You are on page 1of 1

Phil 125

Fall 2010 Additional Screening-Off Formulas

R. Feleppa

I. The Causal Reasoning handout emphasizes the following screening-off formula: To show A screens off B: P (E / A . B ) P (E / A . B ) = _ P (E / A . B ) _ P (E / A . B ) The presence/absence of A still makes a difference The presence/absence of B no longer makes a difference

II. This also shows that A screens off B: _ _ _ P (E / A . B ) P (E / A . B ) _ _ _ P (E / A . B ) = P (E / A . B )

The presence/absence of A still makes a difference The presence/absence of B no longer makes a difference

III. This also shows that A screens off B: P (E / A . B ) P (E / A . B ) = P (E / B ) P (E / A ) The presence/absence of A still makes a difference * The presence/absence of B no longer makes a difference **

* That is, the group designated by A . B excludes non-As. The group designated by B includes non-As. That the probabilities for A.B and for B differ shows that including and excluding non-As makes a difference. ** That is, the group designated by A . B excludes non-Bs. The group designated by A includes non-Bs. That the probabilities for A.B and for A dont differ shows that including and excluding non-Bs makes no difference.

You might also like