LESSON 16

PROBABILITY OF
SIMPLE EVENTS
FIND US ;)
FIND US ;)

KEYWORD:

TWINNIE !!!
REVIEW

PROBABILITY OF SIMPLE
EVENTS
 REVIEW
If I have 5 cards that are numbered
1, 2, 3, 4, 5 in a box and i randomly
choose a card, what is the probability that
a number on the on the card is even?
 REVIEW
If I have 5 cards that are numbered 1,
2, 3, 4, 5 in a box and i randomly choose a
card, what is the probability that a
number on the on the card is even?
* The answer is .
REVIEW
What is the probability that if the
teacher picks a student at random from
the class that it is a boy?
 REVIEW
* It depends on the number of girls
and boys in the classroom. The answer
will be the number of boys divided by the
total number of the students in the class.
 REVIEW
If the teacher has a bag containing 4
red counters, 3 blue counters, what is the
probability if they choose a counter at
random that it will be blue?
REVIEW
If the teacher has a bag containing 4
red counters, 3 blue counters, what is
the probability if they choose a counter
at random that it will be blue?
* The answer is .
 TERMS TO REMEMBER!
PROBABILITY – it refers on how likely that
something is going to happen.
 TERMS TO REMEMBER!
PROBABILITY – it refers on how likely that
something is going to happen.
EXPERIMENT – it is an activity performed a
number of times so the chance of an events
happening can be measured.
 TERMS TO REMEMBER!
OUTCOME – it is the result of the experiment.
 TERMS TO REMEMBER!
OUTCOME – it is the result of the experiment.
WITH REPLACEMENT – if an item is removed
in an experiment, it is then replaced for the next
activity.
 TERMS TO REMEMBER!

WITHOUT REPLACEMENT – if an item is

removed in an experiment, and it will not be
replaced.
What is the difference?
“PROBABILITY”
VS.
“EXPERIMENT”
 OBJECTIVES OF THE LESSON

•Develop a good understanding of how

and why experiments are undertaken.
•Understand the difference between
experimental and theoretical
probability.
 OBJECTIVES OF THE LESSON

•Have a good understanding of the

expected outcomes of events
•Understand the difference between
“with replacement” and “without
replacement”
 HELP OUR FRIEND!
Paulo wants to design a probability
experiment for his class. He uses 12 colored
balls. He has 3 different colors of balls; red,
white, and green. He places the balls in a bag. He
then removes a ball from the bag.
 HELP OUR FRIEND!

If Paulo wants all the outcomes of the

experiment to be equal, how many balls of each
color should he place in the bag?
 HELP OUR FRIEND!

Draw a diagram to represent the outcomes

of the experiment.
HELP OUR FRIEND!

RED WHITE GREEN

 HELP OUR FRIEND!

*
*What is the probability of getting a green ball?
 HELP OUR FRIEND!

If Paulo takes out a green ball first and does

not replace it back into the bag, what is the
probability of taking out a green ball on a second
draw? Draw a diagram to demonstrate your
answer.
HELP OUR FRIEND!
HELP OUR FRIEND!

The answer will be .

 HELP OUR FRIEND!
If Paulo then removes all the balls from the bag
and replaces them with a different combination of
the three colors, how many white balls would have to
be in the bag to get a probability of for a draw of a
white ball?
 LET’S WORK!
Design a different combination of colors (that
means that the combination would not be 4 of
each color) for the 12 balls and calculate the
probability of each color from a single draw? If
there is a second draw of a ball from the bag, find
the difference between the probabilities for ‘with
replacement’ and ‘without replacement’.
 DID YOU KNOW?

According to statistical data, in every

1,000 pregnant women, the probability
of having fraternal twins is only 2 %
 REFLECTION

What do you think were the key

mathematical concepts addressed in this
lesson?
 REFLECTION

What would you describe as the main

barriers, if any, to your ongoing progress
and achievement in relation to the topic
area addressed in this lesson?
 REFLECTION

What do you think would best assist

your ongoing progress and achievement
in relation to the topic area?
THANK YOU FOR
LISTENING!