Development Economic Growth Gross domestic product (GDP) • GDP is the value of all final goods and services produced within a nation in a given year basic measure of a country's economic performance or economic growth. i.e. the total value produced within a country
• GDP = private consumption + gross investment +
government spending + (exports − imports),
• GDP = C + I + G + (X − M).
• The profits of a US-owned company operating in the UK will
count towards US GNI and UK GDP, but will not count towards UK GNI or US GDP. Economic Growth Gross domestic product (GDP) • Per capita income or per capita GDP means how much everyone receives, in monetary terms, of the yearly income generated in the country. • GDP/Capita • Accordingly, economic growth can simply be defined as a rise in GDP or GDP per capita. Economic Growth Gross domestic product (GDP)
• When measuring economic growth by using
per capita income figures to classify countries into rich and poor and compare rates of development in different countries, we face 2 difficulties: 1. problem of national income accounting in developing countries. 2. problem of converting each country’s per capita income using foreign exchange. Economic Growth Gross domestic product (GDP) 1.For national income accounting : Only goods produced and sold in the market are included in the value of national income, much output in developing countries is not reaching the market, particularly in the rural sector, where production for subsistence purposes misleads the accurate output. Economic Growth Gross domestic product (GDP) 2. For converting each country’s per capita income: The domestic currency of each country must be transferred into a common unit of account ( that is US $) to be able to make meaningful international comparisons of living standards which involves exchange rate difficulties as well as not the same prices as . Also, per capita income ignores the distribution of income within the countries, differences in development potential, and other physical indicators of the quality of life. Question...!!! • If you know the real per-capita GDP or GNP of two economies, can you compare the welfare level of the people in these two economies? The answer is ........ • NO...!!! Economic Development
• Development looks at a wider range of
statistics than just GDP per capita. • Development is concerned with how people are actually affected. It looks at their actual living standards. Measurement of Economic Development
• The United Nations Development Programme
(UNDP) has two alternative indexes to compare the level of development and the progress of countries : 1. Human Development Index (HDI). 2. Human Poverty Index ( HPI). We will focus on the HDI. Human Development Index (HDI) analyze systematically and comprehensively the comparative status of socioeconomic development in different countries. Human Development Index • The HDI attempts to rank all countries on a scale of 0 (lowest human development) to 1 (highest human development). It is based on 3 variables : 1. Life expectancy at birth. 2. Educational attainment, measured by a combination of ; adult literacy (2/3) Gross enrollment ratio- primary, middle, secondary schools & post-secondary education (1/3) 3. Income Index measured by real GDP per capita at PPP adjusted for the differences of each country’s currency. Human Development Index
• HDI = 1/3 (income index) + 1/3 (life
expectancy Index) + 1/3 (education index) • Using these three measures of development and applying a formula to data for 177 countries, the HDI ranks countries into three groups: low human development (0.0 to 0.499), medium human development (0.50 to 0.799), and high human development (0.80 to 1.0). Human Development Index 1. Income Index • Adjusted income is found by simply taking the natural log of current income. Then, to find the income index, one subtracts the natural log of $100PPP from the natural log of current income. This $100 is seen as the lowest possible income a country can achieve. • To put this achievement in perspective, consider it in relation to the maximum that a country could reasonably aspire to over the coming generation. The UNDP takes this at $40,000 PPP. Human Development Index 1. Income Index • This gives each country an index number that ranges between 0 and 1. • For example, in the case of Bangladesh, whose 2004 PPP income was $1,870, the income index is calculated as follows: Human Development Index 1. Income Index • With a value of the income index about midway through the maximum and minimum points (0.49 is close to 0.5), for the case of Bangladesh, it indicates that an income of $1,870, which is already enough to reach nearly halfway to the maximum value that the index can take. Human Development Index 2. Life Expectancy Index • To find the life expectancy (health proxy) index, the UNDP starts with a country’s current life expectancy at birth and subtracts 25 years. The latter is the lower reference, the lowest that life expectancy could have been in any country over the last generation. • Then the UNDP divides the result by 85 years minus 25 years, which represents the range of life expectancies expected over the previous and next generations. Human Development Index 2. Life Expectancy Index • That is, it is anticipated that 85 years is the maximum reasonable life expectancy for a country to try to achieve over the coming generation. • For example, in the case of Bangladesh, whose population life expectancy in 2004 was 63.3 years, the life expectancy index is calculated as, follows: Human Development Index 3. Education Index • The education index is made up of two parts, with two‐thirds weight on literacy and one‐third weight on school enrollment. • This index is also capped at 100%. In the case of Bangladesh, adult literacy is estimated (rather uncertainly) at 41 %, so Human Development Index 3.Education Index • For the gross enrollment index, Bangladesh estimates that 57% of its population are enrolled in primary, secondary, and high schools, so the country receives the following value: Human Development Index 3. Education Index • Then, to get the overall education index, the adult literacy index is multiplied by two‐thirds and the gross enrollment index is multiplied by one‐third. • This choice reflects the view that literacy is the fundamental characteristic of an educated person. In the case of Bangladesh, this gives us Human Development Index HDI Calculation • In the final index, each of the three components receives equal, or one‐third, weight. Thus, Advantages of HDI 1. One major advantage of the HDI is that it does reveal that a country can do much better than might be expected at a low level of income and that substantial income gains can still accomplish relatively little in human development. 2. The HDI reminds us that by development we mean broad human development, not just higher income. Many countries, such as some of the higher‐income oil producers, have been said to have experienced “growth without development.” Ex: Nigeria in Africa and Venezuela in Latin America Advantages of HDI 3. Improvements in health and education are also important development goals. We cannot easily argue that a high-income country with a low life expectancy and literacy index has achieved a higher level of development than a low-income country with a high life expectancy and literacy index. Criticisms of the HDI 1. One is that gross enrollment in many cases overstates the amount of schooling because in many countries a student who begins primary school is counted as enrolled without considering whether the student drops out at some stage. 2. Equal (one‐third) weight is given to each of the three components, which clearly has some value judgment behind it, but it is difficult to determine what this is. Note that because the variables are measured in very different types of units, it is difficult even to say precisely what equal weights mean. Criticisms of the HDI 3. Finally, there is no attention to the role of quality. For example, there is a big difference between an extra year of life as a healthy, well‐functioning individual and an extra year with a sharply limited range of capabilities (such as being confined to bed). 4. Moreover, the quality of schooling counts, not just the number of years of enrollment. Some further remarks • In 2020, the country with the lowest HDI (0.400) was Chad, and the one with the highest (0.959) was Iceland. Application #1 True or false: 1. Real GDP measures the standard of living( ). 2. The HDI attempts to rank all countries on a scale of 1 to 100( ) 3. HDI is a summary measure of average achievement in key dimensions of human development ( ). 4. The education dimension is measured by the gross enrollment index only ( ) 5. Health dimension is assessed by mortality rate( ). Application #1 • Compare between the advantages and disadvantages of HDI. • Explain briefly the components of the HDI • In 2005, India’s life expectancy was 71.4 years. Adult literacy rate and gross enrollment ratio were 87.4% and 68.7% respectively. GDP per Capita (PPP) was 8407$. Calculate HDI. The End