Professional Documents
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Energy Sources
Since 1973, most of us have heard so much about "the energy crisis" that the phrase
has lost all meaning. We have lived through a steady stream of energy price
increases, presidential proclamations, severe-weather energy shortages and raging
debate on the various energy-supply technologies. Life remains tolerable and changes
slowly for most people, and huge numbers of people are skeptical or at least inactive.
"Why should I care about energy?" they ask. "What can one person do in the shadow
of gigantic energy corporations, impersonal public utilities, a hopelessly
uncoordinated government and a populace that doesnt seem to care?"
There are volumes of information available on what a household, a person, a business,
or a legislator can do to reduce personal or national energy consumption. Most of
these conservation steps could be implemented immediately or very soon. If anything
is lacking, it is a commitment to conservation that goes beyond shortsighted
moneysaving reasons to include long-term changes in the way we use energy. In other
words, in the long run, why should an individual person care about energy?
After this time, the crude death rate exceeds the crude birth rate, so the population
declines. Food per capita rises steadily throughout the twentieth century . . . but it
declines sharply after 2015. Industrial output per capita reaches a maximum value of
375 dollars per person-year in 2015. The index of persistent pollution reaches a peak
of 11 times the 1970 level of pollution in the year 2035. The behavior mode exhibited
by the reference run is overshoot and decline. Population and capital grow past their
sustainable physical limits and then return to a pre-industrial level of development.
Growth is halted in this run through the effects of nonrenewable resource depletion
[emphasis added].
The Club of Rome has since updated its findings without substantially altering its main
conclusion.
With the use of very different methods of prediction, similar conclusions on world
collapse have been reached by Willis Harmons group at the Stanford Research
Institute. Harmon does not rely on complicated computer models such as the Club of
Romes World 3. Instead he uses rough calculations and nonnumerical cybernetic
analyses of social and technical trends. His results show a spectrum of possible world
situations in the year 2000 ranging from "Manifest Destiny" to collapse. All of the
successful future paths he finds require what he calls a "war on ecological problems."
For all practical purposes, this means the implementation of worldwide energy and
energy resources conservation and renewable energy technologies.
Often cynics like to argue that the world is too complex a thing to model, even on a
computer, and that something can always come along to save us. Yet if our energy
consumption keeps increasing, there is nothing that can mitigate the adverse
environmental impacts. We can argue all day as to whether the exact facts and figures
in these predictions of doom are correct, but the fact is, ecosystems can be destroyed;
Lake Erie is dead and supports no life. Anyone who thinks that the same thing cant
happen to the world ecosystems is working under a delusion.
skilled manpower is flown in." As fighting rages in Afghanistan and the worlds eyes
remain fixed on the supply of Mideastern oil, there is talk like this once again in high
political circles. Yet the anti-draft movement is also growing, and although everyone
acknowledges that oil would be the reason for a U.S. war in the Middle East, no one
seems interested in fighting it. What surer way do we have of reducing these
pressures than decreasing our reliance on energy use in general and on oil in
particular?
In this perspective, energy and energy resources conservation plays the role of
decreasing world energy demand, decreasing the need for both nuclear
power (and its attendant problems) and scarce mineral resources. Such a
development cuts at the roots of our most fertile source of world tension. Our goal
should be to establish a comfortable, stable economic system that conserves as much
energy as possible and gets the rest from renewable energy sources such as the sun
and wind.
We now come to several arguments for energy and energy resources conservation
that require no lofty goals or moral analyses. Each one of these reasons benefits the
individual over the course of a lifetime, and one need not consider the fact that one is
also doing society a big favor.
The most obvious reason in this category boils down to the simple fact that saving
energy saves money. This is a common appeal made by private industry and
government. Because energy is nonrecyclable and in short supply, it will continue to
be one of the most expensive resources around. But it is not difficult or unusual to
save 20 or 40 per cent of ones heating and cooling bill with very little effort. This can
be a very sizable amount of money, and it doesnt begin to scratch the surface of
money savings available to the low-energy household.
In connection with saving money, it is appropriate to mention a phenomenon called
the "respending effect." Presumably if a person saves a bit of money by reducing
energy costs, he or she will either spend the money on something else or put it in the
bank. If it is spent on something that uses up as much or more energy per dollar as
the original reduction, nothing has been gained in the energy budget at large (though
this person may now own a more desirable mix of goods and services than before).
Only respending money on an activity less energy-intensive than the one
reduced will result in a net energy saving for the economy. Those who are
truly serious about living the low-energy life divert their spending from consumer
activities to direct investment in the tools they require to change and then maintain
their life style: land, bicycles, pressure cookers, solar and windpower equipment, a
garden, bus rides, etc.
A more immediate gratification available to a community of energy conservers is
better health and a more pleasant local environment. Many of the harmful and
unpleasant effects of both nuclear and coal-fired power plants are temporary and can
show signs of improvement after only a few years if the plants are shut down. The U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency has reported that in the ten years since it
implemented water pollution guidelines for Lake Michigan, the quality of lake water
has actually improved. Radiologist Leonard Sternglass cites a study of a research
reactor located about 100 yards from where I work in Urbana, Illinois. According to
Sternglass, when this reactor went into operation, infant mortality in the U.S.
increased 300 per cent and deaths from congenital malformation increased sixfold.
When the reactor was shut down (temporarily), both rates dropped to about double
the original level. During this same period in a more distant Illinois county, both of
these death rates declined steadily.
In 1972 the city of Uppsala, Sweden, revamped its central city, eliminating
automobiles and improving bus, bicycle and pedestrian routes. Aside from the
resultant energy savings, the city experienced a decrease in dust and carbon
monoxide, a factor-of-two reduction in noise levels, a 46 per cent lower traffic-accident
risk, and even faster average travel times since buses ran more frequently.