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timeseriesUnderstandingtheSVARmodelCrossValidated

20/3/2015

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UnderstandingtheSVARmodel
IhavedifficultyunderstandingtheStructuralVectorAutoregression(SVAR).Ihavesomebooksaboutit,andhavereadthem,butstill
cannotgrasptheideabehindthatconcept.CansomeoneexplainmethedistinctivenessofSVARcomparedtoaVARinsimplewords?In
whichsituationsisaSVARmoreappropriatethanasimpleVAR?
timeseries

askedSep18'13at19:31
RStudent
597

14

StockandWatsonhaveagoodpaperonthis:VectorAutoregressionsJournalofEconomicPerspectivesVolume
15,Number4Fall2001Pages101115.Pressedfortime.Mayansweratlaterstage.GraemeWalshSep18
'13at19:48

1Answer
AccordingtoLtkepohl'sAppliedTimeSeriesEconometrics,thedifferencebetweensimpleVAR
andstructuralVARisthatinsteadofidentifyingthecoefficients,identificationfocusesonthe
errorsofthesystem,whichareinterpretedas(linearcombinationsof)exogenousshocks.
Restrictionsbasedonthetheoryisimposedontherelationsbetweenthevariablesandtherest
ofvariabledynamicsareconsideredexogenousshocks.InasimpleVARnorestrictionsare
imposedinadvanceandthecoefficientsofthelaggedvaluesofthevariablesincludedare
identified.
Soinonesentence,inaSVARrestrictionsareimposedonthevariabledynamicsbeforehand
andtherestisconsideredexogenousshocks,whileintheVARthecoeffientsofthelagsare
identified.
Istronglyrecommendthisbook:H.L
utkepohl&M.Kr
atzig.AppliedTimeSeriesEconometrics.
CambridgeUniversityPress,TheEdinburghBuilding,CambridgeCB22RU,UK,2004.
answeredSep18'13at20:36
fredrikhs
818

17

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