RIZAL TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY

COLLEGE OF GRADUATE STUDIES

Cities of Mandaluyong and Pasig

STRATEGIC
FORESIGHT
J E R A M AY N . S E RV I N O
M A S T E R O F A RT S I N P S Y C H O L O G Y
WHAT IS
STRATEGIC FORESIGHT?
S T R AT E G I C F O R E S I G H T I S A S T R AT E G I C F O R E S I G H T A L L O W S
S T R U C T U R E D A N D S Y S T E M AT I C U S T O C R E AT E F U N C T I O N A L
WAY O F U S I N G I D E A S A B O U T T H E V I E W S O F A LT E R N AT I V E
F U T U R E T O A N T I C I PAT E A N D FUTURES AND POSSIBILITIES.
B E T T E R P R E PA R E F O R C H A N G E .
01 WHAT FUTURE?

FRAME THE DOMAIN

• The subject of the inquiry

• The time horizon you want to explore.

BODY
TRENDS NOT OPINIONS:
BASING THE FUTURE ON FACTS
CRITERIAS OF TREND

• The trend must be increasing, decreasing, or changing in some fundamental way; and

• It must be documented by a credible source.

02
W H AT T R E N D T O
EXPLORE?
W H AT T R E N D T O
EXPLORE?
MORE THAN ONE FUTURE

• What if… your pool faces a significant, plausible disruption?

• What if… your pool chooses to ignore STEEP trends?

• What if… your pool catches a few lucky breaks?

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3 CRITICAL CRITERIA OF SCENARIOS
• Plausible
• Relevant
• Challenging

SEVERAL TYPES OF SCENARIOS

• The official future - sometimes called as "Baseline Scenario"
• Watch and wait
• Negative Disruption
B Y• TPositive
H O M A S Disruption
WILSON

• Blue Sky
DESIGNING SCENARIOS :
CONE OF PLAUSIBILITY
3B T R A N S F O R M AT I O N A L
FA C T O R S

• What issues or factors show up in two or more scenarios?

• Which of these things are within our pool’s control or sphere of
influence?
• Which of these things, if we managed them well, would mitigate risk or
help us gain an advantage in some way?
 DEFINING OUTRAGEOUS SUCCESS

• Identify one vision for each transformational factor

• Vision of success varies depending on the number of the identified
factors

"What would outrageous success for this factor look like in (insert selected
domain year)?"

04
BACKCASTING - MOVING FROM THE
FUTURE TO THE PRESENT

05
06
THE FUTURE STARTS TODAY
Ready for implementation!
THANKS FOR
LISTENING!