ASSESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON

COASTAL AGRICULRE : AN ANALYTICAL STUDY OF

VULNERABILITY AND ADAPTATION IN THIRUVALLUR
DISTRICT

Presented by
ARULARASI A. (2019223028)
M. E. IWM
CENTRE FOR WATER RESOURCES,
ANNA UNIVERSITY,
CHENNAI 600 025.
Guided by
Dr. SOORYA VENNILA
ASSISTANT PROFESSOR (Sr. Gr)
CENTRE FOR WATER RESOURCES,
ANNA UNIVERSITY,
CHENNAI 600 025.
 INTRODUCTION

 Climate change has become a serious threat, not just to

our environment but also to the growth and development
of nations.
 India ranks first in the world with highest net cropped
area followed by US and Russia
 According to latest fao report, agriculture is primary
source of livelihood for 58% population in India.
 The effects of climate change could be devastating to
coastal and marine areas as well as to the function and
structure of their ecosystems.
 Increasing sea level, changes the shape of coastlines, Source: CIA WORLD FACTBOOK
contributes to coastal erosion and leads to flooding and
more underground salt-water intrusion ultimately
affecting the coastal allied activities in addition to
agriculture.
 NEED FOR STUDY

 To take practical actions to manage the risks that

results from climate change, protect communities and
strengthen the resilience of towards climate change.
 To know about the direct impacts of climate
change on the livelihood of the people living by
coastal regions.
 In order to reduce the vulnerability of human and
agricultural systems for the changing climate in
coastal zones.
 To know how it widely affects the socio-econimc
life of the people those habitat near the coastal
regions since they receive double impact due to sea Source: USGS
level rise.
 OBJECTIVE

 To identify the non-climate stressors and climate-induced stressors

responsible for the change in agricultural practices in coastal regions.
To assess the impacts of vulnerable conditions in coastal zones under
agricultural activities.
To analyse the role of community imparted in agriculture and social
life in order to escape the vulnerability.
To identify the differences in inland agricultural and coastal
agricultural practices in a coastal district.
 To analyse the awareness among the farmers regarding the climate
change induced agriculture shift practices in coastal regions.
 LITERATURE REVIEW
TITLE Sustainability of Coastal Agriculture under Climate Change
Tharani Gopalakrishnan, Md Kamrul Hasan, A. T. M. Sanaul Haque, Sadeeka
AUTHORS
Layomi Jayasinghe and Lalit Kumar
YEAR 2019
JOURNAL Sustainability, 2019
STUDY AREA Sri Lanka
To identify the climate stressors (temperature, rainfall, mean sea level,
tropical cyclones), non-climate stressors (urbanization, population growth,
MOTIVE migration, pollution, tourism, etc) and climate-change induced stressors
(floods, Inundation, sea water intrusion) and their impacts in the coastal
agriculture.
MODEL/TOOLS
Paricipatory Rural Appraisal Tools
USED
Ways to increase the sustainability of coastal agriculture is given by combing
INFERENCE
farmer’s perception, adaptation techniques and gender specific participation.
 LITERATURE REVIEW
Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture and Changing Adaptive Strategies
TITLE
in the Coastal Area of Lakshmipur District
Mohammad Abul Hasnat, Nazmul Hossain, Muhammad Muhibbullah,
AUTHORS
MdIqbal Sarwar and Tanjia Shormin
YEAR 2016
JOURNAL Current World Environment, Vol. 11.
STUDY AREA Bangladesh
To identify the climate change induced disasters, its impacts on agriculture in
the coastal areas and coping strategies used by the victims of different
MOTIVE
disasters. To find the socio-economic conditions of the community and their
agricultural production and practices.
Paricipatory Rural Appraisal Tools,
MODEL/TOOLS
Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS: version-16)
USED
Arc GIS 9.1 software
Climate change factors are analysed for past 40 years in the study area and
INFERENCE coping techniques like changing the agriculture pattern, rotation of crops,
shifting to commercial crops for increasing their income.
 LITERATURE REVIEW

TITLE Trend analysis of long-term weather variables in mid-altitude Meghalaya

AUTHORS B. U. Choudhury, Anup Das, L.J. Bordoloi

YEAR 2012
JOURNAL Journal of Agricultural Physics
STUDY AREA Meghalaya, India.
To study intra-annual variations of different climatic variables(temperature,
rainfall, evapotranspiration, sunshine hours, wind velocity, humidity); To
MOTIVE
estimate the climate water balance; To identify the frequency of extreme
events.
MODEL/TOOLS Mann-Kendall test
USED Sen’s slope estimator
Climate change factors are analysed for past 40 years in the study area and
INFERENCE coping techniques like changing the agriculture pattern, rotation of crops,
shifting to commercial crops for increasing their income were studied.
 LITERATURE REVIEW
An exploratory study on occurrence and impact of climate change on
TITLE
agriculture in Tamil Nadu
R. Jayakumara Varadan, Pramod Kumar, Girish Kumar Jha, Suresh Pal &
AUTHORS
Rashmi Singh
YEAR 2015
JOURNAL Theoretical and Applied Climatology
STUDY AREA Tamil Nadu, India.
To determine the temperature & rainfall trend; to find the effects of change in
MOTIVE
climate parameters in agriculture & to analyse the changes that had occurred.
Mann–Kendall Rank Correlation Test
MODEL/TOOLS
Sen’s Slope Estimator
USED
Pettitt’s Homogeneity Test
Study area, Tamil Nadu had been classified into five climatic zones such as
North-Eastern, North-Western, Western, Cauvery Delta and Southern zones
INFERENCE in order to cover the varied agro-production. Trend had been created for past
40 years and is done individually for each months in order to find the shift of
monsoon.
 LITERATURE REVIEW
Socio-economic Impacts of Climate Change in Odisha: Issues, Challenges
TITLE
and Policy Options
AUTHORS P.K. Mishra
YEAR 2017
JOURNAL Journal of Climate Change
STUDY AREA Odisha, India.
To analyze the socio-economic impacts of climate change in a most
vulnerable coastal state of India ; To analyse the government policies and
MOTIVE
actions implemented so far to adapt and mitigate the climate change in the
state; To enhance the climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies
MODEL/TOOLS
Particpatory Rural Appraisal Tool.
USED
The effects of climate change in general for entire state for almost all sectors
like agriculture, forestry, industry, wetland, mining, water resources, human
INFERENCE health, etc. is done and efficient usage of government allotted funds for the
adaptation and mitigation programs were analysed. Also possible adaptation
strategies for all sectors was suggested.
 LITERATURE REVIEW
A Farmers’ perceptions of climate change and the proposed agriculture
TITLE
adaptation strategies in a semi arid region of south India
Dhanya P. and Ramachandran (Centre for Climate Change and Adaptation
AUTHORS
Research)
YEAR 2015
JOURNAL Journal of Integrative Environmental Sciences
STUDY AREA Kancheepuram, Tamil Nadu.
To assess the awareness among farmers about the climate change and to
MOTIVE know their perception; To create a trend analysis for past 50 years climate
variables.
MODEL/TOOLS Particpatory Rural Appraisal Tool;
USED Mann–Kendall Test; Sen’s Slope Estimator
Socio-economic status of the farmers in the study area was analysed through
FGD and questionnaire survey. Farmers adaptation techniques for climate
change like cultivation of short-duration heat tolerant crops, vegetables and
INFERENCE
floriculture crops, diversified livelihood, conserving the existing farm ponds,
construction of small check dams, Supplying drought/salt-tolerant seeds
through agriculture extension offices
 LITERATURE REVIEW
Change Point Detection and Trend Analysis of Rainfall and Temperature
TITLE
Series over the Vellar River Basin
AUTHORS Supriya P., Krishnaveni Muthiah (Centre for Water Resources)
YEAR 2018
JOURNAL Journal of Environmental Studies
STUDY AREA Vellar River Basin, Tamil Nadu
To understand the variability of rainfall and temperature in order to improve
the hydrological environment of the river basin; To spot the climate deviation
MOTIVE in the whole climatological data period of 45 years. To frame adaptation
strategy based on the revealed characteristics of climate variables at the
regional level.
MODEL/TOOLS
Mann–kendall Test; Sen’s Slope Estimator; Change Point Detection Method.
USED
INFERENCE A clear method of doing trend analysis were provided for further study and
 LITERATURE REVIEW
Climate Change Adaptation Strategies – A Case Study Of The Nagapattinam
TITLE
Coastal Stretch
AUTHORS Ilanangai K (Centre for Water Resources)
YEAR 2020
JOURNAL M. E. Thesis Report
STUDY AREA Nagapattinam, Tamil Nadu
To critically analyze the existing State Disaster Management Perspective Plan
2018 – 2030; To analyze the changes that had happened in vegetative cover
MOTIVE
and water bodies using NDVI, and MNDWI indices; To identify the
perception of the people on management practices.
MODEL/TOOLS
ArcGIS 10.3 (NDVI, MNDWI); SPSS software ; PRA tools
USED
The changes in the vegetative cover and water bodies were analysed using the
ArcGis and decreased trend can be noted. State Disaster Management
Perspective Plan of (2018-2030) was analysed by using PRA tools among
INFERENCE
officials of different departments and community people, it resulted as state
plan focuses in proactive mitigation measures and lack of finance risk
management.. Suggestions and adaptation for better management practices
 STUDY AREA
• Tiruvallur is a fast developing
district in the southern state of
Tamil Nadu.
• The study area is bounded by
Andhra Pradesh in the north,
Chennai district in the south,
Vellore district in the east and
Bay of Bengal in the west
• Likely 47% of the people’s
livelihood in district depends on
agriculture and related activities.
• The coastal influenced
agriculture is also predominant
in kosasthalaiyar river basin
Source: JOURNAL OF ETHNO
BIOLOGY
 DATA COLLECTION

 As for the data regarding the climate change parameters in

coastal regions like temperature, precipitation, mean sea level,
wind velocity, etc are to be collected from
1. India Meteorological Department (IMD), pune
2.Regional Meteorological Centre, Chennai
 As for the study area details, data is collected from
Department of economics and statistics, Chennai National
Informatics Centre and Disrict level Agristat Statistical
Information of India
 REFERENCE
Burhan U Choudhury, Anup Das, L.J. Bordoloi. 2012. Trend analysis of long-term weather
variables in mid-altitude Meghalaya. Journal of Agricultural Physics Vol. 12, No. 1, pp. 12-22.
Dhanya P and Ramachandran. 2015. A Farmers’ perceptions of climate change and the proposed
agriculture adaptation strategies in a semi arid region of south India. Journal of Integrative
Environmental Sciences.
Manas Ranjan Senapati, Bhagirathi Behera, Sruti Ranjan Mishra. 2013. Impact of Climate Change
on Indian Agriculture & Its Mitigating Priorities. American Journal of Environmental Protection,
2013, Vol. 1, No. 4, 109-111.
Mohammad Abul Hasnat, Nazmul Hossain, Muhammad Muhibbullah, MdIqbal Sarwar and
Tanjia Shormin. 2016. Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture and Changing Adaptive
Strategies in the Coastal Area of Lakshmipur District, Bangladesh. Current World Environment
Vol. 11(3), 700-714.
Nazmul Huq, Jean Huge, Emmanuel Boon and Animesh K. Gain. 2015. Climate Change Impacts
in Agricultural Communities in Rural Areas of Coastal Bangladesh: A Tale of Many Stories.
Sustainability 2015, 7, 8437-8460.
P.K. Mishra. 2017. Socio-economic Impacts of Climate Change in Odisha: Issues, Challenges and
Policy Options. Journal of Climate Change, Vol. 3, No. 1 (2017), pp. 93–107.
 REFERENCE
R. Jayakumara Varadan, Pramod Kumar, Girish Kumar Jha, Suresh Pal & Rashmi Singh. 2015.
An exploratory study on occurrence and impact of climate change on agriculture in Tamil Nadu,
India. Theor Appl Climatol DOI 10.1007/s00704-015-1682-9.
S. Sarun & A. Ghermandi & A. M. Sheela & J. Justus & P. Vineetha. 2018. Climate change
vulnerability in a tropical region based on environmental and socio-economic factors. Environ
Monit Assess 190:727.
Supriya P., Krishnaveni Muthiah. 2018. Change Point Detection and Trend Analysis of Rainfall
and Temperature Series over the Vellar River Basin, Pol. J. Environ. Stud. Vol. 27, No. 4 (2018),
1673-1681.
Tharani Gopalakrishnan, Md Kamrul Hasan, A. T. M. Sanaul Haque, Sadeeka Layomi Jayasinghe
and Lalit Kumar. 2019. Sustainability of Coastal Agriculture under Climate Change.
Sustainability 2019, 11, 7200.
Vitor Baccarin Zanetti, Wilson Cabral de Sousa Junior and Débora M. De Freitas. 2016. Climate
Change Vulnerability Index and Case Study in a Brazilian Coastal City. Sustainability 2016, 8,
811.
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