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Optimization
Lecture 2
Overview
Managers make tough choices that involve benefits and
costs. Before, it was simply impractical to compare relative
pluses and minuses of a large number of managerial decisions
under a wide variety of operating conditions. For many large
and small organizations, economic optimization remained an
elusive goal (Hirschey, 2012).
Overview
The rise of personal computers and invention of
spreadsheets were a pivotal innovation because they put the
tools for insightful demand, cost, and profit analysis at the
finger tips of decision makers. (Hirschey, 2012).
Overview
Electronic computing capability is not the only thing needed
by managers to process information efficiently. It is imperative
for them to have a basic understanding of basic economic
relations.
Economic Optimization Process
Total revenues are directly determined by the quantity sold and the
prices obtained. Factors that affect prices and the quantity sold include
the choice of products made available for sale, marketing strategies,
pricing, distribution policies, competition, and the general state of the
economy.
Maximizing the Value of the Firm
Tables are the simplest and most direct form for presenting economic
data. When these data are displayed electronically in the format of an
accounting income statement or balance sheet, the tables are referred
to as spreadsheets.
Revenue Relations
TR = f(Q) does not indicate the specific relation between output and
total revenue. It merely states that some relation exists. This next
equation provides a more precise expression of this functional relation.
TR = P x Q
Where P represents price at which each unit of Q is sold. Total revenue
is equal to price times quantity sold.
Revenue Relations
If fewer than 8 units are sold, total revenue can be increased with an expansion in
output. If more than 8 units are sold, total revenue would decline from $96and
could be increased with a reduction in volume. Only at Q = 8 is total revenue
maximized.
Revenue Maximization
In other instances, savvy firms employ a short-run revenue-maximizing
strategy as part of their long-term profit maximization. Enhanced
awareness among consumers, increased customer loyalty, potential
economies of scale in marketing and promotion, and possible
limitations in competitor entry, and growth are all potential advantages
of short-term revenue maximization (Hirschey, 2012).
Revenue Maximization
There are two basic cost functions that are used in managerial
decision-making: short-run cost functions, used for day-to-day
operating decisions, and long-run cost functions, used for
long-term planning (Hirschey, 2012).
Cost Relations
AC = TC/Q
AC = $8 + $4Q + $0.5Q2/Q
AC = $8/Q + $4 + $0.5Q
Average Cost Minimization
With average cost minimization, the lowest possible average cost is achieved. To
find this MC = AC, and then solve for Q.
$4 +$1Q = $8 + $4Q + $0.5Q2
0.5Q = 8/Q
Q2= 8/0.5
Q = √16
Q=4
This is the relations between total cost, marginal cost, average cost, and output.
Average Cost Minimization
Total profit is the difference between total revenue and total cost. Profit
maximization involves a careful comparison of revenue and cost
relations (Hirschey, 2012).
Total and Marginal Profit
π = TR – TC
In general, total profit will rise if Mπ > 0. Total profit will fall
whenever Mπ < 0. Similarly, total profit will rise so long as MR
> MC because that means M π > 0. Total profit will fall if MR <
MC because that means Mπ <0.
Total and Marginal Profit
The profit maximization rule states that total profit will be
maximized when marginal profit equals zero, provided that profit
declines with a further expansion in output. In functional form,
profit is maximized only if Mπ = 0 and profit falls with a further
increase in output. Because Mπ = MR = MC = 0 at the profit-
maximizing activity level, MR = MC (Hirschey, 2012).
Total and Marginal Profit
Once again profit maximization requires that profit falls with any further increase in output.
Profit Maximization
The profit-maximizing activity level will also tend to differ from the
average-cost–minimizing activity level where MC = AC. Recall that
finding the point of lowest average costs involves a consideration of
marginal cost and average cost relations only, no revenue
implications are considered. The point of profit maximization can be
less than, equal to, or greater than the point of average cost
minimization (Hirschey, 2012).
Marginal versus Incremental Concept
It is important to recognize that marginal relations measure
the effect associated with unitary changes in output. Many
managerial decisions involve a consideration of changes that
are broader in scope. (Hirschey, 2012).
Marginal versus Incremental Concept
Example: A manager might be interested in analyzing the
potential effects on revenues, costs, and profits of a 25 percent
increase in the firm’s production level. Alternatively, a manager
might want to analyze the profit impact of introducing an
entirely new product line, or assess the cost impact of changing
an entire production system (Hirschey, 2012).
Marginal versus Incremental Concept
In all managerial decisions, the study of differences or changes
is the key element in the selection of an optimal course of
action. The marginal concept, although correct for analyzing
unitary changes in output, is too narrow to provide a general
methodology for evaluating all alternative courses of action
(Hirschey, 2012).
Marginal versus Incremental Concept
The incremental concept is the economist’s generalization of
the marginal concept. Incremental analysis involves examining
the impact of alternative managerial decisions or course of
action on revenues, costs, and profit. It focuses on changes or
differences among available alternatives (Hirschey, 2012).
Marginal versus Incremental Concept
The incremental change is the change resulting from a given
managerial decision. For example, the incremental revenue of
a new item in a firm’s product line is measured as the
difference between the firm’s total revenue before and after
the new product is introduced (Hirschey, 2012).
Incremental Profits
It is the profit gain or loss associated with a given managerial
decision. Total profit increases so long as incremental profit is
positive. When incremental profit is negative, total profit
declines (Hirschey, 2012).
Incremental Profits
The incremental concept is so intuitively obvious that it is easy
to overlook both its significance in managerial decision making
and the potential for difficulty in correctly applying it
(Hirschey, 2012).
Incremental Profits
The incremental concept is sometimes violated in practice. Example: A firm may refuse
to sublet excess warehouse space for $5,000 per month because it figures it cost $7,500
per month—a price paid for a long-term lease on the facility. However, if the warehouse
space represents excess capacity with no current value to the company, its historical cost
of $7,500 per month is irrelevant and should be disregarded. The firm would forego
$5,000 in profits by turning down the offer to sublet the excess warehouse space.
Similarly, any firm that adds a standard allocated charge for fixed costs and overhead to
the true incremental cost of production runs the risk of turning down profitable
business. (Hirschey, 2012).
Incremental Profits
Care must be exercised to ensure against incorrectly assigning
overly low incremental costs to a decision. Incremental
decisions involve a time dimension that cannot be ignored.
Not only must all current revenues and cost considered, but
any likely future revenues and costs also must be incorporated
in the analysis.
Incremental Profits
Example: Assume that the excess warehouse space came about
following a downturn in the overall economy. Assume that the
excess warehouse space was sublet for 1 year at a price of
$5,000 per month, or a total of $60,000. An incremental loss
might be experienced if the firm later had to lease additional,
more costly space to accommodate increase in production.
Incremental Profits
Example: If $75,000 had to be spent to replace the sublet
warehouse facility, the decision to sublet would involve an
incremental loss of $15,000. To be sure, making accurate
projections concerning future pattern of revenues and cost is
risky and subject to error. Nevertheless, expectations about
the future cannot be ignored in incremental analysis.
References:
Hirschey, M. (2012). Managerial Economics (12th ed.). Cengage Learning Asia Pte Ltd.