MEDIA INQUIRIES:

Lorne Bozinoff, President

lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

FORIMMEDIATERELEASE

JohnTorystretcheslead
Now10pointsaheadofDougFord,Chowfallsback
TORONTOSEPTEMBER29th,2014Inarandomsamplingofpublicopiniontakenby
theForumPollamong1167decidedandleaningTorontovoters,morethan4in
10willvoteJohnToryformayorifthemunicipalelectionwereheldtoday(43%)
whileonethirdwillvoteforDougFord(33%).OnefifthwillvoteOliviaChow(20%)
andveryfewwillvoteforanothercandidate(3%).

TORONTO
September 29th, 2014
HIGHLIGHTS:

Morethan4in10willvote
JohnToryformayorifthe
municipalelectionwereheld
today(43%)whileonethird
Thesefindingsstandincontrasttolastweek,whenthetwoleadingcandidateswere
willvoteforDougFord
closer(September22,Tory38%,Ford31%),andOliviaChow'svotesharewas
(33%).
higher(September2225%).
OnefifthwillvoteOlivia
DougFord'svoteiscommontotheyoungest(38%),males(36%),inNorthYork
Chow(20%)andveryfewwill
(46%),Scarborough(38%)andamongprovincialPCvoters(45%).Tory'svoteis
voteforanothercandidate
characterizedbytheoldest(57%),inEtobicoke(50%)andYork(57%caution:small
(3%).
basesize)andamongprovincialPCs(53%)andLiberals(52%).Chow'svoteis
JohnToryleadsinallofthe6
characterizedbytheyoungest(25%),inthedowntown(29%)andEastYork(32%)
formercitieswhichmakeup
andpastprovincialNDPvoters(31%).
TorontoexceptNorthYork,
JohnToryleadsinallofthe6formercitieswhichmakeupTorontoexceptNorth
whereFordleads,and
York,whereFordleads,andScarborough,wherethesetwocandidatesaretied.
Scarborough,wherethese
twocandidatesaretied.
"ThisisanimprovementforJohnTorysincelastweek,anditappearsOliviaChow's

"Thisisanimprovementfor
resurgencewasshortlived.However,withbasicallythelengthofanentirefederal
JohnTorysincelastweek,
electioncampaigntogobeforetheelection,it'stooearlytosayeitherofthetwo
anditappearsOliviaChow's
leadershasaninsurmountableadvantage,"saidForumResearchPresident,Dr.
resurgencewasshortlived.
LorneBozinoff.
However,withbasicallythe
LorneBozinoff,Ph.D.isthepresidentandfounderofForumResearch.Hecanbe
lengthofanentirefederal
reachedatlbozinoff@forumresearch.comorat(416)9609603.
electioncampaigntogo
beforetheelection,it'stoo

earlytosayeitherofthetwo

leadershasan
insurmountableadvantage,"
saidForumResearch
President,Dr.LorneBozinoff.

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

Methodology
TheForumPollwasconductedbyForumResearchwiththeresultsbasedonan
interactivevoiceresponsetelephonesurveyof1202randomlyselectedvotersin
Toronto,Ontario.ThepollwasconductedonSeptember29th,2014.

TORONTO
September 29th, 2014

Resultsbasedonthetotalsampleareconsideredaccurate+/2.8%,19timesout
of20.Subsampleresultswillbelessaccurate.Marginsoferrorforsubsample
(suchasage,gender)resultsareavailableat
www.forumresearch.com/samplestim.asp
Whereappropriate,thedatahasbeenstatisticallyweightedbyage,region,and
othervariablestoensurethatthesamplereflectstheactualpopulationaccording
tothelatestCensusdata.
Thisresearchisnotnecessarilypredictiveoffutureoutcomes,butrather,
capturesopinionatonepointintime.ForumResearchconductedthispollasa
publicserviceandtodemonstrateoursurveyresearchcapabilities.Forumhouses
itspollresultsintheDataLibraryoftheDepartmentofPoliticalScienceatthe
UniversityofToronto.
WithofficesacrossCanadaandaroundtheworld,100%CanadianownedForum
Researchisoneofthecountrysleadingsurveyresearchfirms.ThisForum
PollandotherpollsmaybefoundatForum'spollarchive
atwww.forumresearch.com/polls.asp

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

MayoralHorseraceTrending
%
Sep.29th,2014
Sep.22nd,2014
Sep12th,2014
Sep8th,2014
th
Aug2526 ,2014
th
Aug56 ,2014
July21st,2014
July2nd,2014
June23rd,2014

Sample

John
Tory

Doug
Ford

Olivia
Chow

1202
1164
1228
1069
1945
1268
1063
1182
890

43
38
41
40
34
35
28
27
24

33
31
34

20
25
19
21
23
23
29
36
34

Rob
Ford

David
Soknacki

Karen
Stintz

28
31
28
27
26
27

6
4
6
5
4
6

3
6
3
3

Other
/
Dont
Know
3
5
6
5
7
3
4
4
6

TORONTO
September 29th, 2014

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

DougFord/Tory/Chow

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
416.960.9603

TORONTO
September 29th, 2014

IftheelectionforTorontosmayorwereheldtoday,whowouldyouvote
for?+Althoughyoumaynothavemadeupyourmind,whichcandidateare
youleaningtoatthistime?

[AllRespondents]

Age/Gender

Total 1834 3544 4554 5564 65+ Male Female

Sample
DougFord
JohnTory
OliviaChow
Someothercandidate

1167
33
43
20
3

79
38
31
25
6

120
34
45
21
1

233
37
42
17
3

317
27
54
16
3

418
25
57
17
2

526
36
43
18
3

641
31
44
22
3

Community

%
Sample
DougFord
JohnTory
OliviaChow
Someother
candidate

1167
33
43
20

FormerCityof
Toronto
352
26
43
29

East
York
84
21
41
32

North
York
230
46
39
13

Total

Etobicoke York Scarborough

204
28
50
16

50
23
57
20

247
38
39
17

ProvincialPartyPreference

%
Sample
DougFord
JohnTory
OliviaChow
Someothercandidate

Total ProgressiveConservative Liberal NDP Green Other

1167
33
43
20
3

284
45
53
2
0

537
23
52
22
2

162
36
25
31
8

42
29
42
25
4

22
36
16
25
23

Formoreinformation:
LorneBozinoff,Ph.D.
President
ForumResearchInc.
Tel:(416)9609603
Fax:(416)9609602
Email:lbozinoff@forumresearch.com

180BloorStreetW.,#1400
Toronto,ONM5S2V6
T416.960.9600
F416.960.9602
forumresearch.com