FLOOD FREQUENCY ANALYSIS

XTREME VALUE FREQUENCY FACTORS FOR GUMBEL METHOD

Sample Size
N Years
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
52
54
55

5
0.967
0.957
0.948
0.938
0.929
0.919
0.913
0.907
0.900
0.894
0.888
0.884
0.879
0.875
0.870
0.866
0.863
0.860
0.858
0.855
0.852
0.849
0.846
0.844
0.841
0.838
0.836
0.834
0.833
0.831
0.829
0.827
0.825
0.824
0.822
0.820
0.819
0.817
0.816
0.814
0.813

Returned Period - Year

10
20
1.703
2.410
1.687
2.388
1.672
2.367
1.656
2.345
1.641
2.324
1.625
2.302
1.615
2.889
1.605
2.275
1.595
2.262
1.585
2.248
1.575
2.235
1.568
2.226
1.561
2.216
1.555
2.207
1.548
2.197
1.541
2.188
1.536
2.182
1.532
2.176
1.527
2.169
1.523
2.163
1.518
2.157
1.513
2.151
1.509
2.145
1.504
2.138
1.500
2.132
1.495
2.126
1.492
2.122
1.488
2.117
1.485
2.113
1.481
2.108
1.478
2.104
1.476
2.100
1.473
2.097
1.471
2.093
1.468
2.090
1.466
2.086
1.464
2.083
1.462
2.080
1.459
2.077
1.457
2.074
1.455
2.071

142268315.xls.ms_office/FloodFrequency

(Different Values of 'K ')

50
100
3.321
4.005
3.293
3.971
3.264
3.937
3.236
3.904
3.207
3.870
3.179
3.836
3.161
3.815
3.143
3.793
3.124
3.772
3.106
3.750
3.088
3.729
3.076
3.715
3.063
3.700
3.051
3.686
3.038
3.671
3.026
3.657
3.018
3.647
3.009
3.636
3.001
3.626
2.993
3.616
2.984
3.606
2.976
3.595
2.968
3.585
2.960
3.575
2.951
3.564
2.943
3.554
2.937
3.547
2.931
3.540
2.925
3.534
2.919
3.527
2.913
3.520
2.908
3.514
2.903
3.508
2.899
3.503
2.894
3.497
2.889
3.491
2.885
3.486
2.881
3.481
2.877
3.477
2.873
3.472
2.869
3.467

1000
6.265
6.213
6.161
6.110
6.058
6.006
5.973
5.940
5.908
5.875
5.842
5.819
5.796
5.773
5.750
5.727
5.712
5.697
5.682
5.667
5.652
5.636
5.621
5.606
5.591
5.576
5.566
5.556
5.547
5.537
5.527
5.517
5.507
5.498
5.488
5.478
5.472
5.466
5.460
5.454
5.448

4/27/2013

FLOOD FREQUENCY ANALYSIS

XTREME VALUE FREQUENCY FACTORS FOR GUMBEL METHOD
Sample Size
N Years
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100

5
0.812
0.811
0.809
0.808
0.807
0.806
0.805
0.803
0.802
0.801
0.800
0.799
0.799
0.798
0.797
0.796
0.795
0.794
0.793
0.792
0.791
0.790
0.790
0.789
0.788
0.787
0.787
0.786
0.786
0.785
0.784
0.784
0.783
0.783
0.782
0.782
0.781
0.781
0.780
0.780
0.780
0.780
0.779
0.779
0.779

Returned Period - Year

10
20
1.453
2.069
1.451
2.066
1.450
2.064
1.448
2.061
1.446
2.059
1.444
2.057
1.442
2.055
1.441
2.052
1.439
2.050
1.437
2.048
1.436
2.046
1.434
2.044
1.433
2.042
1.431
2.040
1.430
2.038
1.429
2.036
1.427
2.034
1.426
2.033
1.424
2.031
1.423
2.029
1.422
2.027
1.421
2.025
1.419
2.024
1.418
2.022
1.417
2.020
1.416
2.019
1.415
2.017
1.415
2.016
1.414
2.014
1.413
2.013
1.412
2.012
1.411
2.011
1.411
2.009
1.410
2.008
1.409
2.007
1.408
2.006
1.407
2.005
1.407
2.004
1.406
2.003
1.405
2.002
1.404
2.001
1.403
2.000
1.403
2.000
1.402
1.999
1.401
1.998

142268315.xls.ms_office/FloodFrequency

(Different Values of 'K ')

50
100
2.866
3.463
2.862
3.459
2.859
3.454
2.855
3.450
2.852
3.446
2.849
3.443
2.846
3.439
2.843
3.436
2.840
3.432
2.837
3.429
2.834
3.426
2.832
3.423
2.829
3.419
2.827
3.416
2.824
3.413
2.822
3.410
2.819
3.408
2.817
3.405
2.814
3.403
2.812
3.400
2.810
3.397
2.808
3.395
2.806
3.392
2.804
3.390
2.802
3.387
2.800
3.385
2.798
3.383
2.797
3.380
2.795
3.378
2.793
3.376
2.791
3.374
2.790
3.372
2.788
3.371
2.787
3.369
2.785
3.367
2.783
3.365
2.782
3.363
2.780
3.361
2.779
3.359
2.777
3.357
2.776
3.355
2.774
3.354
2.773
3.352
2.771
3.351
2.770
3.349

1000
5.442
5.436
5.430
5.424
5.419
5.413
5.407
5.401
5.395
5.389
5.383
5.377
5.371
5.365
5.359
5.356
5.352
5.349
5.346
5.343
5.339
5.336
5.333
5.330
5.326
5.323
5.320
5.317
5.313
5.310
5.307
5.303
5.300
5.297
5.294
5.290
5.287
5.284
5.281
5.277
5.274
5.271
5.268
5.264
5.261

4/27/2013

SANTROAD PROJECT
Flood frequency study by Gumel Methods
Year

Discharge
(Laccusecs)

Year

Discharge
in descending
(Laccusecs)

Order
No.

Plotting position
Returned
Probability
period

X2

M
T = N+1/M

F(x)=M/N+1

X
1952
1953
1954
1955
1957
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978

0.312
1.390
0.154
0.185
0.205
0.146
0.032
0.175
0.194
0.754
1.973
0.359
0.359
0.408
0.604
0.099
0.402
0.884
0.373
0.053
0.054
0.367
0.237
0.527
2.342

1973
1990
1976
1962
1959
1978
1975
1984
1981
1991
1987
1968
1977
1961
1954
1988
1986
1952
1969
1974
1979
1967
1970
1980
1963

2.342
1.973
1.390
0.884
0.754
0.604
0.527
0.408
0.402
0.373
0.367
0.359
0.359
0.312
0.237
0.205
0.194
0.185
0.175
0.154
0.146
0.099
0.054
0.053
0.032

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

39.00
19.50
13.00
9.75
7.80
6.50
5.57
4.88
4.33
3.90
3.55
3.25
3.00
2.79
2.60
2.44
2.29
2.17
2.05
1.95
1.86
1.77
1.70
1.63
1.56

2.56
5.13
7.69
10.26
12.82
15.38
17.95
20.51
23.08
25.64
28.21
30.77
33.33
35.90
38.46
41.03
43.59
46.15
48.72
51.28
53.85
56.41
58.97
61.54
64.10

12.59

14.50

M=
X=

25
0.503

X=
X=
(sx) =

{ M - (M-1)}*{(X2 - X2 )0 . 5 }
{ ( 0 / -1 } * { ( 0.580 - 0.503 ^2 ) ^0.5 }
0.583

Return
Period
T

142268315.xls.ms_office

X2 =

0.580

Discharge
(Lac cusecs)
X

5
10
20
50
100

5.48
3.89
1.93
0.78
0.57
0.36
0.28
0.17
0.16
0.14
0.13
0.13
0.13
0.10
0.06
0.04
0.04
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00

sx
0.503
0.503
0.503
0.503
0.503

0.583
0.583
0.583
0.583
0.583

K
0.888
1.575
2.235
3.088
3.729

Ksx

X = x+Ksx
0.518
0.918
1.303
1.800
2.174

1.021
1.422
1.806
2.304
2.677
4/27/2013