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EGN 3443 Probability and Statistics for Engineers


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Quiz #4 Thursday July 9, 2015 (40 mi

One page (8.5x11 in.) one sided formula sheet is


Part #1
0.95
0.85
0.92
0.95
0.93
0.86
1
0.92
0.85
0.81
0.78
0.93
0.93
1.05
0.93
1.06
0.96
0.81
0.96
1.06

Part #2

A study of the ability of individuals to walk in a straight line reported the accomp
of n=20 randomly selected healthy men. Assume that the population distributio
(a)
5 pts

Calcuate and interpret a 90% confidence interval for popu

Answer here---> x-bar=

0.9255
S=
0.0809467011
Upper CI limit=

(b)
5 pts

Does the interval suggest that .9 is a plausible value for tr

Answer here---> .9 lies in the CI, it is plausible.

.8 doesn't lie in the CI, it is not plaus

(c)
extra crtedit
5 pts

Calculate and interpret a 90% prediction interval for the ca

Answer here---> Upper PI limit=


Lower PI limit=

A measure of the accuracy of the automatic region is the average linear displace
is gave for ALD obsevations. Does the data in fact provide strong evidence for co

ALD

1.38
0.39
1.30
1.10
0.82
0.59
1.11
0.44

(a)
2.5 pts

Suppose denotes true average ALD, carry out an approp

Answer here--->

(b)
7.5 pts

H0:
Ha:

What is the conclusion? (using rejection region method)

Answer here---> rejection region: Z-Z(alpha)

0.70
0.57
0.65
1.06
0.51
0.34
1.09
0.46
0.43
0.99
0.41
1.04
1.25
0.75
0.54
0.62
0.56
0.58
0.85
0.38
0.66
0.83
1.00
0.56
0.66
0.45
1.44
1.28
0.58
1.05
0.64
0.54
0.52
1.28
0.51
0.64
0.82
0.45
0.83
0.58
0.51

X-bar=
S=
n=

0.75
0.3024654925
49

test statistic: z=(X-bar-)/(/sqrt(n))=


since -5.79<-2.326, reject H0.
(c )
5 pts

What is the conclusion? (using P-value method)

Answer here---> P-value=

3.50871E-009
since P-value=3.5087e-9<0.01, rejec

(d)
5 pts

If the true mean of the melting point is .9,


what is the level of error (Type II error) in the test?

Answer here---> =P(fail to reject H0 when H0 is false


0.504801

(e)
extra crtedit
5 pts

What sample size (n) is necessary to reduce the beta error


(Hint: Clearly, you need a higher sample size.)

Answer here---> '=

0.2524004343
Z(')=
0.6669550144
sample size n=((Z(alpha)+Z(beta))

for Engineers

-----------------

2015 (40 mins)

ormula sheet is alowed during the quiz

reported the accompanying data on cadence for a sample


population distribution of cadence is approximately normal.

nce interval for population mean cadence.


t(alpha/2)=t(.05)=
1.729133
n=
20
0.956798
Lower CI limit=
0.894202

plausible value for true average cadence? What about .8?

t is plausible.
he CI, it is not plausible.

on interval for the cadence of a single individual randomly selected from this population.
1.068924
0.782076

erage linear displacement (ALD). A sample of 49 kidnesys (unit of pixel dimension)


trong evidence for conlcuding that true average ALD is less than 1 with alpha level .01?

carry out an appropriate test of hypothesis.


=1
<1

n region method)
Z-Z(alpha)

Z(alpha)= 2.326348

(X-bar-)/(/sqrt(n))=
26, reject H0.

-5.790507

method)

5087e-9<0.01, reject H0.

or) in the test?

t H0 when H0 is false)=1-(-Z(alpha)+(-')/(s/sqrt(n)))=

educe the beta error by 50% of the value calculated in part (d )

(Z(alpha)+Z(beta))/(-'))^2=

81.96963

82

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