HU UN OL EP NT LI PA TE IC AR ER CE RT RS E DE TM SV ME VI EN IL NT LL T LE E PO

9630 Julian Clark Ave P.O. Box 664 Huntersville, N.C. 28070 (704) 464-5400 Fax (704) 947-9200

MONTHLY CRIME BULLETIN Motor Vehicle Theft September 2013 Activity Summary: There were three (3) motor vehicle thefts reported in September 2013. There were two (2) motor vehicle thefts reported during the same time frame in 2012. This is a 50% increase from 2012 to 2013. Two (2) incidents are open for further investigation and one (1) has been closed with leads exhausted. Historically, HPD has an average of 5 motor vehicle thefts during the month of September with a current threshold of 3 to 7. This September, we were within the threshold with 3 reported motor vehicle thefts.

Forecast for October: The average number of MV Thefts for the month of October is 5 plus or minus 3. By the end of October there is a 68% chance HPD will have received between 2 and 8 reported MV Thefts.

Prepared by: L. Rooks, Crime Analyst

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MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT September 2013 Geographic Analysis

Number of Crimes per Location

Location Commercial Residential Other Hotel/Motel Roadway

# 0 2 0 0 1 3

% of total 0% 66% 0% 0% 33% 100%

Incidents by Response Area

Zone 9211(W1) 9212(E1) 9213(W2) 9214(E2)

# 0 0 1 2

% of total 0% 0% 33% 66%

100%

Incidents by District

District East West

# 2 1 3

% of total 66% 33% 100%

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Temporal Analysis
# of Incidents/Day at Found Time Crimes Found by 4hr Intervals

Day Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday

# 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 3

% Total 0% 0% 33% 66% 0% 0% 0% 100%

Time Period 0000-0359 0400-0759 0800-1159 1200-1559 1600-1959 2000-2359

# 0 0 1 1 1 0 3

% per Allocation 0% 0% 33% 33% 33% 0% 100%

Modus Operandi Analysis

Method of Entry Forced or Non-forced Entries

Entry Type Forced Unforced Unknown

# 0 3 0 3

% of total 0% 99% 0% 100%

Method Broke Glass Force Door Forced Window Bodily Force Pried/Punch Lock No Force Other Unknown

# 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 3

% of total 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 99% 0% 0% 100%

Point of Entry

Point of Entry Door (Driver) Door (Pass) Door (Back) Window Unknown N/A/Other

# 1 0 0 0 0 2 3

% of total 33% 0% 0% 0% 0% 66% 100%

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Monthly Crime Analysis for September 2013 Motor Vehicle Theft

Zone

9211 9212 9213 9214

Case # None Reported None Reported 20130918190300 20130904105500 20130903142303

Address

Date From:

Time From:

Date To:

Time To:

Common Name:

McCoy Rd Hunters Rd Fifth St

9/18/13 9/3/13 9/3/13

1900 2230 1030

9/18/13 9/4/13 9/3/13

1903 1030 1430

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Incidents per Month 2012 Compared to 2013 Month September September Year 2012 2013 # of Incidents 2 3 % Change

50%

NC = Non-Calculable

Comparison of # of Incidents in September to # of Incidents in October over time Month Year # of Incidents Month Year # of Incidents Mean September 2007 7 October 2007 5 6 September 2008 5 October 2008 3 4 September 2009 6 October 2009 3 4.5 September 2010 3 October 2010 4 3.5 September 2011 4 October 2011 2 3 September 2012 2 October 2012 5 3.5 Standard Deviation from Mean in incidents # for 2007-2012 +-1

Standard Deviation for change in incidents # b/w September & October:

# Change by Month -2 -2 -3 +1 -2 +3 +-2

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