Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Target Market
Initial Market Size:
SMS subscribers (30 days)
Initial Penetration (weekly)
Renewal rate
Churn rate
SMS
11,000,000
0.20%
5
First Renewal
Subsequent Renewals
(opt-out)
(opt-out)
70%
80%
30%
20%
30%
5
Vendor's Share
Telenor's Share
35%
65%
15%
Channel Charges:
Rate per SMS (Rs.)
% of active subscribers engaged (monthly)
Frequency per subscriber (monthly)
0.10
30%
12
Week 1
Growth rate
New - subsribers
Renewals - subscribers (first)
Renewals - subscribers (subsequent)
Total subscribers
Total Monthly Subscribers
1.5%
22,000
22,000
Subscription Revenue
Renewal Revenue
Channel Charges
Total Revenue
Total Monthly Revenue
110,000
3,300
113,300
97%
0%
CAPEX
22,330
15,400
Week 4
37,730
22,665
15,631
12,320
50,616
23,005
15,865
22,361
61,231
90,000
111,650
77,000
5,660
194,310
113,325
139,755
7,592
260,672
115,025
191,131
9,185
315,341
883,622
25,737
36%
61%
57%
40%
43%
54%
3,850,000
Net revenue
Cumulative Revenue
NPV
Payback
Month 1
Week 2
Week 3
(2,966,378)
(2,966,378)
25,707,078
3 months
NPV
Payback
Net Margin
Net Margin
Pay Back
Quarter 1
Month 2
Week 6
Week 7
Week 5
Month 3
Week 8
Week 9
1.5%
23,350
16,103
30,581
70,034
23,700
16,345
37,348
77,393
24,056
16,590
42,954
83,600
24,417
16,839
47,635
88,891
142,207
116,750
233,422
10,505
360,677
118,501
268,463
11,609
398,573
120,279
297,721
12,540
430,540
122,083
322,372
13,334
457,789
1,647,579
47,988
27%
70%
32%
65%
30%
67%
28%
69%
Week 10
0.5%
24,539
17,092
51,580
93,210
24,661
17,177
54,937
96,775
122,693
343,356
13,981
480,031
123,307
360,570
14,516
498,393
26%
72%
25%
72%
1,647,579
(1,318,799)
Revenue
Channel Charges
Vendor Share
Net Revenue
Cumulative Net Rev
Capex
Net Cashflow
M1
883,622
25,737
300,260
583,362
583,362
3,850,000
(3,266,638)
M2
1,647,579
47,988
559,857
1,087,722
1,671,084
(2,178,916)
M3
2,555,761
60,458
873,356
1,682,405
3,353,490
(496,510)
16,947,017
4 Months
53%
M5
2,327,020
67,777
790,735
1,536,285
6,363,298
977,013
2,513,298
M1
Revenue
Net Revenue
NPV
Net Margin
Pay Back
M4
2,231,954
65,008
758,431
1,473,523
4,827,013
883,622
583,362
16,947,017
53%
4 Months
M2
1,647,579
1,087,722
M3
2,555,761
1,682,405
M4
2,231,954
1,473,523
M5
2,327,020
1,536,285
Qu
Month 3
Week 11
Week 12
Week 13
24,785
17,263
57,691
99,739
24,909
17,349
59,963
102,221
25,033
17,436
61,850
104,319
192,598
123,923
374,771
14,961
513,655
124,543
386,563
15,333
526,439
125,166
396,430
15,648
537,244
2,555,761
60,458
23%
74%
24%
73%
24%
73%
Week 14
Month 4
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
0.6%
25,183
17,523
63,429
106,135
25,334
17,628
64,762
107,724
25,486
17,734
65,912
109,133
25,639
17,841
66,917
110,397
182,596
125,917
404,760
15,920
546,597
126,672
411,950
16,159
554,781
127,432
418,230
16,370
562,033
128,197
423,787
16,560
568,543
2,231,954
65,008
23%
75%
23%
74%
23%
74%
23%
74%
2,555,761
1,236,963
2,231,954
3,468,917
M6
2,998,712
70,075
1,025,023
1,973,689
8,336,987
M7
2,458,500
71,607
835,413
1,623,087
9,960,075
M8
2,512,947
73,193
853,914
1,659,033
11,619,107
M9
3,211,561
75,005
1,097,794
2,113,766
13,732,874
M10
2,624,931
76,454
891,967
1,732,964
15,465,838
M11
2,680,389
78,070
910,812
1,769,577
17,235,415
M12
3,424,102
79,967
1,170,447
2,253,654
19,489,069
4,486,987
6,110,075
7,769,107
9,882,874
11,615,838
13,385,415
15,639,069
M6
2,998,712
1,973,689
M7
2,458,500
1,623,087
M8
2,512,947
1,659,033
M9
3,211,561
2,113,766
M10
M11
M12
2,624,931
1,732,964
2,680,389
1,769,577
3,424,102
2,253,654
Week 18
Quarter 2
Month 5
Week 19
Week 20
0.5%
25,768
17,948
67,806
111,521
25,896
18,037
68,603
112,536
26,026
18,127
69,312
113,465
26,156
18,218
69,952
114,326
189,599
128,838
428,767
16,728
574,333
129,482
433,200
16,880
579,563
130,129
437,198
17,020
584,347
130,780
440,849
17,149
588,778
2,327,020
67,777
22%
75%
22%
75%
22%
75%
22%
75%
Week 21
2,327,020
5,795,937
Week 22
Week 23
Month 6
Week 24
Week 25
0.4%
26,261
18,309
70,536
115,106
26,366
18,382
71,076
115,824
26,471
18,456
71,567
116,494
26,577
18,530
72,018
117,125
131,303
444,225
17,266
592,794
131,828
447,292
17,374
596,494
132,356
450,114
17,474
599,943
132,885
452,740
17,569
603,194
22%
75%
22%
75%
22%
75%
22%
75%
Month 6
Week 26
26,683
18,604
72,438
117,726
221,203
133,417
455,211
17,659
606,287
2,998,712
70,075
22%
75%
2,998,712
8,794,649
Week 27
Month 7
Week 28
Week 29
0.4%
26,843
18,678
72,834
118,356
27,004
18,790
73,210
119,005
27,167
18,903
73,600
119,670
27,330
19,017
74,003
120,349
199,856
134,217
457,561
17,753
609,531
135,022
460,001
17,851
612,874
135,833
462,516
17,950
616,299
136,648
465,096
18,052
619,796
2,458,500
71,607
22%
75%
22%
75%
22%
75%
22%
75%
Week 30
2,458,500
11,253,149
Week 31
Quarter 3
Month 8
Week 32
Week 33
0.5%
27,466
19,131
74,415
121,012
27,603
19,226
74,837
121,667
27,742
19,322
75,250
122,314
137,331
467,730
18,152
623,213
138,017
470,316
18,250
626,583
138,708
472,865
18,347
629,919
22%
75%
22%
75%
22%
75%
Quarter 3
Month 8
Week 34
27,880
19,419
75,658
122,958
204,237
139,401
475,387
18,444
633,232
2,512,947
73,193
22%
75%
2,512,947
13,766,096
Week 35
Week 36
Month 9
Week 37
Week 38
0.4%
27,992
19,516
76,062
123,570
28,104
19,594
76,462
124,160
28,216
19,673
76,845
124,734
28,329
19,751
77,214
125,295
28,442
19,830
77,573
125,845
236,661
139,959
477,890
18,535
636,385
140,519
480,283
18,624
639,426
141,081
482,590
18,710
642,380
141,645
484,828
18,794
645,267
142,212
487,014
18,877
648,102
3,211,561
75,005
22%
75%
22%
75%
22%
75%
22%
75%
22%
75%
Week 39
3,211,561
16,977,657
Week 40
Month 10
Week 41
0.4%
28,613
19,910
77,922
126,445
28,785
20,029
78,265
127,079
143,065
489,159
18,967
651,191
143,923
491,473
19,062
654,458
22%
75%
22%
75%
Month 10
Week 42
Week 43
28,957
20,149
78,636
127,742
29,131
20,270
79,028
128,429
213,318
144,787
493,924
19,161
657,872
145,655
496,490
19,264
661,410
2,624,931
76,454
22%
75%
22%
75%
2,624,931
19,602,588
Week 44
Quarter 4
Month 11
Week 45
Week 46
0.5%
29,277
20,392
79,438
129,107
29,423
20,494
79,864
129,781
29,570
20,596
80,286
130,453
29,718
20,699
80,706
131,123
217,818
146,384
499,151
19,366
664,901
147,116
501,789
19,467
668,372
147,851
504,412
19,568
671,832
148,590
507,026
19,668
675,285
2,680,389
78,070
22%
75%
22%
75%
22%
75%
22%
75%
Month 12
Week 47
2,680,389
22,282,977
Week 48
Week 49
0.4%
29,837
20,803
81,124
131,764
29,956
20,886
81,541
132,384
149,185
509,634
19,765
678,583
149,782
512,137
19,858
681,776
22%
75%
22%
75%
Month 12
Week 50
Week 51
Week 52
30,076
20,969
81,942
132,987
30,196
21,053
82,329
133,579
30,317
21,138
82,706
134,161
252,310
150,381
514,556
19,948
684,885
150,982
516,912
20,037
687,931
151,586
519,217
20,124
690,927
3,424,102
79,967
22%
75%
22%
75%
22%
75%
3,424,102
25,707,078
Service
My Status
My Status
Warid
Zong
Subscription/per Request
Prepaid: Rs 0.5+t/day
Postpaid: Rs 15+t/month
No SMS charges on SC 6525
Prepaid: Rs 1.99+t/week
Postpaid: Rs 29.99+t/month
SC Charges: Rs 0.5+t/SMS
Other Details
MyStatus subscribers cannot subscribe to ICS and IR.
Set and view general status
Set and view caller specific status
Create groups and set group specific status
Create blacklist for status posting
Launched in November 2012
Revenue: Rs 1m/month
Sub base (30 day): 104000
Service
Smart Number
Bubble Message
Friend Finder
SMS Twitter
Facebook Alerts
Voiler
Smart Number
Call & SMS Blocker
Rozgar
MCA weekly
(March)
Subscriber Base Revenue
71,985 1,762,941
137,804
397,543
184,663 1,511,691
242,310
819,997
219,720
743,192
New additions
30,000
16,000
9,500
4,000
8,000
per week
per week
per week
per week
per week
Price (Rs.)
Need
Subscribers
Revenue
Revenue after 10% Cannibalization
Growth rate
Service ARPU
7,108,895
20.76
21.12
5%
1%
Aug '13
393,019
8,148,515
-6%
-1%
Sep '13
370,777
7,589,391
7,333,664
3.16%
6,830,452
-6.86%
20.73
Renewals revenue
Subscriptions revenue
Other
20.47
5,743,611
1,521,721
324,060
Renewal Rate
Usage penetration
Weekly Base Estimation
Subscriber base (@ Rs 30)
Monthly/weekly ratio (subscribers)
Weekly Variant (Subscribers) - monthly
New subs - sub count
New subs - revenue
First renewals - sub count
First renewals - revenue
Renewal Ratio
MCA - monthly:
New subs - sub count
New subs - revenue
First renewals - sub count
First renewals - revenue
Renewal Ratio
MCA - weekly:
New subs - sub count
New subs - revenue
First renewals - sub count
First renewals - revenue
Renewal Ratio
4.27%
203,375
25%
50,844
261,752
275,113
259,544
65,438
68,778
64,886
7.5
10%
-3%
-1%
-2%
-1%
Oct '13
361,622
7,696,072
-13%
-3%
Nov '13
315,814
6,399,483
1%
0%
Dec '13
318,092
6,646,925
6,926,465
1.41%
5,759,535
-16.85%
5,982,233
3.87%
Jan '14
308,584
6,766,696
6,090,026
1.80%
-5%
-1%
Feb '14
293,347
5,959,377
5,363,439
-11.93%
1%
0%
Mar '14
294,963
6,224,166
5,601,749
4.44%
21.28
20.26
20.90
21.93
20.32
21.10
6,323,811
1,039,972
332,289
5,485,323
619,446
294,714
5,486,903
822,865
337,157
5,345,831
1,046,957
373,907
4,784,461
819,379
355,537
5,052,028
797,952
374,186
87.04%
74.49%
89.88%
84.72%
74.84%
90.15%
4.32%
4.61%
5.07%
5.53%
5.97%
6.01%
253,135
221,070
222,664
216,009
205,343
206,474
63,284
55,267
55,666
54,002
51,336
51,619
52,064
1,248,942
40,714
977,438
21,126
506,105
39,480
950,766
21,343
511,609
40.58%
319,081
11,433,873
52.42%
32,236
857,269
20,651
494,150
52.31%
346,709
12,423,888
141,867
1,210,178
44.46%
72,647
382,835
Apr '14
7,673
42,467
58,072
872,791
79.94%
20,379
107,110
6,438
101,134
83.90%
174,038
1,511,398
50.20%
16,588
263,490
81.40%
Call Screening
CS_FEE_SYS