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  • Lag Data Determination Results for Input Layer Node Number

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    Pande Gede Suskrisnha
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    The document contains analysis of rainfall data from the Jerowaru region including: 1) A time series plot of rainfall data over 360 periods 2) Autocorrelation function (ACF) and partial autocorrelation function (PACF) plots which analyze the lag structure and correlations in the data up to lag 20. 3) The ACF and PACF values are shown in tables for each lag. 4) Additional ACF and PACF plots and tables are shown analyzing the differences between the original data and lag 12 data.

    Original Description:

    lampiran 2 permalan curah hujan

    Original Title

    Lampiran 2 (Rev)

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    The document contains analysis of rainfall data from the Jerowaru region including: 1) A time series plot of rainfall data over 360 periods 2) Autocorrelation function (ACF) and partial autocorrelation function (PACF) plots which analyze the lag structure and correlations in the data up to lag 20. 3) The ACF and PACF values are shown in tables for each lag. 4) Additional ACF and PACF plots and tables are shown analyzing the differences between the original data and lag 12 data.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    13 views5 pages

    Lag Data Determination Results for Input Layer Node Number

    Uploaded by

    Pande Gede Suskrisnha
    The document contains analysis of rainfall data from the Jerowaru region including: 1) A time series plot of rainfall data over 360 periods 2) Autocorrelation function (ACF) and partial autocorrelation function (PACF) plots which analyze the lag structure and correlations in the data up to lag 20. 3) The ACF and PACF values are shown in tables for each lag. 4) Additional ACF and PACF plots and tables are shown analyzing the differences between the original data and lag 12 data.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    of 5

    Lampiran 2 (Hasil Penentuan Lag Data Untuk Jumlah Node Layer Input)

    1. Plot data curah hujan (keseluruhan)


    Plot Data Curah Hujan Wilayah Jerowaru
    600

    Data Curah Hujan

    500
    400
    300
    200
    100
    0
    1

    36

    72

    108

    144

    180
    Index

    216

    252

    288

    324

    16

    18

    360

    2. ACF data sebenarnya


    ACF Curah Hujan Aktual Jerowaru
    1.0
    0.8

    Autocorrelation

    0.6
    0.4
    0.2
    0.0
    -0.2
    -0.4
    -0.6
    -0.8
    -1.0
    2

    10
    Lag

    12

    14

    20

    Nilai ACFnya:
    Lag

    ACF

    LBQ

    Lag

    ACF

    LBQ

    1 0.565750 10.73 116.19

    11 0.577321 5.57 650.91

    2 0.309464 4.58 151.05

    12 0.636004 5.67 802.39

    3 -0.044689 -0.63 151.78

    13 0.526109 4.32 906.34

    4 -0.268339 -3.76 178.14

    14 0.317222 2.48 944.24

    5 -0.468806 -6.32 258.82

    15 0.013424 0.10 944.31

    6 -0.574809 -7.01 380.45

    16 -0.253854 -1.95 968.73

    7 -0.474961 -5.13 463.74

    17 -0.480805 -3.66 1056.56

    8 -0.293707 -2.97 495.67

    18 -0.563766 -4.14 1177.67

    9 -0.011590 -0.11 495.72

    19 -0.475086 -3.33 1263.93

    10 0.287286 2.83 526.45

    20 -0.257202 -1.75 1289.28

    3. PACF data sebenarnya


    PACF Curah Hujan Aktual Jerowaru
    1.0

    Partial Autocorrelation

    0.8
    0.6
    0.4
    0.2
    0.0
    -0.2
    -0.4
    -0.6
    -0.8
    -1.0
    2

    10
    Lag

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    Nilai PACF:
    Lag

    PACF

    Lag

    PACF

    1 0.565750 10.73

    11 0.319935 6.07

    2 -0.015605 -0.30

    12 0.171598 3.26

    3 -0.314334 -5.96

    13 0.092952 1.76

    4 -0.189536 -3.60

    14 0.125368 2.38

    5 -0.257480 -4.89

    15 -0.015816 -0.30

    6 -0.296361 -5.62

    16 -0.013197 -0.25

    7 -0.088498 -1.68

    17 -0.036469 -0.69

    8 -0.070396 -1.34

    18 -0.083851 -1.59

    9 0.029085 0.55

    19 0.003738 0.07

    10 0.174004 3.30

    20 0.064349 1.22

    4. ACF difference 12
    ACF Difference 12
    1.0
    0.8

    Autocorrelation

    0.6
    0.4
    0.2
    0.0
    -0.2
    -0.4
    -0.6
    -0.8
    -1.0
    2

    10
    Lag

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    Nilai ACF D12:


    Lag

    ACF

    LBQ

    Lag

    ACF

    LBQ

    1 0.000033 0.00 0.00

    11 0.153794 2.77 21.28

    2 -0.008774 -0.16 0.03

    12 -0.419015 -7.39 84.93

    3 -0.135500 -2.53 6.51

    13 -0.068308 -1.05 86.63

    4 0.031013 0.57 6.85

    14 0.042888 0.66 87.30

    5 0.032971 0.60 7.24

    15 0.035970 0.55 87.77

    6 -0.007020 -0.13 7.25

    16 0.028139 0.43 88.06

    7 -0.012824 -0.23 7.31

    17 -0.007323 -0.11 88.08

    8 -0.092942 -1.70 10.41

    18 0.036608 0.56 88.57

    9 0.057951 1.05 11.61

    19 0.033692 0.51 88.99

    10 -0.055793 -1.01 12.73

    20 0.080115 1.22 91.38

    5. PACF difference 12
    PACF Difference 12
    1.0

    Partial A utocorrelation

    0.8
    0.6
    0.4
    0.2
    0.0
    -0.2
    -0.4
    -0.6
    -0.8
    -1.0
    2

    10
    Lag

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    Nilai PACF D12:


    Lag

    PACF

    Lag

    PACF

    1 0.000033 0.00

    11 0.137310 2.56

    2 -0.008774 -0.16

    12 -0.425611 -7.94

    3 -0.135510 -2.53

    13 -0.052107 -0.97

    4 0.031362 0.59

    14 0.079196 1.48

    5 0.031138 0.58

    15 -0.097502 -1.82

    6 -0.025524 -0.48

    16 0.027005 0.50

    7 -0.003976 -0.07

    17 0.042073 0.78

    8 -0.087141 -1.63

    18 0.009701 0.18

    9 0.053459 1.00

    19 0.067537 1.26

    10 -0.061348 -1.14

    20 0.007232 0.13

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