INDEX 1

INSTRUCTIONS:
1. This is an open book examination. No laptops, PDA.
2. Use of calculator is allowed; discussion and material transfer are strictly prohibited.
3. Answer the multiple-choice questions in your question sheet. The question sheet must be submitted.
Total pages: 06 (including this page)

PART I: Multiple-choice questions (40 points):

Use the following data for the next 3 questions:
An instructor recorded the following quiz scores (out of a possible 100 points) for 20 students present.
52 54 58 63 63 67 72 74 75 77
78 80 81 82 82 85 86 86 87 90

1. Find the mean and variance of the above sample:

a) 74.6 and 131.621
b) 74.6 and 11.473
c) 74 and 125.04
d) 74 and 11.182
e) None of the above, specify__________

2. The 65th percentile of this sample is:

a) 79.3
b) 13.65
c) 80
d) 81.65
e) None of the above, specify__________

3. The interquartile range (IQR) of this sample is:

a) 10
b) 20.25
c) 18
d) 17.75
e) None of the above, specify__________

4. The time (in hours) it takes for a dose of a certain drug to be effective is normally distributed with a mean
of 1 hour and a standard deviation of 0.1 hour. If X represents this time, then P(X < 1.1) is:
a) 0.3413
b) 0.1587
c) 0.8413
d) 0.5398
e) None of the above, specify__________

5. There are 20 identical envelopes with 8 envelopes containing $5 each and the remaining envelopes
contain $10 each. If the envelopes were placed in a paper bag and thoroughly mixed, and you select one of

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 the envelopes, replace it and select another. What is the probability that you will randomly select an
envelope with $5 on the first draw and an envelope with $10 on the second draw?
a) 0.253
b) 0.4
c) 0.24
d) 0.6
e) None of the above, specify__________

Use the following data for the next 2 questions:

Consider 3 boxes. Box A contains 7 red and 5 blue balls; box B contains 4 red and 6 blue balls; and box C
contains 8 red and 8 blue balls. A box is selected randomly and a ball is randomly picked from the box.

6. What is the probability that it is a blue ball?

a) 1/8
b) 1/2
c) 5/12
d) 91/180
e) None of the above, specify__________

7. What is the probability that it is from box C given that it is a red ball?
a) 8/19
b) 30/89
c) 1/2
d) 1/6
e) None of the above, specify__________

8. Given P(A) = 0.7, P(B) = 0.6, and P(A or B) = 0.8, then P(B | A) is
a) 0.857
b) 0.833
c) 0.714
d) 0.5
e) None of the above, specify__________

9. Whenever a certain NBA basketball player goes to the foul line for two shots, he makes his first shot with
probability 0.75. If he makes the first shot, then he makes the second shot with probability 0.80; if he
misses the first shot, then he makes the second shot with probability 0.70. Find the probability that he
makes only one of the shots.
a) 0.95
b) 0.75
c) 0.175
d) 0.325
e) None of the above, specify__________

Use the following data for the next 2 questions:

The following contingency table is based on a study of victims of traffic accident in a city:
Level of alcohol in blood
Age 0% 0.01% - 0.09% ≥ 0.10%
≤ 18 142 17 6
19 – 39 67 9 41
≥ 40 19 28 47

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10. What is the probability that a randomly selected victim is of the age 19 – 39 given that the level of alcohol
is blood is in the range 0.01% - 0.09%?
a) 0.0239
b) 0.1436
c) 0.1667
d) 0.3112
e) None of the above, specify__________

11. What is the probability that a randomly selected victim has the level of alcohol in blood is greater than or
equal to 0.10% given that his/her age is less than or equal to 18?
a) 0.016
b) 0.4388
c) 0.5697
d) 0.0364
e) None of the above, specify__________

12. It is estimated that 32% of all adults in a nation are obese and that 7% suffer from diabetes. If 6% of the
population both is obese and suffers from diabetes, what percentage of the population is only obese or
only suffers from diabetes?
a) 33%
b) 27%
c) 6%
d) 1%
e) None of the above, specify__________

13. Each computer chip produced by machine A is defective with probability 0.03, whereas each chip
produced by machine B is defective with probability 0.05. If one chip is taken from machine A and one
from machine B, find the probability that exactly one of them is defective
a) 0.0285
b) 0.0485
c) 0.077
d) 0.0015
e) None of the above, specify__________

Use the following data for the next 2 questions:

A committee of 5 people is to be selected randomly from a group of 6 men and 8 women.

14. What is the probability the committee will consist of 3 men and 2 women?
a) 0.2797
b) 0.0008
c) 0.1399
d) 0.0999
e) None of the above, specify____________

15. What is the probability that the committee will consist of at most 2 men?
a) 0.2797
b) 0.2028
c) 0.5175
d) 0.4825
e) None of the above, specify__________

16. If Z is a standard normal random variable, then P(|Z| > 2) is:

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 a) 0.9772
b) 0.0456
c) 0.0228
d) 0.9544
e) None of the above, specify__________

Use the following data for the next 2 questions:

A multiple-choice examination has 10 unrelated questions. Each question has four possible answers, of which
only one is correct.

17. The probability that by just guessing, a student will get exactly 7 correct is:
a) 0.0031
b) 0.0073
c) 0.0179
d) 0.0004
e) None of the above, specify__________

18. What is the probability that by guessing, a student will get at least 2 correct answers?
a) 0.8123
b) 0.2816
c) 0.756
d) 0.244
e) None of the above, specify__________

Use the following data for the next 2 questions:

Given the following probability distribution for a random variable X:

x 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
P(x) 0.1 0.2 0.15 0.25 0.1 0.1 0.1

19. The expected value of the random variable X is:

a) 3.5
b) 4.3
c) 3.75
d) 4.05
e) None of the above, specify__________

20. The standard deviation of the random variable X is:

a) 17.25
b) 1.7854
c) 3.1875
d) 4.1533
e) None of the above, specify__________

PART II: Writing (60 points):

Question 1 (10pts):
The following data are the number of tons shipped weekly across the Pacific by a shipping company:
645, 426, 559, 424, 488, 506, 674, 614, 689, 419, 477, 485, 428, 665, 472, 404, 661, 595, 426, 639, 601, 509,
531, 542, 466

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 a) Assume these data represent for an entire population. Find the population mean and the population
standard deviation.
b) Group the data into classes and draw a histogram of the frequency distribution, assuming the number
of classes is 6.
c) Find the quartiles, and the range of the data.
d) Verify the Chebyshev’s theorem with k = 1.5.
e) Construct the box plot for the above data set.

Question 2 (10pts):
In a rental car office, 3 of the 12 subcompact models now available for rental are subject to a safety recall soon
to be announced by the Traffic Safety Administration. 5 subcompacts will be rented today, and the cars will be
randomly selected from those available in the pool.
a) What is the probability that exactly one of the recall-affected cars will be rented today?
b) What is the probability that all three of the recall-affected cars will be rented today?

Question 3 (10pts):
Suppose that in a certain district, 40% of the voters prefer candidate A. A random sample of 20 voters is
selected.
a) What is the probability that there are 4 voters prefer candidate A?
b) What is the probability that there are at least 3 voters prefer candidate A?

Question 4 (10pts):
An insurance company believes that people can be divided as those who are prone to have accidents and those
who are not. The company has established that the probability that an accident-prone person will have an
accident in a 1-year period is 0.10; the probability for all others is 0.06. Suppose that the probability that a new
policyholder is accident-prone is 0.25.
a) What is the probability that a randomly selected person will have an accident?
b) Given that the person has had an accident, what is the probability that this person is an accident-prone
person?

Question 5 (10pts):
A student has to sell 2 books from a collection of 7 math books, 5 science books, and 8 economics books. How
many choices are possible if:
a) Both books are on the same subject?
b) The books are on different subjects?
Question 6 (10pts):
A local bank finds that the balances in savings accounts for students are normally distributed with a mean of
$600 and a standard deviation of $80.
a) What is the probability that a randomly selected account will have a balance of more than $635?
b) The bank decided that the top 8% of the account will receive a promotion gift, what is the minimum
value of the account receiving the promotion gift?
GOOD LUCK!