Professional Documents
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ADS
DONALD
SAVOIE
HILL
CLIMBERS
WORLD PRESS
PHOTO
NDPs Enough
attack ad is the
message P. 9
Canadian War
Museums exhibit
Close election
race provides
fuel for lobbyists
during Houses
long down period
BY MARK BURGESS
What Conservatives,
NDP, and Liberals
need to win in 2015
Whether it starts early or not, the election
campaign is already on. And each of the parties is
looking over the electoral map to find its own path
to victory. Read ric Greniers column p. 11.
Continued on page 4
NEWS ADVERTISING
NDP Enough ad
produced entirely
by party staff, whole
new level of internal
sophistication
BY LAURA RYCKEWAERT
P. 22-23
Harper could
be trying to
deplete NDP,
Libs to benefit
Conservatives
after election,
say Hill sources
If the Conservatives can
drain the other parties
coffers during the
campaign, it could make
a Conservative minority
government more stable.
BY LAURA RYCKEWAERT AND MARK BURGESS
I
For Prime Minister Stephen Harpers Conservatives, its majority or bust. That means 170 seats, or close to
it. A return to dominance in Ontario is needed for this to happen, with the party capturing 70 to 87 seats.
Continued on page 18
NEWS PETERBOROUGH
Continued on page 16
Wells plots TV
leaders debate
that will be
more hike than
square dance
Three provinces give NDP Leader Tom Mulcair the seats he needs to win. By keeping the
Conservatives weak in British Columbia, the party can win 22 to 27 seats in the province.
Del Mastro
saga casts
shadow as new
candidates look
to repair ridings
reputation
BY RACHEL AIELLO
BY MARK BURGESS
aul Wells has been spending his summer watching old election debates. His
bosses at Rogers are busy finding actors
that look like political party leaders.
Mr. Wells, the political editor for
Macleans, is one of the countrys bestknown columnists but he admits hes
not a broadcast guy. Thats part of the
Continued on page 5
It all comes down to Central and Eastern Canada for Justin Trudeaus Liberals. Ontario is most important, as
the party needs some 58 to 63 seats. The Hill Times photographs by Jake Wright
Continued on page 6
FEATURE BUZZ
HEARD
ON
THE
Harper economics:
HILL nothing adds up, but
will voters notice?
BY MARK BURGESS
Eventually,
these cumulative
inconsistencies have to
register with voters.
SUSAN RILEY
by Topher Seguin
Competition guarantees
the best for Canada.
For Canadas next-generation ghter, the F/A-18E/F Super Hornet is ready now for service through 2040.
The best overall solution. Combat-proven. A balanced approach to survivability.
Plus rm pricing and schedule. With 100% benet to Canadian industry.
To ensure the very best for all of Canada, which competition guarantees.
NORTHROP GRUMMAN
GENERAL ELECTRIC
BOEING
Macleans magazines
Paul Wells, on
moderating the TV
leaders debate on
Aug. 6 in Toronto: Im
nervous but I keep
reminding myself that
the show is about the
leaders and all eyes
will be on the leaders.
They have much more
reason to be nervous
than any of us do. The
Hill Times photograph by
Jake Wright
DEBATE LINEUP
Debate Host:
Rogers & Macleans
Whos In:
Conservatives, NDP, Liberals and the Greens
Calgary in September
TVA
Oct. 2, in Montreal
Conservatives, Liberals
and the NDP in principle
Up for Debate on
womens issues
NDP, Greens
*The NDP has also agreed in principle to participate in a debate hosted by seniors advocacy group CARP. Bloomberg News also
pitched a debate on the economy, and Huffington Post Canada pitched another one with Twitter Canada and Samara.
NEWS PETERBOROUGH
Conservative candidate Michael Skinner, NDP candidate Dave Nickle, Liberal candidate
Maryam Monsef will be running in Peterborough, Ont., in the next election. The Hill Times photographs by Rachel Aiello and handout
RIDING PROFILE
Percentage
Winning Candidate
Party
Elections Won
of Vote
Conservative
2011
2008
2006
49.67%
47.40%
35.90%
Peter Adams
Liberal
2004
2000
1997
1993
43.55%
48.41%
46.55%
47.60%
Bill Domm
Progressive Conservative
1988
1984
1980
1979
40.85%
52.69%
40.25%
44.46%
Hugh Faulkner
Liberal
1974
1972
1968
1965
52.90%
45.49%
42.09%
36.98%
Fred Stenson
Progressive Conservative
1963
1962
35.93%
38.07%
Walter Pitman
New Party
1960
45.78%
Progressive Conservative
1958
1957
1953
66.78%
60.71%
52.47%
Peterborough-Kawartha, Ontario
Redistributed from the 2003 ridings
of Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock
and Peterborough.
Population: 112,665
Average family income: $83,482
Immigrant population: 8.50%
Single parent families: 14.40%
Percentage of residents with a
post-secondary degree: 52.20%
Homeowners: 72.90%
Transposition of votes:
Conservative 50% NDP 21%
Liberal 25% Green 4%
Source: Elections Canada
ELECTION 2015
NEWS WOMEN IN POLITICS
incremental rise in terms of womens participation and of course it very much goes
back to the numbers.You need Canadians
to have the opportunity to vote for women
and not just having one woman on the ballot,
you need multiple women because obviously
peoples interest are varied in terms of the
party theyre going to support, she said.
According to data analyzed by The Hill
Times, with files from Equal Voice, of the
305 women running so far, 57 are Conservative candidates, about 20 per cent of the
partys overall team. There are 104 women
running for the NDP, or just more than
41 per cent of their candidates. The Liberals have nominated the most candidates
overall, of which 97 are female, making up
33 per cent of their total, and just more than
28 per cent of Green Party candidates are
women, and they still have 174 candidates
left to nominate if they intend on running a
candidate in all 338 ridings.
Even if the Liberals and the Conservatives nominate women in all their remaining ridings, they will be still below 50 per
cent of their candidates. Although the New
RIDING
Scarborough Centre
Nova Scotia
Cape Breton-Canso
Cumberland-Colchester
Dartmouth-Cole Harbour
Halifax
Halifax West
South Shore-St. Margarets
New Brunswick
Fredericton
Fundy Royal
Miramichi-Grand Lake
Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe
New Brunswick Southwest
Saint John-Rothesay
Quebec
Abitibi-Tmiscamingue
Ahuntsic-Cartierville
Alfred-Pellan
Argenteuil-La Petite-Nation
Beauport-Cte-de-Beauprle dOrlans-Charlevoix
Beloeil-Chambly
Berthier-Maskinong
Bourassa
Brome-Missisquoi
Brossard-Saint-Lambert
Charlesbourg-Haute-Saint-Charles
Chteauguay-Lacolle
Chicoutimi-Le Fjord
Compton-Stanstead
Dorval-LachineLaSalle
Drummond
Gaspsie-Les les-de-laMadeleine
Gatineau
Hochelaga
Honor-Mercier
Hull-Aylmer
Joliette
Jonquire
RIDING
La Pointe-de-lle
CANDIDATES
NDP ve Pclet,
Liberal Marie-Chantale Simard
Lac-Saint-Jean
NDP Gisle Dallaire
LaSalle-mard-Verdun
NDP Hlne LeBlanc,
Green Lorraine Banville
Laurier-Sainte-Marie
NDP Hlne Laverdire,
Liberal Christine Poirier
Laval-Les les
Liberal Marie-Chantale Simard
LongueuilCharles-LeMoyne
NDP Sadia Groguh,
Liberal Sherry Romanado
Mirabel
NDP Mylne Freeman
Montarville
NDP Djaouida Sellah
Montmagny-LIslet-Kamouraska- Liberal Marie-Jose Normand
Rivire-du-Loup
Outremont
Liberal Rachel Bendayan
Pierrefonds-Dollard
Conservative Valrie Assouline,
NDP Lysane Blanchette-Lamothe
Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier
NDP laine Michaud
Qubec
NDP Annick Papillon
Repentigny
Liberal Adriana Dudas
Richmond-Arthabaska
NDP Myriam Beaulieu
Rivire-des-Mille-les
NDP Laurin Liu,
Liberal Linda Lapointe
Rivire-du-Nord
Liberal Janice Belair Rolland
Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie
Liberal Nadine Medawar
Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot
NDP Brigitte Sansouchy
Saint-Lonard-Saint-Michel
NDP Rosannie Filato,
Green Melissa Miscione
Salaberry-Surot
NDP Anne Minh-Thu Quach
Shefford
Conservative Sylvie Fontaine
Terrebonne
NDP Charmaine Borg
Ville-MarieLe Sud-Ouestle
NDP Allison Turner
-des-Soeurs
Pierre-BoucherLes Patriotes Liberal Francine Crevier Blair
Verchres
Marc-Aurle-Fortin
Conservative Johanne Thort,
NDP Marie-Jose Lemieux
Ontario
Ajax
Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing
Aurora-Oak Ridges-Richmond Hill
Barrie-Innisfil
Barrie-Springwater-Oro-Medonte
Brampton Centre
Brampton North
Brampton South
Brampton West
Brantford-Brant
Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound
Burlington
Cambridge
Chatham-Kent-Leamington
Davenport
Don Valley East
Dufferin-Caledon
Durham
Elgin-Middlesex-London
Essex
Etobicoke-Lakeshore
RIDING
Etobicoke North
Flamborough-Glanbrook
Guelph
Haldimand-Norfolk
CANDIDATES
Liberal Kirsty Duncan
Liberal Jennifer Stebbing
Conservative Gloria Kovach
Conservative Diane Finley,
Liberal Joan Mouland
Hamilton Centre
Liberal Anne Tennier
Hamilton East-Stoney Creek
Conservative Diane Bubanko,
Green Ute Schmid Jones
Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas NDP Alex Johnstone,
Liberal Filomena Tassi
Hastings-Lennox and Addington NDP Betty Bannon
Huron-Bruce
Green Jutta Splettstoesser
Kanata-Carleton
Liberal Karen McCrimmon
Kenora
Green Ember McKillop
King-Vaughan
NDP Natalie Rizzo,
Liberal Deb Schulte,
Green Ann Raney
Kitchener South-Hespeler
Conservative Marian Gagn
Lanark-Frontenac
Green Anita Payne
Leeds-GrenvilleThousand Islands NDP Margaret Andrade,
and Rideau Lakes
Liberal Mary Jean McFall,
Green Lorraine Rekmans
London-Fanshawe
Conservative Suzanna Dieleman,
NDP Irene Mathyssen
London North Centre
Conservative Susan Truppe,
Green Carol Dyck
London West
Liberal Kate Young
Markham-Stouffville
Liberal Jane Philpott
Markham-Unionville
NDP Nadine Hawkins,
Liberal Bang-Gu Jiang
Milton
Conservative Lisa Raitt,
Green Mini Batra
Mississauga Centre
NDP Farheen Khan,
Green Linh Nguyen
Mississauga-Erin Mills
NDP Michelle Bilek,
Liberal Irqa Khalid
Mississauga-Lakeshore
Conservative Stella Ambler
Mississauga-Malton
NDP Dianne Douglas
Newmarket-Aurora
Conservative Lois Brown,
NDP Yvonne Kelly,
Green Vanessa Long
Niagara Centre
Conservative Leanna Villella
Nipissing-Timiskaming
NDP Kathleen Jodouin,
Green Nicole Peltier
Northumberland-Peterborough South Liberal Kim Rudd,
Green Patricia Sinnott
Oakville
NDP Che Marville
Oakville North-Burlington
Conservative Effie Triantafilopoulos,
NDP Rebecca Rajack,
Liberal Pam Damoff
Oshawa
NDP Mary Fowler
Ottawa Centre
Liberal Catherine McKenna
Ottawa-Orlans
NDP Nancy Tremblay
Ottawa West-Nepean
Liberal Anita Vandenbeld
Oxford
NDP Zoe Kunschner
Parkdale-High Park
NDP Peggy Nash
Parry Sound-Muskoka
Liberal Trisha Cowie
Peterborough-Kawartha
Liberal Maryam Monsef
Pickering-Uxbridge
NDP Pamela Downward,
Liberal Jennifer OConnell
Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke
Conservative Cheryl Gallant
Toronto-St. Pauls
Conservative Marnie MacDougall,
Liberal Carolyn Bennett
Sarnia-Lambton
Conservative Marilyn Gladue
Scarborough-Agincourt
Conservative Bin Chang,
NDP Laura Patrick
CANDIDATES
Conservative Roxanne James,
Liberal Salma Zahid
Scarborough-Guildwood
NDP Laura Casselman
Scarborough North
Conservative Ravinder Malhi,
NDP Rathika Sitsabaiesan,
Green Eleni MacDonald
Simcoe-Grey
Conservative Kellie Leitch
Simcoe North
Liberal Liz Riley
Spadina-Fort York
Conservative Sabrina Zuniga
Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry Liberal Bernadette Clement,
Green Elkaine Kennedy
Thunder Bay-Rainy River
Conservative Maureen
Comuzzi-Stehmann,
Green Christy Radbourne
Thunder Bay-Superior North
Liberal Patty Hajdu
Toronto Centre
NDP Linda McQuaig
Toronto-Danforth
Liberal Julie Dabrusin
University-Rosedale
NDP Jennifer Hollett,
Liberal Chrystia Freeland
Vaughan-Woodbridge
NDP Adria Zichy
Waterloo
NDP Diane Freeman,
Liberal Bardish Chagger
Wellington-Halton Hills
NDP Anne Gajerski-Cauley
Whitby
Conservative Pat Perkins,
Liberal Celina Caesar-Chavannes
Windsor-Tecumseh
Conservative Jo-Anne Gignac,
NDP Cheryl Hardcastle
York-Simcoe
NDP Sylvia Gerl,
Liberal Shaun Tanaka
Humber River-Black Creek
Liberal Judy Sgro
Manitoba
Brandon-Souris
Churchill-Keewatinook Aski
Dauphin-Swan River-Neepawa
Elmwood-Transcona
Kildonan-St. Paul
Portage-Lisgar
Selkirk-Interlake-Eastman
Winnipeg Centre
Winnipeg South Centre
Saskatchewan
Desneth-Missinippi-Churchill River
Carlton Trail-Eagle Creek
Prince Albert
Regina-Lewvan
Regina-QuAppelle
Regina-Wascana
Saskatoon-Grasswood
Saskatoon-University
Saskatoon West
Souris-Moose Mountain
Yorkton-Melville
Alberta
Calgary Centre
Calgary Heritage
Calgary Midnapore
Calgary Nose Hill
Calgary Rocky Ridge
Calgary Signal Hill
Edmonton Griesbach
Edmonton Riverbend
Edmonton Strathcona
RIDING
Edmonton West
Edmonton-Wetaskiwin
Foothills
Lakeland
Lethbridge
Sherwood Park-Fort
Saskatchewan
Sturgeon River-Parkland
CANDIDATES
Liberal Karen Leibovici,
Green Pam Bryan
Liberal Jacqueline Biollo,
Green Joy Hut
Green Romy Tittel
Conservative Shannon Stubbs
Conservative Rachael Harder,
NDP Cheryl Meheden
Green Brandie Harrop
Conservative Rona Ambrose
British Columbia
Abbotsford
Burnaby North-Seymour
Burnaby South
Nunavut
Nunavut
Conservatives, 57; New Democrats, 104; Liberals, 97; and Greens, 47.
Source: Compiled by Rachel Aiello with files from
Equal Voice, Pundits Guide.
EDITORIAL
DELIVERY INQUIRIES
circulation@hilltimes.com
613-688-8819
PRODUCTION
ADVERTISING
ADMINISTRATION
2012 Better
Newspaper
Winner
GERRY NICHOLLS
AKVILLE, ONT.When
analyzing the strategy behind
a political ad, its always a good
idea to peel back its outer layers
and spend some time poking
around its inner entrails.
Okay, thats icky.
Let me be a little less poetic
and say that sometimes a political
ads message isnt as straightforward as it might seem; sometimes
the true strategic intention of an
ad is camouflaged.
Im bringing this up right now
because I believe the true intention of a recent NDP ad is actually hidden from plain sight.
In case youve missed it, the
NDP ad Im referring to is an online video that shines an unflatter-
Here comes trouble: As marketing expert Kerry McKibbin, who analyzed the ad for the
CBC, noted, If you squint for a moment, it could appear similar to an advertisement for a
documentary about a Mafia crime family. Photograph image courtesy of NDP advertisement
ing spotlight on the Conservative
governments alleged misdeeds,
scandals, and legal problems.
Its far from subtle.
In fact, it features ominous
background music; it has the words
guilty of election fraud,andsent to
jail,stamped in big red letters over
photos of Conservative politicians
and operatives, and its piece de
resistance is a video clip of former
Conservative MP Dean Del Mastro
being led off to jail in handcuffs.
As marketing expert Kerry
McKibbin, who analyzed the ad for
Unlike Mulcair, Liberals have little to gain in a coalition. Their right-wing voting
flank would bleed to the Conservatives if the centrist party joined forces with the
New Democrats, writes Sheila Copps. The Hill Times photographs by Jake Wright
among them. Pundits labelled the
move as cynical and manipulative. Voters, cranky with constitutional and economic uncertainly,
punished Peterson accordingly.
When prime minister Jean
Chrtien pondered an early vote
in 2000, his caucus was deeply
divided. Even his closest advisers
were split. Some were vociferously counselling him to work
out the full mandate, or face the
wrath of the electorate.
The wily Chrtien made the
right call. His view was that once
the writ was dropped, people
would focus on issues and forget
about the early election call.
One of the main reasons the
Liberal prime minister decided to
10
Campaign troubles: Trudeau has two major problems: his campaign has no strategy plan, and
he has no narrative, writes Warren Kinsella. The
Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
WARREN KINSELLA
A
BETTER
WAY
11
ELECTION 2015
POLLS & POLLSTERS ELECTION 2015
NEEDS ONTARIO
Three provinces give NDP Leader Tom Mulcair the seats he needs
to win. By keeping the Conservatives weak in British Columbia, the
party can win 22 to 27 seats in the province. Add to that 26 to 33
seats in Ontario, as long as the race remains three-headed, and 50
to 55 seats in Quebec and the NDP already has enough seats to
potentially come out on top. The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
It all comes down to Central and Eastern Canada for Justin Trudeaus
Liberals. Ontario is most important, as the party needs some 58 to
63 seats. This can only happen if the Liberals can push the NDP out
of contention in the province and regain the support they have lost in
Ontario over the last few months. Another 18 to 30 seats would be
needed in Quebec, which might be the hardest target to reach. The
Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
by Jake Wright
RIC GRENIER
TTAWAWhether it starts
early or late, the election
campaign is on. And each of the
parties is looking over the electoral map to find their own path
to victory.
The New Democrats might
have the easiest path, considering
theyre already on it. If an election
were held today, the NDP would
likely win enough seats to form a
minority government. That would
also likely be enough for Thomas
Mulcair to become prime minister.
After almost 10 years of Conser-
12
DAVID CRANE
ORONTOThe economy is
in serious troublein fact,
it has been in trouble for some
time though our Finance Minister, Joe Oliver, has been in a
constant state of denial. But that
is not all the bad news. Both the
NDP and the Liberals agree with
Oliver that a balanced budget is
necessary even though economic
growth and productive investment are too low and underemployment (university graduates
making coffee at Starbucks) and
unemployment too high.
By cutting fiscal stimulus too
soon after the Great Recession of
2008-2009 and making a balanced
budget rather than a strong econ-
MICHAEL GEIST
13
MURRAY DOBBIN
dedication to balanced-budget
idiocy). We have never been so
fearful of our economic future but
we have been convinced that we
(even those of us with full time,
low-paying jobs headed for the
food banks to make ends meet)
are somehow to blame.
As for the kind of security
Harper likes to talk about we are
in fact less secure now under the
Conservatives policies than we
have ever been. Harpers foreign policy could easily make us
targets for the very jihadists that
Harper rails on about. His eager
involvement in the destruction
of Libya, his aggressive stance in
Afghanistan, the carte blanche
he provides Israel in its brutal oppression of Palestinians in Gaza
and the illegal occupation of the
West Bank, and his comically ineffective engagement in the war
on ISIL all contribute to terrorists
identifying Canada as a reasonable target for retribution. If we
actually had some smattering of
national interests in the Middle
East it could at least be argued
that the risk is worth it. But we
dont. The net result is not only
increased national insecurity but
the trampling of our rights to privacy and our civil liberties with
Bill C-51legislation that does
nothing to enhance our defence
against terror but dramatically
undermines our personal security
as engaged citizens.
The Harper Conservatives
could still eke out a minority
government in the Oct. 19th election. If they do it unchallenged
on their fraudulent promotion of
enhanced security for Canadians,
the NDP and Liberals will have
no one to blame but themselves.
news@hilltimes.com
The Hill Times
14
Q&A
DONALD SAVOIE
A very big
whale that
cant swim:
Donald
Savoie on
whats ailing
government
Donald Savoies
new book offers a
broad context for the
challenges government
faces todayfrom
globalization, to new
media and the 24-hour
news cycle, to special
interest groups, to
centralized control. The
result is a government
good at passing
around blame, winning
elections and resisting
change and not very
good at implementing
policy, innovating and
responding to citizens.
BY MARK BURGESS
15
Q&A
DONALD SAVOIE
Customize
Your Work
Q
Track a bill
Follow a committee
Get immediate
notication when
changes happen
www.parliamentnow.ca
But there are some things government isnt good at but has to
do anyway. Is there any way to
get better at those things?
Getting out of things its not
good at is a good start. Simplify
government. We now have 6,000
senior executives in the Government
of Canada. Surely people should
realize thats too many. We have a
number of management levels in the
government.You could go through
some of those departments and
there are about 12 management
layers. How could you possibly be
good at anything if you have those
kinds of heavy-handed management levels? If you want to be good
at something, start by streamlining
management and making it much,
much less cumbersome.
I think the time has come to
turn it the other way and turn the
table on oversight bodies. We have
too many. Lets have a proper debate about that. We need to get rid
of some of these things. Then government can be better at managing
programs and services. Until that
time, its going to be very difficult.
mburgess@hilltimes.com
16
NDP AD
NDP Enough ad
produced entirely by party
staff, whole new level of
internal sophistication
The NDPs antiConservative ad is
targeted at swing
voters, disenchanted
Tories, say experts
Continued from page 1
YouTube and lots of free media attention, was produced and edited
entirely by internal NDP staff,
and experts say its an effective
ad, and part of a new era of online, self-produced political ads.
Theres a recognition in all
three parties that advertising
is evolving. Theres definitely a
conscious desire to build up that
capacity to create ads internally,
said Alex Bushell, a consultant at
Environics Communications and
a former NDP staffer.
With these digital ads you can
get almost instant feedback on
whos watched it, where its being
watched, and if its the people that
you were trying to reach. In many
ways, I mean, youre still going to
see TV ads, but these digital ads
can be more effective. You can
use a digital ad as a click-through
to get someones email address, to
get them to agree to take a sign,
something like that, he said.
Digital ads also allow parties
to better micro-target messages
to certain parts of the country
compared to TV and are cheaper
to run, Mr. Bushell said.
The writ has yet to be dropped
for the 2015 election, but political
advertising by parties and third
parties is already well underway.
On July 13, the NDP launched
French and English versions of an
online ad, Enough, targeted at
the Conservative government.
Set to dramatic instrumental music, it begins with Prime
Minister Stephen Harper (Calgary Southwest, Alta.) on stage
in Calgary after he won the last
election, followed by a slew of
still photos of Conservatives who
have either been charged or are
under investigation, including
footage of former MP Dean Del
Mastro being ushered by police in
leg irons. A voiceover at the end
asks: Have you had enough? Its
time for change in Ottawa.
When it was released, the NDP
indicated the ad was targeted at
voters in southwestern Ontario
and western Canadian provincestarget areas where the
party is trying to pick up seats
this Octoberahead of leader
Tom Mulcairs (Outremont, Que.)
recent eight-day Ontario tour.
NDP spokesperson George
Soule said the ad was edited and
produced entirely by internal party staffincluding the voiceover
workand posted online to the
partys YouTube account and
Facebook page. Mr. Soule said
Clive Veroni On
NDPs Enough Ad
Clive Veroni, author of Spin: How Politics Have the Power to Turn
Marketing on its Head, and one of the countrys leading experts on
advertising, assesses the NDPs powerful new ad, Enough.
BY KATE MALLOY
17
economic pressure at the start of negotiations, giving Irans economy a much-needed boost. The lifting of sanctions envisioned by the nuclear deal will accelerate
this relief. A snap-back will have to deal
with a fully recovered Iranian economy
that will have likely developed mechanisms to mitigate the impact of possible
future sanctions. In short, the removal of
sanctions does not allow a snap-back to
the status quo ante. It would guarantee
that economic pressure will only gradually be brought to bear, while Irans nuclear
program will be much more advanced
than it is at present.
This poses a particularly acute challenge for Ottawa. Iran has always favoured Canada as a location for its illicit
procurement activities. Canadas industry
EMANUELE OTTOLENGHI
SCHOOLS OUT...
COME AND SEE US
www.rpi-ipr.com
18
ELECTION 2015
Prime Minister Stephen Harper, top, NDP Leader Tom Mulcair, and Liberal
Leader Justin Trudeau. The Conservatives spent about $19.5-million in the
last election, the New Democrats spent $20.3-milion and the Liberals spent
about $19.5-million. The Hill Times photographs by Jake Wright
could be eager for a long campaign
period in order to bleed opposition
parties of cash for an advantage in
a minority government situation
is an interesting and logical one,
said Mr. Beardsley, adding thats
sort of what happened after the
11-week 2006 election campaign.
The former Conservative staffer also said that motivation for
going early is plausible: raising
enough money to fight an election
in one year without the per-vote
subsidy would be a challenge for
the other parties, and fundraising
could become more difficult if the
economy sours.
Robin MacLachlan, an NDP
strategist and vice-president
of Summa Strategies, said it
wouldnt be the first time the
Conservatives have used their
fundraising advantage to the
other parties detriment.
Im sure that the Conservatives have thought about the fact
that depleting the opposition parties resources during a campaign,
regardless of the outcome, is in
their interest, he said.
But broke opposition parties
could also provide added incentive for them to form a coalition
19
HILL CLIMBERS
POLITICAL STAFFERS
Transport Minister
Nine staffers on leave
Lisa Raitts
from PMO
Meanwhile, as reported by The
director of policy
Ottawa Citizens Kady OMalley
and stakeholder
last week, nine PMO staffers
recently took leave from the Lanrelations, Michael
gevin Block, as indicated by their
Beaton, leaves
email auto-reply messages, which
for the most part also directed
for a new gig as
to an alternative PMO staffer to
director of corporate contact and included a personal
email address.
affairs for Rogers
The nine PMO staffers
include: David Belous, deputy
Communications.
Infrastructure Minister
Lebel promotes Dufort
Infrastructure and Intergovernmental Affairs Minister Denis
Lebel, who is also the regional
minister for Quebec, has promoted staffer Daniel Dufort to the
title of director of issues management, as recently indicated by
GEDS.
Mr. Dufort has been working
on the Hill since 2010 when he
joined the PMO as an issues management adviser. Prior to that, Mr.
Dufort worked as a senior consultant with the GCI Groups public
affairs team and was a registered
lobbyist.
In 2012, Mr. Dufort switched
over to work in the PMOs stakeholder relations unit and in 2013,
courtesy of LinkedIn
20
FEATURE
Parliamentary
Calendar
MONDAY, JULY 27
WEDNESDAY, AUG. 5
FRIDAY, JULY 31
2015 Shingwauk Gathering
and ConferenceThe Children of
Shingwauk Alumni Association,
the Shingwauk Residential Schools
Centre, and partners will be hostign
the fourth annual Shingwauk Gathering and Conference July 31-Aug.
2 at Algoma University, Sault Ste.
Marie, Ont. This years theme is
Celebrating Resilience. Douglas
Cardinal and Justice Murray Sinclair will deliver keynote speeches
on Friday, July 31 from 2 p.m.-4
p.m. Open to the public and free of
cost. Those intersted in attending
can register online at www.shingwauk.org or email ShingwaukDG@
algomau.ca or call 704-949-2301,
ext. 4623.
Statistics Canada Announces
GDP for MayStatistics Canada
to release the GDP by industry,
national, on July 31, 2015.
THURSDAY, AUG. 6
Election DebateMacleans hosts
the first televised election debate,
featuring leaders of the four main political parties, from 8 p.m. to 10 p.m.
ET. The debate will air commercialfree on City, OMNI.1, OMNI.2,
and CPAC, with live streaming on
Macleans.ca, Citytv.com, CityNews.
ca, OMNItv.ca, CPAC.ca, Facebook,
and YouTube. Rogers Radio news
stations will also carry the debate live
on 680News.com, 570news.com,
660News.com, 1310News.com,
News1130.com, and News957.com.
2015 Shingwauk Gathering and Conference Justice Murray Sinclair, left, pictured, last month at the release of the Truth and
Reconciliation Commission report, with commissioners Marie Wilson and Willie Littlechild, will deliver keynote speeches on Friday,
July 31, from 2 p.m.-4 p.m. at the 2015 Shingwauk Gathering and Conference at Algoma University in Sault Ste. Marie, Ont., along
with Douglas Cardinal, not pictured. This years theme is Celebrating Resilience. The Hill Times photograph by Jake Wright
Moderated by Macleans political
editor Paul Wells, the party leaders
will debate on issues including the
economy, energy and the environment, the health of Canadas democratic institutions, and foreign policy
and security. The debate format will
avoid canned speeches, providing the
leaders with the opportunity to engage
with each other. Wells will have the
latitude to pose follow-up questions
to ensure Canadians have the most
information and insight possible.
8-10 p.m. in Toronto. OMN1 will
translate the proceedings into Italian,
Mandarin, Cantonese and Punjabi in
real time.
FRIDAY, AUG. 7
WEDNESDAY, AUG. 12
Mike Duffy Trial ResumesThe
criminal trial of suspended Senator
Mike Duffy will start again on Aug.
12 in Ottawa. Nigel Wright, former
chief of staff to Prime Minister Stephen Harper, is expected to testify
when the case resumes.
THURSDAY, AUG. 13
TUESDAY, SEPT. 1
Statistics Canada Announces GDP
for JuneStatistics Canada to release
the GDP by industry, national, for June
on Sept. 1, 2015.
MONDAY, SEPT. 21
House Resumes SittingThe
House of Commons is scheduled to
sit on Monday, Sept. 21, but likely
wont because of the federal election campaign. The election will
happen on Monday, Oct. 19.
WEDNESDAY, SEPT. 30
Statistics Canada Announces GDP
for JulyStatistics Canada to release
the GDP by industry, national, for July
on Sept. 21, 2015.
WEDNESDAY, OCT. 7
FRIDAY, AUG. 21
THURSDAY, OCT. 8
WEDNESDAY, AUG. 19
TUESDAY, AUG. 25
Charlie Angus Book LaunchNDP
MP Charlie Angus will launch his latest
book, Children of the Broken Treaty:
Canadas Lost Promise and One Girls
Dream, at Octopus Books in Ottawa.
Children of the Broken Treaty exposes
a system of apartheid in Canada that
led to the largest youth-driven human
rights movement in the countrys
history. The movement was inspired
by Shannen Koostachin, a young Cree
woman. All Shannen wanted was a
decent education. She found an ally
in Charlie Angus, who had no idea she
was going to change his life and inspire
MONDAY, OCT. 19
Election DayThe Canadian
federal election will be held today.
FRIDAY, OCT. 30
Statistics Canada Announces
GDP for AugustStatistics Canada to
release the GDP by industry, national,
for August on Oct. 30, 2015.
WEDNESDAY, NOV. 25
Progress GalaThe Broadbent
Institute hosts its 3rd Annual Progress
Gala at the Fairmont Royal York Hotel
in Toronto. More details to come.
TUESDAY, DEC. 1
Statistics Canada Announces GDP
for SeptemberStatistics Canada to
release the GDP by industry, national,
for September on Dec. 1, 2015.
WEDNESDAY, DEC. 23
Statistics Canada Announces
GDP for OctoberStatistics Canada to
release the GDP by industry, national,
for October on Dec. 23, 2015.
MARCH 1, 2016
Statistics Canada Announces
GDP for OctoberStatistics Canada
to release the GDP by industry,
national, for December on March
1, 2016.
THURSDAY, MAY 26
Liberal Biennial ConventionThe
federal Liberals will hold their convention in Winnipeg, Man., Thursday, May
26 to Sunday, May 29.
The Parliamentary Calendar is a
free listing. Send in your political,
cultural, or governmental event in
a paragraph with all the relevant
details under the subject line
Parliamentary Calendar to news@
hilltimes.com by Wednesday at
noon before the Monday paper. Or
fax it to 613-232-9055. We cant
guarantee inclusion of every event,
but we will definitely do our best.
news@hilltimes.com
The Hill Times
21
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22
FEATURE
HILL LIFE & PEOPLE
23
PARTY CENTRAL
BY
RACHEL AIELLO
Pictures worth a
thousand words at
World Press Photo 15
exhibit premiere
First Prize Nature
Category, Singles
Yongzhi Chu, China.
Suzhou, Anhui Province,
China: A monkey being
trained for circus cowers
as its trainer approaches.
With more than 300
roupes, Suzhou is known
as the home of the
Chinese circus.
Astrid Schetselaar.
Chris Roussakis,
Rachel Aiello, Cynthia
Mnster, and Bea
Vongdouangchanh.
Cees Cole,
Netherlands
ambassador to
Canada.
SPINNING HISTORY
LES WHITTINGTON
SPINNING
HISTORY
A WITNESS TO
HARPERS CANADA AND
21ST CENTURY CHOICES
A must read.
Don Newman
NOW AVAILABLE
In this new book, veteran Toronto Star political journalist
Les Whittington chronicleswith remarkable clarity and a coplike, straight-up tonethe hallmarks of Prime Minister Stephen
Harpers government. Its a concise, insiders guide on how the
government has changed Canada over the last 10 years.
BOOKS
hilltimes.com/HT-books