The government only seeks to influence economic and investment decisions in the private sector through fiscal and monetary measures .
• The private sector operates side by side with the public sector. There is healthy competition between the two for the fulfillment of the plan
targets. Democratic planning aims at the removal of inequalities of income and wealth through peaceful means by taxation and government
spending on social welfare and social security schemes. Individual freedom prevails. People enjoy social, economic, and political freedoms.
• Criticism
Critics claim that democratic planning is a myth.
Some sort of state intervention is inevitable even in democratic planning whereby economic freedom becomes ridiculous.
Based on political regime…
B) Totalitarian Planning.
- This is a comprehensive planning
- In totalitarian or authoritarian planning, there is central control and direction of all economic
activity in accordance with a single plan. There is planning by direction where consumption,
production, exchange, and distribution are all controlled by the state.
- In authoritarian planning, the planning authority is the supreme body. It decides about the
targets, schemes, allocation, methods and procedures of implementation of the plan. There is
absolutely no opposition to the plan. People have to accept and rigidly implement the plan.
- Economic and political powers are polarized and social life is regimented. There is thus no
democratic freedom in authoritarian planning which is extremely rigid.
•Limitations
- It sacrifices peoples’ freedom of choice. In other words, the loss of economic, social and
political freedoms is enormous.
Based on political regime…
• In the absence of a central plan, the means of production are owned privately.
• Production is also carried out by private enterprise. It is not planned by the government.
• Market prices are determined by market forces and are not set by the government.
Based on political regime…
B) Development planning
•This is meant to develop the economy as a whole.
• It involves “the application of a rational system of choices among feasible courses of investment and other development actions.
• “ For this, it relies to a large extent on the market mechanism.
•Under development planning, the government formulates a development plan for the whole economy. It
includes consideration of the most important economic aggregates such as
- Total saving
- Investment
- Output
- Government expenditure
- Foreign transactions
•Development planning also explores sectoral relationships in the overall framework of the economy.
• In particular, it lays down investment priorities for the public sector.
•Developmental planning is primarily related to the development activities of underdeveloped countries.