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RSD/ISEC/CHITTY/11-01-06
Year 2010 42
23 19
Year 2025 55
30 25
Year 2050
90 48 42
43
24 19
62
36 26
111
65 46
RSD/ISEC/CHITTY/11-01-06
TWO PROBLEMS
first, the availability of data on exact water use in different components of the service sector is quite fragmentary. Second, this is a sector is changing extremely rapidly and has location, both in peri-urban as well as in rural areas. That makes the best sensible assumptions fragile.
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Normative Approach
Various standards have been suggested for estimating water requirement for human use. Gleick (1997) has estimated 50 litres per capita per day (lpcd) as the basic human need. The World Health Organisation (WHO) has suggested a target of 200-lpcd water supplies in urban areas. A variety of factors affect water use in rural and urban areas especially in service sector. These include population size of a habitat, economic status, commercial and manufacturing activities. The Manual on Water Supply and Treatment (1976) by the Central Public Health and Environmental Engineering Organisation (CPHEEO) prescribed norms varying between 70 and 200 lpcd for urban areas
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Contd
The Eighth Five Year Plan (1992-97) adopted the following norms for water supply:
a) 125 lpcd for urban areas where piped water supply and underground sewerage system are available. b) 70 lpcd for urban areas provided with piped water supply but without underground sewerage. c)4 lpcd for towns with spot-sources/stand posts with one standpost for 200 families with a maximum walking distance of 10 metres.
RSD/ISEC/CHITTY/11-01-06
Population as per Visaria & Visaria and high rate of urbanization Population as per UN low variant and low rate of urbanization
RSD/ISEC/CHITTY/11-01-06
Sl. No.
1 2
Natarajan (1993)* United Nations 1994 Revision ** a. Low variant b. Middle Variant c. High Variant
1020.5
997
1162
1263.5
995
1146
1333
1581
RSD/ISEC/CHITTY/11-01-06
ble 4.2: Norms for Domestic Water Supply at Different Points of Time (in lpcd) Population Type Assumed Depth of Irrigation or Delta Year 2010 Class I Cities Other than Class I Cities Rural 220 150 Year 2025 220 165 Year 2050 220 220
55
70
150
RSD/ISEC/CHITTY/11-01-06
It is usually assumed that bovine population growth at the rate of 0.5 per cent per year, while keeping in view the carrying capacity of the system and likely stress on natural resources. Water requirement norms between 18 to 30 lpcd per animal have been assumed. Using 1992 livestock census figure and postulating a growth of bovine population at 0.5 percent Applying the norms of water requirement per animal as given above, NICWRD has estimated water requirement for bovine population as 4.8 km3, 5.2 km3 and 5.9 km3 for the years 2010, 2025 and 2050 respectively, which is included in the total water requirement.
RSD/ISEC/CHITTY/11-01-06
Consumptive
Non-consumptive
RSD/ISEC/CHITTY/11-01-06
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Total Water Requirement (km3/Year) 2010 Low Scena rio 1 2 3 4 5 Thermal Hydropow er Nuclear Solar/Win d Gas based Total 2.81 15.00 0.29 0.00 0.02 18.1 High Scenario 3.43 15.00 0.36 0.00 0.02 18.8 2025 Low Scenari o 7.85 22.00 1.13 0.01 0.06 31.1 High Scena rio 9.59 22.00 1.38 0.01 0.07 33.1 2050 Low Scenari o 28.71 30.00 3.68 0.04 0.18 62.6 High Scen ario 35.07 30.00 4.50 0.04 0.22 69.8
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1. Service sector is one of the fastest growing sector in Indian economy. 2. It is likely to sustain the same growth rate to 2025 . but beyond that the growth is likely to decelerate due to high-density in the sector. 3. The process of urbanisation is also likely to be slow.The main issue that crops up in the water demand for service sector is the quality of water and its use in the peri-urban areas. 4. The connected issue is the water treatment in the service sector, and specifically for the domestic consumption purposes. 5. State of the technology plants for water treatment. 6. Next issue emerges out of the supply constraints on the water use in the service sector. Largely, the service sector utilises surface as well as groundwater resources, but more dependent on the later.
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