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CA-36 Poll: Ruiz Leads Bono Mack

A poll of likely voters in California's 36th congressional district shows Democrat Raul Ruiz leading incumbent Republican Mary Bono Mack by 3 points. While Republicans have a slight registration advantage, the district is leaning Democratic in 2012 with Obama leading Romney by 5 points. The poll also indicates voters believe Ruiz would do a better job than Bono Mack on issues like Medicare, Social Security, and healthcare. With a month until Election Day and 9% undecided, the summary says Ruiz needs to continue introducing himself to independent voters and draw contrasts with Bono Mack's record to win the seat.

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443 views2 pages

CA-36 Poll: Ruiz Leads Bono Mack

A poll of likely voters in California's 36th congressional district shows Democrat Raul Ruiz leading incumbent Republican Mary Bono Mack by 3 points. While Republicans have a slight registration advantage, the district is leaning Democratic in 2012 with Obama leading Romney by 5 points. The poll also indicates voters believe Ruiz would do a better job than Bono Mack on issues like Medicare, Social Security, and healthcare. With a month until Election Day and 9% undecided, the summary says Ruiz needs to continue introducing himself to independent voters and draw contrasts with Bono Mack's record to win the seat.

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Daily Kos Elections
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Celinda Lake President Alysia Snell Partner Michael Perry Partner David Mermin Partner Robert G. Meadow, Ph.D.

Partner Daniel R. Gotoff Partner Joshua E. Ulibarri Partner Tresa Undem Partner Rick A. Johnson Sr. Vice President Robert X. Hillman Chief Operating Officer

To:

Interested Parties

From: David Mermin, Bob Meadow, and Brittany Stalsburg Re: Recent polling on the CA-36 race

Date: October 15, 2012 A new Lake Research Partners poll1 of Californias 36th congressional district shows Democrat Raul Ruiz leading incumbent Republican Mary Bono Mack by 3 points. While Republicans are at a slight advantage in party registration, CA-36 is clearly leaning Democratic this year, with Obama leading Romney by 5 points. Voters also believe that Dr. Ruiz would better handle several issues compared to Bono Mack, including protecting Medicare and Social Security and improving health care. District 36 is ready for change and Ruiz is well-situated to win this seat.
Ruiz vs. Bono Mack

March

September

October

37

42 21

43

47

46

43

23
Ruiz

34
Bono Mack Undecided

35
Ruiz

37
Bono Mack

10
Undecided

41

38

9
Undecided

Ruiz

Bono Mack

Lake Research Partners conducted a poll of 406 likely 2012 general election voters in Californias 36 Congressional District. Live telephone interviews were conducted in English and Spanish from October 2-4, 2012. Sampling error is +/- 4.9%.

th

Lake Research Partners / CA-36 poll Page 2 _____________________________________________________________________________________

Ruiz now has a better than 2 to 1 favorability rating among likely voters while over a third of voters have unfavorable impressions of Bono Mack. Still 46% have no impression of Ruiz, which underscores the need for voters to hear more about Ruiz and what he stands for.

With only a month before Election Day and 9% of voters still undecided, the Raul Ruiz campaign needs to continue introducing Ruiz to independent voters and drawing a clear contrast with Bono Macks record in Washington. There is a clear path to victory with enough resources to communicate with voters in District 36.

For more information about this poll, contact David Mermin at 510-286-2097 or Bob Meadow at 310-472-7578.

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