You are on page 1of 40

Chapter 5

Interest Rates

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-1


Chapter Outline

5.1 Interest Rate Quotes and Adjustments


5.2 Application: Discount Rates and Loans
5.3 The Determinants of Interest Rates
5.4 Risk and Taxes
5.5 The Opportunity Cost of Capital

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-2


Definitions
Nominal interest rate
Nominal interest rate refers to the interest rate before taking
inflation into account. Nominal can also refer to the advertised
or stated interest rate on a loan, without taking into account
any fees or compounding of interest.
Real interest rate
• A real interest rate is an interest rate that has been adjusted
to remove the effects of inflation to reflect the real cost of
funds to the borrower and the real yield to the lender or to
an investor. The real interest rate of an investment is
calculated as the difference between the nominal interest
rate and the inflation rate.
Annual Percentage Rate (APR)
An annual percentage rate (APR) is the annual rate charged for
borrowing or earned through an investment.
Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-3
Definitions

Effective Annual Interest Rate


The effective annual interest rate is the real return on a savings
account or any interest-paying investment when the effects of
compounding over time are taken into account.
Inflation
Inflation is the rate at which the value of a currency is falling and
consequently the general level of prices for goods and services is
rising.
Deflation
Deflation is a fall in the overall level of prices in an economy and
an increase in the purchasing power of the currency.
Purchasing Power
Purchasing power is the value of a currency expressed in terms of
the amount of goods or services that one unit of money can buy.

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-4


Important Formulas

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-5


Important Formulas

• Fisher Equation
(1 + i) = (1 + r) (1 + π)
• The approximate version of the previous
formula:
• i≈r+π
• or
• Real Interest Rate= Nominal Interest Rate-
Inflation Rate
• or r= (i - π)/(1+i) or
r=(1+Nominal Interest Rate /1+Inflation) -1

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-6


5.1 Interest Rate Quotes and
Adjustments

• The Effective Annual Rate


– Indicates the total amount of interest that will
be earned at the end of one year
– Considers the effect of compounding
• Also referred to as the effective annual yield (EAY) or
annual percentage yield (APY)

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-7


5.1 Interest Rate Quotes
and Adjustments (cont'd)
• Adjusting the Discount Rate to Different
Time Periods
– Earning a 5% return annually is not the same as
earning 2.5% every six months.
• General Equation for Discount Rate Period
Conversion
Equivalent n-Period Discount Rate  (1  r ) n  1
• (1.05)0.5 – 1= 1.0247 – 1 = .0247 = 2.47%
– Note: n = 0.5 since we are solving for the six month
(or 1/2 year) rate

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-8


Textbook Example 5.1

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-9


Textbook Example 5.1 (cont'd)

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-10


Alternative Example 5.1

• Problem
– Suppose an investment pays interest quarterly
with the interest rate quoted as an effective
annual rate (EAR) of 9%.
• What amount of interest will you earn each quarter?
– If you have no money in the bank today, how
much will you need to save at the end of each
quarter to accumulate $25,000 in 5 years?

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-11


Alternative Example 5.1

• Solution
– From Equation 5.1, a 9% EAR is approximately
equivalent to earning (1.09)1/4 – 1 = 2.1778%
per quarter.
– To determine the amount to save each quarter
to reach the goal of $25,000 in five years, we
must determine the quarterly payment, C:

FV ( Annuity ) $25, 000


C   $1, 010.82 per quarter
1 1
[(1  r )  1]
n
[1.02177820  1]
r .021778

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-12


Annual Percentage Rates

• The annual percentage rate (APR),


indicates the amount of simple interest
earned in one year.
– Simple interest is the amount of interest
earned without the effect of compounding.
– The APR is typically less than the effective
annual rate (EAR).

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-13


Annual Percentage Rates
(cont'd)

• The APR itself cannot be used as a discount


rate.
– The APR with k compounding periods is a way
of quoting the actual interest earned each
compounding period:
APR
Interest Rate per Compounding Period 
k periods / year

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-14


Annual Percentage Rates
(cont'd)

• Converting an APR to an EAR


k
 APR 
1  EAR  1  
 k 
– The EAR increases with the frequency of
compounding.
• Continuous compounding is compounding every
instant.

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-15


Annual Percentage Rates
(cont'd)

Table 5.1 Effective Annual Rates for a 6% APR with


Different Compounding Periods

– A 6% APR with continuous compounding results


in an EAR of approximately 6.1837%.

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-16


Textbook Example 5.2

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-17


Textbook
Example
5.2
(cont'd)

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-18


Alternative Example 5.2

• Problem
– A firm is considering purchasing or leasing a
luxury automobile for the CEO. The vehicle is
expected to last three years. You can buy the
car for $65,000 up front , or you can lease it for
$1,800 per month for 36 months. The firm can
borrow at an interest rate of 8% APR with
quarterly compounding. Should you purchase
the system outright or pay $1,800 per month?

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-19


Alternative Example 5.2 (cont’d)

• Solution
– The first step is to compute the discount rate
that corresponds to monthly compounding. To
convert an 8% rate compounded quarterly to a
monthly discount rate, compound the quarterly
rate using Equations 5.3 and 5.1:

1
.08 4
(1  )  1.082432  1.08243212  1  0.66227% per month
4

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-20


Alternative Example 5.2 (cont’d)

• Solution
– Given a monthly discount rate of 0.66227%, the
present value of the 36 monthly payments can
be computed:
1  1 
PV  $1,800  1  36 
 $57, 486
0.0066227  1.0066227 
– Paying $1,800 per month for 36 months is
equivalent to paying $57,486 today. This is
$65,000 - $57,486 = $7,514 lower than the cost
of purchasing the system, so it is better to lease
the vehicle rather than buy it.

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-21


5.2 Application: Discount Rates
and Loans

• Computing Loan Payments


– Payments are made at a set interval, typically
monthly.
– Each payment made includes the interest on the
loan plus some part of the loan balance.
– All payments are equal and the loan is fully
repaid with the final payment.

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-22


5.2 Application: Discount Rates
and Loans (cont'd)

• Computing Loan Payments


– Consider a $30,000 car loan with 60 equal
monthly payments, computed using a 6.75%
APR with monthly compounding.
• 6.75% APR with monthly compounding corresponds to
a one-month discount rate of 6.75% / 12 = 0.5625%.

P 30, 000
C    $590.50
1  1  1  1 
1  1 
r  (1  r ) N  0.005625  (1  0.005625) 60 

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-23


5.2 Application: Discount Rates
and Loans (cont'd)

• Computing Loan Payments


– Financial Calculator Solution

12 Gold P/YR

60 6.75 30000

N I/YR PV PMT FV

-590.50

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-24


5.2 Application: Discount Rates
and Loans (cont'd)

• Computing the Outstanding Loan Balance


– One can compute the outstanding loan balance
by calculating the present value of the remaining
loan payments.

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-25


Textbook Example 5.3

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-26


Textbook Example 5.3 (cont'd)

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-27


5.3 The Determinants of Interest
Rates

• Inflation and Real Versus Nominal Rates


– Nominal Interest Rate: The rates quoted by
financial institutions and used for discounting or
compounding cash flows
– Real Interest Rate: The rate of growth of your
purchasing power, after adjusting for inflation

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-28


Textbook Example 5.4

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-29


Textbook Example 5.4 (cont'd)

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-30


Alternative Example 5.4

• Problem
– On December 31, 2015, the average one-year
Treasury Constant Maturity rate was about
0.65% and the 2015 annual inflation rate was
about 0.70%.
– What was the real interest rate in 2015?

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-31


Alternative Example 5.4

• Solution
– Using Equation 5.5, the real interest rate in
2008 was
• (0.65% − 0.70%) ÷ (1.0070) = -0.05%
– Which is equal to the difference between the nominal rate
and inflation: 0.65% – 0.70% = -0.05%

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-32


Figure 5.1 U.S. Interest Rates
and Inflation Rates, 1962–2012

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-33


Investment and Interest Rate
Policy
• An increase in interest rates will typically
reduce the NPV of an investment.
– Consider an investment that requires an initial
investment of $10 million and generates a cash
flow of $3 million per year for four years. If the
interest rate is 5%, the investment has an NPV
of
3 3 3 3
NPV   10   2
 3
 4
 $0.638 million
1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-34


Investment and Interest Rate
Policy (cont'd)
– If the interest rate rises to 9%, the NPV
becomes negative and, the investment is no
longer profitable:
3 3 3 3
NPV   10   2
 3
 4
 $0.281 million
1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-35


The Yield Curve and Discount
Rates

• Term Structure: The relationship between


the investment term and the interest rate
• Yield Curve: A graph of the term structure

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-36


Textbook Example 5.5

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-37


Textbook Example 5.5 (cont'd)

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-38


Alternative Example 5.5

• Problem
– Compute the present value of a risk-free
three-year annuity of $500 per year, given
the following yield curve:

Treasury Rates
Term (Years) Rate
1 0.261%
2 0.723%
3 1.244%

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-39


Alternative Example 5.5

• Solution
– Each cash flow must be discounted by the
corresponding interest rate:

$500 $500 $500


PV   
1.00261 1.00723 1.012443
2

PV  $498.70  $492.85  481.79  $1, 473.34

Copyright ©2017 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved. 5-40

You might also like