NEW POLL: Murphys Lead Expands to Six, Momentum Grow...

http://www.chrismurphy.com/news/entry/new-poll-murphys-lea...

Join the campaign Your Email Zip GO

AboutGet to know Chris Issues Where He Stands Blog Latest From The Trail News Read All About It Video Watch The Latest Contribute Your Support Is Critical

NEW POLL: Murphys Lead Expands to Six, Momentum Growing Heading into Final Stretch
October 25 2012

Gotham Research Group poll mirrors Quinnipiac Poll; Murphy up 47-41 overall, 51-39 among women Murphy lead grows following debates; Strong plurality think he did a better job
Rocky HillToday, the Murphy campaign released the following memorandum from Gotham Research Group on a poll conducted for the campaign. This new poll comes one day after the independent Quinnipiac poll showed that Murphy has taken a six point lead in the campaign. The trend in Connecticut is clear: the more voters learn about Linda McMahons right-wing Republican views, and the more they see the candidates debate the issues that matter to them, the more they move toward Chris Murphy, said Eli Zupnick, a spokesman for the Murphy campaign. As recent polls have shown, Chriss momentum is growing as he campaigns across the state discussing his work creating jobs, investing in the middle class, and fighting for women and their health care rights. Voters are seeing through Linda McMahons $80 million campaign of stale smears and attack ads, and just as we saw in 2010, she has clearly hit a ceiling as voters focus on the election and make their final decision about the race.

MEMORANDUM To: Kenny Curran, Campaign Manager, Chris Murphy for Senate

1 of 3

10/25/12 2:57 PM

NEW POLL: Murphys Lead Expands to Six, Momentum Grow...

http://www.chrismurphy.com/news/entry/new-poll-murphys-lea...

From: Subject: Date: Key Findings

Jeffrey Levine, Ph.D. Recent 2012 Connecticut U.S. Senate Race Polling October 25, 2012

The results of a recent survey of registered likely voters in Connecticut demonstrate that Congressman Chris Murphy now has a clear lead over Linda McMahon in the close race for U.S. Senate. The survey, conducted October 22-24, demonstrates that Murphy currently has a 6-point lead over McMahon (47% to 41%). These results track closely with the most recent October 19-22 Quinnipiac Poll that shows Murphy with a 6-point lead over McMahon (49% to 43%) a 7-point swing from the October 4 Quinnipiac survey which showed McMahon with a 1 point lead over Murphy (48% to 47%). Murphy has a 68-point advantage over McMahon among Democrats (80% to 12%) and a 12-point lead among women (51% to 39%). Consistent with the October 19-22 Quinnipiac Poll, the gap between the candidates among men has narrowed; Murphy now has a 1-point edge among men (44% to 43%).

Gender Total Sample Women Men Democrat

Partisanship

Indep.

Republican

Chris Murphy Linda McMahon Undecided

47% 41% 11%

51% 39% 10%

44% 43% 11%

80% 12% 7%

35% 46% 17%

10% 81% 8%

Suppose the election for U.S. Senate were being held today between (ROTATE) Democrat Chris Murphy and Republican Linda McMahon, for whom would you vote? Source: Gotham Research Group Poll of 400 likely voters, conducted October 22-24, 2012. Margin of error is +/4.9%. Those who saw the recent debates between Murphy and McMahon declare Murphy to be the clear winner (42% - Murphy did a better job vs. 33% - McMahon did a better job), including women (45% to 33%), men (40% to 33%), and Independents (32% to 30%). Conclusion Despite McMahons monetary advantage, Murphy has opened up a lead, gained ground among key demographic groups, and is in a strong position as the race enters its final 13 days. Methodology

2 of 3

10/25/12 2:57 PM

NEW POLL: Murphys Lead Expands to Six, Momentum Grow...

http://www.chrismurphy.com/news/entry/new-poll-murphys-lea...

The findings described in this memo are based on a survey conducted October 22-24, 2012 among a representative sample of 400 registered voters likely to vote in the 2012 election for U.S. Senate in Connecticut. The margin of error on the total sample of 400 is +/- 4.9% (at a 95% confidence interval). The study was conducted by telephone using live professional interviewers. Voters were randomly selected from a list of registered voters in Connecticut. All the numbers are presented as percentages and, due to rounding, may not add up to 100%.

Home About Issues Blog News Video Contribute copyright 2010 - 2012 Chris Murphy For Senate | Privacy Policy | Contact Us

Paid for by Friends of Chris Murphy

3 of 3

10/25/12 2:57 PM