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Preface
In the past two decades, if ever India was close to achieving inclusive growth for rural
masses, it is now. The gradual transformation of one of the central pillars of growth is
underway. In this ever changing environment, it is important to assess how rural masses are
coping with the transformation on all fronts, be it income or consumption patterns or the
socio-economic changes. To get deeper insights into these issues, we commissioned a study
across five states, 15 districts, 200 villages, and 1,989 rural households. A team of three
analysts from Edelweiss travelled more than 7,000 kms across the length and breadth of the
country to bring you the flavour.
In our survey, we were assisted by the largest rural consultancy firm MART, based out of
Delhi, involved with many IMF and ADB sponsored projects. With MART’s assistance, we
designed the survey structure, indentified states, districts and villages to get a truly
representative sample. In some cases, their representatives also accompanied us as
language became a barrier.
While the idea of the study was to generally understand transformation in the countryside,
we set a few specific objectives for ourselves:
In addition, we also interviewed FMCG and auto dealers/distributors and EPC contractors
across different states that have substantial exposure to rural demand. Our attempt was to
keep this survey free from a selection bias and independent of our stock view.
The survey indicates that trends traditionally associated with rural India—
overdependence on the farm sector, high incidence of disguised unemployment,
fragmented land-holdings, unproductive farming, low income levels and suppressed
consumption—are reversing gradually. Rural incomes have increased 50% in the past
five years with an expanding middle class which is aspiring to mimic urban consumption
patterns. Households’ attitude to education has undergone a change, which is now considered
a serious investment. The intensification of government efforts through schemes such as
MGNREGA (Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act) and Bharat Nirman
has been a key reason behind inclusive economic growth.
In this survey report, we bring you deeper insights into the nature, drivers, pace and
sustainability of this transformation and what it means for businesses and investors.
Vikas Khemani
Head, Institutional Equities
Contents
Savings: On the rise; triggering huge demand for micro banking, micro insurance ...... 40
Debt: Powerful tool to spur economic activity as few households are leveraged........... 46
Banking penetration: Need for greater inclusion; could be a game changer ................ 47
Government education programmes: Right to Education Act a great leap forward ....... 59
Annexures
Executive Summary
Rural India is undergoing a favourable transformation. While this fact is widely known, what’s
lacking is the deeper understanding of this phenomenon. Paucity of information available from
rural India is surely one of the reasons for this. Therefore, to fill this knowledge-understanding
gap and overcome the hurdle of paucity of data, we set out to do a survey of rural India. The
sample of 1,989 rural households was scientifically picked from 5 different states and 200
villages to ensure true representation and freedom from biases. The survey questionnaire was
designed to explore various facets of rural living. After travelling 7,000 kms over two months
through rural India, we gained much deeper insights into our rural economy.
expanding business activities, the need for savings and credit instruments is rising. +91 22 6623 3411
Today, ~62% of rural households have bank accounts against ~33% in 2001. ‘Cash nischal.maheshwari@edelcap.com
under the mattress’ is still high, but customised financial savings products (micro
banking) can bridge the gap. Among institutions serving rural households, microfinance Kapil Gupta
education among rural households. Expenditure on education is increasingly being +91 22 6623 3377
considered a serious investment rather than unnecessary expenditure. Nearly 65% of dipojjal.saha@edelcap.com
respondents are now saving for education of their children. Higher education levels are
traditionally associated with rising incomes and productivity and fading socio-economic Suruchi Chaudhary
barriers of caste, class and gender. Here again, government is playing a big role in +91 22 6623 3316
bringing education to rural doorsteps. Government’s budget allocation to school suruchi.chaudhary@edelcap.com
education and literacy has increased eight-fold since 2001, reaching INR 330 bn in 2010.
• The average annual rural household income stands at ~INR 76,000, after registering a
~8% CAGR over 2005-10 (Edelweiss survey 2010).
• Further, 75% of survey respondents are optimistic about the growth momentum
continuing in the foreseeable future.
• More importantly, size of the rural middle class (earning INR 90K-2 lacs per annum) has
jumped ~35% over the past 10 years. In our survey, ~19% households fall into the
rural middle-class category.
• The non-farm sector is replacing the farm sector as major contributor to rural incomes.
Farm-sector contribution is expected to dip to 35% by 2020 from ~50% in 2005.
• On the occupation side as well, the farm sector’s share is giving way (64% to 43%) to
labour (30% to 36%), self-employed in non-agri categories (1-11%), and regular
salaried workers (4-9%) over the past decade.
• This rise in the non-farm sector is helping reduce over-dependence on the farm sector
(which has led to disguised unemployment over the years in farm sector) and is helping
improve reliability and seasonality of rural incomes.
• Relatively higher earnings quantity and quality in the non-farm sector is a big attraction.
Low remuneration in the farm sector (53% respondents) is the primary reason behind
occupation shift along with government schemes/incentives (30% respondents).
• Another main catalyst for the change is increasing resources in village such as
infrastructure, finance, etc., (53% respondents). Improved infrastructure is the result of
various government initiatives like MGNREGA and Bharat Nirman.
• MGNREGA has been a big employment provider, generating more than 2 bn person days
of employment in FY09 across 615 districts, which is 2.4x the person days generated in
FY07 (in 200 districts).
• Further, MGNAREGA has put upward pressure on wages throughout the rural economy.
67% respondents stated hike in wages as primary reason for shift in income patterns.
• The MGNAREGA payment policy of directly crediting the wage in the bank account of
workers makes the delivery channel very robust. In FY09, the government opened ~69
mn MGNREGA bank and post office accounts to disburse wages.
Chart 1: Rise of rural middle class (90k – 2 lacs) Chart 2: Average annual household income on rise
120.0
175,000
96.0 140,000
(% of respondents)
105,000
(INR)
72.0
75 70,000
83
48.0
35,000
24.0 0
Self-emp.
Average
Self-emp.in
salary/wages
Labour
19
non-agri
in agri
15
Regular
0.0 2 5
2001 2010
> 5 lakhs 2-5 Lakhs 90K-2 Lakhs < 90 K
2005 2010
Chart 3: Shifts in occupation towards non-farm Chart 4: Reasons for occupation shift in last decade
125 80
(% of respondents)
1 64
100 1 1
(% of respondents)
4 11
48
9
75 30 76
32
36 53 53 48
16 38
50 28 28 25
64 0
25
Increasing resources
Migration
involvement
Easier credit
More income
Decreasing profits in
Govt. prog./
43
Increasing market
generation
incentives
prev. occupation
Low risk
demand
in village
0
2000 2010
Self-employed in agri Labour
Regular salary/wages Self-employed in non-agri
Others
Over dependence on farm Pull factors- pulling people Push factors- pushing
sector reducing towards non-farm sector people out of farm sector
Source: Edelweiss survey, NSSO survey, MART Knowledge Center, MAX-NCAER survey
Rural India is seeing a shift from the farm to non-farm sector and this trend seems to have
gathered pace over the past decade. Accordingly, income levels and patterns are also
evolving. An average annual rural household income stands at ~INR 76,000, after posting a
~8% CAGR over 2005-10 (Edelweiss survey 2010). Further, 75% of survey respondents are
optimistic about this growth momentum continuing in the foreseeable future. The distribution
of income further suggests that the size of the rural middle class (earning INR 90K-2 lacs per
annum) has increased by an impressive ~35% over the past 10 years.
While incomes have generally risen in almost all rural occupations, what stands out clearly is
Traditionally, farm sector
the rise of the non-farm sector in India’s rural economy. Traditionally, the rural economy has
is characterized by high
incidence of disguised been dominated by agriculture (farm sector). Lack of opportunities in the non-farm sector
unemployment, low and poor skill levels led to overdependence on the farm sector, high incidence of disguised
income, and suppressed unemployment, fragmented land holdings, unproductive farming, low income levels,
consumption
suppressed consumption, and low aspiration levels.
While these trends have been changing slowly over the past few decades, the pace of change
seems to have gathered momentum in the past decade or so and is driven by a variety of
factors.
In the following section of the survey analysis, we explore the changing trends in rural
incomes-levels of income, distribution of income, seasonality and reliability of income, drivers
of higher income growth, among others. At the same time, we analyse the shifts in
occupation among the rural households and investigate into the reasons for these shifts.
Further, we also bring insights from our interactions with industry people such as
dealers/distributors who have exposure to rural demand.
The overall dependence of household incomes on the non-farm sector is on the rise. For
example, the NSSO survey data from 1985 to 2000 captures the shift in sources of
income, with contribution made by income from land cultivation and fishing in the total
rural income falling persistently during the stated period.
140,000
105,000
(INR)
The labour category saw
the maximum % increase
in income in five yrs 70,000
35,000
0
Self-emp. Labour Regular Self-emp.in Average
in agri salary/wages non-agri
2005 2010
Source: Edelweiss survey and Max-NCAER 2007
Contribution of the farm income to total rural income slipped below 50% in 2005 and our
survey agency estimates that by 2020, this trend will cause the share of farm income in
total rural income to fall further to below 35%.
190 620
(INR)
shifts, farm sector’s
(INR)
contribution to total
income is falling
120 590
85 575
Income contributed per INR 1000, all
hosuehold types
50 560
87-88 93-94 99-00
This is important because, generally productivity levels in the non-farm sector are
relatively higher than in the farm sector, and if the shift is from a less productive to a
more productive occupation, it is likely to boost incomes and living standards. Non-farm
incomes are not directly constrained by size of land holdings and monsoon. Regularity of
income receipt is also much better in non-farm sector as compared to farm sector.
54.0
56.0
46.0
42.0
34.0
(%)
Farm share will continue
to decline over next
decade, helping reduce 28.0
overdependence on farm
sector
14.0
0.0
2005 2020 (E)
Non-farm income share Farm income share
Source: MART Knowledge Center
Importantly, what stands out from our survey is that while incomes of almost all
occupation categories rose, those involved in labour activities have seen maximum
percentage increase (more than 100%) in their average annual income over last 5 years
and largely this labour activity is in the non-farm sector. Government schemes precisely
target this area and, therefore, our sense is that a significant percentage of increase in
non-farm incomes has to do with government schemes.
Our survey team visited Tonk district near Jaipur in Rajasthan for a first-hand
experience of how government schemes in rural areas, particularly MGNREGA, are
impacting the lives of rural people. We visited a household in the village, where both
the husband and wife have been working in the construction sector in some semi-
urban area far from their village. Since the work was seasonal, the whole family had
to migrate to a far-off semi-urban area where work was available and once the work
was completed in a few months, the couple would return to their village. While the
husband worked as a mason, the wife worked as a helper at construction sites. Both
were earning, but gender discrimination meant that the wife was getting paid less
than the husband.
However, some time ago the couple got to know that the government’s MGNREGA
scheme is offering employment opportunity in the construction area in their own
village. The wife approached officials and got enrolled in construction work while the
husband continued to pursue his previous work of migrating to semi-urban areas for
work and then returning to the village. As per MGNREGA scheme, only one person
from a household can participate.
Two key changes happened with this. First, the wife who was earning much less
earlier, has started earning higher wages (MGNREGA does not discriminate between
males and females), close to INR 90 per day. Second, the family as a whole does not
have to migrate every time there is work in some urban/semi-urban area. Further,
this allowed the household to send the children to a school and also afford some
private tuition because of better income.
Another important development is that rise in income has been associated with
improvement in distribution of incomes. While ~65% of households are still in the lower
income bracket (< 90K), the number has dipped from 83% in 2001.
More importantly, size of In fact, one of the most important features of income distribution is the expansion in the
the rural middle class has
rural middle class. This middle class, i.e. households earning 90K-2 lacs per annum has
expanded an impressive
~35% in past 10 years expanded by ~35% over the past 10 years and today our survey estimates that 19% of
the rural households fall into the middle class category.
96.0
(% of respondents)
72.0
75
83
48.0
24.0
19
15
0.0 2 5
2001 2010
> 5 lakhs 2-5 Lakhs 90K-2 Lakhs < 90 K
Source: Edelweiss survey, Great Indian Middle Class & NCAER 2004
Our survey clearly points out that this rise in incomes has been supported by a fairly
diverse set of factors.
First, implementation of government schemes such as MGNREGA and others has raised
minimum wage across the board in the rural economy. Approximately, 67% respondents
in our survey cited hike in wages as the primary reason for shift in income patterns,
which is largely driven by government schemes. In fact, in our separate interactions with
distributors and dealers in auto and FMCG space, we found that because of government
employment schemes, even dealers themselves are seeing an upward pressure on wages
for their employees.
Second, government schemes are undertaking projects which are labour intensive and
heavily targeted towards the lower socio-economic strata (R3 and R4 categories) in rural
areas. This is helping improve income distribution.
Finally, the reduced role of middle men in the crop sale chain is leading to better price
realisations on the part of farmers. In our survey, ~38% respondents sold the crop
produce to the village middle man or village trader in 2005 whereas in 2010, only 25%
respondents are now dependent on the village middle men for selling their produce. This
means that more farmers are taking their produce to the nearby mandi, where they get
relatively better prices.
This could be partly on account of improved road connectivity and better price
information available to farmers through higher use of mobile telephony.
64
48
32
Increase in sources
increase in prices
infrastructure
increase
Growth in
village
of income
This mandi network, however, varies from state to state and influences overall
realisations of farmers. Gujarat seems to be lagging the mandi network, thereby
suppressing realisations on crop produce, whereas Haryana is the leader. This has helped
raise income levels of farmers in Haryana compared to Gujarat.
In fact, state-wise trends in incomes show that high-income households are largely
concentrated in the states of Haryana and Tamil Nadu where more than 30% households
have income greater than INR 90,000 against 26% in Chhattisgarh and just 19% in
Gujarat, which is even lower than 24% in Bihar.
Higher income levels in Haryana could be attributed to benefits of the Green Revolution
(use of high-yielding varieties of seeds, better irrigation facilities etc) over the past few
decades and these benefits have been largely absent in states like Bihar and
Chhattisgarh.
In Tamil Nadu, higher income levels could be the result of larger chunk of rural
population involved in labour activities (~60%) compared to other states. This labour is
generally better educated and is primarily involved in the non-farm sector. As we
established in our previous section, households which have seen maximum increase in
their incomes over the past five years are the ones involved in labour activities.
96
(% of respondents)
24
0
Average Bihar Haryana Gujarat Chhattisgarh Tamilnadu
> 5 lakhs 2-5 Lakhs 90K-2 Lakhs 60-90K 30-60K Upto 30K
Source: Edelweiss survey
The question then arises as to why Gujarat with more percentage of people involved in
labour activities and self-employed in agriculture (both occupations are associated with
higher income levels) has lower average household income than Haryana. The possible
reason for this anomaly could be the lower productivity or lower realisations of agri-
produce in Gujarat, which possibly could be due to not-so-well developed mandi network
in Gujarat as compared to some other states, particularly Haryana and Punjab.
(% of respondents)
92
69
46
23
Gujarat
Chhattisgarh
Tamil Nadu
Haryana
Bihar
All India
Self-employed in agri Labour Regular salary/wages
Self-employed in non-agri Others
Source: Edelweiss survey
The contribution of farm sector occupation continues to remain substantial in the overall
rural economy, but its share is gradually declining over the decades. This pace seems to
have gathered momentum. As per our survey, ~30% respondents reported change in
their primary occupation over the past 10 years, which is substantial.
1
100 1 1
4 11
(% of respondents)
9
75 30
36
50
64
25
43
0
Shift towards non-farm
sector is helping reduce 2000 2010
over-dependence on the Self-employed in agri Labour Regular salary/wages
farm sector
Self-employed in non-agri Others
Source: Edelweiss survey
This shift is healthy for the rural economy. It relieves the farm sector from the burden of
disguised unemployment because traditionally, the sector has been perceived as a
parking lot for rural unemployed and has contributed to suppressed incomes and
fragmented land holdings. Second, the reliability and regularity of incomes in the non-
farm sector are much better than in the farm sector.
Reduced
dependence
on farm
sector
Multiple
Non-farm sector is Risk sources
associated with better reduction of
reliability and regularity income
of incomes compared with
farm sector
Localisattion
Seasonality of
employment
Benefits of
non-farm
Gender
sector
Reducing
empower- rural-urban
ment disparity
Real dent
Labour
to
absorption
poverty
Backward
and
forward
linkages
Case Study: Low remuneration in farm-sector pushed Mr. Puttanna out into
non-farm activity
The survey team visited a household in a village Harnahalli, 25 km away from district
Shimoga in Karnataka where the Chief Wage Earner (CWE)- Mr Puttanna is running a
small transport business. He owns a mini bus, which he uses to transport people
between Shimoga and his village to generate income.
Before starting a transport business, he used to work on his own small land holding,
growing ground nuts and some vegetables as well. He would sell his produce to a
commission agent in a mandi, who was also a seller of some agri-inputs such as
fertilisers, seeds, etc. The commission agent used to buy the produce at relatively
suppressed prices because he also used to provide agri-inputs to the CWE and
sometimes on credit as well. So overall, dependence on the commission agent was
On the push side, high and the CWE’s income from his farm holding was quite low.
relatively low
remuneration for many in Apparently, Mr Puttanna was looking for ways to boost his income and one of the
the farm-sector is things which caught his attention was that with the increase in the economic activity
encouraging shift to non-
in his village, more and more people need to travel to the nearby district Shimoga
farm sector
and there is not enough state transport available to meet the growing demand.
Hence, he decided to sell most of his land (~1 acre) and invest the same in buying a
mini bus which could be used to transport people. However, the proceeds from the
land sale were not enough to buy him a mini-bus which he could run to and fro
between village and the district to carry people and therefore he started looking for
additional resources to fund his vehicle purchase.
Fortunately, Mr. Puttanna’s wife is part of a women self-help group, which in turn is
associated with a microfinance institution (MFI). He tried to use his wife’s contact at
the MFI to get a small loan from MFI and fortunately, he was able to get enough loan
from the MFI so that he could buy the vehicle. In additions, he hired a driver and
started running transportation services between Shimoga and his village.
The business plan worked and soon the business was generating revenue of ~INR
1,500/day. After accounting for diesel, maintenance of the vehicle, and salaries for
the driver and handyman, the CWE was still able to generate ~INR 400/day, much
higher than what he earned from his farm activities. Also, the CWE opened a small
grocery shop in the village, selling sugar, rice etc., to supplement his income which
helped him pay his loan EMI regularly.
Two key changes took place in the life of the household. By moving from the farm
sector to non-farm sector, the household was able to enjoy, higher, more reliable
and frequent flow of income. Secondly, the household was able to shift the children
from the existing low quality school to a better school run by a trust..
(% of respondents)
64
48
76
32
53 53 48
16 38
28 28 25
0
resources in village
previous occupation
involvement
Increasing market
Govt. programmes/
income generation
Migration
availability for
Easy credit
Need for more
Low risk
profitability in
activity
Increasing
incentives
demand
Declining
MGNREGA generated ~2
bn person days of
employment in FY09, 2.4
times person days
generated in FY07
Second, through schemes like MGNREGA and Bharat Nirman, the government is
helping build rural infrastructure such as water conservation, rural connectivity,
electricity, safe drinking water, among others, which is essential in raising
productivity and encouraging private entrepreneurship in rural areas.
Indirectly, government
schemes are helping build
rural infra, thereby For example, under MGNREGA, the government aims to provide livelihood security
enhancing sustainability to rural households by providing at least 100 days of guaranteed employment in
of income growth
each financial year. MGNREGA has been a big employment provider, generating
more than 2 bn person days of employment in FY09, which is 2.4x the person
days generated in FY07. In FY09, 67% of the funds spent under MGNREGA were in
the form of wages to labourers.
Fig . 5: Water pond bunding for storing rain water (MGNREGA)- Medak, A.P.
In other words, schemes such as MGNREGA are brining job opportunities and
infrastructure to rural doorsteps.
Meanwhile, another trend which is captured by our survey is the increasing incidence of
supplementary occupation. Our survey found that ~30% of rural households have
Increasingly, households supplementary occupations i.e., an occupation in addition to the primary occupation or is
are doubling their pursued on a seasonal basis and provides lesser income than the main occupation.
incomes through
supplementary Normally, it has been observed that if the main occupation is in the farm sector, the
occupations supplementary tends to be in the non-farm sector and vice-versa. Out of the
respondents who admitted to a supplementary occupation, 56% stated self-employment
in agriculture as their supplementary occupation.
48.0
(% of respondents)
39.0
36.0
24.0
13.0
12.0
5.0
0.0
Self-employed in Labour Self-employed in Regular
agri non-agri salary/wages
In our survey, ~60% respondents were ‘somewhat satisfied’ and ‘highly satisfied’ with
the changes their incomes have undergone in the past decade and only 7% respondents
were ‘highly dissatisfied’ with the change.
Chart 15: Large % households satisfied with change in income over past decade
Highly
dissatisfied
Highly satisfied
7% Somewhat
17%
dissatisfied
6%
Neither satisfied
nor dissatisfied
27%
Somewhat
satisfied
43%
More importantly, we found that rural households are increasingly confident about
sustainability of this rise in their incomes. For example, a vast majority (~75%) expects
incomes to rise mildly or heavily in the next two-three years.
Can't say
23%
~75% rural households
remain optimistic on the
income growth
momentum
No change
4%
Mild increase
58%
Heavy increase
15%
The optimism on rural The reasons behind this optimism are by and large in line with our survey findings such
incomes is well reflected as improvement in rural infrastructure and intensification of government schemes. In
in our interactions with addition, considerable appreciation in land prices, which has not only boosted wealth
auto/FMCG dealers across
perception of households but also allowed many households to sell part of the land and
states
invest the proceeds in some small business or in the education of children, or buy some
durable goods.
Below, we present our interaction with Mr. Waheed Hussain, dealer for M& M tractors in
Kurnool district (Andhra Pradesh) which gives insights into transformation in rural India.
Excerpts from an interview with Mr. Waheed Hussain, dealer for M&M tractors in
Kurnool district (Andhra Pradesh).
Second, there has been a substantial appreciation in farmlands value over the past
few years. This, through wealth effect and improved access to credit, has helped
enhance affordability of tractors. Third, general improvement in rural infrastructure
such as irrigation, improved access to various grain/vegetables market through
better roads, reduced role of village middlemen etc., have boosted production of
crops and realisations. This has also supported mechanisation.
• However, rising and reliable income streams, coupled with aspiration to lead an
urbanised lifestyle, will get expenditure growth rate to pick momentum, transforming
rural India into one big and growing consumption centre.
• At USD 190 bn in 2010, rural consumption market size is greater that the GDP of
Singapore and Hungary. We estimate rural consumption market to triple in the next 10
years to USD 600 bn.
• As expected, share of food in rural wallet has declined from 52% in 2006-07 to 40% in
2010. This is in line with urban spending trends on food in 2006-07.
• The lost share of food has moved in favour of education (3-6% of wallet), travel (9-11%)
and personal care (6-8%). Entertainment expense has gathered pace with 7% of current
wallet share.
*
• R3 and R4 represent 80% rural population and their asset ownership level is below the
overall rural average for many durables. This ownership divergence between socio
economic classes (SECs) indicates big potential market for TV sets, VCD/DVD players,
motorbikes etc., as these durables top their list of planned purchases for the next year.
• Auto dealers sounded very optimistic. Better road connectivity, innovative financing
products, among others, are additional factors along with increasing income levels in
driving auto sales.
• Most importantly, incrementally, companies are doing everything possible to tap rural
markets as this is where growth is. They now have customised products, affordable
ticket sizes, innovative delivery channels, and widespread advertising.
* R3 and R4 represent the bottom 2 classes under SEC classification of rural households on the basis of educational
qualification and type of the household
0
7
14
21
28
35
VCD/DVD Player
Motorbike/Scooter
5%
in rural wallet
TV Set
6%
7%
6%
6%
DTH/Cable Connection
Communication
Education
Telephone/Mobile Apparel
Healthcare
durables
Entertainment
9%
Pressure Cooker
Bicycle
Personal care
3%
Car/Jeep
Gold/Silver
Air Cooler
5%
Tractor
PC/Laptop
Washing Machine
11%
Travel
years back
Generator/Inverter
Chart 17: Discretionary spending gaining foothold
Air Conditioner
42%
Food
0
15
30
45
60
75
To improve living Telephone/Mobile
penetration
powered by affordability
Driven by aspirations and
Increase in family Motorbike/Scooter
Refrigerator
Increasing mobility
Air Cooler
Car/Jeep
23
Source: Edelweiss survey
Edel: Pulse
Domestic consumption has been a driving force of the India growth story which unfolded
over the past decade. The robust story has so far played itself out in two phases—the
first phase with increased levels of discretionary spending in urban India. The second
phase saw scaling up of demand in urban India and parallel rise in spending on non-
discretionary products in rural India. While the second phase is playing itself out, the
third phase is on the rise—increasing discretionary consumption in rural areas.
This increased consumption spells not only a big opportunity for corporate India, but also
offers a natural hedge to the economy against global demand volatility. Thus, one of the
objectives of our survey was to examine the nature and drivers of this trend.
Rural consumption market: USD 190 bn; growth to be at a faster pace now
Annual consumption expenditure of a rural household stands at INR 53,000 (Edelweiss
survey 2010). At this expenditure level, we estimate rural consumption to be a USD 190
bn market for 2010. At this size, the rural consumption market is greater than the GDP
of Singapore and Nigeria. We estimate the rural consumption market to triple to USD
600 bn in the next 10 years.
Rising and reliable income However, while income grew to INR 76,000 in 2010 from 2005 at a CAGR of 8%,
to give momentum to consumption has posted only 5% CAGR for the same period. In the same period rural
consumption growth
incomes have become more reliable and stable. In our opinion, this visibility of income
will increase the consumption growth rate from the current 5%. Also, rural aspiration for
an urbanised lifestyle is high, as revealed by our survey. This will further boost spending
on consumer durables and expendables.
Rural non-food spending The lost share of food has moved in favour of education (3-6% of wallet), travel (9-
seen in line with urban 11%) and personal care (6-8%) for 2007-10. Expenditure on entertainment has picked
trends witnessed during up in a big way and now accounts for 7% of total expenses.
FY07
Also, a large part of households surveyed (93%) agreed to have shifted their expenditure
patterns over the past 10 years. While a large percentage (about 95%) have increased
their spending on basic expenses such as food and beverages, equally high percentage of
respondents have increased expenditure in a higher proportion on discretionary items
and consumer expendables. This explains why personal care, travel and transport and
communication have seen a steady increase in percentage of wallet share.
Chart 21: Non-food expenditure gaining foothold in rural wallet with rising
income
Housing
Durables
5%
Apparel 3%
6%
Healthcare
6% Food
42%
Education
6%
Communication
5%
Entertainment
7%
Personal care
9% Travel
11%
Source: Edelweiss survey
Data on healthcare and education expenditure is also encouraging, wherein both the
Healthcare and education segments have posted a steady increase. About 81% households increased their
expenditure on the rise
spending on education, while 94% raised their spending on healthcare.
Spending on travel and transport has increased ~90%, with majority households (60%)
having increased it heavily. Expenditure on travel and transport has received a big boost
from increasing ownership of vehicles and better connectivity between villages and
between villages and state highways. During our survey, villagers stated that improved
road conditions have been a factor in visiting friends and relatives living in other villages.
As connectivity further improves, spending on this segment is also expected to rise.
Q. What are the reasons, according to you, behind the rise in consumption?
Two most important reasons are rising income levels and brand consciousness. Apart
from steadily rising farm incomes, there has been a very rapid increase in non-farm
sectors. One of the contributing causes to rising non-farm incomes has been
increasing compensation from sale of land.
The second reason is, rising awareness about various brands. For example, people
were earlier happy to buy unpackaged products, but now they have shifted to
packaged and branded products. We are seeing this shift happening across product
categories. The reason could be attributed to a greater exposure to media and
advertisements.
Excerpts of an interview with Mr. Rakesh Jain, dealer, Bajaj Auto and Hyundai Motors
(Haryana)
Q. Have you witnessed demand uptick over the past five years? How has
Robust auto demand with
five years of steady rural household contributed to the growth?
growth Yes certainly. Speaking for the past five years, I have seen continuous pickup in
demand without any slowdown period in between. The uptick has been particularly
strong for the past one and a half years. I was selling 450/month two wheelers in
2008, which has increased to 650/month in 2010. Also, in the four-wheeler segment,
sales have increased from 60 vehicles/month to 135 vehicles/month from 2008 to
2010.
Q. What do you think is the main reason driving such robust demand?
Clearly, rise in income levels. Salary levels for all jobs in rural India have almost
increased by 50% in the past two years, be it for nurses, teachers, and hospital
technicians or for people like office boys, sweepers, domestic help etc. For my
dealership with an employee strength of 250, salary levels have increased 50%. So,
what we see today is a villager with basic education managing INR 4,000-5,000 as
salary on a monthly basis. This is creating a huge customer base for us as aspiration
levels are very high.
Also, the demographics support the demand. About 25% of my demand comes from
students in various villages entering colleges in nearby towns. Marriage season is
another big contributor as a two wheeler is a main component of conspicuous
spending during weddings in rural India.
Improved roads, coupled with better connectivity, is another catalyst. It is a lot more
Better rural infra driving
travel and transport comfortable to reach from villages to state highways as kuccha roads are being
expenditure replaced by pucca ones under various government schemes.
Q. Can you brief about your customer profile, in terms of occupation, age
etc?
Our customer base is quite diverse in terms of occupation. Farmers, salaried class,
students, traders, small manufacturers all contribute healthy portion to total
demand. Another interesting phenomenon is that we see a shift in the entry level
age of customers. Today, people in the age group of 25-30 are very comfortable in
buying two wheelers on their own, while people in the age group of 30-35 are
comfortable in buying four wheelers.
With all this, we also witness mindset change of people. With increase in income,
there is a substantial amount of aspiration build up. People want to procure basic
transport vehicle as soon as they secure income for basic livelihood expenditure.
Both farm and non-farm Q. What about customers from the farm sector? Are they significant
sectors are important contributors to demand?
contributors to demand Yes, a very substantial portion. Crop realisations have gone up and, more
importantly, how the produce is being sold has also changed. With mobile telephony,
farmers are equipped with all the information, creating a perfect market for buyers
and sellers. Also, the infrastructure has improved a lot with connectivity to nearest
mandis, making middlemen redundant.
Q. What changes are you seeing on financing front? Is recovery stable and
steady?
Financing companies see rural vehicle financing as a very lucrative opportunity and
are expanding their reach, making their products more consumer friendly. For
example, Bajaj Auto Finance has employed field officers who go to villages with their
collection machines for database purpose and collect small ticket EMIs from the
customer directly. This saves the customer the trouble of travelling to the nearby
outlet and also ensures timely payment of EMIs.
Ownership of consumer Chart 22: Increasing level of ownership with appetite for more
durables improving rural
lifestyles 90
(% of respondents)
72
54
36
18
0
Car/Jeep
Washing Machine
VCD/DVD Player
Refrigerator
Generator/Inverter
Telephone/Mobile
Motorbike/Scooter
Air Cooler
PC/Laptop
Connection
Bicycle
Electric Fan
Gold/Silver
DTH/Cable
Air Conditioner
TV Set
Tractor
Throughout the report, in parts, we have highlighted the role of media in creating
awareness and in building the desire for an urban lifestyle. This, in turn, is driving
higher discretionary spend in villages. In this context, our survey reveals high
penetration of DTH and cable services in villages. For one, many rural households
have two television sets, colour and black & white. The black and white set is
powered by batteries and with power supply being erratic, it is often used during
power cuts.
Increased media Interestingly, many households (~26% in our survey) own a DVD/VCD player as
penetration is changing well. Many of our respondents stated that during a power cut they switch to watching
mindsets rapidly movies on the black and white TV from DTH/cable on the colour TV as it is easier to
run B/W TV on battery power. Movie CDs are generally borrowed from the local
kirana store (which also doubles up as a movie library) at INR 5/day. At times, the
tractor battery is used as a substitute for normal batteries.
Second, what has been seen as a path-breaking trend over the past 2-3 years has
Local television channels been the advent of cable/DTH. Within that category as well, there is a marked shift
a big favourite with rural
from cable TV to DTH. Our discussions with respondents suggest that people favour
households
DTH, as the picture quality is perceived to be of superior quality and the bouquet of
channels can be customised. Popular local channels (e.g. Mahua in Bihar) and free-
to-air channels form the basic bouquet offering. While local channels offer popular
programmes for entertainment, they also serve as effective advertising platforms for
government schemes for rural employment and healthcare.
The role played by corporate India in increased penetration of electronics and other
consumer durables is significant. It is using all channels to drive sales and its policies
clearly reflect that the rural hinterland is a focus area.
• Second, and more importantly, it is customising products to make them suitable for
rural households, keeping in mind their erratic electric supply etc.
• On the affordability part, it is making products available in ticket sizes convenient for
a rural household to fund.
• Lastly, efforts can also be seen on devising distribution channels to have deepest
penetration in a cost effective manner.
Auto demand to remain All these efforts will boost sales of air coolers/air conditioners, generator/inverters,
strong as village interiors personal computer/laptops, washing machine, refrigerators etc. These electronics
get connected to state currently have low penetration. On the auto front, our informal interactions with survey
highways
respondents and two wheeler/four wheeler/tractor dealers suggest that penetration
levels can only increase hereon as road connectivity improves and more villages in
interiors are connected to state or national highways.
We illustrate corporate strategies at play for rural consumer with the help of an
innovative product designed by Godrej, ChotuKool (refrigerator) keeping the rural
household in mind.
Increasing consumption appetite of rural India has led to this market being viewed as
a significant revenue driver. Companies now design products and distribution
channels, keeping in mind requirements of rural customers.
Innovative and affordable One such product is ChotuKool refrigerator from Godrej. The idea to address the
products are improving
basic daily cooling needs of people at an affordable cost was inspired by concepts of
rural living standards
disruptive innovation. The larger vision behind this initiative was to make lives of the
people at the bottom of the pyramid brighter.
Currently, the initial model of ChotuKool is being test marketed in Maharashtra. Over
time, based on market response, the company plans to come out with a range of
sizes and models in the ChotuKool category.
Encouragingly, this trend is prevalent among R3 and R4 households as well, wherein the
Potential market is big for current ownership level of some discretionary goods is low. Given current low ownership
two wheelers and within R3 and R4 categories, the market for consumer durables is big in rural India as
entertainment electronics
they represent 80% of rural households. Purchase of a consumer durable also features
high on their list of motivations behind saving.
Chart 23: Purchase of consumer durables on many households’ ‘to buy’ list
35
(% of respondents)
28
21
14
0
Motorbike/Scooter
Telephone/Mobile
PC/Laptop
Refrigerator
Car/Jeep
Generator/Inverter
Gold/Silver
Tractor
Electric Fan
DTH/Cable Connection
Pressure Cooker
Air Cooler
Air Conditioner
VCD/DVD Player
Washing Machine
TV Set
Bicycle
R1 category has high-end An important finding which emerges from our survey is the huge potential for big ticket
consumer electronics and high end consumer durables in the R1 category. Some product categories where
purchase planned for the absolute levels of penetration in R1 are on the lower side include air conditioners,
coming year
pc/laptops, car/jeeps and tractors. Currently, penetration of each of these products is
below 10% among R1 households. However, within the next one year, ~9% households
are planning to buy air conditioners, 20% PCs, 17% a car or jeep and 6% a tractor.
For example, there are some discretionary categories where there is a reasonably high
ownership irrespective of socio economic categories; for example, the ownership levels
among entertainment electronics. There is little surprise in the ownership levels of TV
sets (~80% in SEC R1, versus 57% in SEC R4). The trend in ownership of VCDs and
cable TVs is similar, where even the R4 category has 26% households with DTH/cable
and 16% with VCDS.
100
(% of respndents) 80
60
40
20
VCD/DVD Player
Telephone/Mobile
Connection
Gold/Silver
TV Set
Motorbike/Scooter
Electric Fan
Bicycle
DTH/Cable
R1 R2 R3 R4
Source: Edelweiss survey
R3 and R4 together A few other categories where the variation in asset ownership is not so large include
represent 80% of the some of the smaller ticket products. For example, mobile phone has become ubiquitous
total rural households and is used commonly by respondents across SEC categories (90% of respondents in R1
category use a mobile phone/telephone compared with ~67% in R4). Bicycles are
another category where the ownership, expectedly, is evenly spread. A healthy
percentage of households across sections owns gold and silver jewelry (about 50% of
households in R1 category and 30% in R4). Given the perceived “safety” quotient of gold,
it does not really come as a surprise. Livestock ownership is also even across SEC
categories.
However, refrigerators, motor cycles and to some extent washing machines as well have
a sizeable presence in households in R1 category, but ownership levels, predictably, drop
off through R2, R3 and R4 categories. Some of the asset classes with a relatively lower
penetration as a whole also exhibit skewed ownership patterns within SEC categories.
These products include personal computers, cars/jeeps and air conditioners/air coolers.
Divergence can also be seen within planned purchases of SECs for the coming year. TV
sets, DTH/cable connections, VCD/DVD players, motorbikes and mobile phones top the
list of R3 and R4 categories which collectively form 80% of rural households, implying
huge potential market for these asset classes.
40
(% of respondents)
32
24
16
8
0
Refrigerator
VCD/DVD Player
Telephone/Mobile
Car/Jeep
Connection
Pressure Cooker
TV Set
Motorbike/Scooter
Bicycle
DTH/Cable
R1 R2 R3 R4
75
(% of respondents)
60
45
30
15
Increasing literacy
Additional income
Increase in family
Rising aspiration
To improve living
Income increase
Rising prices
communicate
branded products
Increasing mobility
Availibility of
Need to
of maturing
standard
children
levels
Rising income levels have resulted in greater pie of discretionary and other high
ticket consumer items spending in the expenditure budget. For example, increased
ownership of durables and autos in rural areas validate the above point. Our ground
level interactions with dealers and retailers also indicate the same. One of the FMCG
Initially, Colgate’s strategy for distributing its ubiquitous line of toothpastes was
simple—do not target villages with population less than 2,000. This was because of
the high inventory and transportation cost, for e.g., Colgate used a motor van whose
daily operational cost for reaching and distributing products within villages would be
over INR 3,000 which added to its cost overheads. Thus, by not reaching villages the
company was not only losing out on a revenue stream but also on market share to
imitators. Interestingly, duplicate Colgate branded products were being sold in
villages at the same price as original Colgate toothpaste.
MART & Colgate partnered and co-created project Disha in which educated
unemployed rural youth were trained to promote the Colgate brand. The youth were
identified from Nehru Yuva Kendra (NYK) Sangathan and youth clubs. NYK generally
functions as a platform to provide the youth with skill upgradation programmes, and
conducts youth awareness programmes. The selected youth were trained on brand
communication and market re-distribution. The selected candidates were given a
bicycle, cap, and other accessories. All the accessories and the bicycle were branded
with “Colgate” logo to create awareness. The distribution model was two fold—for one
half of the day, the youth were expected to sell Colgate products in local village
haats, while during the other half they were expected to venture to targeted villages.
Per day target was fixed at least one haat and two villages. Each youth was expected
to reach a radius of 10 km from their “base” village.
These youth, known as Disha traders sold to the direct consumer at a discount to
induce trials. The monthly income of each Disha traders through this program was
estimated at INR 3,000.
This was a win-win situation for both the village youth as well as the company.
Colgate is now able to reach far flung villages at negligible cost, thereby regaining
market share from competitors, while the youth gained from employment with a
steady income stream. This project was rolled out in UP about two years ago and was
initially started in 20 districts employing about 250 Disha traders.
The above is an example of how novel distribution strategies are being used by
various companies to target far flung villages where conventional methods of
transportation and logistics are not cost effective.
All the above points about corporate India’s focus on rural households have also been
noted in our conversation as well with dealers and distributors who serve India’s
hinterland. During our interaction with Mr. Sanjay Bhutoria, Havell’s dealer for the
eastern region, we came across the following interesting observations.
Mr. Bhutoria deals extensively in Havell’s products across the seven north-eastern states,
West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand and parts of Orissa. He has to travel often to villages and
Aggressive rural
marketing and increasing regularly interacts with sub-dealers and retailers to get a better feel of rural markets.
consumer touchpoints According to him, rural demand is growing robustly and in the category of products he
driving rural sales deals in, the difference in volume growth rates in urban and rural areas is as high as 10-
15%. He feels that government programmes, such as the Rajiv Gandhi Vidyut Yojana
(RGVY), have been major game changers in villages. Most villages across eastern India
are benefitting from this scheme. This has also resulted in increasing the penetration of
electrical goods in villages to a great extent.
As a result, the number of households in rural India who use electronic goods such as
refrigerators, TV sets, has also increased. Also, given the erratic power supply, people in
rural India are opting for only branded electrical products. “Rural India is a big
opportunity, no company can afford to ignore it”, says Mr. Bhutoria.
What Havell’s has done so far to increase the penetration and increase availability is
unique. First, its marketing campaigns, both on TV as well as on ground, have a “rural”
touch. Vans tagged with “Havell’s” brand names are parked at specific villages for a day
or so, wherein technicians talk to locals about products and receive enquiries on which
components are best suited for their homes. Apart from this, the company has instituted
the Electrician’s Training Programme (ETP), wherein local electricians are imparted basic
technical skills. The number of touchpoints with the end-consumer has also increased
with a larger number of retailers in smaller towns also being targeted.
In fact, this model of targeting the vast potential of rural India through advertisement
campaigns and increasing touchpoints and wherever possible by introducing customised
products and services is not unique to Havell’s alone. Many companies across product
categories, FMCG, durables, etc., are in the fray as well.
• Average rural household income and savings at INR 76,000 and INR 23,000, respectively
(Edelweiss survey 2010).
• Interestingly, savings growth (17% CAGR) is 2x of income growth (CAGR 8%) from
2005-10.
• 78% of rural India is now earning enough to build a savings corpus; big jump from a
mere 42% in 2005.
• 49% of people in rural areas receive income on half yearly intervals which underline
strong demand for micro banking and micro credit to help manage finances better.
• Formal banking is expanding its roots; 62% of those surveyed by Edelweiss had bank
accounts, whereas in 2001 only one third of the rural population had access to banking.
• Bank accounts and insurance products are the new age saving channels for rural India
(62% and 24% rural households using the same).
• However, ‘cash under mattress’ is still high at 50% of total savings for want of
convenient banking. Micro banking to fill the gap by making small ticket transactions
feasible.
• Risk aversion on part of lenders and lack of collateral for loans explain why only 18% of
those surveyed had running loans.
• Loans are being used judiciously to start non-farm based activity and to acquire farm
inputs (49% of respondents) ultimately leading to income generation.
• Sources of debt have shifted in favor of co-operatives and commercial banks (50% of
respondents) from traditional village money lenders (28% of respondents).
• MFIs can bring about a paradigm change in how rural India earns, saves, and invests.
Chart 27: Monthly savings on the rise with shrinking Chart 28: Education a top scorer behind motivation
pie of non-savers to save
70
(% of respondents)
Emergencies
56
Education
42
Old age
28
Buy consumer goods
14 Buy or build house
0 Social ceremonies
INR 6,000-12,000
Below INR 2,000
INR 4,000-6,000
INR 2,000-4,000
above
Improve business
Loan repayment
0 20 40 60 80
2005 2010 (% of respondents)
Chart 29: Multiple drivers behind saving channel shifts Chart 30: Loan sources reflect reduced role of money
lenders
100
45
(% of respodnents)
80
(% of respodnents)
36
60 27
40 18
20 9
0 0
generation
Interest earning
Accessibility of
accessing banks
Awareness
Need for
security
Convenience in
Co-operative
Money-lender
Trader
Self help group
society/bank
Relatives/friends
Financial cos
Commercial
banks
banks
After having understood the income landscape and the consumption appetite of rural India,
we next move to unveiling trends in rural finances. A critical component in understanding
rural households is to understand how they save, invest and make use of credit. Is the rural
farmer a prudent saver and a savvy investor? Is the credit penetration enough to help rural
India capitalise on opportunities? Are financial services doing their part to alleviate economic
levels of the lowest segment in the Indian economic landscape? These are a few of the broad
questions which we answer in the rural finances section of our survey.
Savings: On rise; triggering huge demand for micro banking, micro insurance
Rural households are prudent with their savings and expenses. For the five year period of
Savings growth rate 2X of
Income growth rate from 2005-10, the rural population saw its annual income grow from INR 51,922 (NCAER
2005-2010 Survey) to INR 75,864 (CAGR: 8%), as per our survey. In the same period, annual
savings increased from INR 10,320 to INR 22,960 (CAGR: 17%). The pace of increase in
the amount saved is more than twice the growth rate of income. More importantly, the
proportion of households with nil monthly savings has dropped drastically from 58% in
2005 to 22% in 2010. Majority of the households save up to INR 2,000 per month.
Chart 31: Monthly savings on the rise with shrinking pie of non-savers
70
(% of respnodents)
56
42
28
14
0
INR 6,000-12,000
Below INR 2,000
INR 4,000-6,000
INR 2,000-4,000
above
2005 2010
The willingness to save more with rising income levels clearly demonstrates the
rationality of a rural household in financial management. Moreover, increased savings
imply huge opportunity for banking products, primarily in the form of insurance and
saving accounts.
To provide for education Motivation to save is a balanced mix of the desire to improve socio-economic condition
and emergencies and to take care of unforeseen events. This is reflected in education and emergencies
motivates rural folks to
being the two most recurring reasons to save. 64% households with savings want to
save
provide for education of their children and 70% cite funds for emergencies as a
compelling reason. Next is the desire to improve living conditions and to upgrade lifestyle
by investing in a house and large consumer durables. The strong savings momentum
underlined by the motivation behind them lends buoyancy to rural demand for education,
housing materials, and consumer goods.
Emergencies
Education
Old age
Social ceremonies
Improve business
Loan repayment
0 20 40 60 80
(% of respondents )
Source: Edelweiss survey
The distribution of income flow during the year also creates its own demand for saving
Infrequent income flow
and financing products. Our survey reveals that half the sample population receives
creates its own demand
for credit and savings income on half yearly intervals. This is explained by the fact that 45% of chief wage
products earners in our survey are self employed in agriculture and allied activities where income
is received only at the end of the harvest season. However, a quarter of the aggregate
sample receives income on a regular basis i.e., daily, weekly or fortnightly.
Income inflows at irregular intervals bring about the need for various financial products,
both for credit and investment. For a farmer with half yearly income flow, readily
available credit at affordable terms during the crop cycle enhances productivity along
with better management of finances. On the other hand, for households with a regular
flow of income, saving and investment products are critical to ensure efficient and
profitable management of finances.
Irregular
Half-yearly 15%
49%
Quarterly
6%
Chart 34: Saving channels diverse, but majority savings as cash at home
(% of amount saved)
90 60
(% of respondents)
72 48
54 36
36 24
18 12
0 0
Insurance
Land, property
operative society
Deposit in
Deposit in bank
Gold
Other
Cash at home
postoffice
‘Cash at home’ though Majority of the population (85%) still saves cash at home. Also it is noteworthy that 50%
declining, continues to of the savings of the surveyed population is accounted for under this head. Households
account for majority of
lose out on interest on their savings and take the additional burden of safeguarding the
rural savings
assets at home. About 62% of the population uses bank deposit accounts, but has a low
percentage of savings in the account.
Several factors have contributed to this, ranging from inconvenience to handle frequent
small ticket transactions to the availability of a bank nearby. Very small part of the
saving is channelised into insurance products, which demonstrates the low penetration
level of investment products in rural households. There is huge potential for banking,
micro finance, and micro insurance in rural India.
The situation has, however, changed now with the State Bank of India (SBI)
providing micro banking to villages with population even below 2,000 through its
business correspondents (BC). It has engaged FINO (Financial Information Network
and Operations) for this purpose. FINO opens no frills saving accounts, whereby
Personalized Biometric Cards are issued to villagers. Since the agents employed by
FINO hail from the same or nearby villages, people trust the BCs with their money.
The card issued acts as a passbook plus ATM card and provides facilities like balance
inquiry, deposits and withdrawal of cash. This has enabled people with small and
regular savings to get benefits of security and interest associated with bank deposits.
Later these banking channels can also be used for other financial products like loans,
remittances, insurance, etc.
Fig. 10: Biometric cards solving dual purpose of passbook plus ATM card
Mr. Suresh Mittapally, one of the BC employed on behalf of SBI has opened more
than 1,300 no frill saving accounts across 18 villages in Nalgonda district in the past
one year. Many of his customers are daily wage earners who work under MGNREGA
projects. Since these wage earners have a regular flow of income, the savings
account provided by the bank is a convenient option for safe and secure banking.
The proportion opting for a change is big, but still a huge proportion has not reaped the
benefits of increased opportunities and better saving mechanisms. This segment
represents a sizeable potential market for the banking industry in India.
The dominant reason that propelled rural households to change their saving pattern was
the desire for safety and security of investments (88%), followed by interest earned on
saving (77%). Convenience in accessing banks/financial institutions (67%) is another
driving factor behind the shift. Penetration of banking channels, given the central bank’s
thrust on financial inclusion, should serve well for the rural population by making banking
accessible and convenient.
Chart 35: Shifts seen in savings channel for security and interest income
100
80
(% of respondents)
60
40
20
0
Need for Interest Convenience in Awareness Accessibility of
security earning accessing generation banks
banks
As seen from table above, the change has been brought about majorly in levels of cash
held at home. Of the survey population who responded to having changed their saving
pattern in the past decade, only 27% see cash at home as a saving mechanism now vis-
à-vis 93% a decade ago. This has clearly resulted in 69% people using bank accounts to
save compared with a paltry 14% at the beginning of the decade. Popularity of post
office savings schemes has also increased, driven by the offices’ convenient location.
Demand and use of The most interesting phenomenon is the surge in usage of insurance products. One third
insurance products on the of the surveyed population now uses insurance as a savings option. This segment of
rise population was only 5% a decade ago. Gold, as a saving mechanism, is slowly losing
sheen with continuously dropping percentage (19% currently) of households using it as
an investment.
The above mentioned table can be used to chart the future course of growth in
channelising of funds. With the growing awareness and availability of suitable banking
and insurance products, the market has substantial potential for the banking industry
and will clearly drive volumes at a rapid pace.
Somewhat
dissatisfied
11%
Somewhat
satisfied
28%
Neither satisfied
nor dissatisfied
38%
May be it is the awareness that better avenues are possible is what is leading to the
dissatisfaction. With increased access of better saving instruments and spread of
financial literacy, rural savings will surely flow into formal banking channels.
Debt: Powerful tool to spur economic activity as few households are leveraged
The rationale behind analysing the borrowing behavior of a rural household was to see
the extent to which debt is driving the rural economy and consumption which showed
strength even in the face of global economic slowdown. Also, it is important to judge if
optimal level of debt is available and being put to productive use.
Very few households Survey results reveal that only 18% of the surveyed population has any kind of running
reported having running loans currently.
loans
About 40% of those who are leveraged in the aggregate sample use co-operative
societies for borrowing, followed by money lenders and relatives/friends at 28% and
11%, respectively. Commercial banks, as a source of funds, are being used by only 10%
of the survey population in need for funds.
36
27
18
0
Co-operative
Money-lender
Trader
Self help group
society/bank
Relatives/friends
Financial cos
Commercial
banks
Lack of collateral a The primary reason for commercial banks having such a small share in the rural debt pie
hindrance for rural is the lack of collateral with rural households. Also the convenience in transacting is less
households seeking debt with commercial banks due to the number of procedures and paperwork involved.
Another factor which increases the motivation to use money lenders is the convenience
of borrowing. Loans can be arranged at a short notice and that too without any collateral
which makes it an accessible source in emergencies.
Rural households are utilising funds for productive and income generating activities.
Farming is the main area where demand for outside funds remains huge and 35% of the
surveyed population is using loans to buy farm inputs. Non-farm business purpose is
another important area where funds are channelised to start small trade and
manufacturing businesses. Another large segment of loans raised is being used for health
related emergencies, which highlights the need for better hospitals and sanitation
services.
Chart 38: Loans are being used for income generating purposes
40
(% of respondents)
32
24
Income generating
activities main reason 16
behind taking loans
8
construction
Household
Emergency
Livestock
Social ceremonies
Non-farm
Education/Sending
business
Farming
durables
(health)
House
abroad
Source: Edelweiss survey
An interesting fact to note is that a quarter of the surveyed population has changed the
Dependence on
source of loans in the past five years, primarily by reducing dependence on village
moneylenders reducing
money lenders in favour of organised players. The interest rate charged by money
lenders is high in comparison to the rate charged by intermediaries in the formal banking
channel. However, penetration of commercial banks and financial companies/institutions
is still abysmal. Awareness on these products needs to increase, along with making them
more accessible and dependable as a source of money for business and trade.
Prudent use of funds for income generating activities, along with the fact that few of
those surveyed are leveraged make a strong case for expansion of rural credit. The
products need to be designed completely from the rural customer’s perspective as
fundamentally they are different from their urban counterparts.
Fig. 11: Small entrepreneurial activities helping break vicious circle of poverty
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has defined microfinance as, “provision of savings,
credit and other financial services and products of very small amounts to the poor in
rural, semi-urban and urban areas for enabling them to raise their income levels and
improve their living standards”. The Development and Regulation Bill, 2007, states that
any loan with a maximum loan size of INR 50,000 per individual or enterprise can be
classified as a micro finance loan.
The two largest micro finance models in India include micro finance institutions (MFI)
and self help groups (SHG). The growth of the MFI space over the past five years is
phenomenal and outpaces the growth rate of any other type of lending model in India.
Micro finance as a lending model, is achieving great results with its products completely
tailored for the rural population. Also, its enormous growth has demonstrated that rural
households are creditworthy. MFI is a commercially viable mechanism to take formal
banking to poor households in rural India and help them establish a foothold in the
mainstream economy. It is commercially viable is proved by the fact that it is attracting
sizeable private capital as well. It aims to enable the poor to build assets, increase
incomes, and reduce vulnerability to shocks and economic stress and ultimately lay a
path of better lifestyle with greater access to education and healthcare facilities.
However, MFI still primarily revolves around micro credit, as micro savings, micro
insurance etc., form a minuscule segment of the micro finance space.
MFI loan growth CRISIL estimates that MFI disbursements posted a 90% CAGR over a four year period
disbursements CAGR ending March 31, 2009, at the total outstanding credit of INR 114 bn (CRISIL: India Top
stands at 90% for the 50 Microfinance Institutions). To understand the prospects of MFI better, we spoke to the
past four years
management of Sahara Utsarga Welfare Society based in West Bengal.
Excerpts from an interview with the management of Sahara Utsarga Welfare Society
Q. For the next 2-3 years, do you see your loan book growing at a rate
witnessed by the MFI industry during the past 3-4 years?
Yes certainly. Demand for small ticket loans from rural households is huge as this
economic opportunity is directly leading to improvements in their income levels and
aspirations. Many of our customers are now sending their children to private schools
which for most of them was unthinkable till some time back.
Q. Have you witnessed demand for education loans? Do you offer the same?
We do have lot of customers asking for education loans. However, currently, we
predominantly extend loans for direct income generating activities. Going forward, we
might evaluate extending education loans to our customers whose credit worthiness
has been proved.
Savings, insurance, remittances, and pensions are other areas of rural finance which
need further penetration and servicing by MFI players. While the business of lending is
now established and being run in a commercially viable manner, a lot needs to be done
about small ticket savings and micro insurance. It is crucial that commercially viable
models are developed for these products for them to pick up any kind of meaningful
scale. With growing migration the need for remittance services is even higher now than
in the past.
During the survey, at Tamil Nadu we met, Shrilata, a 35-year old woman in a small
village in Thanzavur district.
Both Shrilata and her husband worked as agriculture labourers until the time their
village was severely affected by unseasonal floods in end 2008. Both of them lost
their employment. While some of the other labourers in the village landed up with
jobs in fish farming, Shrilata’s husband got a job in a textile printing establishment.
However, bad luck still haunted the couple and her husband lost his eyesight due to
exposure to chemicals at his textile printing job.
Around this time, she came across an MFI agent at her village. He informed her that
in order to get credit she needed the guarantee from the local village group appointed
for the purpose of credit disbursements. She convinced the local group about the use
of funds and its repayment. Post this, she was advanced a loan of INR 5,000 to start
sewing business from home. She spent INR 1,800 for the sewing machine and similar
amount for the fabric to make blouses and petticoats. The rest of the loan she spent
for her consumption.
She started selling her output to a local shop that then started giving her fabric in
advance so that she could increase the number of garments produced. Soon she
started receiving orders from local hawkers for clothes of kids. Her business grew and
she could save enough to repay her loan. After repaying the loan, she supported her
husband in starting his bidi business, as it is one of the very few activities that he can
manage without eyesight. He now makes bidis and supplies them to the local bidi
manufacturer.
It goes without saying that developed and inclusive banking system brings growth,
opportunity and better income distribution to an economy. Constant efforts by RBI to
provide financial services like savings, money transfer, credit, trade finance, insurance
etc. to the rural segment of the economy is gaining steam with every passing day. The
central bank’s thrust on inclusive banking will change the face of rural India’s finances
and economic landscape.
Fig. 13: Banking penetration to help rural India earn, save and invest better
• Desire to attain education among the rural households is on a high. Number of literates
has increased from 60% to 70% from 2001 to 2010 (Edelweiss survey-2010).
• Expenditure on education is on the rise. Union budget allocation to school education and
literacy expenditure has grown eightfold in the past 10 years, from INR 40 bn in 2000-
2001 to INR 332.1 bn in 2010.
• The buoyancy will be maintained as 64% of the households save to provide for children’s
education.
• 50% of the respondents in our survey agreed to have heavily increased expenditure on
education in the past five years, pointing to a structural shift in demand for education.
• Also, 16% respondents said that education facility is the one thing they wish to change
in their village, if given a chance. This was second only to desire for better water supply
and sanitation.
• This changing perception regarding education is quite influential in shaping the socio-
economic trend. It opens doors to various employment avenues in the non-farm sector
where incomes are higher and have better visibility.
• Right to Education Act is a great leap forward by the government. The act gives
fundamental right to children (age 6 to 14 years) to free and compulsory elementary
education in a neighbourhood school.
Chart 39: Rural India registering rising literacy levels Chart 40: Union budget allocation towards school
education and literacy on the rise
45 350
(% of respondents)
36
280
27
(INR bn)
210
18
9 140
0
70
SSC/HSC
Below primary
Graduate/Post
Illiterate
5th-9th
graduate
0
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2001 2005 2010
Chart 41: The one thing to change in the village.. Chart 42: Education motivates rural India to save
80
Public
(% of respondents)
Healthcare transport 64
6% 3%
48
Employment 32
10%
Water & 16
sanitation
35% 0
Roads Improve business
Loan repayment
Emergencies
Improve social
Buy consumer
Social ceremonies
Buy or build house
Education
Old age
15%
goods
status
Power supply
Educational
15%
infrastructure
16% Education driving rural
savings clearly
Desire for educational demonstrates change of
infrastructure development perception among rural
second only to improved households
water & sanitation
Source: Edelweiss survey, Ministry of Finance
Rural India does not have a very good track record as far as literacy levels are concerned.
Lack of proximity to schools and poor approach roads, shortage of teachers and classrooms,
lack of awareness about the benefits of education, and low income levels have contributed to
high illiteracy and drop-out ratios among rural households. Further, the traditional belief in
the profession of agriculture - more the working hands, the better it is - also played a role in
discouraging parents from committing their children to schooling. However, these trends are
clearly changing. Education is now increasingly seen as a prime instrument of social and
economic upliftment in rural India.
Chart 43: Rural India depicting rising literacy levels over past decade
45
36
(% of respondents)
27
18
0
Illiterate Below primary 5th-9th SSC/HSC Graduate/Post
graduate
2001 2005 2010
Source: Edelweiss survey
Case study: Education: A powerful tool empowering Mr. Mahesh Kumar turn
into entrepreneur
Mahesh Kumar, aged 32, is now settled in Gulbarga, Karnataka. He spent his
childhood in a nearby village where he completed his basic education in a
government school. Post this, he came to Gulbarga where he took up menial jobs.
Along with work, he kept pursuing vocational courses in the medical field (X-Ray,
biochemistry etc). He paid for his own further education and could hardly save
anything.
As his qualification grew, he landed up with a job at a pathology clinic in the same
town. Here, his income levels also improved, along with better exposure to medical
field that has always been his passion.
After few years of working with the pathological clinic where he could save money
and gained the necessary exposure, he wanted to start his own diagnostic laboratory.
He came across Pradhan Mantri Rozgar Yojna (PMRY) that has been initiated to lend
small amounts at minimal interest rates to help people like Mahesh start their own
entrepreneurial venture. He got INR 1.5 Lac from the scheme, which he combined
with his own savings to start his own diagnostic centre.
Mahesh received phenomenal response for his venture from his own town as well as
neighbouring villages. He then designed suitable packages for villagers where they
could get a full body check up at reasonable charges. He has now repaid most of his
loan to the government and plans to expand his business by adding more equipment.
He is also making access to basic medical facilities convenient for the rural
households, thereby improving their living standards.
Along with moving in the right direction, GoI has increased the Union budget allocation
to school education and literacy to INR 332.1 bn for 2010-11, an eightfold increase in the
past 10 years from INR 40 bn in 2000-01.
280
(INR bn)
210
140
70
0
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
Source: Ministry of Finance, Edelweiss research
Our survey reveals that rural households currently allocate 6% of their wallet share to
education. NSSO survey for 2006-07 estimated the expenditure share at 3%. Clearly,
the allocation to education has picked up rapidly for the share to double in the span of
three years.
Households matching The good part of the expenditure is that among various socio-economic segments (R1-
government spending R4), this trend does not change much. However, based on occupation of the CWE of the
pace by increasing wallet household, the trend varies somewhat. For example, spending on education as a
share on education
percentage of total spending is higher at 8% for salaried household against 5% for
labour or self-employed. Across states, this percentage is the highest for Tamil Nadu, at
9%, and lowest for Gujarat, at 4%.
Healthcare
6% Food
43%
Apparel
7%
Entertainment
8%
Personal care
9% Travel
11%
Source: Edelweiss survey
Also, this phenomenon is picking further stream. Today, rural households are quite
willing to increase expenditure on education. They have done so in the past five years.
For example, more than 50% respondents in our survey agreed to having increased
heavily on expenditure on education; another 30% increased expenditure on education
mildly. Only 4% reported decreasing expenditure on education. Such a shift shows that
households are more convinced about the benefits of admitting their children in schools
and colleges.
48
(% of respondents)
12
0
Decrease No change Mild increase Heavy increase
Roads
15%
This change in perception is also supported by the fact that non-farm incomes are also
on the rise in rural areas and better education significantly aids such incomes. For
example, surveys by NSSO have shown that proportion of non-farm employment in the
total rural employment has risen from 16.6% in 1977-78 to 18.5% in 1983, 21.7% in
1987-88, 23.7% in 1999-00 and finally to 27.6% in 2004-05. This trend is also
encouraging rural households to focus on education.
When respondents in our survey were asked about their motivation for savings, nearly
To provide for education 64% replied in favour of education for their children. In fact, education constituted the
motivates rural India to biggest motivation for savings after emergency. Importantly, this trend cuts across
save socio-economic groups and states covered in the survey. Among states, Tamil Nadu had
the highest percentage of respondents (~80%), stating education as their motivation for
savings. Among the socio-economic groups, the R1 segment understandably showed
maximum motivation to save for education (~70%), although none of the segment had
this percentage below 60%.
(% of respondents)
64
48
32
16
Emergencies
Improve business
Education
Loan repayment
Improve social
Buy consumer
Social ceremonies
Old age
goods
status
Source: Edelweiss survey
For this purpose, he has taken two Post Office Insurance policies for a monthly
premium of INR 114 and INR 102. The policies assure him INR 25,000 whenever his
sons turn 18. He plans to send his sons to Kolar where they can complete their 10+2,
i.e. to complete their schooling. This trend is widespread in his village where people
in group of four rent rooms in Kolar and send their children for further education.
The trend is catching up, whereby farmers in the village are saving so that their
children can have higher education post government sponsored basic education and
move to non-farm based or salaried activities. This instance also highlights the need
for micro saving products by rural households which can provide them with assured
returns in future.
The point is driven hard with the passing of Right to Education Act (RTE) and increasing
expenditure on the various programs in budget outlays. Key indicators and our survey
findings further underline the success of the initiatives. However, a lot remains to be
done and achieved to create a meaningful difference.
Government programs cover all age group of the population, with special emphasis on
education of the girl child. Passing of Right to Education Act with stringent norms and
accountability is clearly a game changer in imparting basic education to the children of
India.
• Reduction in dropout rates and improvement in enrolment ratio for upper primary
Fig. 15: Education for all will be the driver for rural socio economic development
SSA proved to be an SSA is GoI’s flagship programme for universalisation of elementary education as
effective program as mandated by the Right to Education Act, 2009. It covers all states and union
reflected in increased
territories and reaches out to an estimated 194 mn children in 1.23 mn habitations
knowledge levels among
students in the country. The program seeks to open new schools in those habitations which
do not have schooling facilities and strengthen existing school infrastructure through
provision of additional class rooms, toilets, drinking water, maintenance grant and
school improvement grants. Along with infrastructure development at the schools,
reasonable attention is paid to providing adequate well trained teachers and quality
education. Under SSA, special focus is on girls, children belonging to SC/ST
communities, other weaker sections, minorities and urban deprived children.
Round 1 and 2 have been conducted at the inception and the mid course,
respectively, of SSA. The information revealed clearly shows remarkable progress
since the implementation of the programme.
Table 2: Results of Round 1 and 2 conducted to judge progress of SSA show marked improvement
Language Math Science Social Science
Class Round I Round II Round I Round II Round I Round II Round I Round II
Class III 63.1 67.8 58.3 61.9 - - - -
Class V 58.9 60.3 46.5 48.5 50.3 52.2 - -
Class VII 52.2 57.4 30.5 40.4 37.8 42.9 34.0 44.7
Class VIII 53.9 56.5 39.2 42.6 41.3 42.7 46.2 47.9
Source: HRD Annual Report 2009-10
Mid Day Meal scheme The government aims to achieve the following with the program:
solving dual purpose of
1. Preventing classroom hunger to enhance concentration
education and hunger
2. Promoting school participation
3. Facilitating healthy growth of children
4. Intrinsic educational value by imparting various good habits
5. Fostering gender equality
6. Enhancing gender equality
7. Psychological benefits
Fig. 16: Meals at school solve dual purpose of attendance and nutrition
The main guiding factor behind the implementation of the program is to improve
quality while ensuring equity. It aims to achieve an enrolment rate of 75% from
RMSA a natural
progression to SSA to 52.26% in 2005-06 in the next five years by providing a secondary school within
universalize secondary reasonable distance of any habitation. The objective of quality and equality is planned
education to be achieved by making all secondary schools conform to prescribed norms,
removing gender, socio-economic and disability barriers, providing universal access to
secondary level education by 2017 and achieving universal retention by 2020.
While RMSA will remain the umbrella scheme in the secondary sector, a bouquet of
other schemes has also been launched during the initial two years of the Eleventh
Five Year Plan. These include setting up of 6,000 model schools, construction and
running of ~3500 girls' hostels in educationally backward blocks, inclusive education
for the disabled at the secondary stage, information and communication technology
(ICT) in schools, national means-cum-merit scholarship, and incentive to girls for
secondary education.
The demand for literacy and education of adults has been growing over the years.
To meet this growing demand, Saakshar Bharat, a versatile new variant of the
National Literacy Mission was launched by the prime minister on September 08,
2009. This flagship programme of GoI will offer adult non-literates and neo-literates
a package of opportunities, including those for basic literacy, basic education
(equivalency), skill development and continuing education. The thrust of Saakshar
Bharat is on rapid increase in literacy levels among rural women.
Government education The program is focused on reducing gender and socio-economic disparities in
programs reducing literacy levels. It is clear from the fact that 85% of the total target will be women
gender and socio- and nearly 50% will comprise SCs/STs and minorities. The mission is aimed to be
economic disparities implemented by gram panchayats at the grass root level.
Along with the above mentioned main government programs covering all segments
of education for all citizens, emphasis has been placed on formulating a policy
framework for Public Private Partnership (PPP) model in school education. Following
this, a concept note on PPP model has been placed by the government, inviting
suggestions from the public and private stakeholders.
52.0
(% households)
39.0
26.0
13.0
0.0
Self employed - Labour Salaries Self employed -
agri non agri
Bihar Haryana Gujarat Chhattisgarh Tamil Nadu
The percentage of households in both Gujarat and Haryana who are employed in
agriculture is very similar at ~36% each. However, what works in favour of Haryana is a
better organised mandi system. This mandi-network trend varies from state to state and
is quite influential in determining the overall realisations by the farmers on their crop
yield. Gujarat clearly lags behind in grain market network, thereby suppressing the
realisations on crop produce by the farmers, whereas Haryana clearly leads in this regard.
As discussed above, this has helped raise income levels of the farmers in Haryana
compared with Gujarat.
44.0
(% households)
33.0
22.0
11.0
0.0
Up to 30K 30 to 60 K 60 to 90 K 90 K to 2 L 2 to 5 L
Bihar Haryana Gujarat Chhattisgarh Tamil Nadu
Source: Edelweiss Survey
There are some interesting sub-trends emerging within the income category. Among the
states surveyed, Chattisgarh had ~15% of the respondents employed through NREGA,
while in Tamil Nadu, the comparable figure was 12%. In Bihar, ~10% of the households
gained employment through NREGA, while in Haryana and Gujarat it was relatively lower
at 1.3% and 4.6% respectively.
Among states, the spending patterns tell an interesting story. Households in Tamil Nadu
and to some extent Haryana spend a lot more on discretionary items (entertainment,
apparel, durables and housing) than other states. Consequently, the share of spending
on necessities such as food is relatively lower in these states. For example, our survey
points out that, on average a household in Tamil Nadu spends ~29% on food against
45% in Gujarat and 51% in Bihar. Similarly, in Tamil Nadu an average household spend
on discretionary items is ~28%, which is higher than the average discretionary spend of
a household in Bihar (~17%).
The spending on discretionary products highlights some of the variation between states.
Our survey reveals that ~11% of the total household spending in Tamil Nadu is on
entertainment. This is higher than Bihar at 5% and Chhattisgarh at 6%. Spending on
durables too show some variation. In Tamil Nadu, ~8% of the total household
expenditure is on durables against a miniscule 1% in Bihar and Chhattisgarh. However,
the variation is not much large between spending patterns on apparels or housing across
states. Spending on housing forms ~4-7% of total spending across states.
One of the main reasons for the increased level of discretionary spending per household
in Tamil Nadu against other states is the higher average household income. Again, this
data suggests that as rural income continues to rise and becomes more stable,
discretionary spending will garner a larger share of total household spending. Also, with
increasing awareness, we will see increasing levels of spending on education and
healthcare.
Ex-food, non discretionary spending across states is relatively evenly spread out.
Average spending on travel per household is ~10-12% of the total spending across the
five states. Spending on personal care shows slight divergence across states and
communication is on similar lines.
Spending on education shows slight variation across states. Survey data suggests that in
Tamil Nadu ~9% of total household spending is on education against 4% in Gujarat and
5% in Bihar and Haryana. Spending on healthcare is on an even keel, comprising ~5-7%
of total household spending.
Chart 3: Household spending on discretionary goods Chart 4: Household spending on basic necessities
12.0 60.0
(Share of wallet, %)
(Share of wallet, %)
9.6 48.0
7.2 36.0
4.8 24.0
2.4 12.0
0.0 0.0
Gujarat
Gujarat
Chhattisgarh
Tamil Nadu
Chhattisgarh
Tamil Nadu
Haryana
Haryana
Bihar
Bihar
Entertainment Apparel Durables Housing Food Travel Personal care Communication
Source: Edelweiss Survey
8.0
(Share of wallet, %)
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
Bihar Haryana Gujarat Chhattisgarh Tamil Nadu
Education Healthcare Housing
Source:Edelweiss Survey
Household goods: For some segments of household goods, there exists a wide
variation in ownership trends. About 98% of households in Tamil Nadu own a TV set
against 84% in Chhattisgarh and 35% in Bihar. In Haryana, in comparison, ~66%
households own a TV set.
88.0
(% of households)
66.0
44.0
22.0
0.0
Bihar Haryana Gujarat Chhattisgarh Tamil Nadu
TV VCD/DVD Refrigerator Washing machine
Source:Edelweiss survey
One product that has found wide acceptability across states is telephone/mobile. About
76% of the households surveyed own a mobile or a telephone. Such high level of
penetration has been possible owing to increasing purchasing power and customised
offerings by mobile companies (for example, companies generally have smaller size
denominations of recharge vouchers, handsets are affordable- higher availability of low
cost variants and have features such as in-built torch and longer battery life).
Surprisingly, among the households surveyed in Gujarat, only 61% own a mobile or
telephone. In Haryana and Chattisgarh, the comparable percentage is ~90%.
High end electronic products: Our survey suggests that the overall ownership level of
electronic products is very low. There are some inter-state variations observed, but the
data is negligible to merit a trend. Going ahead, in our view, as incomes further rise, we
might see increase in adoption of ACs and computers.
72.0
54.0
(%)
36.0
18.0
0.0
Bihar Haryana Gujarat Chhattisgarh Tamil Nadu
Bicycle Motorbike/Scooter Car/Jeep Tractor
Source:Edelweiss survey
Ownership of other household assets, especially gold throws up a mixed picture. Gold
has an intrinsic investment value linked to it and, thus, we see a decent 36% ownership
of gold or silver ornaments. As expected, this is high in Tamil Nadu (~73%), and
relatively lower in Bihar (~18%).
About 48% respondents in Tamil Nadu said they would like to buy a two wheeler. For
four wheelers, the comparable number is 16%. This is significantly higher than Bihar,
where a relatively lower 21% would like to own a bike or scooter and just 3% who would
like to own a car or jeep. Overall, for all the states, only a small percentage (~5%)
would like to own an air cooler or AC.
What the above examples show is that there is a lot of potential for up-scaling. In states
such as Tamil Nadu where people already own two wheelers, have indicated plans to
purchase a four wheeler. For example, in Bihar, where there is relatively lower
penetration of TV sets, a higher number of respondents are willing to buy a TV next year.
However, the overall inclination to buy a PC or a laptop is relatively lower across the
states surveyed. We believe with increasing thrust on education, people’s inclination to
buy computers will rise.
Overall, ~36% respondents have said that they would like to save for old
age/retirement; there was, however, a wide variation among the states with ~66%
respondents in Tamil Nadu saying they would save for retirement versus a mere 9% in
Haryana. In Chhattisgarh, ~45% respondents said they would like to save for
retirement/old age. At an aggregate level, buying or building a house was also a
motivator among 30% respondents; it was a big motivator for savings in Tamil Nadu
(~53% respondents), and in Haryana, it was the lowest at 8%.
About 70% of the households in our survey save to account for emergencies in the
future. In Haryana, this percentage was relatively higher at 81% compared to just 44%
in Chhattisgarh.
56.0
(% respondents)
42.0
28.0
14.0
0.0
Bihar Haryana Gujarat Chhattisgarh Tamil Nadu
Buy or build house Old age/retirement To improve social status in future
Source:Edelweiss survey
Methods of saving
Cash at home was a predominant method of savings across states (survey average
~85%). However, for some states like Bihar, it was as high as 99%, while in Tamil Nadu
it was just 60%. Deposit in banks was also quite prevalent with an average of 62% of
respondents. Surprisingly, in Bihar it was as high as 83% against a mere 22% in Gujarat.
Insurance products also have a fairly decent penetration (~24% respondents). Bihar
leads the pack in this case with ~32% of households surveyed saying they hold an
insurance policy.
Land and property is a popular saving option in Tamil Nadu (32% respondents) and
Chattisgarh (24% respondents). EPF/PPF or shares/mutual funds are not very popular
choices for savings.
The Act was perceived as a potential tool for empowerment for rural laborers, the
premise being guaranteed employment can protect them from economic insecurity.
While this could have been conceived as an “employment scheme”, the importance of it
being an “Act” provides a legal guarantee of employment and creates accountability.
The benefits are many, with the most important one being protection of rural households
from poverty and hunger. Second, MGNREGA is a source of empowerment. Not only does
it provide economic independence by guaranteeing equal wages to both men and women,
but also raises the bargaining power of “unorganized” or marginalized segment of
workers by guaranteeing them a minimum wage level. Third, it helps creating useful
infrastructure assets in rural areas.
• Implementation
A “block” is the basic unit of implementation. The Programme Officer essentially acts
as a “coordinator” for the Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme at the Block level.
The programme officer is responsible for scrutinizing village Employment Guarantee
Scheme plans, ensuring that they match with employment demand, work starts on
time and workers receive their due entitlements.
At the village level the Gram Panchayat is the principal authority for planning and
implementation of the Scheme. The Gram Panchayat is responsible for identification
of the work in the Gram Panchayat area as per the recommendations of the Gram
Sabha and Ward Sabhas and for executing and supervising the same. Gram
Panchayats also have to process applications for registration and employment. This
involves registering potential workers, issuing job cards to them, receiving their
applications for work, forwarding these to the Programme Officer, and informing the
applicants as and when work is available. The Gram Sabha is expected to monitor
the work of the Gram Panchayat, and also to participate in the planning process.
Apart from the Gram Panchayat, the implementing agencies are Public Works
Department (PWD), Forest Department, and Irrigation Department. NGOs can also
act as implementing agencies. However, private contractors are not permitted.
• Nature of work
Broadly, the Act specifies certain categories of project/work that can be undertaken
under it. These include water conservation and water harvesting, drought proofing,
irrigation canals, provision for irrigation facility, renovation of traditional water
bodies (including desilting), flood control and drainage and rural connectivity. Apart
from this the state government can prepare a list of preferred works in consultation
with the central government. Also a 60:40 wage and material expense ratio has to
be maintained. No contractors and machinery is allowed.
• Transparency
MGNREGA includes various provisions for transparency and accountability. Job Cards
are issued to all laborers, wages are paid directly and relevant documents are made
available for public scrutiny. Also, regular audits are conducted at the Gram Sabha
level. The Right to Information (RTI) Act, passed in 2005, powerfully supplements
the transparency provisions of the MGNREGA 2005 and its operational guidelines.
• Cost sharing
The Centre is required to pay for the wages of labourers employed under MGNREGA,
and for three fourths of the material costs. The state government pays for one
fourth of the material costs, and also the unemployment allowance. The Act is
designed to offer an incentive structure to the states for providing employment as
90% of the cost for employment provided is borne by the Centre. There is a
concomitant disincentive for not providing employment as the States then bear the
double indemnity of unemployment and the cost of unemployment allowance.
Water conservation
Water harvesting
Provision for
irrigation facilities
Water based
Desilting of tanks
Renovation of
traditional water
bodies
Nature of work done
Drought proofing
Afforestation
Agro based
Horticulture
Bharat Nirman
Bharat Nirman project was launched in 2005 as a time bound plan aimed at
strengthening the country's rural infrastructure in partnership with state governments
and Panchayati Raj institutions. Phase I of the programme was implemented in the
period 2005-06 to 2008-09. Phase II is being implemented from 2009-10 to 2011-12. It
comprises projects on irrigation, roads (Pradhan Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana), housing
(Indira Awaas Yojana), water supply, electrification and telecommunication connectivity.
The major objective was to impart a sense of urgency, make the programme time-bound,
transparent and accountable. Under this scheme, the public expenditure towards the
rural infrastructure and irrigation has been stepped on a significant scale. Augmentation
and modernisation of the existing infrastructural facilities are taking place along with new
construction.
• Drinking water
Goal: To cover ~55,000 uncovered habitations and provide safe drinking water to
~200,000 villages affected by poor water quality.
Under Bharat Nirman project, emphasis has been laid in ensuring adequate provision
of drinking water along with maintaining the quality. Sustainability of drinking water
sources and systems have also been accorded high priority.
• Rural housing
Goal: Provide additional 12 mn houses at the rate of 2.4 mm houses each year to
be built by funds allocated to the homeless through Panchayats.
The unit assistance for construction of houses and upgradation is given as under:
In addition to the assistance provided under the IAY, an IAY beneficiary can avail a
loan of up to INR 20,000 per housing unit under differential rate of interest (DRI)
scheme at an interest rate of 4% per annum. Payment is made to the beneficiary on
a staggered basis, depending on the progress of the work. No contractor is to be
involved and the house is to be constructed by the beneficiary.
• Rural electrification
Goal: Provide electricity to 40,000 villages and connections to about 17.5 mn
households.
• Roads
Goal: To provide road connections to remaining ~23,000 villages with population of
1,000 or 500 in case of hilly or tribal areas.
• Telecom
Goal: Increase rural tele-density to 40% and provide broadband connectivity and
Bharat Nirman Seva Kendras to all 250,000 Panchayats.
• Irrigation
Goal: 6.5 mn hectares brought under assured irrigation till 2009. Remaining 3.5 mn
hectares to be completed by 2012.
• 1.0 mn hectare by way of repair, renovation and restoration of water bodies and
extension, renovation and modernisation of minor irrigation schemes.
Source: NUEPA
The table on the next page lists down the Education Development Index (EDI) score
state-wise with the per capita income. A strong relation can be seen between literacy
levels and the per capita income. All the states with score of 0.7 and above have per
capita income greater than the national average of INR 33,283 in 2007-08. Higher
income levels, in turn, result in higher willingness and savings ability as demonstrated by
our survey. The result is a virtuous cycle whereby high literacy levels and high income
levels fuel each other.
The central government’s share of the financial burden will be at 68%. The Ministry of
Human Resource Development has been pushing for Centre’s share of 75% after more
and more state governments expressed their inability to set aside the required funds to
meet the stringent norms of RTE. The Bordia Committee set up by the ministry in 2009-
10 to harmonise the Sarva Shiksha Abhiyan (SSA) and the RTE also argued for a higher
financial burden for the Centre. Also, in the mean time, the cost of implementation of
RTE in the next five years has escalated from INR 1,710 bn to INR 2,310 bn.
2. Infrastructure gaps
NUEPA has estimated the following gaps in school physical infrastructure which need
to be bridged within three years from the commencement of the RTE Act.
Educational infrastructure
Educational infrastructure in rural areas still leaves much to be desired. Although
infrastructure and facilities have improved markedly in rural schools since 2004-05, they
are yet to match the urban standards.
The ratio of number of elementary schools between urban and rural areas is 0.15 (as of
FY09). This ratio has largely remained unchanged between 2005 and 2009.
960
(No. of schools, in '000)
720
480
240
0
2004-05 2008-09
Urban Rural
Source:DISE
As explained earlier, most required catalysts for progress of education in rural areas is in
place. Our survey has already demonstrated that a growing number of households attach
large importance to education. Government thrust in terms of schemes to support
education (Sarva Shiksha Abhiyaan, Kasturba Gandhi Balika Vidyalaya) is present, but
unfortunately there seems to be a gap in providing the right infrastructure. The gap is even
more evident when compared with the educational infrastructure in the urban areas. For
example, in urban India about 37% of schools have access to computers, while it is only
10% in rural areas. Moreover, only 30% schools in rural areas have access to electricity
against 74% in urban areas. This gap further widens at the level of primary schools.
80.0 64.0
(% of schools)
(% of schools)
60.0 48.0
40.0 32.0
20.0 16.0
0.0 0.0
Primary Upper primary All schools Primary Upper primary All schools
schools with Sec/H Sec schools with Sec/H Sec
Urban Rural Urban Rural
Source:DISE
While the gap in infrastructure is wide between the urban schools and their rural
counterparts, what is also a matter of concern is that infrastructure in the latter has not
improved significantly over the past 4-5 years. As far as basic infrastructure facilities go,
according to FY09 data, 3% of schools in rural areas still do not have proper buildings,
~13% are without drinking water facilities, 70% lack electricity connection and 35% do
not have toilets. Although some of these parameters have improved over the past five
years, there still remains much to be desired.
54.0
36.0
18.0
0.0
Building Water Electricity Toilets
2004-05 2008-09
Source:DISE
This observed lack in infrastructural facilities in rural areas manifests itself on the
teaching side as well. In 2004-05, only ~47% of the schools had a regular headmaster
and teachers. This percentage dipped to ~44% in 2008-09. Among the primary schools,
only ~46% had a regular headmaster and teachers in 2004-05, which declined to ~41%
in 2008-09.
The percentage of schools having pucca (permanent) buildings have also not gone up
significantly, at least not in the five states for our survey. Among the states which we
have surveyed, Haryana leads the pack with 98% of the schools having a pucca building.
In contrast, the corresponding number for Bihar stands at 60% and for Tamil Nadu at
55%. In Chhattisgarh, ~73% schools have a pucca building; in fact, it is one of the few
states where there has been a sharp jump in number of schools having a pucca building
from 55% in 2004-05 to 73% in 2008-09.
However, there has been an improvement in the student-classroom ratio between 2004-
05 and 2008-09. Students per classroom have decreased to ~34 in 2008-09 from 42 in
2004-05. Encouragingly, this decrease has been more pronounced in primary only
schools. For such schools, the ratio has declined to 35.0 from 45.5. Schools with only
upper primary facilities have also seen a dip, from 40 in 2004-05 to 30 in 2008-09.
A combined approach of both primary and secondary research has been used in this
study
Secondary research
• Internet/publications
Primary research
Current data has been captured through primary research approach of face-to-face
interviews which were quantitative in nature
• Target group of the study was chief wage earner (CWE) of the rural household
Questionnaire
A combined approach of both primary and secondary research has been used in this
study
Sampling technique
Sample households have been selected using systematic random sampling method
Sample plan
• A sample size of 1989 respondents has been achieved, ensuring 95% confidence
level @ +5% error in the findings. The sample is spread equally among the study
districts
• Sample has been spread across different types of villages in proportion to their ratio
in the universe
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