June 2006 6684 Statistics S2 Mark Scheme

Question Number 1.(a) Scheme Marks

Saves time / cheaper / easier any one or A census/asking all members takes a long time or is expensive or difficult to carry out List, register or database of all club members/golfers or Full membership list Club member(s)

B1 (1)

(b)

B1 (1)

(c)

B1 (1)

2.(a)

P( L < -2.6 ) = 1.4

1 7 or 0.175 or equivalent = 8 40

B1 (1) M1 for 1/8 seen

(b)

1 1 P (L < 3.0 or L > 3.0) = 2 1 = 8 4

M1;A1 (2)

(c)

P (within 3mm) = 1

1 = 0.75 4

B(20,0.75)

recognises binomial

B1 Using B(20,p) M1

Let X represent number of rods within 3mm

P( X 9 / p = 0.25) or 1 P(X 10 / p = 0.75)

M1 awrt 0.9861 A1 (4)

= 0.9861

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Question Number 3. a)

Scheme

Marks

Let X represent the number of properties sold in a week

X~Po (7)

must be in part a

B1 B1 B1 (3)

Sales occur independently/randomly, singly, at a constant rate context needed once

b)

P ( X = 5 ) = P(X 5) - P(X 4) = 0.3007 0.1730 = 0.1277

or

7 e 5!

M1 awrt 0.128
N ( 168, 168)
stand with and

A1 (2) B1 M1 M1

c)

P ( X > 181 ) P ( Y 181.5 ) where Y ~N ( 168, 168)

181.5 168 = Pz 168 = P ( z 1.04 ) = 1 0.8508

0.5

Give A1 for 1.04 or correct expression A1

attempt correct area 1-p where p > 0.5 awrt 0.149

M1

= 0.1492

A1 (6)

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Question Number 4. a)

Scheme

Marks

Let X represent the number of breakdowns in a week.

X ~Po (1.25)
B B

implied or P (X 2)

B1 M1

P ( X < 3 ) = P (0) + P(1) + P(2)

(1.25) 2 = e 1.25 1 + 1.25 + 2! = 0.868467.

b)

A1 awrt 0.868 or 0.8685 ( or H0 : = 5 ; H1 : 5 )

B B B B

A1 (4) B1 B1

H0 :
B B

= 1.25 ;

H1 : 1.25
B B

or

Let Y represent the number of breakdowns in 4 weeks Under H0, Y ~P0(5)

B B B B

may be implied or P( X 11 ) = 0.0137 P( X 10 ) = 0.0318 One needed for M

B1 M1

P ( Y 11) = 1 P(Y 10)

= 0.0137

CR X 11
from H1
B B

A1 any .allow % M1 context B1 From their p

0.0137 < 0.025, 0.0274 < 0.05, 0.9863 > 0.975, 0.9726>0.95 or 11 11

Evidence that the rate of breakdowns has changed /decreased

(7)

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Question Number 5. (a)

Scheme

Marks

Binomial Let X represent the number of green mugs in a sample

B1 (1)

(b)

X ~B ( 10, 0.06)

may be implied or B1 seen in part a

10

P (X = 3) =

10

C3 (0.06)3 (0.94)7

C3 ( p)3 (1 p)7
awrt 0.0168

M1 A1 (3)

= 0.016808.
(c) (i)

Let X represent number of green mugs in a sample of size 125

X ~P0(125 0.06 = 7.5 )

B B

may be implied

B1 M1

P (10 X 13) = P ( X 13) P ( X 9 ) = 0.9784 0.7764 = 0.2020

(ii)

awrt 0.202 where Y N(7.5, 7.05)

A1 (3) B1

P (10 X 13) P ( 9.5 Y 13.5 )

13.5 7.5 9.5 7.5 z = P 7.05 7.05 both values or both correct expressions. = P(0.75 z 2.26) awrt 0.75 and 2.26 A1 = 0.2147 awrt 0.214or 0.215

7.05 9.5, 13.5 B1 M1 0.5 M1 stand.

A1 (6)

116

Question Number 6a)

Scheme

Marks

1+x dx = 1 k

f ( x) =1
Area = 1

M1

x x2 + =1 k 2k 1
k=
(b)

correct integral/correct expression A1

21 * 2 2 (1 + x ) 21

cso

A1 (3)

P( X x0 ) =

x0

f ( x)
variable limit or +C

M1

2x x2 = + 21 21 1
2

x0

correct integral + limit of 1 May have k in

A1

( 3 + x )( x 1) 2 x0 + x0 3 or 21 21
x <1 1 x < 4 x4

A1

F(x) =

0, 2 x + 2x 3 21 1

middle; ends

B1; B1

(5)
(c)

E(X) =

2x ( 1+x)dx 21

valid attempt xf ( x) x2 and x3

P P P

M1

x 2 2 x3 = + 21 63 1

correct integration

A1

5 19 = 171 63 = 2 7 = 7 = 2.7142....

awrt 2.71

A1 (3)

117

Question Number (d)

Scheme

Marks

F(m) = 0.5

x2 + 2 x 3 1 = 21 2

putting their F(x) = 0.5 M1

2 x 2 + 4 x-27 = 0 or equiv

x =

4 16 4.2(27) 4

attempt their 3 term

M1

quadratic

x = 1 3.8078...

i.e. x = 2.8078
e) f)

awrt 2.81

A1 (3)

Mode = 4 Mean < median < mode ( negative skew) Or Mean < median allow numbers in place of words

B1 (1) B1 (1)

w diagram but line must not cross y axis

118

Question Scheme Number 7.a) Let X represent the number of bowls with minor defects.

Marks

X ~ B;(25, 0.20) P ( X 1) = 0.0274 or P( X= 0 ) =0.0038

may be implied need to see at least one. prob for X no For M1

B1; B1 M1A1

P ( X 9 ) = 0.9827; P ( X 10 ) = 0.0173
CR is { X 1 X 10}
b)

either

A1 A1 (6)

Significance level = 0.0274 + 0.0173 = 0.0447 or 4.477% awrt 0.0447 B1 (1) B1 B1

c)

H0 : p = 0.20; H1 : p < 0.20;

B B B B

Let Y represent number of bowls with minor defects Under H0 Y ~ B (20, 0.20)
B B

may be implied or P( Y 2 ) = 0.2061 P( Y 1 ) = 0.0692 CR Y 1 either

B1 M1

P ( Y 2)

= 0.2061

A1 their p M1 B1 (7)

0.2061 > 0.10 or 0.7939 < 0.9

or 2>1

Insufficient evidence to suggest that the proportion of defective bowls has decreased.

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