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Additional Screen-Off Formulas
Additional Screen-Off Formulas
R. Feleppa
I. The Causal Reasoning handout emphasizes the following screening-off formula: To show A screens off B: P (E / A . B ) P (E / A . B ) = _ P (E / A . B ) _ P (E / A . B ) The presence/absence of A still makes a difference The presence/absence of B no longer makes a difference
The presence/absence of A still makes a difference The presence/absence of B no longer makes a difference
III. This also shows that A screens off B: P (E / A . B ) P (E / A . B ) = P (E / B ) P (E / A ) The presence/absence of A still makes a difference * The presence/absence of B no longer makes a difference **
* That is, the group designated by A . B excludes non-As. The group designated by B includes non-As. That the probabilities for A.B and for B differ shows that including and excluding non-As makes a difference. ** That is, the group designated by A . B excludes non-Bs. The group designated by A includes non-Bs. That the probabilities for A.B and for A dont differ shows that including and excluding non-Bs makes no difference.