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59

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0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

sbra@a
@HI@
@ @ia

P.Value
0.001

@n
pbia

15.787

0.018

1.7405

6.898

@
pbia

a@pbu
1

0.7605

bjna@

1.7405

(x1)

0.7605

(x2)

0.947

0.005

0.0005

0.0005

(x2)

**

**

0.11025

16

1.764

**

**

**

17

4.2655

( x1)

0.947

P.Value

.5

(y1)

(y1)

Z:na

P.Value

x2, x1)

.5
)

.
(

x2, x1)

:Hy2I@bra@ibna@na@@Hx2, x1I@qdn@bjna@@u N5

60

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

MANOVA na@bjna@

@HI@

@n
pbia

P.Value @ @ia
0.012

7.918

0.071

@pbu
a

1.3005

3.729

@
pbia

1.3005

0.6125

0.6125

bjna@

(x1)

(x2)

0.087

3.315

0.5445

0.5445

**

**

0.16425

16

2.628

**

**

**

19

5.0855

x2, x1)

:na

:
( y 1)

( y 1)

(x1)

.5

.5

:Hy3I@sbra@ibna@na@@Hx2,

P.Value

x2, x1)

.
( x2)
P.Value

x1I@qdn@bjna@@u N6

61

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

sbra@a

@HI@
P.Value @ @ia

@n
pbia

@pbu
a

@
pbia

bjna@

0.752

0.1036

0.4205

0.4205

(x1)

0.288

1.2077

4.9005

4.9005

(x2)

0.338

0.9760

3.9605

3.9605
(

**

**

4.05775

16

64.924

**

**

**

19

74.2055

x2, x1)

:na
:

(x1)
(

x2, x1)

P.Value

( x2)

(y 3)

.5

:@ c@bja@@
.

62

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

@ @iaa@a
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@ @@bya@bna@
Analysis of Covariance

(ANCOVA)

63

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

64

 
  #.... "!   

 2*3$  # &4"/01,$-. ()*+'&0020109787442 $%

ANCOVA bya bna@

@@

@ @iaa@a
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@

bya bna@
Analysis of Covariance
(ANCOVA)

ANCOVA

.(

) ANOVA

ANCOVA

.(1)

@ @Z@br

:l
@ a

. 5

Control

Variable

Covariates

65

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

iaa@a

a@bu

(Y)

aa@lu@bu

(x)

@ @ba@bu

(x)

(Y)

(x)

(Y)

0.66

12

0.75

15

0.70

0.25

18

0.82

11

0.65

18

0.79

0.40

0.50

20

0.94

14

0.65

16

0.60

14

0.74

15

0.55

18

0.90

@ @Zbya@a

.

@ @Zpbbja@bg

66

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ANCOVA bya bna@

@ @bjna@m@pa

GLM Linear Model

Analyze
Univariate ..

(1

67

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

iaa@a

Dependent

[y]
.

Treatment

Variable:

.Fixed Factor(s):
.Covariate(s)

[X]

Ok

(2

68

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ANCOVA bya bna@

P.Value

( )

0.616

0.506

7.521

14.503

14.325

11

157.578

13

172.081

@ @Zna

69

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

iaa@a

P.Value

0.05

0.616

:z

One-Way

ANCOVA

Two-Way ANCOVA

N-Way ANCOVA

70

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ba@a
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
na@bna@
Multivariate Analysis of Covariance

(MANCOVA)

71

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

72

 
  #.... "!   

 2*3$  # &4"/01,$-. ()*+'&0020109787442 $%

MANCOVA na bna@

@@

@ @ba@@a
@
na bna@
Multivariate Analysis of Covariance

@@

(MANCOVA)

@@
@ @Z

MANOVA

MANCOVA

(
(

MANCOVA

.(1)

:br

. 5

Control

Variable

Covariates

73

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ba@a

@ @ba@pbba

a pbba

16

11

13

15

12

13

18

17

16

10

14

11

18

11

14

14

15

17

14

@ @Zbya@a
:(y1) ibna na (x1) na na qdm .1

:(H0)

74

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

MANCOVA na bna@

:(H1)

:(y2) ibna na (x1) na na qdm .2

:(H0)

:(H1)

@ @Zpbbja@bg

75

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ba@a

@ @Zbjna@m@pa

Linear Model GLM

Analyze

Multivariate ..

(y1 , y2)

(1

. Dependent Variables:
Fixed

[x1]

.Factor(s):
Covariate(s):

cov1

ok

(2

76

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

MANCOVA na bna@

P.Value

(y1, y2)
.5

77

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ba@a

78

 
  #.... "!   

 2*3$  # &4"/01,$-. ()*+'&0020109787442 $%

ba@a
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
bjma
Correlation Analysis

79

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

80

 
  #.... "!   

 2*3$  # &4"/01,$-. ()*+'&0020109787442 $%

Correlation Analysis bjma@

@ @ba@a

@@
@@

@ @bjma@

@@

@Correlation Analysis

@@
@ @Z

(1) , (1+)

()


(+)
.

@ @:bjma@b@b@qq@SPSS@wbi@@Lb@i

:Pearson @ i@bjma@b
.

: Spearman's rho@k
@ m@bj@bjma@b .2
.

.1

:Kendall's

tau km@
@ a@b

.3

@ @Zbjma@b@@bjna
81

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ba@a

@ @Z@@bjna@by@ .1

H0 : = 0
H1 : 0

:( H 0 )

:( H 1 )

Zya@@@bjna@by@ .2

H0 : 0
H1 : f 0

H0 : 0
H1 : p 0

:[

1] br
:la

82

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

Correlation Analysis bjma@

o
.5

ba

15

100

10

120

30

150

40

180

45

200

20

210

80

190

50

400

100

250

60

350

90

600

@@
@ @Zpbbja@bg
:

83

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ba@a

@ @Z:paa
Z@@bjna@by@@Zc
Bivariate

Correlate

Analyze

..

(1

84

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

Correlation Analysis bjma@

(income, savings)

. Variables:

.(

Two-

.(

) Pearson

) tailed

Ok

(2

@@
@ @Zb na@wbna@m
p-value

bjma@b

0.043

0.617

85

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ba@a

.(0.617+)

4.3

0.043

P.Value

@ @Zya@@@bjna@by@@Zbbq

H0 : 0

H1 : f 0
One

@ @Zpaa

tailed
:


Two

(1

tailed

86

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

Correlation Analysis bjma@

Ok

(2

:na@wbna@m
@ @bjma@b

@ @p-value
0.021

2.1

P.Value

0.021

0.617

[2]

br

87

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ba@a

@ @bya@b@pam @ @jba@b@pam

:la
.
.(

. 5

88

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

Correlation Analysis bjma@

@ @na
5

@ @a

@ @Zpbbja@bg

:paa

Correlate

Analyze

Bivariate ..

(1

89

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ba@a

(account, stat)

. Variables:

). Pearson

Spearman

Two-

tailed

Ok

(2

90

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

Correlation Analysis bjma@

@ @Zna@wbna@m

p-value

bjma@b

0.027

0.692

:
.(0.692)

2.7

P.Value

0.027

5
.

91

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ba@a

Correlation Matrix
.

bjma@

:[3] br
:

X4

X3

X2

X1

24

10

35

12

18

20

20

10

45

15

14

60

16

12

33

11

17

11

50

14

11

15

36

25

10

18

25

16

15

20

44

14

45

15

12

18

25

15

24

33

11

15

14

la

92

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

Correlation Analysis bjma@

Zpbbja@bg

:paa

Correlate

Analyze

Bivariate ..

(1

93

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ba@a

(X1 ,

X2

X3

X 4)

.Variables

Person

Two-tailed

( Sig. ) P.Value
.

Output

. OK
:

(2

94

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

Correlation Analysis bjma@

: wbna@m

P.Value

0.042

0.594

(X2) (X1)

0.483

0.225

(X3) (X1)

0.450

0.241

(X4) (X1)

0.573

0.181

(X3) (X2)

0.007

0.728

(X4) (X2)

0.750

0.103

(X4) (X3)

95

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ba@a

:na
(X4) (X2)

(X2) (X1)

P.Value

P.Value

Partial Correlation a@bjma


)

.(

:(

.(

: (1)
)

4) br

96

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

Correlation Analysis bjma@

@ @a@@bia@

@ @ba

@ @a

2
1

15
10

100
120

30

150

2
3
5
4
2
1
3
1

40
45
20
80
50
100
60
90

180
200
210
190
400
250
350
600

@ @Zpbbja@bg

97

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ba@a

@ @Zpaa

Correlate

Analyze

(1

Partial ..

(income, savings)
Variables:

children

Controlling for

Ok

(2

98

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

Correlation Analysis bjma@

@ @Zna@wbna@m

p-value

bjma@b

0.065

0.6022

@ @Zc@z

.
.

99

   "!  #.... 


 

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ba@a

100

 
  #.... "!   

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iba@a

@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@@
@ @ja@a@aa@

@ @Simple Linear Regression Analysis

101

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102

 
  #.... "!   

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ja@a@aa@

@ @ja@a@aa@@
@Simple Linear Regression Analysis

Simple Regression Models


Multiple

Regression Models

( Y)
:

:ja@a@aa@xb :a@a

(X)

Y = B0 + B1 X

@ @Zna@a@aa@xb@Z@bra@a

(Xs)

(Y)
:

Y = B0 + B1 X 1 + B2 X 2 + B3 X 3 + ............ + Bk X k

: (k )

:aa@x@m@pa

103

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iba@a

:a@a@Z c
(1

@@ a@a@ba@@ aa@pb@@pabg@ H@ cI@ bma

:aa@@ba

.(

:x@na@a@Hb@cI@j (2
104

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ja@a@aa@

:aa@x@na@bi

40 30

60

@ @Zba@a@Zbbq
:

:aa@x@a@a (1

) ( ].[F- test

(
.

105

 
  #.... "!   

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iba@a

:
.(


T -

)]

:x a a (2

.[(test

.aa@x@b@m@@na@a@@am@ (3
.OLS

:Normality Test aj@bnya@na@ana

( )

( )

106

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ja@a@aa@

.(1)

30

:aj maa na

(F) (T)

(R2)

:Homoscedasticity (bjna pbjq bjna) aja b bjng

.(2)

biased

:iba@a@jm@@a@rbi@|

:br
1

Palta, Mari, (2003)," Quantitative Methods in population health:


Extensions of ordinary regression", Wiley IEEE, p 6.

Berk, Richard A., (2003)," Regression analysis: a constructive critique", Sage


publications Inc., p 144.

107

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

iba@a

:
na

127

158

130

160

129

175

125

157

115

130

119

150

121

152

124

162

97

125

92

115

85

125

114

145

118

140

110

142

119

140

104

138

102

126

:la
. 5

:paa
108

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ja@a@aa@

Regression

Analyze

Linear

(1

(2

109

   "!  #.... 


 

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iba@a

Consumption [y]

. Respondent

Income

(x)

. Independent(s)
:

Statistics

(3

110

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ja@a@aa@

] Durbin Watson

. [Residuals
Model Fit

Estimates

.
.

Save

Continue

(4

111

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

iba@a

Unstandardized
Predicted Values

standardized
Residuals

Plots

Continue

(5

112

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ja@a@aa@

Normal probability plot

. Standardized Residual Plots


.

ok

Continue

(6

Durbin-Watson bjna@byg@zna@b@u .1

113

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

iba@a

.(

:Std.

Error

:R (
.(

:R Square (

:Adjusted R Square (
of

the

Estimate

.(1)(MSE)
:Durbin-Watson (

:ANOVA bjna@@u .2

:
.
.

:Model

:Sum of Squares

MSE 1

114

   "!  #.... 


 

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ja@a@aa@

.
.

:df

:Mean Square (

) (

:F

:Sig

P.Value

:aa@pb@u .3

:
:Unstandardized
)

Coefficients

.(Std. Error)

Standardized Coefficients

.(
.

Constant

) (

:t (

115

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iba@a

.[(

]P.Value

:Sig

@vna@bnya@ba@vna@bnya@i@@bi@ .4
@ @Nna

@@

:z
116

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ja@a@aa@

Data View
Standardized

res_1

(Residuals
( y )

pre_1

117

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iba@a

(.

@ @Zpaa
(1

(2

Graphs

Scatter

Simple

Define

118

 
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ja@a@aa@

Standard

.Y Axis
(

Residual [zre_1]

Unstandardized Predicted Value [pre_1]

.X Axis
:

ok

(3

119

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iba@a

@@

@a@ aa@x@y@@a@wbna@@na
@ @Zm@
@ @Za@aa@x :@c
Y = 8.149 + 0.735 X

120

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ja@a@aa@

:( 0 )

. (8.149)

.(0.735)

:( 1 )

@@

Na@a@Z@bbq

(1

:aa pb pabg ( ) bmg

.(

(
.

:
Consumption

= 8.149 + 0.735 Income

:b@z

121

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iba@a

: x na a

(2

[ R-Sq (adj) ]

(R-Sq)

:na@

77.1

77.1

77.1
(22.9)

:ba@a@Z:brbq
: x a a

(1

122

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ja@a@aa@

:bya a
.

:( H 0 )

:( H 1 )

:e i a

.(

:( H 0 )

.(

:( H 1 )

:b na wbna m

ANOVA

P.
Value

cal

MS

SS

DF

Source

0.0000

54.814

2244.036

2244.036

40.939

614.082

15

2858.118

16

:na

123

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0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

iba@a

P.Value

=0

H :B
H :B

=0

H :B
H :B

:x a a

(2

:a

[T - test ] ( )

:aa

:bya a

:( B 0 )

:( B1 )

:b na wbna m

124

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

ja@a@aa@

P. Value

( )

0.578

0.569

8.149

0.000

7.404

0.735

B
B

:na

P.Value

0.578

( B0 )

0.000

( B1 )

P.value

( B1 )

.ba a pbia

(3

Normality Test aj@bnya@na@ana :a@a

:bya a
.

:(H0)

:(H1)

125

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iba@a

@ @bbi@Za@a

(.

126

 
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ja@a@aa@

@@

@LH@@uI@bjna@@@bjna@anbi@biby @Zbra@a
@ @ZH@@ibI@bjna

@ @paa

Descriptive

Analyze

Explore

(1

Statistics

127

   "!  #.... 


 

0020109787442 $%&'*)( +,$-."/01 2*3$  # &4

iba@a

(2
(

Standardized Residual

.Dependent List
( Display .Plots
(

Plots..

(3

: :
128

 
  #.... "!   

 2*3$  # &4"/01,$-. ()*+'&0020109787442 $%

ja@a@aa@

Normality Plots with tests


.
(

Leaf

Boxplots
and

.None

Stem

.
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P. value

0.129

17

0.20

0.970

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Makridakis, Spyros, (1998), " Forecasting: methods &


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145

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(5

@a@aa@x@y@@a@wbna@@na
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@ @Za@aa@x@Z c
Y = 4.421 + 0.345 X1 1.367 X2 + 0.209 X3

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ANOVA


P.
Value

MS

SS

cal

DF

Source

0.000

12.874

2.292

6.877

0.178

2.849

16

9.726

19

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0

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0.166

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0.149

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0.189

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d u = 1.73

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:
:
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162

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165

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( F )

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=
= 0.4632
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0.4632

3.44
.

F(8, 8, 0.05)

@ @ZH@na@I na@pana@i@a@xaa@@@Z@iaa@a

:(VIF) bjna@m@b@anbiZ c
Coefficients

171

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:na@wbna@m

Tolerance

VIF

0.976

1.025

X1

0.955

1.047

X2

0.946

1.057

X3

(5 )

(VIF)

Tolerance

. VIF =

1
Tolerance

Correlation Matrix bjma@

Zbbq

:paa
Bivariate

Correlate

Analyze

(1

172

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.(
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.(

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0.25

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.

0.90

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Multi-Collinearity

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Factor Analysis

178

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Data Reduction

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Factor

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179

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Descriptives

Correlation Matrix

.3

180

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.

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.

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:

.
.4

181

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. Principal components

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solution

Rotated

(Display)

Extraction

Rotation

(solution

Principle

Method

Component

.Varimax

Scree plot

.
Eigenvalues over

.(1)

Extract

182

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Rotation

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SPSS

Rotation

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184

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@ @Zwbna@m
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:

185

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. 1

187

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0.50

(Kaiser

@ @Zwbna@@na

0.549

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Matrix

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Bartlett's Test

KMO

identity Matrix

Correlation

:
:


) 3 3(
1 0 0
A = 0 1 0
0 0 1

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108.896

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.

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0.000031

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189

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Rotation Sums of

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Squared Loadings

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40.323

30.876

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194

 
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:(

195

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197

 
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Field, Andy P., (2005). Discovering statistics using spss


nd
(2 edition), London, Sage. (Chapter 15).

199

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