Part(1)

3 points

A department store gives the proportions of sports shirts sold as follows:

pattern
Size
Plaid
Printed Stripe
Small
0.08
0.04
0.1
Medium
0.16
0.14
0.19
Large
0.06
0.14
0.09

(a) given that the shirt just sold was a stripe, what is the probability that its size was mediu
P(medium|stripe)
0.5
(b) What is the probability that the shirt next sold is Large and Plaid?
P(large and Plaid)
0.06

Part(2)
3 points

20% of all visitors to a timeshare complex select a day visit, 50% choose a one-night visit,
30% of one-night visitors make a purchase, and 20% of those visiting for two nights decide

what is the probability that the selected visitor has made a purchase?

Part (3)
4 points

P(X), X cou
0.2
0.5
0.3
1

The cdf of X is as follows:

a) what is P(3 X 6) ?
P(3<=X<=6)=F(6)-F(3-)=F(6)-F(1)=0.6-0.3=0.3

b) what is P(4 X)?

P(4<=X)=1-P(X<4)=1-F(4-)=1-F(3)=0.6

y that its size was medium?

hoose a one-night visit, and 30% opt for a two-night visit. In addition 10% of day visitors ultimately make a pur
ng for two nights decide to buy. Suppose a visitor is randomly selected.

X
a day vist
one-night
two-night

)=0.6-0.3=0.3

P(purchase|X)
P(purchase|X)*P(X)
0.1 of a day visit purchas
0.02
0.3 of one-night visit pur
0.15
0.2 of two-night visit pur
0.06
Assume theP(purchase)=P(purchase|one day visit)*P(one day visit)+P(purchase|one-night v
0.23

rs ultimately make a purchase,

+P(purchase|one-night visit)*P(one-night visit)+P(purchase|two-night visit)*P(two-night visit)