Spring 2012 Master of Computer Application (MCA) Semester III MC0074 Statistical And Numerical Methods Using C++

1. There are three urns containing 2 white and 3 black balls, 3 white and 2 black and 4 white and 1 black respectively. There is equal probability of each urn being chosen. One ball is drawn from an urn chosen at random. What is the probability that a white ball drawn is from the second urn? Ans:
Let E be the event of drawing one white ball and A, B and C be the events of drawing 1st,2nd,and 3rd urns respectively. Then P(A) = Probability of choosing 1st urn out of three urns = 1 / 3 = P (B) = P (C) {as above} Also P(E/A)=probability of drawing one white ball from the 1st urn chosen already =2/5 Similarly, P (E / B) = 3 / 5 and P (E / C) = 4 / 5 Now P(E) = P (A) P (E / A) + P (B) P (E / B) + P (C) P (E / C) = 1 / 3.2 / 5 +1 / 3. 3 / 5 +1 / 3.4 / 5 =3/5

2. Thirteen cards are drawn simultaneously from a pack of cards. If aces count 1, face cards 10 and others according to denomination, find the expectation of the total score on 13 cards. Ans: Let X be total score on thirteen (13) cards

3. If two normal universes have the same total frequency but the standard deviation of one is k times that of the other, show that the maximum frequency of the first is (1/k) times that of the other. Ans:

If X1 and X2 are two independent normal variates with a common mean zero and variances respectively, show that the variates n = (X1+X2), v= are independent and each is normally

5. The first four moments of a distribution about the value 4 are -1.5, 17, -30 and 108. Calculate the coefficient of skew ness and kurtosis.

Ans:

6. Explain Markov Chains