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Impact of the Surge in Chinese Import on Indian Manufacturing Sector

Jitender Singh
Assistant Director

RESEARCH STUDIES
OFFICE OF THE ECONOMIC ADVISER
DEPARTMENT OF INDUSTRIAL POLICY AND PROMOTION
MINISTRY OF COMMERCE & INDUSTRY
UDYOG BHAWAN, NEW DELHI
INDIA
July, 2012

Vie ws e x pre s s e d in t h is pape r are t h o s e o f t h e au t h o r(s ) an d m ay n o t be at t ribut e d t o t h e


Government of India.

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Acknowledgement

This Study w ou ld n ot h av e b ee n p os s ib le w ith ou t th e h elp of a n u m b e r of p eop le


w h o w ith th e ir k in d coop era tion , activ e s u p erv is ion an d s te ad fas t s u p p ort h a v e m ad e
th is re s e arch w ork re a lity .
I a m ex tre m e ly gra tefu l to Prin cip al Ad v is e r Dr. Man ju la Kris h n a n , w h os e k een
con tin u ou s en cou rage m e n t a n d s u gge s tion s h elp ed to com p le te th is w ork .

I a m th an k fu l to S h ri S rik ara Na ik , Econ om ic Ad v is er a n d S h ri M.C. S in gh i, S en ior


Economic Adviser for his v alu ab le com m en ts a n d e n cou ra ge m en t to com p le te th is w ork . I
a ls o ex te n d m y s in ce re gra titu d e to Ms . Ma n is h a Me en a, As s is ta n t Director for s h arin g
h er v alu ab le th ou gh ts a n d h elp in g in u n d e rs ta n d in g th e d a ta . I als o th an k Shri Purohit,
Economic Officer who p rov id ed th e d a ta s u p p ort.

Place:
Date:

Jitender Singh

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Impact of the Surge in Chinese Import on Indian Manufacturing Sector


Abstract
In d ian im p ort tre n d re p orte d a s u rge in recen t p a s t few y e ars , p os s ib ly b eca u s e
of ch e ap im p ort of Ch in e s e m a n u factu rin g good s . Th e trad e d eficit w ith Ch in a is als o
ris in g alon g w ith ris in g requ e s t for in trod u cin g an ti d u m p in g m e a s u re s aga in s t Ch in e s e
im p ort. Th es e tre n d p oin ts th e n eed to ch e ck th e p rofile of im p ort from Ch in a an d its
rela tion w ith ou r d om e s tic m a n u factu rin g p rod u ction s tru ctu re . Th e m a jor qu e s tion
a d d re s s ed in th is re s e arch s tu d y is : How a re tre n d s in im p ort from Ch in a a s s ocia te d
w ith im p ort an d m an u fa ctu rin g in s p ecific in d u s try s u b -group in India?
A con cord a n ce b e tw e e n In d ia n Tra d e Clarifica tion b a s e d on Harm on iz e d S y s te m
(ITC-HS ) Cod e an d Na tion al In d u s try Cla s s ifica tion (NIC) a t 5 d igit level is d ev elop ed for
la s t 7 y e a rs for 2 6 8 ite m s of IIP (In d ex of In d u s tria l Prod u ction ) an d im p ort, an d
s ep ara te ly w ith im p ort from Ch in a. Th e in d ice s for th e im p ort, IIP (2 6 8 ite m s ) an d
in d u s try s u b grou p s h a v e b ee n con s tru cte d . Th e exp ort in d ex (u s ed s a m e m e th od ology
a n d con cord an ce) is ta k en from a n e arlie r S tu d y b y S in gh i, M.C. 2 0 1 1 .
Th e In d ex of In d u s tria l Prod u ction (IIP) for 2 6 8 ite m s , In d ex for Im p ort from all
countries (Im p ort In d e x from n ow ) an d In d ex for Exp ort h a s grow n re s p ectiv ely b y 107.8
%, 1 7 7 3 .1 %, an d 1 4 3 .4 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 over th e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -0 5 . Th e Ch in e s e im p ort
in d ex (Ch in e s e in d ex from n ow ) for s am e ite m s h a s grow n b y 4 6 1 8 .4 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 ove r
th e b a s e 2 0 0 5 -0 6 , w h ich is m u ch h igh e r th a n th e im p ort in d ex. Th e s h are of th e im p orts
of 2 6 8 ite m s from Ch in a in tota l im p orts from Ch in a to In d ia h a s ju m p ed to 4 1 .3 % in
2010-11 from 26.3% in 2005-06.
Th ere are en ou gh ev id en ce to s u s p ect th a t im p ort to In d ia from cou n trie s oth e r
th an Ch in a are n ow in cre a s in gly b een rep la ced b y ch e a p Ch in e s e im p ort. Th erefore th e
im p ort to In d ia is p rogre s s iv e ly con cen tra tin g w ith Ch in a. B road ly th e B a s ic Good s an d
th e In te rm e d ia te Good s s ectors s eem
to b e n ega tiv e ly affecte d from th e ch e a p Ch in e s e im p ort. How e ve r, acros s
industry sub-grou p th e re are n u m b er of p rod u cts h av in g n ega tiv e ly im p acte d b y Ch in e s e
import.
Th e large im p ort from Ch in a a re n otice d in in d u s try s u b -grou p of rad io, te lev is ion
a n d com m u n ica tion equ ip m e n t , follow e d b y Mach in ery an d equ ip m e n t , office
a ccou n tin g a n d com p u tin g m ach in ery , oth e r tra n s p ort equ ip m e n t , electrical m ach in e ry
a n d ap p a ra tu s , B a s ic Me tals , Fab rica te d m e ta l p rod u cts , excep t m ach in ery ,
Ch e m ical a n d ch e m ica l p rod u cts , m otor ve h icle s , tra ilers an d s e m i-tra ilers , an d ru b b e r
a n d p la s tic p rod u cts .

***

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Impact of the Surge in Chinese import on Indian Manufacturing

INTRODUCTION

Th e t r en d in im p or t s t o In d ia s h ows a s u r ge in ch ea p Ch in es e im p or t s of
m a n u fa ct u r in g good s t o In d ia , a ccu m u la t ion in In d ia s t r a d e d eficit wit h Ch in a
a n d r is in g r equ es t for in t r od u cin g a n t i d u m p in g m ea s u r es a ga in s t Ch in es e
im p or t s p oin t s t h e n eed t o ch eck t h e p r ofile of im p or t s fr om Ch in a a n d it s
r ela t ion wit h ou r d om es t ic m a n u fa ct u r in g p r od u ct ion s t r u ct u r e. Th e m a jor
question this research study attempt to address is: How trends in imports from
China are associated with manufacturing production in India?
Th e m a s s ive d iver s ified m a n u fa ct u r in g ca p a cit y cr ea t ion in Ch in a d u r in g
r ecen t p a s t h a s r es u lt ed in d om es t ic m a r k et s u r p lu s es of m a n u fa ct u r ed
p r od u ct s . Th e h u n t for n ew m a r k et s ou t s id e t o d u m p t h is glu t p r od u ct ion is
well ca p t u r ed in t h e s t a t is t ics . Ch in a s s h a r e in wor ld exp or t s b et ween 2 0 0 0
a n d 2 0 1 0 increas ed b y 6 .5 p er cen t a ge p oin t s com p a r ed t o In d ia n just 0.8
p er cen t a ge p oin t s . Ar ou n d h a lf of t h is t ot a l in cr ea s e in th e Ch in a s share is
with em er gin g a n d d evelop in g cou n t r ies wh ile for In d ia it is on ly 6 p er cen t of
the t ot a l in cr ea s e (E con om ic S u r vey, 2 0 1 1 -1 2 ). Th e ea s y t a r get for Ch in es e
exp or t s is it s p r oxim it y t o In d ia wh er e m a n u fa ct u r in g s ect or is s t r u gglin g t o
im p r ove it s r ela t ive s t r en gt h in t h e econ om y (m a n u fa ct u r in g s h a r e in GDP is
s t a gn a n t ) a n d exp or t of m a n u fa ct u r in g good s is la d en on t h e s m a ll s ca le s ect or
or based on the use of imported raw materials. A rising input requirements for
in d u s t r y a n d m a n u fa ct u r in g good s d em a n d in In d ia is r eflect ed in in cr ea s e in
the Non-POL non-bullion imports i.e. by 29.3 per cent in 2010-11.
China h a s b ecom e t h e la r ges t s ou r ce of In d ia n im p or t s wit h a n 1 1 .7 p er
cen t s h a r e in it s t ot a l im p or t s . In d ia s low exp or t / im p or t r a t io (0 .4 5 in 2 0 1 0 1 1 ) wit h Ch in a is r es u lt in g in h u ge t r a d e d eficit . Tr a d e d eficit of In d ia wit h
China have in cr ea s ed fr om US $ 1 9 .2 b illion in 2 0 0 9 -1 0 t o US $ 2 3 .9 b illion in
2010-11 indicating the surge in imports from China.
Ch ea p Ch in es e im p or t s h a ve a ls o s u r ged in Afr ica , US a n d La t in
Am er ica n Cou n t r ies . Ch in a b eca m e b igges t t r a d in g p a r t n er of S ou t h Afr ica in
a s h or t s p a n of t im e. Th e Ch in es e exp or t s t o S ou t h Afr ica es p ecia lly in textile
sector, a r e b u llyin g loca l in d u s t r ies in S ou t h Afr ica . In Br a zil in d u s t r ia l ou t p u t

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is a ls o get t in g a d ver s ely im p a ct ed fr om im p or t s fr om Ch in a b es id es d u e t o the


sluggish global economy.

In t h is b a ck d r op t h e m os t ob viou s qu es t ion s lik ely t o b e r a is ed a r e: why


i s t h e r e a s u r g e in e x p o r t fr o m Ch i n a t o In d i a i n r e c e n t y e a r ? W h ether
Ch i n a s m a n u fa c t u r i n g i s acquiring c o m p e t i t i ve ness o ve r t h e t i m e
compared to India? The outward oriented growth in Chinese economy may be
t h e r ea s on t o b oos t t h e exp or t a n d th er efor e s u r ge of im p or t s t o In d ia . Or
W h e t h e r In d i a n manufacturing i s l o s i n g i t s c o m p e t i t i ve n e s s a g a i n s t
China? On e m a y s u s p ect a b ou t los s of com p et it iven es s of Indian
Manufacturing in past few years, primarily due to fast rising cost of production,
and infrastructure bottlenecks.
Or Is t h e r e a n y u n fa i r p l a y b y t h e Ch i n a t o d u m p t h e g l u t i n In d i a ?
Th e u n fa ir p r a ct ices s u ch a s d u m p in g of s u b s t a n d a r d glu t p r od u ct ion in to
India from China also seems to partially responsible for surge in import. In d ia s
anti-dumping in it ia t ion s in cr ea s ed t o 5 5 in 2 0 0 8 , fell t o 3 1 in 2 0 0 9 , b u t a ga in
in cr ea s ed t o 4 1 in 2 0 1 0 . The main cou n t r ies in volved in t h es e in ves t iga t ion s
a r e Kor ea RP, Ch in es e, Ta ip ei (Taiwan), etc.. Or Are i m p o r t fr o m o t h e r t h a n
Ch i n a t o In d i a i s g e t t i n g r e p l a c e d b y Ch i n e s e i m p o r t ? It m a y b e p os s ib le
t h a t t h e im p or t fr om cou n t r ies ot h er t h a n Ch in a t o In d ia is in cr ea s in g b ein g
replaced by cheap Chinese import.
Th e los s of com p et it iven es s b y t h e In d ia n in d u s t r y a n d t h e u n fa ir p la y, if
any, are the most important questions to be answered first. If the answer is yes
for on e or b ot h , t h en cer t a in ly it wou ld ca r r y t h e p ot en t ia l t o ca u s e in ju r y t o
t h e In d ia n m a n u fa ct u r in g in s h or t a n d lon g r u n . Th is s t u d y is a p r elim in a r y
investigation to look into the questions.
OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY:
(i).

To id en t ify t h e in d u s t r y s u b -group, a n d p r od u ct s wh er e t h e im p or t ,
especially form Chinese, is impacting t h e d om es t ic manufacturing
production;

(ii).

To id en t ify t h e in d u s t r y s u b gr ou p , a n d p r od u ct s wh er e t h e im p or t fr om
China is replacing the import to India from countries other than China;

DATA SOURCES & METHODOLOGY

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The data of industrial production for 268 items is sourced from the Office
of t h e E con om ic Ad vis er , Dep a r t m en t of In d u s t r ia l Pr od u ct ion & Policy (DIPP),
Min is t r y of Com m er ce & In d u s t r y. Th e d a t a on exp or t s a n d im p or t s is t a k en
from the Department of Commerce, Ministry of Commerce & Industry. The data
on im p or t , exp or t a n d d om es t ic p r od u ct ion for 2 6 8 it em s is synchronized b y a
con cor d a n ce b et ween t h e ITC (HS ) cod e and NIC Cla s s ifica t ion of in d u s t r ia l
Pr od u ct ion a t 5 Digit level. E a ch HS cod e it em for im p or t is regrouped against
it s r es p ect ive d om es t ic in d u s t r ia l p r od u ct ion a t NIC-5 d igit cod e. Th e im p or t
fr om Ch in a for t h e 2 6 8 it em s h a s a ls o b een h a r m on ized in t o t h e NIC
cla s s ifica t ion a t 5 d igit level. The s t u d y cover s a period of s even yea r s 2 0 0 4 -05
to 2010-11.
E ven a ft er con cor d a n ce, t h e figu r e for im p or t , exp or t a n d d om es t ic
industrial production may not directly be comparable. The domestic production
figures for the 268 items are reported in different units e.g. tones, rupee crores,
m et er s et c., a n d m a y n ot b e d ir ect ly com p a r a b le wit h on e a n ot h er a n d wit h
im p or t figu r es . Th e im p or t figu r es h owever , a r e a va ila b le u n ifor m ly in va lu e
t er m s a n d t h er efor e ca r r y effect of t h e in fla t ion , wh ich m a y b e a b s en t fr om
m a n y of t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion figu r es r ep or t ed in t er m s of p h ys ica l ou t p u t .
Th er efor e t h e in d ices a r e con s t r u ct ed for t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion a n d im p or t
to make these comparable.
Th e in d ex of t h e im p or t is d efla t ed wit h t h e a p p r op r ia t e p r ice in d ex
con s t r u ct ed fr om th e Wh oles a le Pr ice In d ex (WPI) t o elim in a t e t h e in fla t ion
effect on im p or t . S im ila r ly, for t h e it em s wh er e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion is r ep or t ed
in va lu e t er m s , t h e s a m e is d efla t ed wit h a p p r op r ia t e p r ice in d ices . Th e u s eb a s ed in d ices a r e d efla t ed wit h t h e over a ll WPI in d ex for t h e 2 6 8 it em s . Th e
fin a l in d ices for exp or t for 2 0 0 4 -1 1 a r e t a k en fr om a n ea r lier Res ea r ch S t u d y
b y Mr . M.C. S in gh i, S r . E con om ic Ad vis er , 2 0 1 1 , for Office of t h e E con om ic
Adviser.
Th es e 2 6 8 it em s a ccou n t for 6 0 .4 % weigh t in t h e m a n u fa ct u r in g s ect or
a n d 4 5 .6 % weigh t in t h e over a ll In d ex of In d u s t r ia l Pr od u ct ion (IIP). Th e
cover a ge of DIPP a t b r oa d gr ou p s of m a n u fa ct u r in g va r ies fr om a low of 1 .1 %
for manufacture of cok e, r efin ed p et r oleu m p r od u ct s a n d n u clea r fu el t o
100% in 15 groups (Singhi, M.C. 2011).
LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY:
Th e s t u d y cover s on ly 4 5 .6 % of t h e weigh t s of IIP, 2 6 8 DIPP it em s , for
wh ich t h e p r od u ct ion d a t a is a va ila b le wit h th e Dep a r t m en t of In d u s t r ia l

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Pr od u ct ion & Pr om ot ion (DIPP). Th er efor e a ll t h e lim it a t ion s of IIP a r e in h er en t


in the analysis.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION


Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for 268 Items
The 268 items accounted for 23 % of the total Import to India in 2010-11
a n d 4 5 .6 % of t h e In d ex of In d u s t r ia l Pr od u ct ion . Th e in d ices of IIP (268
it em s ), Im p or t a n d E xp or t respectively h a ve gr own t o 2 0 7 .8 , 1 8 7 3 .1 , a n d 2 4 3 .4
in 2 0 1 0 -11 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -05 (Table-1). Th e im p or t h a s b een gr owin g
consistently above the growth of IIP and the Export. In 2010-11 there is a surge
in t h e im p or t gr owt h . Th e con s is t en t a n d r ela t ively h igh im p or t gr owt h h a s led
t o in cr ea s e in t h e s h a r e of 2 6 8 it em s im p or t in t ot a l im p or t t o 2 7 % in 2 0 0 8 -09
and 23% in 2010-11 (Table- 29 in Annexure).
Table 1. Index of Industrial Production (IIP) (268 items), Import and Export Indices and Growth

Year

IIP
Index

IMP
Index

Export
Index*

Growth

2004-05

100

100

100

IIP

Import

E xport

2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11

114.7
132.1
176.5
178.7
187.0
207.8

199.2
235.6
319.7
432.4
607.4
1873.1

116.5
138.2
144.8
205.2
179.3
243.4

14.7
15.2
33.6
1.2
4.6
11.1

99.2
18.2
35.7
35.3
40.5
208.4

16.5
18.6
4.8
41.7
-12.6
35.8

Index of
Chinese
Imports
100.0
2330.0
1560.4
3033.3
1235.4
4718.4

Share of 268
items in total
imports from
China
26.3
25.5
33.9
39.7
42.9
41.3

* Export Index is taken from the Research Study by Mr. M.C. Singhi, Sr. Economic Adviser, 2011, for Office of
the Economic Adviser.

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Th e in d ex of im p or t fr om Ch in a (Ch in es e In d ex fr om n ow) for 2 6 8 it em s


h a s gr own even fa s t er t o 4 7 1 8 .4 in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 5 -06,
com p a r ed t o in d ex of im p or t fr om a ll cou n t r ies (Im p or t In d ex fr om n ow). Th is
m a m m ot h gr owt h in Ch in es e In d ex fr om p a s t s ix yea r s h a s b een con s id er a b ly
h igh er t h a n t h e Im p or t In d ex. Th er efor e, t h e Ch in es e im p or t s h a r e of t h es e
it em s in t ot a l Ch in es e im p or t s is ju m p ed t o 4 1 .3 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 fr om 2 6 .3 % in
2005-0 6 . Th is in d ica t es t h a t In d ia is p r ogr es s ively s ou r cin g im p or t s of t h es e
it em s fr om Ch in a t h er efor e t h e im p or t fr om cou n t r ies ot h er t h a n Ch in a a r e
now increasingly being replaced by Chinese imports in these selected items.
USE BASED CLASSIFICATION
As p er t h e Use-based cla s s ifica t ion of IIP (2 6 8 it em s ), t h e im p or t s h a r e of
t h e Ca p it a l Good s is la r ges t (8 .8 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 ), followed b y Con s u m er Good s
(6 .5 % a n d in t er m ed ia t e good s (4 .7 %), a n d Ba s ic Good s (2 .9 %) (Table 2 9 . in
Annexure).
Basic Goods
Th e va lu e of t h e IIP of Ba s ic Good s h a s gr own t o 1 6 8 .4 in 2 0 1 0 -11 over
the base 2004-05 (Table 2). Comparatively the Import Index has grown to 534.6
d u r in g s a m e p er iod . Th e Ch in es e In d ex h owever , h a s gr own even fa s t er to
4 3 0 7 .4 in 2 0 1 0 -11 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 5 -06 t h a n Im p or t In d ex a n d IIP. Th e
s h a r e of t h e Ba s ic good s it em s in t h e t ot a l Ch in es e im p or t , h owever r em a in
a lm os t s t a gn a n t . Ma jor Ba s ic Good s , in t er m s of va lu e, im p or t ed fr om Ch in a
are Alu m in u m , Cop p er a n d Cop p er Pr od u ct s , Alu m in u m S h eet s / Pla t es ,
Aluminum Foils, Carbon Black, Wires (Copper), and Cement All Kinds.
The Ch in a s s h a r e in t ot a l im p or t t o In d ia for the C.I. Ca s t in gs ,
Alu m in iu m Foils , Alu m in iu m wir es & ext r u s ion s , Alu m in iu m s heets/Plates,
An ilin e, Ca r b on Bla ck , Cem en t All Kin d s , Alu m in iu m , S u lp h u r ic Acid In cl.
Oleum, Copper and Copper Products etc increased considerably in 2006-09 but
moderated thereafter. The period, 2006-09, is of high industrial growth in India
wh ich m igh t s u b s t a n t ia t e t h a t t h e h igh d om es t ic in d u s t r ia l gr owt h is
increasingly fueled by larger import of basic goods from China.
Table 2. Basic Goods
Year
2004-05

IIP Index

IMP Index

100

100

Growth

IMP Growth

Chinese Import
Index

Share

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2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11

113.6
122.6
140.3
147.1
161.0
168.4

158.0
279.5
395.8
697.3
499.9
534.6

13.6
7.9
14.4
4.9
9.5
4.6

58.0
76.9
41.6
76.2
-28.3
6.9

100.0
2060.2
3515.4
2302.7
3204.0
4307.4

1.5
1.7
2.0
1.8
1.5
1.6

Capital Goods
Th e in d ex of ca p it a l good s in d u s t r y h a s gr own to 1 3 8 .6 in 2 0 1 0 -11 over
t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -0 5 com p a r ed t o Im p or t in d ex 5 6 5 .5 d u r in g t h e s a m e p er iod
(Ta ble 3 ). Th e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion of t h e ca p it a l good s d eclin ed in d u r in g t h e
2008-09, the crisis time, however, the imports growth jumped to 43.4%. Later,
t h e gr owt h of t h e im p or t h owever h a s d eclin ed t o zer o in r ecen t yea r , wh er eb y
t h e Ch in es e In d ex h a s ju m p ed con s id er a b ly over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 5 -0 6 t o
10793.1 in 2010-11.
Th e h igh gr owt h in Ch in es e In d ex over Im p or t In d ex s ign a ls t h a t t h e
In d ia n im p or t of Ca p it a l Good s a r e r eloca t in g it s elf fr om r es t of th e wor ld t o
China, es p ecia lly for t h e it em s s u ch a s H.T. Insulators, Boilers, Footwear
excep t lea t h er , Refr a ct or y Br ick s , Computers, Hea t E xch a n ger s , Grinding
Wheels, Pa ck a gin g Ma ch in er y, Air Con d it ion er (Pa ck a ged ), Chillers, Electric
Welding Machines, Fibre Optic Cable, Electric Motors Phase-I, Cooling Towers,
Printers,
Com p u t er
Per ip h er a ls ,
Cranes,
Tu r b in es
&
Acces s or ies ,
Lift s / E leva t or s & Com p on en t s t h er eof, Ma gn es it e, Dea d Bu r n t , Cylinders,
Pr in t in g Ma ch in er y, S h ip Bu ild in g & Rep a ir s , In s u la t ed Ca b les / Wir es a ll Kin d ,
S ola r Power S ys t em s , Air & Ga s Com p r es s or s , Text ile Ma ch in er y, Industrial
Chains, Agr icu lt u r a l Ma ch in er y, UPS/Inverter/Converter, Construction
Machine/Equipment, In d u s t r ia l Blower s , Forklift, Tr a n s for m er s (S m all),
Loaders, DC Mot or s , Air Br ea k S wit ch es / Cir cu it , Breakers, An d
Generator/Alternator.

Table 3. Capital Goods


Years

IIP

IMP Index

2004-05

100

100

2005-06

108.2

332.8

8.2

2006-07

119.8

276.5

2007-08

127.9

2008-09
2009-10

Growth IIP

Growth of IMP

Chinese Imports
Index

Share

232.8

100.0

15.8

10.7

-16.9

4396.4

12.8

354.2

6.8

28.1

1829.7

15.2

127.7

507.8

-0.1

43.4

6091.5

14.3

131.2

565.3

2.7

11.3

1090.1

16.3

P a g e | 10

2010-11

138.6

565.5

5.6

0.0

10793.1

15.8

Ma in ca p it a l good s it em s im p or t ed fr om Ch in a , in t er m s of va lu e,
includes S h ip Bu ild in g & Rep a ir s , Com p u t er s , Text ile Ma ch in er y, Air
Con d it ion er (Pa ck a ged ), Pr in t in g Ma ch in er y, Com p u t er Per ip h er a ls , Boiler s ,
In s u la t ed
Ca b les / Wir es
a ll
Kin d ,
Ma ch in e
Tools ,
Con s t r u ct ion
Machine/Equipmen, S t a b ilis er s , Tu r b in es & Acces s or ies , Refr a ct or y Br ick s ,
Air & Ga s Com p r es s or s ,
E lect r ic Mot or s Ph a s e-I,
Lift s / E leva t or s &
Com p on en t s t h er eof, Pu m p s (in clu d in g p ower d r iven p u m p s ), Med ica l a n d
S u r gica l E qu ip m en t (excep t x-r a y), S ola r Power S ys t em s , E n gin es In cl. In t er n a l
Com b u s t ion a n d Dies el, E n gin e, Agr icu lt u r a l Ma ch in er y, Transformers (Small),
Gen er a t or / Alt er n a t or , UPS / In ver t er / Con ver t er , Pla s t ic Ma ch in er y In cl.
Mou ld in g Ma ch in er y, Cr a n es , Air Br ea k S wit ch es / Cir cu it Br ea k er s , Ch iller s ,
DC Motors, and Electric Motors(Excl. Phase-I).

Intermediate Goods
Th e va lu e of IIP for in t er m ed ia t e good s h a ve in cr ea s ed t o 3 0 3 .0 in 2 0 1 0 1 1 a t t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -0 5 , com p a r ed t o t h e im p or t in d ex va lu e of 7 8 1 .5 d u r in g
t h e s a m e p er iod (Ta ble 4 ). Th e im p or t of in t er m ed ia t e good s h a ve gr own fa s t er
t h a n t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion , a n d t h e im p or t s of in t er m ed ia t e good s fr om
China have grown even faster than the Import Index.
The import it em s wh er e t h e Ch in a is get ting its h old a r e Parts Bicycle,
Au t o An cilla r y & Pa r t s , S od iu m Hyd r os u lp h a t e/ S od iu m , Hyd r os u lp h it e, Glass
Sheet, Tou gh en ed Gla s s , Fib r e Gla s s , Dyes, Magnets, Plywood, Tin Con t a in er s ,
Weld in g
Rod s ,
Wh it en in g
Agen t s ,
Power
Ca p a cit or s ,
Graphite
Electrodes/Anodes, S t r a w An d Pa p er Boa r d s of All Kin d s , Pla s t ic Film E xcl.
Bop p Film , S t eel S t r u ct u r es , Wood Ven eer , Alu m in iu m Tu b es / Pip es , Glass
Bottles, Bea r in gs (Ba ll/ Roller ), HDPE Woven S a ck s , Ru b b er Ch em ica l, Plastic
Sheets, Adhesives, Colou r TV Pict u r e Tu b es , Len s of All Kin d s , a n d IC Ch ip s &
Transistors.

Years
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07

IIP Index
100

Table 4. Intermediate Goods


IMP Index
Growth
100
IIP
IMPORT

Chinese Import
Index
Share

116.5

149.0

16.5

49.0

100.0

4.7

140.6

218.9

20.7

46.9

2234.0

5.7

P a g e | 11

2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11

265.0

267.0

88.5

22.0

954.8

6.3

281.1

337.2

6.1

26.3

1619.8

5.7

274.0

498.6

-2.5

47.8

1281.7

5.4

303.0

781.5

10.6

56.8

899.3

5.2

Th e m a jor im p or t s fr om Ch in a , in t er m s of va lu e, a r e Au t o An cilla r y &


Pa r t s , IC Ch ip s & Tr a n s is t or s , Bea r in gs (Ba ll/ Roller ), Pa r t s
Bicycle, S t eel
S t r u ct u r es , S t r a w An d Pa p er Boa r d s of All Kin d s , Dyes , Power Ca p a cit or s ,
Gr a p h it e E lect r od es / An od es ,
Pr in t ed Cir cu it Boa r d / Pla t e, Fib r e Gla s s ,
Ma gn et s , Colou r TV Pict u r e Tu b es , S yn t h et ic Ru b b er , Ru b b er Ch em ica l,
Weld in g Rod s , Plywood , Ad h es ives , Gea r Boxes , Tou gh en ed Gla s s , PVC Res in s ,
Newsprint, Plastic Sheets, Plastic Film Excl. Bopp Film, and Printing Ink.

Consumer Goods
Th e va lu e of t h e In d ex of Con s u m er Good s h a s gr own t o 2 0 5 .9 in 2 0 1 0 11 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -05 (Tab le 5 ). However , Im p or t In d ex h a s gr own
r ela t ively m u ch fa s t er t o 3 5 5 1 .7 d u r in g s a m e s even yea r s . Th e gr owt h of t h e
Im p or t In d ex h a s b een fa s t er t h a n t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion of t h e con s u m er
good s . Th e va lu e of t h e Ch in es e In d ex h a s b een con s id er a b ly h igh er t h a n IIP
a n d Im p or t In d ex. Th e s h a r e of t h e Ch in es e im p or t s h a s a ls o ju m p ed t o 1 8 .8 %
in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 com p a r ed t o ju s t 4 .3 % in 2005-0 6 . Th e im p or t s of Con s u m er
Du r a b les Good s is gr owin g a t m u ch fa s t er r a t e t h a n even t h e ot h er u s e b a s ed
in d u s t r ies a n d t h er efor e p u s h in g t h e s h a r e of Con s u m er Good s in t ot a l im p or t
from China.
Th e it em s wh er e t h e Ch in a s s h a r e in t ot a l im p or t s of t h e r es p ect ive
it em s is r is in g a r e Bicycles, PVC/ Pla s t ic S u it ca s es , Ter r y Towel, Calculators,
Glucose( powder & liquid), Ru b b er Fla p s , Flu or es cen t Tu b es , Lea t h er S h oes ,
Fans, Ba t t er y Ch a r ger , Tyr e, Tr u ck / Bu s , Mixer s & Gr in d er s , Tube,
Cycle/Rickshaw, Tyr e, Cycle/ Rick s h a w, Tu b e, Tr u ck , Telep h on e In s t r u m en t s
Including, Mob ile Ph on e An d Acces s or ies , Wood Fu r n it u r e, Air Con d it ion er
(Room), Vitamins, Por cela in An d Cer a m ic S a n it a r y, Wa r es , Amplifier, Leather
Ba gs , Wa llet s , Pu r s es , Tyr e, Mot or Cycle , Pr es s u r e Cook er , Mot or Cycles ,
Lea t h er Ga r m en t s , Toot h Br u s h , Wa s h in g Ma ch in es , Apparels, Incandescent
Lamp, S p or t s Good s , Ru b b er , Ra zor Bla d es / S a fet y Bla d es , Pen s of All Kin d ,
Gla zed Tiles / Cer a m ic Tiles , Tyr e, Ca r / Ca b , Polyt h en e Ba gs In cl. Hd p e &
Ldpe, Ba gs , S coot er a n d Mop ed s , S qu a s h es , J a m s , J ellies , Ket ch u p s ,E t c.,

P a g e | 12

Ca t t le a n d Pou lt r y Feed , Refrigerators, Ma r b le Tiles / S la b s , Cock (Fa u cet s ),


Syringes, Com p u t er S t a t ion er y, Lea t h er Gloves , Condoms, Cigarettes, Fruit
Juices, PVC Pip es a n d Tu b es , E lect r ic m et er of a ll k in d s , Wa t er m et er of a ll
kinds, Clock / Wa t ch / Tim ep iece Movem en t , Food Pr oces s in g Ma ch in er y,
Antibiotics & It's Preparations, Elastic Tape, And Toilet Soap.
Ma jor con s u m er d u r a b le it em s , im p or t ed fr om Ch in a , in t er m s of va lu e,
are Telep h on e In s t r u m en t s In clu d in g Mob ile Ph on e a n d Acces s or ies , Air
Con d it ion er (Room ), Tyr e, Tr u ck / Bu s , Wood Fu r n it u r e, Wa s h in g Ma ch in es ,
Cock (Fa u cet s ), Fa n s , Pvc/ Pla s t ic S u it ca s es , Tyr e, Ca r / Ca b , Bicycles ,
Ca lcu la t or s , Por cela in An d Cer a m ic S a n it a r y, Wa r es , Clock / Wa t ch / Tim ep iece
Movement, Battery Charger, Refrigerators, Watches,
Amplifier, Books, and
Tyr e, Mot or Cycle .

Table 5. Consumer Goods


IIP
100
117.9
137.2
164.7
159.5
178.4
205.9

Years
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11

IMP Index
100
151.0
209.1
308.9
377.0
713.9
3551.7

Growth
IIP
17.9
16.3
20.1
-3.2
11.9
15.4

IMP
51.0
38.5
47.7
22.0
89.4
397.5

Chinese Import
Index
Share
100.0
4.3
907.2
5.3
1362.6
10.4
1732.0
18.0
945.7
19.7
2503.1
18.8

Table 6. Correlation Coefficients of the Growth Rates


Capital
Goods

Basic
Goods

Intermediate
Goods

Consumer
Goods

Over All

Import Index

0.148

-0.230

-0.624

0.194

-0.094

Chinese Index

0.760

-0.012

-0.088

0.314

-0.229

The correlation coefficient (see Table 6) is used as to identify the direction


of t h e co-m ovem en t in t h e gr owt h r a t es of t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion a n d t h e
im p or t s . Th e p os it ive s ign of t h e coefficien t in d ica t es t h a t t h e im p or t gr owt h
a n d d om es t ic p r od u ct ion gr owt h is m ovin g t oget h er in t h e s a m e d ir ect ion . On e
ca n in fer fr om t h e s a m e d ir ect ion a l co-m ovem en t of t h e gr owt h r a t es t h a t t h e
d om es t ic p r od u ct ion a n d t h e im p or t s eem t o b e com p lem en t a r y, a n d n ot
s u b s t it u t e.
Rega r d in g t h e ca p it a l good s a n d t h e Con s u m er good s t h e
cor r ela t ion is p os it ive b et ween im p or t in d ices a n d t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion
in d ices . However , t h e cor r ela t ion r ega r d in g over a ll IIP, b a s ic Good s a n d

P a g e | 13

in t er m ed ia t e Good s is n ega t ive, s h owin g t h a t t h e gr owt h of t h e d om es t ic


p r od u ct ion is m ovin g in op p os it e d ir ect ion t o t h e im p or t gr owt h . S in ce t h e
Ch in es e In d ex is h igh er t h a n t h e IIP, t h e n ega t ive cor r ela t ion coefficien t s h ows
t h a t t h e im p or t in Ba s ic Good s a n d In t er m ed ia t e Good s a r e n ega t ively
im p a ct in g t h e d om es t ic m a n u fa ct u r in g p r od u ct ion in t h es e gr ou p s . Th e
m a n u fa ct u r in g gr owt h r a t e a ls o s eem s t o b e a d ver s ely a ffect ed d u e t o a d ver s e
impact of the growth Basic and Intermediate goods.

INDUSTRY SUB-GROUPS
Manufacture of food products and Beverages

Th e IIP value of food Pr od u ct s & Bever a ges h a s gr own t o 1 6 7 .7 in 2 0 1 0 11 over th e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -0 5 com p a r ed t o Im p or t In d ex to 9 6 3 5 .7 a n d exp or t
in d ex 1 4 8 .3 d u r in g t h e s a m e p eriod (Ta b le 7 ). Th e va lu e of t h e Ch in es e In d ex
h a s b een s ign ifica n t ly gr own t o 1 2 7 9 1 .3 in 2 0 1 0 -11 over 2005-0 6 b a s e,
com p a r ed t o IIP a n d t h e Im p or t In d ex. Th is in d ica t es t h a t t h e im p or t fr om
Ch in a in t h is s u b gr ou p of in d u s t r y h a s in cr ea s ed t r em en d ou s ly in p a s t s even
yea r s . Th e it em s m a in ly s ou r ced fr om Ch in a , in t er m s of s h a r e in t ot a l im p or t s
of t h e it em in In d ia , a r e Glucose (powder & liqu id ), S qu a s h es , J a m s , J ellies ,
Ketchups, etc., Cattle and Poultry Feed, a nd Fruit Juices.
Top five it em s im p or t ed fr om Ch in a , in t er m s of t h eir va lu e, a r e
Industrial Alcoh ol(Rect ified / Den a t u r ed S p ir it ), Ca t t le a n d Pou lt r y Feed ,
Glu cos e(p owd er &liqu id ), Fr u it J u ices , In d ia n m a d e For eign Liqu or , S qu a s h es ,
Jams, Jellies, Ketchups,Etc..

Table 7. Manufacture of food products and Beverages


Years

IIP Index

IMP Index

EXP Index

2004-05

100

100

100

2005-06

113.6

151.6

109.5

13.6

51.6

9.5

100.0

2006-07

126.2

190.4

111.3

11.1

25.6

1.6

5713.1

5613.1

0.45

2007-08

144.9

364.9

148.3

14.8

91.6

33.2

7693.2

34.7

0.25

2008-09

149.6

360.8

148.9

3.3

-1.1

0.4

5191.8

-32.5

0.18

2009-10

159.2

1468.8

129.0

6.4

307.1

-13.4

3444.8

-33.6

0.20

2010-11

167.7

9635.7

148.3

5.3

556.0

15.0

12791.3

271.3

0.22

Manufacture of Tobacco Products

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports
Index

Growth

Share
0.31

P a g e | 14

Th e IIP of Tob a cco in cr ea s ed t o ju s t five p er cen t in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 com p a r ed t o


2004-0 5 , wh ile exp or t h a s gr own b y fift y five p er cen t a n d im p or t b y m or e t h a n
fou r t im es in p a s t s even yea r s (Tab le. 8 ). Th e im p or t of Tob a cco fr om Ch in a is
on a decline during past six years. Cigarette is the main item in this category of
import from China.
Table. 8 Manufacture of Tobacco Products
Years
2004-05

IIP Index
100

IMP Index
100

EX Index
100

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports
Index
Growth
Share

2005-06
2006-07

104.8
107.7

48.8
67.7

97.3
114.7

4.8
2.7

-51.2
38.7

-2.7
17.9

100.0
0.5

-99.5

0.01
0.00

2007-08

98.8

84.7

118.0

-8.2

25.0

2.9

29.6

5713.0

0.00

2008-09
2009-10
2010-11

103.9
104.2
105.5

353.4
483.8
427.2

140.8
140.5
155.7

5.2
0.2
1.3

317.3
36.9
-11.7

19.3
-0.2
10.8

38.9
32.7
96.8

31.6
-16.0
196.0

0.00
0.00
0.00

Manufacture of Textiles

Th e Text ile is exp or t or ien t a t ed in d u s t r y. Th e va lu e of IIP for t ext iles h a s


grown almost equal to the E xport Index in 2010-11 over the base of 2004-05 to
155 (Table 9). However, the Import Index surged during the crises year of 200809, t o 2 4 8 , a lt h ou gh it h a s d eclin ed t h er ea ft er t o 1 4 9 .3 . Th e Ch in es e In d ex
a ls o ju m p ed t o 9 6 0 8 .1 in 2 0 0 8 -0 9 a lon g wit h t h e s h a r e of in d u s t r y in t ot a l
im p or t s fr om Ch in a t o 0 .0 3 %. However , t h e im p or t fr om Ch in a h a s d eclin ed
fr om 2 0 0 9 -1 0 on wa r d s . Ma in im p or t it em s , in t er m s of va lu e, fr om Ch in a a r e
Terry Towel and Elastic Tapes.
Table 9. Manufacture of Textiles
Years

IIP Index

IMP Index

EX Index

2004-05

100

100

100

2005-06

118.4

131.9

162.6

18.4

31.9

62.6

100.0

2006-07

127.7

68.8

161.8

7.8

-47.8

-0.5

259.6

159.6

0.00

2007-08

133.7

137.5

167.7

4.7

99.7

3.7

915.6

252.7

0.01

2008-09

130.3

248.4

186.6

-2.6

80.6

11.3

9608.1

949.4

0.03

2009-10

145.3

137.6

180.6

11.5

-44.6

-3.2

357.9

-96.3

0.00

2010-11

155.5

149.3

154.1

7.0

8.5

-14.7

225.6

-37.0

0.00

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports
Index

Growth

Share
0.01

Manufacture of wearing Apparel; Dressing and dyeing of fur

Th e va lu e of t h e IIP for wea r in g Ap p a r el; Dr es s in g a n d d yein g et c. h a s


in cr ea s ed t o 1 2 0 in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -05 (Tab le 1 0 ). Th er e is a

P a g e | 15

d eclin e in t h e p r od u ct ion s in ce 2 0 0 8 -0 9 in t h is s egm en t . Th is is m a in ly on


accou n t of t h e d eclin e in t h e exp or t gr owt h in t h is s ect or d u r in g p a s t t h r ee
yea r s excep t 2 0 0 9 -1 0 . At t h e s a m e t im e va lu e of t h e Im p or t In d ex h a s gr own to
489.8 over the base of 2004-05. The Chinese import are growing at much faster
r a t e t h a n r es t of t h e cou n t r ies , Ch in es e In d ex in cr ea s ed t o 6 9 0 .3 in 2 0 1 0 -11
over the base of 2005-06. The declining domestic production may be the cause
of t h e d eclin e in t h e exp or t . Bu t t h e s u r ge in im p or t fr om Ch in a is cer t a in ly a
ca u s e of con cer n . Th e Ch in a s im p or t s h a r e in t ot a l im p or t of Ap p a r els a n d
Lea t h er Ga r m en t s h a s ju m p ed t o 3 9 % a n d 4 3 in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 com p a r ed t o ju s t 1 7
% a n d 1 8 % r es p ect ively. Th is in d ica te s th a t th e Ch in ese im p ort h a s b ee n
rep lacin g th e im p ort from oth er cou n trie s over th e tim e in th e s e s u b grou p
com m od itie s .
Table 10. Manufacture of wearing Apparel; Dressing and dyeing of fur
Years

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports

IIP Index

IMP Index

EX Index

2004-05

100

100

100

2005-06

106.5

160.9

108.7

6.5

60.9

8.7

100.0

2006-07

117.6

195.4

103.1

10.4

21.5

-5.2

188.5

88.5

0.0

2007-08

129.7

317.5

101.9

10.3

62.5

-1.2

255.2

35.4

0.0

2008-09

121.5

414.1

141.4

-6.3

30.4

38.8

365.6

43.2

0.0

2009-10

119.6

307.2

129.9

-1.6

-25.8

-8.2

371.1

1.5

0.0

2010-11

120.2

489.8

108.2

0.5

59.5

-16.7

690.3

86.0

0.0

Index

Growth

Share
0.0

Tanning and Dressing of Leather

Th e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion of lea t h er In d u s t r y is gr owin g a t a s low p a ce


s in ce 2 0 0 4 -0 5 , a n d it h a s d eclin ed d u r in g 2 0 0 8 -10 (Tab le 1 1 ). Th e gr owt h of
domestic production of this sector seems to be correlated to the export growth.
Table 11. Tanning and Dressing of Leather
Years

IIP Index

IMP Index

EX Index

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports

2004-05

100

100

100

2005-06

97.4

182.1

97.0

-2.6

82.1

-3.0

100.0

2006-07

115.7

246.4

103.3

18.9

35.3

6.5

345.1

245.1

0.2

2007-08

125.3

297.2

98.5

8.3

20.6

-4.6

415.2

20.3

0.1

2008-09

116.1

305.0

115.6

-7.4

2.6

17.4

405.2

-2.4

0.1

2009-10

112.2

714.0

105.6

-3.4

134.1

-8.7

214.6

-47.0

0.1

2010-11

126.4

472.4

112.7

12.7

-33.8

6.7

340.2

58.6

0.2

Index

Growth

Share
0.2

P a g e | 16

Com p a r ed t o d om es t ic p r od u ct ion t h e im p or t in t h is s ect or h a s b een


gr owin g a t a r ela t ively h igh er r a t e excep t in r ecen t yea r . Th e im p or t fr om
Ch in a h a s d eclin ed d u r in g 2 0 0 8 -1 0 followin g t h e d eclin e in t h e d om es t ic
production. Ma in it em s of im p or t , in t er m s of va lu e, fr om Ch in a a r e Foot wea r
excep t lea t h er , Lea t h er S h oes , Ta n n ed or Ch r om e S k in s a n d Lea t h er s , Lea t h er
Ba gs , Wa llet s , Pu r s es , and Leather Gloves.
Manufacture of wood and wood products

Th e va lu e of t h e IIP for Wood s & Wood s p r od u ct s h a s in cr ea s ed t o 1 3 9 .6


in 2 0 1 0 -11 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -0 5 com p a r ed t o shrinking E xport Index of
ju s t 5 7 .7 d u r in g t h e s a m e p er iod (Tab le 1 2 ). Th e gr owt h of IIP has d eclin ed
during past three years. The growth of the export is also declining continuously
during p a s t fou r yea r s . Th e Import In d ex h owever , h a s r is en t o 4 8 6 .3 a n d its
gr owt h h a s been ver y h igh a n d p os it ive in a ll s even yea r s excep t 2 0 0 9 -1 0 . Th e
Ch in es e In d ex h a s b een even h igh er t h a n t h e Im p or t In d ex. Th e d om es t ic
p r od u ct ion m igh t b e u n d er s t r es s d u e t o en vir on m en t a l r egu la t ion et c.. Main
items of Import from China are Plywood, Wood Veneer and Particle Boards.
Table 12. Manufacture of wood and wood products
Years
2004-05

IIP Index
100

IMP Index
100

EX Index
100

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports
Index Growth Share

2005-06

103.9

166.4

106.9

3.9

66.4

6.9

100.0

2006-07

117.0

215.9

129.6

12.6

29.7

21.3

215.2

115.2

0.1

2007-08

134.9

297.0

122.1

15.3

37.6

-5.8

229.4

6.6

0.1

2008-09

140.3

339.0

111.4

4.0

14.1

-8.7

211.3

-7.9

0.0

2009-10

142.6

350.3

78.8

1.6

3.3

-29.3

295.9

40.0

0.1

2010-11

139.6

486.3

57.7

-2.1

38.8

-26.8

614.5

107.7

0.1

0.1

Manufacture of paper and paper products

The IIP for p a p er & p a p er p r od u ct s h a s gr own b y 3 6 % in 2 0 1 0 -11


com p a r ed t o 2 0 0 4 -05, and annual gr owt h of IIP h a s b een low es p ecia lly d u r in g
2007-0 9 a n d n ega t ive in 2 0 0 9 -10 (Tab le 1 3 ). S u r p r is in gly th e b eh a vior of t h e
expor t gr owt h in t h is s ect or h a s b een qu it e con t r a s t in g t o t h e gr owt h of t h e
d om es t ic p r od u ct ion . Th e Ch in es e im p or t s a r e con t r a ct in g d u r in g p a s t t wo
years. Ma jor it em s of im p or t fr om Ch in a a r e S t r a w a n d Pa p er Boa r d s of All
Kin d s , News p r in t , Wr it in g & Pr in t in g Pa p er , Cr a ft Pa p er (Kr a ft Pa p er ), Pu lp
Rayon Grade, Computer Stationery.

P a g e | 17

Table 13. Manufacture of paper and paper products


Years

IIP Index

IMP Index

EX Index

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports

2004-05

100

100

100

2005-06

107.0

143.5

103.7

7.0

43.5

3.7

100.0

2006-07

116.4

208.1

119.0

8.8

45.1

14.7

2311.4

2211.4

0.8

2007-08

121.6

184.4

103.0

4.4

-11.4

-13.4

1998.0

-13.6

0.6

2008-09

124.5

237.6

120.6

2.4

28.8

17.1

3508.6

75.6

0.7

2009-10

124.2

365.3

139.6

-0.3

53.7

15.8

1477.5

-57.9

0.5

2010-11

136.0

160.3

104.1

9.5

-56.1

-25.4

844.8

-42.8

0.4

Index

Growth

Share
0.3

Publishing, printing and reproduction of recorded media


The value of the IIP of this industry sub group has grown to 132 in 201011 at the base of 2004-05, and the growth has been quite low during past three
con t in u ou s yea r s (Ta b le 1 4 ). Th e va lu e of t h e E xp or t In d ex in t h is s ect or h a s
gr own t o 1 7 5 .4 in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 . Th er e is h owever , con t in u ou s d eclin e in t h e im p or t
s in ce 2 0 0 4 -0 5 excep t 2 0 0 9 -1 0 in wh ich t h er e is a s u d d en r is e in im p or t . Th e
gr owt h of im p or t fr om Ch in a h a s b een qu it e h igh excep t 2 0 0 9 -1 0 . Th e im p or t
surge in 2 0 0 9 -1 0 s eem s t o b e fr om cou n t r ies ot h er t h a n Ch in a . Th e on ly it em
imported from China under this category is Books.
Table 14. Publishing, printing and reproduction of recorded media
Years

IIP Index

IMP Index

EX Index

2004-05

100

100

100

2005-06

112.4

71.1

118.5

12.4

-28.9

18.5

100.0

2006-07

119.4

82.9

140.1

6.2

16.6

18.3

187.9

87.9

0.0

2007-08

133.4

70.3

146.4

11.7

-15.3

4.5

259.4

38.1

0.0

2008-09

133.9

73.3

179.4

0.4

4.2

22.5

620.0

139.0

0.0

2009-10

129.3

2349.0

161.5

-3.4

3106.1

-10.0

346.0

-44.2

0.0

2010-11

132.4

175.4

2.4

-100.0

8.6

377.5

9.1

0.0

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports
Index

Growth

Share
0.0

Manufacture of Coke, refined petroleum products and nuclear fuel

Ca r b on Bla ck is t h e on ly p r od u ct con s id er ed for t h e a n a lys is u n d er t h is


subgroup of in d u s t r y a n d wh ich is a p a r t of 2 6 8 DIPP it em s (Tab le 1 5 ). Th e
d om es t ic p r od u ct ion of t h e p r od u ct h a s in cr ea s ed ju s t b y 1 5 % in la s t s even
yea r s . However , t h e exp or t h a s in cr ea s ed b y 9 2 % a n d im p or t b y 7 4 %
respectively in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 com p a r ed over 2 0 0 4 -0 5 . Th e m a s s ive im p or t fr om

P a g e | 18

Ch in a s eem s t o p u t ch a llen ge b efor e t h e d om es t ic in d u s t r y. Bla ck Ca r b on


m a r k et b ein g oligop olis t ic in In d ia s eem s t o b e fa cin g p r ob lem of d u m p in g of
the cheap product from China.
Table 15. Manufacture of Coke, refined petroleum products and nuclear fuel
Years

IIP Index

IMP Index

EX Index

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports

2004-05

100

100

100

2005-06

102.8

85.8

77.9

2.8

-14.2

-22.1

100.0

2006-07

107.8

124.0

64.5

4.9

44.6

-17.2

605.5

505.5

0.0

2007-08

115.6

177.9

79.8

7.2

43.5

23.7

812.7

34.2

0.0

2008-09

107.3

197.6

88.1

-7.1

11.1

10.4

1210.6

49.0

0.0

2009-10

112.7

174.3

171.1

5.0

-11.8

94.2

1137.3

-6.1

0.1

2010-11

115.2

186.4

192.0

2.2

6.9

12.2

1103.6

-3.0

0.0

Index

Growth

Share
0.0

Manufacture of Chemical and chemical products


The IIP in t h is s egm en t of in d u s t r y h a s gr own con s is t en t ly d u r in g p a s t
s even yea r s . Th e va lu e of t h e IIP h a s gr own t o 1 4 2 .8 in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 com p a r ed t o
2004-05 (Table 16). During the same years the Export Index reached to highest
5 0 1 .8 in 2 0 0 8 -0 9 , b efor e it d eclin ed t o 4 5 6 .9 in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 . Th e Im p or t In d ex
h owever , is gr owin g a t fa s t er r a t e a n d r ea ch ed 4 5 6 .9 levels in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 . Th e
growth of the Chinese Index seems to be even faster than the Import Index. The
m a jor it em s imported, in t er m s of va lu e, fr om Ch in a a r e Dyes , Vit a m in s ,
S yn t h et ic Ru b b er , Ru b b er Ch em ica l, Ad h es ives , PVC Res in s , Pr in t in g In k ,
Aniline, and Sodium Hydrosulphate/Sodium Hydrosulphite.
Table 16. Manufacture of Chemical and chemical products
Years

IIP Index

IMP Index

EX Index

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports

2004-05

100

100

100

Index

2005-06

109.0

139.9

111.8

9.0

39.9

11.8

100.0

2006-07

119.3

232.6

124.7

9.5

66.3

11.5

192.6

92.6

1.2

2007-08

125.3

272.4

151.4

5.0

17.1

21.4

379.7

97.2

1.2

2008-09

127.9

501.8

192.6

2.1

84.2

27.2

306.8

-19.2

0.8

2009-10

135.4

416.5

182.3

5.8

-17.0

-5.4

566.1

84.6

0.9

2010-11

142.8

456.9

194.5

5.5

9.7

6.7

654.2

15.6

0.8

Manufacture of rubber and plastic products

Growth

Share
1.3

P a g e | 19

The IIP of Ru b b er & Pla s t ic in d u s t r y gr ou p has in cr ea s ed b y 7 4 .5 % in


2010-1 1 com p a r ed t o 2 0 0 4 -0 5 , wh er ea s t h e E xp or t In d ex h a s gr own b y 4 8 %
and Import Index by a massive 3155 % during the same period (Table 17). The
gr owt h of exp or t h a s b een n ega t ive in 2 0 0 7 -0 8 a n d 2 0 0 9 -1 0 . Th e Ch in es e
In d ex is gr owin g a t m or e t h a n 2 0 0 % a n d 3 0 0 % in 2 0 0 6 -0 7 a n d 2 0 0 7 -08
r es p ect ively, followin g a d eclin e t h er ea ft er . S om e of t h e m a jor it em s im p or t ed
fr om Ch in a a r e Tyr e, Tr u ck / Bu s , PVC/ Pla s t ic S u it ca s es , Tyr e, Ca r / Ca b ,
Plastic Sheets, Plastic Film Excl. Bopp Film, Rubber Transmission And V Belts,
HDPE Woven Sacks, Tyre, Motor Cycle, Tube, Truck , a n d Plastic Bottles.
The it em s m a in ly s ou r ced fr om Ch in a a r e Pvc/ Pla s t ic, S u itca s es , Ru b b er
Fla p s , Tyr e, Tr u ck / Bu s , Tu b e, Cycle/ Rick s h a w, Tyr e, Cycle/ Rick s h a w, Tu b e,
Tr u ck , Tyr e, Mot or Cycle , Tyr e, Ca r / Ca b , Pla s t ic Film E xcl., Bop p Film ,
Polythene Bags, Incl. Hdpe & Ldpe, Bags, and HDPE Woven Sacks.
Table 17. Manufacture of rubber and plastic products
Years

IIP Index

IMP Index

EX Index

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports

2004-05

100

100

100

Index

Growth

Share

2005-06

113.3

128.8

120.9

13.3

28.8

20.9

100.0

2006-07

126.8

172.8

131.9

11.9

34.1

9.1

339.1

239.1

0.6

2007-08

139.7

205.4

124.5

10.1

18.9

-5.6

1398.9

312.5

0.8

2008-09

141.0

207.5

150.2

0.9

1.0

20.7

657.9

-53.0

0.6

2009-10

162.2

258.7

135.6

15.0

24.7

-9.7

515.8

-21.6

0.8

2010-11

174.5

3255.1

148.1

7.6

1158.1

9.2

570.3

10.6

0.8

0.5

Manufacture of other Non-metallic Mineral Products


The IIP of n on -m et a llic m in er a ls h a s in cr ea s ed t o 1 3 8 .7 in 2 0 1 0 -11
compared to 2004-05 (Tab le 1 8 ). The IIP has grown at average of 8.0 %, except
2008-1 0 , wh en t h e gr owt h of IIP d eclin ed t o les s t h a n on e p er cen t . Th e
s lu ggis h gr owt h in t h e IIP h a s a ls o led t o d eclin e in t h e exp or t of t h is s egm en t .
Vis ib le lin k a ge of p r od u ct ion a n d exp or t of t h is s ect or r ein for ces t h e exp or t
d ep en d en cy. Th e Im p or t In d ex h a s gr own t o 6 5 0 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -05
com p a r ed t o Ch in es e In d ex 2 1 3 0 2 .9 in 2 0 0 8 -0 9 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 5 -06.
Rela t ively h igh gr owt h of t h e Ch in es e im p or t over r es t of t h e cou n t r ies s ign a ls
that the Chinese import is replacing the import of non-metallic minerals.
Th e it em s wh er e Ch in a is r ep la cin g ot h er cou n t r ies a r e H.T.Insulators,
Refr a ct or y Br ick s , Gla s s S h eet , Tou gh en ed Gla s s , Por cela in a n d Cer a m ic,

P a g e | 20

S a n it a r y Wa r es , Fib r e Gla s s , Ma gn es it e, Dea d Bu r n t , Gla zed Tiles / Cer a m ic,


Tiles, Glass Bottles, and Marble Tiles/Slabs. Major items imported, in terms of
value, fr om Ch in a a r e Refr a ct or y Br ick s , Fib r e Gla s s , Tou gh en ed Gla s s ,
Por cela in An d Cer a m ic S a n it a r y Wa r es , Ma gn es it e, Dea d Bu r n t , Cem en t All
Kinds, Glass Sheet, Glass Bottles, H.T.Insulators, Marble and Tiles/Slabs.
Table 18 Manufacture of other Non-metallic Mineral Products
Years

IIP Index

IMP Index

EX Index

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports

2004-05

100

100

100

Index

Growth

Share

2005-06

107.7

175.8

101.6

7.7

75.8

1.6

100.0

2006-07

115.9

314.1

118.3

7.6

78.7

16.5

15097.9

14997.9

1.0

2007-08

125.9

336.3

103.1

8.6

7.1

-12.9

2448.4

-83.8

0.8

2008-09

124.6

580.8

103.6

-1.0

72.7

0.5

21302.9

770.1

0.8

2009-10

126.4

1203.4

92.7

1.5

107.2

-10.5

768.9

-96.4

0.9

2010-11

138.7

650.2

103.2

9.7

-46.0

11.3

35071.6

4461.0

0.8

0.9

Manufacture of Basic Metals


Th e IIP for t h e b a s ic m et a ls h a s gr own t o 1 4 7 .6 in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 com p a r ed t o
export in d ex of 4 0 1 .4 a n d im p or t in d ex of 3 9 4 .1 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -05
(Tab le 1 9 ). Th e s h r in k in g exp or t of t h e b a s ic m et a ls in 2 0 0 7 -08 is followed b y
d eclin e in t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion in 2 0 0 8 -0 9 . Th e gr owt h of t h e im p or t h a s
a ls o b een ver y h igh excep t 2 0 0 7 -08. Th e im p ort of B a s ic Me ta l form Ch in a is
grow in g a t m u ch fa s te r ra te th a n th e im p ort from oth er cou n trie s , w h ich is
a n oth er in s ta n ce of Chinese imports replacing the imports from other countries.

Table 19. Manufacture of Basic Metals


Years

IIP Index

IMP Index

EX Index

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports

2004-05

100

100

100

Index

Growth

Share

2005-06

117.8

169.1

140.1

17.8

69.1

40.1

100.0

2006-07

131.5

199.1

234.1

11.6

17.7

67.1

543.3

443.3

1.6

2007-08

140.2

202.0

201.3

6.6

1.5

-14.0

1547.2

184.8

1.9

2008-09

132.7

228.8

147.2

-5.3

13.3

-26.9

2465.9

59.4

1.7

2009-10

140.3

249.3

143.5

5.7

9.0

-2.5

3484.5

41.3

1.3

2010-11

147.6

394.1

401.4

5.2

58.1

179.7

4608.1

32.2

1.5

1.4

P a g e | 21

The items which are increasing sourced from China are Aluminium Foils,
Alu m in iu m wir es & ext r u s ion s ,
Alu m in iu m S h eet s / Pla t es , Alu m in iu m
Tu b es / Pip es , Alu m in iu m , An d Cop p er a n d Cop p er Pr od u ct s . The m a jor it em s
of im p or t , in t er m s of va lu e fr om Ch in a are a lu m in iu m , Cop p er a n d Cop p er
Pr od u ct s , Alu m in iu m S h eet s / Pla t es , Alu m in iu m Foils , Wir es (Cop p er ),
a luminium Tubes/Pipes, and C.I. Castings.

Manufacture of Fabricated metal products, except machinery


Th e im p or t of Fa b r ica t ed m et a l p r od u ct s , excep t m a ch in er y h a s gr own
fa s t er t h a n t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion a n d exp or t . Th e gr owt h in t h e d om es t ic
p r od u ct ion h a s b een d eclin in g d u r in g 2 0 0 5 -0 6 t o 2 0 0 8 -09. However, t h e
gr owt h of t h e im p or t has in cr ea s ed t ill 2 0 0 7 -08 (Tab le 2 0 ). Th e im p or t fr om
Ch in a d u r in g t h is p er iod h a s in cr ea s ed by 3 8 0 5 % over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 5 -06.
Th e correla tion b e tw e e n im p orts a n d th e d om e s tic p rod u ction in d ica te s s om e of
th e n ega tive im p a ct of th e im p ort from Ch in a on d om e s tic p rod u ction of th is
sector.
The main imported items, in terms of value, from China are Boilers, Steel
S t r u ct u r es , Cock (Fa u cet s ), Cylin d er s , Ra zor Bla d es / S a fet y Bla d es , Tin
Con t a in er s a n d S t a m p in gs & For gin gs . Th e it em s wh er e t h e im p or t s fr om
Ch in a a r e in cr ea s in g r ep la cin g t h e im p or t s fr om ot h er cou n t r ies a r e Boilers,
Tin Con t a in er s , Ra zor Bla d es / S a fet y Bla d es , Cylin d er s , S t eel S t r u ct u r es , An d
Cock (Faucets).
Table 20. Manufacture of Fabricated metal products, except machinery
Years

IIP Index

IMP Index

EX Index

2004-05

100

100

100

2005-06

120.0

152.0

122.6

20.0

52.0

22.6

100.0

2006-07

139.0

189.1

146.6

15.9

24.4

19.6

9466.4

9366.4

0.5

2007-08

149.8

468.3

178.3

7.7

147.7

21.6

852.3

-91.0

2.3

2008-09

147.8

608.9

191.9

-1.3

30.0

7.6

3905.6

358.2

2.3

2009-10

174.7

694.8

157.1

18.2

14.1

-18.1

4030.1

3.2

1.8

2010-11

191.9

2055.9

159.3

9.8

195.9

1.4

2264.9

-43.8

1.2

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports
Index

Growth

Share
0.4

Manufacture of Machinery and equipment

The IIP for Ma ch in er y a n d equ ip m en t h a s gr own con s is t en t ly a t a r ou n d


2 0 % p er yea r s in ce 2 0 0 4 -0 5 , excep t 2 0 0 8 -09 (Ta b le 2 1 ). Th e exp or t s h a ve a ls o
gr own a t r ela t ively h igh er r a t e t h a n IIP d u r in g t h e s a m e p er iod , excep t a

P a g e | 22

n ega t ive gr owt h in b ot h t h e s ect or s (im p or t s & exp or t s ) in 2 0 0 9 -1 0 . Th e


Ch in es e In d ex h a s gr own b y 5 2 0 4 % s in ce 2 0 0 5 -0 6 . Th e gr owt h of t h e Ch in es e
im p or t s h a s d eclin ed over t h e t im e t ill 2009-1 0 wh ich h a s s u r ged by 250.7% in
2010-11.
Table 21. Manufacture of Machinery and equipment
Years

IIP Index

IMP Index

EX Index

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports

2004-05

100

100

100

Index

Growth

Share

2005-06

124.1

151.6

117.6

24.1

51.6

17.6

100.0

2006-07

153.0

235.0

136.1

23.3

55.0

15.7

1590.3

1490.3

6.3

2007-08

209.9

294.0

164.8

37.2

25.1

21.1

1859.2

16.9

6.5

2008-09

196.1

448.9

237.9

-6.6

52.7

44.3

1546.4

-16.8

6.9

2009-10

221.8

344.7

181.7

13.1

-23.2

-23.6

1512.6

-2.2

8.4

2010-11

274.9

458.1

242.1

23.9

32.9

33.2

5304.0

250.7

8.0

6.1

Th e it em s im p or t ed fr om Ch in a wh ich ca r r y va lu e of m or e t h a n Rs .
1 0 0 0 0 la cs in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 a r e Text ile Ma ch in er y, Air Con d it ion er (Pa ck a ged ),
Pr in t in g Ma ch in er y, Air Con d it ion er (Room ), Bea r in gs (Ba ll/ Roller ), Ma ch in e
Tools , Con s t r u ct ion Ma ch in e/ E qu ip m en t , Tu r b in es & Acces s or ies , Air & Ga s
Com p r es s or s ,
Wa s h in g Ma ch in es , Lift s / E leva t or s & Com p on en t s t h er eof,
Pu m p s (in clu d in g p ower d r iven p u m p s ), S ola r Power S ys t em s , E n gin es In cl.
In t er n a l Com b u s t ion a n d Dies el E n gin e, Fa n s , Agr icu lt u r a l Ma ch in er y, Pla s t ic
Ma ch in er y In cl. Mou ld in g Ma ch in er y, Cr a n es , and Chillers. Th e in cr ea s in g
imports of these items probably impacting negatively the domestic production.

Th e im p or t fr om Ch in a is r ep la cin g t h e im p or t fr om ot h er cou n t r ies in


t h e it em s s u ch a s Fa n s , Air Con d it ion er (Room ), Hea t E xch a n ger s , Packaging
Ma ch in er y, Air Con d it ion er (Pa ck a ged ), Ch iller s , E lect r ic Weld in g Ma ch in es ,
Cr a n es , Tu r b in es & Acces s or ies , Lift s / E leva t or s & Com p on en t s t h er eof,
Pr in t in g Ma ch in er y, S ola r Power S ys t em s , Air & Ga s Com p r es s or s , Text ile
Mach in er y, In d u s t r ia l Ch a in s , Agr icu lt u r a l Ma ch in er y, Con s t r u ct ion , a n d
Machine/Equipment.

Manufacture of office, accounting and computing machinery


The IIP h a s gr own b y 2 6 3 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 com p a r ed t o exp or t in d ex b y
1 9 3 % a n d im p or t in d ex b y 1 2 2 % over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -05 (Tab le 2 2 ). However
t h e gr owt h of d om es t ic p r od u ct ion a ft er 2 0 0 7 -0 8 h a s n ot b een ver y im p r es s ive

P a g e | 23

a n d d ip p ed t o -1 1 .6 % in 2 0 0 9 -1 0 .
increased in past two years.

Th e gr owt h of t h e Ch in es e im p or t h a s

Ma in it em s im p or t ed fr om Ch in a a r e Com p u t er s , Com p u t er Per ip h er a ls ,


Ca lcu la t or s a n d Pr in t er s . Com p u t er s a n d ca lcu la t or s a r e in cr ea s in gly s ou r ced
from the China compared to other countries.
Table 22. Manufacture of office, accounting and computing machinery
Years

IIP Index

IMP Index

EX Index

2004-05

100

100

100

2005-06

123.0

146.3

147.9

23.0

46.3

47.9

100.0

2006-07

136.6

212.1

172.8

11.1

45.0

16.8

90.7

-9.3

3.9

2007-08

365.9

192.6

170.5

167.9

-9.2

-1.3

138.6

52.8

4.2

2008-09

382.4

169.0

212.0

4.5

-12.3

24.3

115.3

-16.8

2.7

2009-10

338.0

196.5

241.4

-11.6

16.3

13.9

159.7

38.6

3.5

2010-11

363.0

222.8

293.5

7.4

13.4

21.6

206.9

29.6

3.5

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

Chinese Imports

EX G

Index

Growth

Share
6.7

Manufacture of electrical machinery and apparatus


Th e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion of t h e elect r ic m a ch in er y a n d a p p a r a t u s h a s
in cr ea s ed b y 2 6 3 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 com p a r ed t o exp or t b y 1 8 2 a n d im p or t b y 1 7 1
% over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -0 5 . Th e gr owt h of t h e im p or t s h owever , h a s b een
h igh er in t h os e yea r s wh er e t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion gr owt h h a s b een low,
except 2009-10 when the growth of the import, export and domestic production
h a s b een n ega t ive. Th e gr owt h of im p or t fr om Ch in a h a s b een ver y h igh d u r in g
three years, 2005-06 to 2008-09, however, declined in 2009-10.
Table 23. Manufacture of electrical machinery and apparatus
Years

IIP Index

IMP Index

EX Index

2004-05

100.0

100.0

100.0

2005-06

123.0

593.9

149.8

23.0

493.9

49.8

100.0

2006-07

136.6

242.3

244.1

11.1

-59.2

63.0

239.8

139.8

2.5

2007-08

365.9

241.9

246.7

167.9

-0.2

1.1

537.0

124.0

3.4

2008-09

382.4

313.1

337.9

4.5

29.4

37.0

1066.4

98.6

3.6

2009-10

338.0

226.4

267.1

-11.6

-27.7

-21.0

562.6

-47.2

2.9

2010-11

363.0

271.4

282.7

7.4

19.9

5.9

641.2

14.0

2.4

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports
Index

Growth

Share
2.5

Ma in it em s im p or t ed , in ter m s of va lu e, fr om Ch in a a r e Insulated
Ca b les / Wir es a ll Kin d , Stabilisers, E lect r ic Mot or s Ph a s e-I, Graphite

P a g e | 24

Electrodes/Anodes, Tr a n s for m er s (S m a ll), Magnets, Generator/Alternator,


UPS/Inverter/Converter, Weld in g Rod s ,
Air Br ea k S wit ch es / Cir cu it
Breakers, DC Mot or s , E lect r ic Mot or s (E xcl.Ph a s e-I),
Flu or es cen t Tu b es ,
E lect r ica l S wit ch b oa r d , Ba t t er y Ch a r ger , In ca n d es cen t La m p , Rela ys , Fu s es
An d S wit ch gea r s , Fib r e Op t ic Ca b le, Tr a n s for m er s (P.D.T & S p ecia l Typ e), a n d
Cable, Rubber Insulated.
Th e it em s in cr ea s in gly s ou r ced fr om Ch in a a r e Flu or es cen t Tu b es ,
Ba t t er y Ch a r ger , Ma gn et s , Fib r e Op t ic Ca b le, E lect r ic Mot or s Ph a s e-I,
Incandescent Lamp, Insulated Cables/Wires all Kind, UPS/Inverter/Converter,
Transformers (S m a ll), DC Mot or s , Air Br ea k S wit ch es / Cir cu it , Br ea k er s ,
Gen er a t or / Alt er n a t or ,
S t a b ilis er s ,
Rela ys ,
Fu s es
An d
S wit ch gea r s ,
Tr a n s for m er s (P.D.T & S p ecia l Typ e), E lect r ic Mot or s (E xcl.Ph a s e-I),
An d
Electrical Switchboard.

Manufacture of radio, television and communication equipment


Th e gr owt h of IIP for r a d io, t elevis ion a n d com m u n ica t ion equ ip ment h a s
d eclin ed over t h e yea r s (Tab le 2 4 ). Th e exp or t growth has b een b et t er excep t in
2005-0 6 a n d 2 0 0 9 -1 0 . Th e im p or t is gr owin g a t m or e t h a n 3 5 % a ver a ge excep t
a d ip in 2 0 0 9 -1 0 . Th e Ch in es e In d ex has gr own t o a r ela t ively h igh er level in
past six years, although the growth has moderated over the years.
Th e s h a r e of im p or t of r a d io, t elevis ion a n d com m u n ica t ion equ ip in t h e
t ot a l t h e Ch in es e im p or t h a ve im p r oved con s id er a b ly fr om ju s t 3 .1 % in 2 0 0 5 0 6 t o 1 6 .5 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 . Th is in d ica t es t h a t t h e gr owt h of t h e im p or t of r a d io,
t elevis ion a n d com m u n ica t ion equ ip fr om Ch in a h a s b een m u ch h igh er t h a n
the total imports growth from Chinese.

Table 24. Manufacture of radio, television and communication equip


Years

IIP Index

IMP Index

EX Index

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports

2004-05

100

100

100

2005-06

122.1

132.7

98.8

22.1

32.7

-1.2

100.0

2006-07

238.1

180.3

139.5

94.9

35.9

41.2

221.1

121.1

3.6

2007-08

418.9

257.1

181.4

75.9

42.6

30.0

514.3

132.6

8.5

2008-09

492.0

405.2

1211.9

17.5

57.6

567.9

717.3

39.5

16.5

2009-10

542.5

370.4

895.3

10.3

-8.6

-26.1

801.2

11.7

18.1

2010-11

616.0

467.1

1641.5

13.5

26.1

83.3

1014.2

26.6

16.5

Index

Growth

Share
3.1

P a g e | 25

Main im p or t ed it em s fr om Ch in a a r e Telep h on e In s t r u m en t s In clu d in g


Mob ile Ph on e a n d Acces s or ies , IC Ch ip s & Tr a n s is t or s , Power Ca p a cit or s ,
Printed Circuit Board/Plate, and Colour TV Picture Tubes.

Manufacture of medical precision and optical instruments

The IIP h a s gr own ju s t b y 1 9 % in 2 0 1 0 -11 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -05


(Tab le 2 5 ). Th e exp or t a lt h ou gh is s h r in k in g d u r in g p a s t t wo yea r s , wh ile
im p or t h a s gr own well d u r in g p a s t s even yea r s excep t 2 0 0 8 -0 9 . Th e Chinese
In d ex on ot h er h a n d is gr owin g a t m u ch fa s t er r a t e t h a n Im p or t In d ex a n d IIP.
Th is s ign a ls t h a t t h e d om es t ic d em a n d of t h e p r od u ct is fu lfilled b y t h e ch ea p
import from China.
Ma in im p or t ed items , in t er m s of va lu e, a r e Med ica l a n d S u r gica l
E qu ip m en t (excep t x-r a y), Clock / Wa t ch / Tim ep iece Movem en t , Wa t ch es , Len s
of All Kinds, and Syringes

Table 25 Manufacture of medical precision and optical instruments


Years

IIP Index

IMP Index

EX Index

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports

2004-05

100

100

100

2005-06

110.2

160.9

96.3

10.2

60.9

-3.7

100.0

2006-07

115.0

255.3

106.1

4.3

58.7

10.1

138.1

38.1

0.3

2007-08

121.6

338.9

106.2

5.8

32.8

0.1

367.9

166.4

0.3

2008-09

120.1

307.1

125.2

-1.2

-9.4

17.8

521.1

41.7

0.3

2009-10

110.0

350.3

122.5

-8.4

14.1

-2.1

542.4

4.1

0.4

2010-11

119.1

685.6

47.0

8.3

95.7

-61.6

654.5

20.7

0.3

Index

Growth

Share
0.3

Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers


Ther e is a s u r ge in t h e im p or t of t h e m ot or veh icles , t r a iler s a n d s em it r a iler s in t h e cou n t r y con s is t en t ly during p a s t s even yea r s (Tab le 2 6 ). Th e
im p or t s a r e gr owin g a lon g wit h t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion of t h is in d u s t r y s u b group, except in 200 8 -09.
Th e im p or t fr om Ch in a h a s b een ver y h igh d u r in g 2 0 0 6 -0 8 a n d 2 0 1 0 -11.
Its share in total Chinese import has also doubled in past six years.

P a g e | 26

Main im p or t ed it em s , in t er m s of va lu e, fr om Ch in a a r e Au t o An cilla r y &


Pa r t s , Gea r Boxes a n d Ut ilit y/ Mu lt i-Purpose Vehicles. Th e Au t o An cilla r y &
Parts are increasingly been imported from China.
Table 26. Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers
Years

IIP Index

IMP Index

EX Index

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports

2004-05

100

100

100

Index

Growth

Share

2005-06

113.9

450.8

118.2

13.9

350.8

18.2

100.0

2006-07

134.3

737.5

128.7

17.9

63.6

9.0

261.2

161.2

0.7

2007-08

147.3

1458.1

160.1

9.7

97.7

24.4

464.4

77.8

0.6

2008-09

132.1

2054.9

444.7

-10.3

40.9

177.7

485.2

4.5

0.6

2009-10

153.4

2362.0

488.6

16.2

14.9

9.9

433.5

-10.6

0.7

2010-11

198.5

3692.0

909.0

29.4

56.3

86.1

1150.0

165.3

0.8

0.4

Manufacture of other transport equipments


Th e im p or t of t h e ot h er t r a n s p or t equ ip m en t has in cr ea s ed b y 2 6 7 9 % in
2010-11 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -05, com p a r ed t o IIP in cr ea s ed b y 1 0 5 % a n d
exp or t b y 4 5 5 % (Ta b le 2 7 ). Th e im p or t a n d t h e exp or t gr owt h of t h e t r a n s p or t
equ ip m en t is m ovin g m or e or les s in op p os it e d ir ect ion to the IIP d u r in g p a s t
seven years. However, there are positive correlation between import growth and
t h e exp or t gr owt h of t h e t r a n s p or t equ ip m en t s . Th is in d ica t es t h a t eit h er t h er e
a r e a la g b et ween d om es t ic p r od u ct ion a n d t r a d e or t h e im p or t is u s ed a s a n
in p u t in t h e exp or t . Gr owt h of im p or t of ot h er t r a n s p or t equ ip m en t s fr om
China has been very high during 2007 -08, and 2010-11.
Table 27. Manufacture of other transport equipment
Years

IIP Index

IMP Index

EX Index

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

Chinese Imports

2004-05

100

100

100

2005-06

105.6

345.8

158.4

5.6

245.8

58.4

100.0

2006-07

120.3

750.3

178.8

14.0

117.0

12.9

499.3

399.3

1.3

2007-08

123.1

1155.0

211.2

2.3

53.9

18.1

3558.3

612.6

1.8

2008-09

127.2

1778.9

433.7

3.3

54.0

105.4

4903.3

37.8

1.4

2009-10

174.5

1611.5

351.5

37.2

-9.4

-19.0

956.0

-80.5

1.9

2010-11

205.9

2779.6

555.2

18.0

72.5

58.0

2378.1

148.7

3.3

Index

Growth

Share
1.4

Th e s h a r e of t h e Ch in es e im p or t of oth er t r a n s p or t equ ip m en t s in t ot a l
Ch in es e im p or t s h a ve d ou b led in p a s t s ix yea r s . Ma in it em s im p or t ed fr om
Ch in a a r e S h ip Bu ild in g & Rep a ir s , Pa r t s
Bicycle, Bicycles , S coot er a n d

P a g e | 27

Mop ed s a n d Mot or Cycles . Ch in a is b ecom in g a n im p or t a n t s ou r ce of th e


imports for Bicycles , Pa r t s
Bicycle, Mot or Cycles a n d S h ip Bu ild in g &
Repairs.
Manufacturing of furniture
The IIP for fu r n it u r e h a s gr own u p b y 4 2 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 , wh ile exp or t h a s
been declining a ft er gr owin g b y 6 7 % in 2 0 0 8 -09 over b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -05 (Table
28). Th e im p or t gr owt h is m ovin g t oget h er wit h t h e d om es t ic p r od u ct ion
gr owt h . Th e gr owt h of t h e im p or t fr om Ch in a is a ls o m ovin g a lon g t h e gr owth
of Import Index.
Ma in it em s of im p or t , in t er m s of va lu e, fr om Ch in a a r e Wood Fu r n it u r e,
Pen s of All Kin d , Toot h Br u s h , a n d Gem s a n d J eweller y. Wood fu r n it u r e is
increasingly sourced from China.
Table 28. Manufacturing of furniture
Years

IIP Index

IMP Index

EX Index

2004-05

100

100

100

2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11

106.8
106.1
120.9
131.4
134.8
142.2

111.9
111.8
131.3
144.1
122.3
137.5

102.8
108.6
92.2
167.2
138.2
108.1

IIP Gr.

IMP Gr.

EX G

6.8
-0.6
14.0
8.7
2.6
5.4

11.9
-0.1
17.5
9.8
-15.1
12.4

2.8
5.7
-15.1
81.3
-17.3
-21.8

Chinese Imports
Index

Growth

Share

100.0
107.3
147.6
152.3
145.7
156.8

7.3
37.5
3.2
-4.4
7.6

0.4
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.4
0.4

CONCLUSION
The trends in imports to India shows a surge in cheap Chinese imports of
m a n u fa ct u r in g good s t o In d ia , a ccu m u la t ion in In d ia s t r a d e d eficit wit h Ch in a
a n d r is in g r equ es t for in t r od u cin g a n t i d u m p in g m ea s u r es a ga in s t Ch in es e
im p or t s p oin t s t h e n eed t o ch eck t h e p r ofile of im p or t s fr om Ch in a a n d it s
r ela t ion wit h ou r d om es t ic m a n u fa ct u r in g p r od u ct ion s t r u ct u r e. Th e m a jor
qu es t ion of t h is r es ea r ch s t u d y is : How t r en d s in im p or t s fr om Ch in a a r e
associated with domestic manufacturing production in India?
A con cor d a n ce b et ween ITC (HS ) Cod e for t h e im p or t s a n d NIC
cla s s ifica t ion of in d u s t r ies a t 5 d igit level is d evelop ed for la s t 7 yea r s for 2 6 8
it em s of IIP a n d im p or t s , a n d s ep a r a t ely wit h im p or t s fr om Ch in a . Th e in d ices
for t h e im p or t , IIP (2 6 8 it em s ) a n d in d u s t r y s u b gr ou p s h a ve b een con s t r u ct ed .
The export index is taken from an earlier Study by Singhi, M.C. 2011.

P a g e | 28

Th e in d ices of IIP (2 6 8 it em s ), Im p or t for a ll cou n t r ies (Im p or t in d ex fr om


now) and Export have grown by 107.8 %, 1773.1 %, and 143.4% respectively in
2010-1 1 over t h e b a s e of 2 0 0 4 -0 5 . Th e Ch in es e in d ex for s a m e it em s h a s
gr own b y 4 6 1 8 .4 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 over t h e b a s e 2 0 0 5 -0 6 , wh ich is m u ch h igh er
t h a n t h e im p or t in d ex. Th e s h a r e of t h e im p or t s of 2 6 8 it em s fr om Ch in a in
t ot a l im p or t s fr om Ch in a t o In d ia h a s ju m p ed t o 4 1 .3 % in 2 0 1 0 -1 1 fr om 2 6 .3 %
in 2005-06.
Th er e a r e en ou gh evid en ce t o s u s p ect t h a t im p or t s t o In d ia fr om ot h er
t h a n Ch in a a r e n ow in cr ea s in gly b een r ep la ced b y ch ea p Ch in es e im p or t s .
Th er efor e t h e im p or t s t o In d ia a r e in cr ea s in g con cen t r a t ed wit h Ch in a . Br oa d ly
the Basic Goods and the Intermediate Goods sectors are seems to be negatively
a ffect ed fr om t h e ch ea p Ch in es e im p or t s a lon g wit h s om e item s in t h e Ca p it a l
goods and the Consumer Goods sectors.
Th e la r ges t im p or t s fr om Ch in a a r e n ot iced in in d u s t r y s u b -gr ou p of
r a d io, t elevis ion a n d com m u n ica t ion equ ip m en t , followed b y Ma ch in er y a n d
equ ip m en t , office a ccou n t in g a n d com p u t in g m a ch in er y , ot h er t r a n s p or t
equ ip m en t , elect r ica l m a ch in er y a n d a p p a r a t u s , Ba s ic Met a ls , Fa b r ica t ed
met a l p r od u ct s , excep t m a ch in er y , Ch em ica l a n d ch em ica l p r od u ct s , m ot or
vehicles, trailers and semi-t r a iler s , a n d r u b b er a n d p la s t ic p r od u ct s .

***

P a g e | 29

Annexure
Table 29. Share in Total Imports
201011

2004-05

2005-06

2006-07

2007-08

2008-09

2009-10

20.0

23.0

23.6

26.5

27.6

25.3

23.0

Basic

3.1

3.6

3.4

3.3

3.6

3.1

2.9

Capital

9.4

11.6

11.7

13.3

11.8

10.7

8.8

4.3

4.2

4.5

4.7

5.1

4.7

4.7

Consumer

3.2

3.5

4.0

5.3

7.1

6.8

6.5

Consumer NON

0.7

0.8

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.8

0.5

Consumer Durable

2.5

2.8

3.3

4.6

6.5

6.1

6.0

IIP (268)

Intermediate

P a g e | 30

Table 30. Share of imports from China in Total Imports to India

NIC5d
26915
35921
25204
35923
17296

Item group
H.T.Insulators
Bicycles
Pvc/Plastic Suitcases
Parts - Bicycle
Terry Towel

0.10
95.25
65.66
82.50
82.57

85.00
93.90
79.24
89.66
67.98

86.30
91.00
86.04
92.96
46.65

200809
93.94
94.22
93.14
88.34
76.40

28133
34300
19201
30003

Boilers
Auto Ancillary & Parts
Footwear except leather
Calculators

24.02
61.73
76.39
69.58

54.84
80.45
85.74
38.84

86.24
80.49
89.28
57.84

93.17
80.70
84.47
63.79

92.01
82.81
76.88
80.37

88.36
82.77
82.23
80.43

15209

Glucose(powder&liquid)

1.56

60.11

66.05

30.42

35.29

79.68

25119

Rubber Flaps

61.99

45.86

44.08

42.39

96.14

79.63

31503

Fluorescent Tubes

40.86

52.85

58.99

73.59

80.90

78.07

19201

Leather Shoes

57.18

55.10

54.84

55.24

59.60

74.48

29303

Fans

66.06

65.53

74.68

63.60

74.29

73.96

31109

Battery Charger

59.50

0.14

61.26

87.98

78.96

72.25

25111

Tyre, Truck/Bus

78.06

77.80

88.94

80.88

78.52

71.74

29308

Mixers & Grinders

43.66

39.36

66.41

68.19

74.58

68.72

26921

Refractory Bricks

46.44

64.67

59.41

55.11

69.61

68.49

25113

Tube, Cycle/Rickshaw

21.19

99.78

66.09

25113

Tyre, Cycle/Rickshaw

16.64

26.96

37.49

45.15

6.40

65.50

30006

33.81

32.63

36.45

43.52

62.25

65.47

32.04
80.00

54.16
94.91

31.19
94.62

58.23
98.83

67.03
97.26

64.20
60.91

32204
36101
29192

Computers
Sodium
Hydrosulphate/Sodium
Hydrosulphite
Tube, Truck
Telephone Instruments
Including Mobile Phone And
Accessories
Wood Furniture
Air Conditioner (Room)

13.97
38.96
48.03

20.23
43.78
42.88

41.41
48.89
62.34

55.46
47.22
53.99

61.81
53.41
54.72

59.66
59.15
57.99

26101

Glass Sheet

82.23

79.54

74.15

61.70

53.45

57.86

24232

Vitamins

47.23

57.42

55.52

62.70

58.46

57.72

26101

17.12

36.54

34.87

37.84

41.31

57.40

26911

Toughened Glass
Porcelain And Ceramic
Sanitary Wares

43.37

52.95

53.74

57.74

63.59

55.63

32309

Amplifier

42.24

45.70

39.97

39.91

42.37

55.37

29198

Heat Exchangers

8.97

20.81

41.71

19.87

9.07

55.18

26993

Grinding Wheels

15.45

39.53

35.00

26.23

1.62

54.35

29195

14.89

9.36

39.68

37.19

27.01

54.35

19122

Packaging Machinery
Leather Bags, Wallets,
Purses

38.11

34.66

33.27

29.15

53.63

53.85

25111

Tyre, Motor Cycle

41.42

29.83

19.87

29.37

33.13

53.41

28997

Pressure Cooker

57.37

39.37

20.64

58.69

12.75

52.85

24117
25111

2005-06

2006-07

2007-08

71.10

200910
30.15
95.18
93.54
92.11
83.22

201011
98.17
95.06
94.07
94.03
90.09

P a g e | 31

26102

Fibre Glass

27.03

34.73

48.56

53.45

54.50

50.38

29192

Air Conditioner (Packaged)

37.91

40.50

54.42

44.97

45.88

49.24

27310

C.I. Castings

1.00

33.32

66.81

46.14

93.08

48.07

24114

Dyes

43.60

41.95

44.50

37.86

43.25

47.20

35911

Motor Cycles

6.66

16.57

90.74

83.02

12.99

46.68

31904

Magnets

32.23

32.57

36.09

30.88

42.88

45.88

29306

Chillers

15.53

27.67

22.38

18.19

26.87

44.91

29199

Electric Welding Machines

6.24

27.92

17.15

34.06

49.48

44.31

31300

Fibre Optic Cable

51.72

38.24

2.65

47.96

57.99

43.60

18104

Leather Garments

18.66

28.43

23.40

26.36

62.77

43.17

20211

Plywood

42.97

49.94

39.48

37.34

33.73

43.03

28129

Tin Containers

0.33

69.29

11.18

57.02

4.04

42.67

31103

Electric Motors Phase-I

20.91

23.80

30.68

31.88

31.01

42.50

36997

Tooth Brush

77.14

85.44

73.15

40.11

42.80

41.32

29308

Washing Machines

12.63

16.99

17.51

20.94

27.19

40.50

33130

Cooling Towers

23.91

21.95

19.35

60.68

41.82

40.21

31908

Welding Rods

4.13

11.65

9.48

19.68

28.77

39.76

27203

Aluminium Foils

20.77

34.21

46.63

57.91

29.95

39.46

18101

Apparels

17.85

28.20

23.79

25.36

24.11

39.29

31501

Incandescent Lamp

24.96

24.05

26.95

25.38

31.28

38.57

24243

Whitening Agents

32.31

32.39

32.73

30.81

38.55

38.24

30007

Printers

17.86

7.81

34.25

10.41

4.31

37.83

30007

Computer Peripherals

36.57

19.60

37.78

33.30

24.44

37.53

32102

Power Capacitors

25.00

24.52

34.21

15.01

31.18

37.16

31908

Graphite Electrodes/Anodes

10.06

23.04

29.65

59.78

34.15

37.15

29151

Cranes

10.86

26.05

35.62

50.76

12.44

37.14

36934

Sports Goods, Rubber

13.28

39.34

43.51

51.54

48.07

37.09

28931

Razor Blades/Safety Blades

13.21

15.42

22.14

11.99

38.30

36.88

29119

Turbines & Accessories

12.93

11.71

20.63

32.40

58.69

36.71

36991

30.24

37.43

39.23

35.68

36.28

36.09

2.83

8.73

45.86

63.75

42.51

35.50

29151

Pens of All Kind


Aluminium wires &
extrusions
Lifts/Elevators &
Components thereof

15.77

16.52

30.15

35.03

48.90

35.45

26922

Magnesite, Dead Burnt

58.53

59.31

47.64

39.99

25.79

34.78

28121

Cylinders

21.61

28.12

23.64

43.94

54.05

34.45

29294

Printing Machinery

26933

Glazed Tiles /Ceramic Tiles

35119

Ship Building & Repairs

25111
21015

Tyre, Car/Cab
Straw And Paper Boards of
All Kinds

25202

Plastic Film Excl. Bopp Film

27203

6.53

9.94

19.55

25.10

26.78

34.41

66.28

74.33

79.45

76.35

51.98

34.37

3.96

3.67

7.88

6.39

12.51

34.10

26.85

37.25

35.86

34.16

38.47

33.22

14.78

19.15

27.14

24.67

27.60

33.03

8.36

16.87

12.70

10.89

12.40

31.68

P a g e | 32

31200

Polythene Bags Incl. Hdpe


& Ldpe Bags
Insulated Cables/Wires all
Kind

29305

Solar Power Systems

7.84

6.12

5.78

6.61

13.69

30.30

29121

Air & Gas Compressors

12.08

16.02

7.76

8.36

29.16

30.18

29262

Textile Machinery

16.59

19.13

19.01

30.67

36.01

30.16

27203

Aluminium Sheets/Plates

20.83

26.78

38.36

38.97

28.08

29.97

35912

Scooter and Mopeds

38.08

83.69

81.93

87.76

55.96

29.64

29131

Industrial Chains

21.31

29.78

22.96

22.46

30.75

28.61

29211

Agricultural Machinery

19.86

15.13

18.65

20.92

45.20

28.04

31104

20.53

13.02

27.54

25.09

28.79

27.96

29119

UPS/Inverter/Converter
Construction
Machine/Equipment

3.44

11.87

13.43

18.38

23.11

27.54

29303

Industrial Blowers

28.55

1.61

23.49

14.84

37.18

26.80

28112

Steel Structures

26.56

31.21

59.09

38.25

54.21

26.71

29191

Forklift

2.76

4.72

9.44

25.36

19.47

26.57

20211

Wood Veneer

4.31

9.80

10.12

7.19

15.11

26.51

31102

Transformers (Small)

52.29

63.26

53.39

59.99

55.54

26.28

27203

Aluminium Tubes/Pipes

15.51

30.12

29.70

35.46

34.73

26.07

26103

13.99

21.90

22.37

20.00

21.37

25.74

15135

Glass Bottles
Squashes, Jams, Jellies,
Ketchups,Etc.

31.80

39.22

54.06

36.12

38.54

25.73

29244

Loaders

40.12

67.90

77.54

9.42

10.97

25.50

15331

Cattle and Poultry Feed

20.67

16.10

20.88

22.14

23.09

24.78

24111

Aniline

16.81

9.69

60.97

22.96

28.34

24.60

29131

Bearings (Ball/Roller)

10.14

11.97

15.07

15.37

20.20

24.33

25202

HDPE Woven Sacks

15.39

24.42

34.13

35.88

27.36

24.14

31103

DC Motors

9.65

18.27

15.27

15.20

21.12

23.90

24219

Rubber Chemical

19.44

24.47

28.42

25.85

25.03

23.88

25209

Plastic Sheets

28.85

23.18

15.67

18.74

16.08

23.83

29306

8.68

6.86

13.44

17.68

28.40

23.78

31200

Refrigerators
Air Break Switches /
Circuit Breakers

24.70

23.99

33.28

30.85

20.19

23.08

24295

Adhesives

10.24

9.19

0.00

0.00

19.61

22.53

31901

Generator/Alternator

2.16

13.71

51.95

26.70

37.76

21.34

26960

7.79

6.10

17.09

20.91

31.93

20.58

25192

Marble Tiles/Slabs
Rubber Transmission And V
Belts

6.09

8.68

9.02

17.55

17.79

19.62

29254

Sugar Machinery

0.56

0.75

0.38

2.46

1.36

19.56

28994

Cock (Faucets)

4.35

7.35

7.25

10.82

16.79

18.99

23109

Carbon Black

31901

Stabilisers

32101

25202

1.42

86.31

62.10

33.04

20.12

31.55

25.30

25.45

26.44

38.89

33.54

30.84

3.70

15.50

14.49

19.41

20.66

18.76

12.55

13.70

18.52

23.23

21.40

18.57

Colour TV Picture Tubes

8.89

16.80

22.90

17.85

17.80

18.25

Steel

4.93

11.53

16.08

16.97

9.09

18.12

P a g e | 33

33201

Lens of All Kinds

33112

Syringes

32105

IC Chips & Transistors

21098

7.85

7.44

5.04

16.00

14.25

17.81

6.52

0.66

1.30

12.31

2.63

17.17

12.36

8.79

13.14

17.18

21.74

17.14

Computer Stationery

1.69

3.16

6.28

8.67

12.39

16.03

19129

Leather Gloves

7.98

29.12

34.64

23.50

13.97

15.70

25193

Condoms

1.08

2.67

0.05

22.58

32.00

15.69

26942

Cement All Kinds

19.98

34.82

6.47

7.84

24.35

15.39

16003

Cigarettes

12.49

0.05

6.05

5.34

5.29

15.32

15134

Fruit Juices

13.41

20.75

31.05

9.71

12.06

14.80

25202

21.77

15.50

13.00

9.39

11.42

14.54

29121

Plastic Bottles
Pumps (including power
driven pumps)

7.31

6.74

9.64

14.05

14.98

14.50

32109

Printed Circuit Board/Plate

7.03

9.01

11.39

11.75

13.61

14.41

29229

5.52

7.60

10.61

9.71

12.79

14.40

10.95

8.54

15.21

17.91

14.52

14.38

31102

Machine Tools
Relays, Fuses And
Switchgears
Transformers (P.D.T &
Special Type)

2.42

22.08

36.11

31.59

10.36

14.25

25209

PVC Pipes and Tubes

3.24

8.86

28.83

18.09

12.80

14.13

29142

7.92

6.35

11.51

19.19

22.20

14.12

22.17

16.73

11.11

16.90

2.74

14.02

31103

Furnaces
Corrugated and Other
Paper Boxes
Electric Motors(Excl.PhaseI)

2.90

6.36

12.64

11.78

13.51

13.43

33122

Electric meter of all kinds

29.80

31.97

17.01

42.05

32.23

13.40

33122

29.80

31.97

17.01

42.05

32.23

13.40

33301

Water meter of all kinds


Clock/Watch/Timepiece
Movement

18.97

20.01

17.09

13.79

24.88

12.76

29258

Food Processing Machinery

5.28

5.17

5.16

10.73

13.77

12.67

25191

0.97

4.21

79.36

45.30

18.52

12.65

17.68

20.26

26.79

19.43

12.00

12.50

24232

Hose Pipe
Plastic Machinery Incl.
Moulding Machinery
Antibiotics & It's
Preparations

5.49

20.60

13.76

7.69

4.23

12.33

29251

Dairy Machinery

0.01

4.08

3.93

1.58

2.96

11.69

27203

Aluminium

9.36

10.34

16.57

17.34

11.72

11.63

24112

Sulphuric Acid, Incl. Oleum

0.00

0.00

0.38

0.03

1.03

11.29

29299

Driers

3.47

0.06

18.52

0.02

0.00

11.26

24223

Printing Ink

21.54

23.14

29.77

18.56

31.24

10.95

17297

Elastic Tape

1.34

7.25

25.62

41.72

22.74

10.81

24241

5.39

6.55

3.09

2.48

1.60

10.74

4.48

6.91

7.00

7.47

8.43

10.48

33112

Toilet Soap
Copper and Copper
Products
Medical and Surgical
Equipment (except x-ray)

3.62

4.27

5.13

6.76

7.14

10.10

24248

Agarbattis and Dhoop

17.60

12.43

13.15

16.44

21.37

9.88

33301

Watches

0.88

1.24

12.00

10.35

14.25

9.39

31103

21022

29291

27201

P a g e | 34

29211

Tractors (complete)

24.33

53.09

17.36

7.33

8.84

8.93

31200

3.04

14.27

14.85

11.78

18.38

8.19

24297

Electrical Switchboard
Leather Finishing
Chemicals & Auxiliaries

0.00

0.00

8.55

19.17

0.01

7.47

28910

Stampings & Forgings

2.02

5.79

2.71

6.19

1.76

7.01

24241

Washing Soap

3.35

2.68

2.91

4.13

6.61

6.82

34300

3.99

6.68

4.40

3.41

4.17

6.73

29112

Gear Boxes
Engines Incl. Internal
Combustion and Diesel
Engine

2.58

4.44

3.19

4.77

5.92

6.48

22110

Books

1.68

3.04

4.12

9.22

7.75

6.30

33121

Valve

4.04

4.02

1.75

2.14

0.28

6.19

15531

Beer

0.01

0.35

1.12

1.46

1.81

6.00

29242

Drilling Equipment

3.57

3.68

2.58

9.62

7.40

5.97

24222

Paints of All Kinds

1.67

3.10

5.19

6.47

5.98

4.95

29249

Mining Equipment

2.51

0.66

27.07

41.43

6.80

4.79

24241

Synthetic Detergents

1.05

0.28

2.74

2.78

1.64

4.40

21012

1.23

0.99

1.49

1.28

2.04

4.10

15519

Writing & Printing Paper


Indust.
Alcohol(Rectified/Denatured
Spirit)

7.01

7.31

5.26

4.50

3.86

4.02

24134

Synthetic Rubber

24132

PVC Resins

27201

5.52

2.18

2.36

1.50

1.91

3.77

11.04

46.28

45.40

17.21

10.82

3.46

Wires (Copper)

1.32

1.77

2.59

3.11

3.04

3.39

20213

Particle Boards

5.36

8.63

4.51

3.08

2.03

3.25

24111

Dissolved Acetylene Gas

0.11

0.07

1.02

0.00

5.71

2.97

24301

Viscose Staple Fibre

10.89

11.42

21.89

3.09

44.95

2.97

21014

Craft Paper(Kraft Paper)

1.48

1.99

3.02

3.11

2.11

2.83

16006

Zarda/ Chewing Tobacco

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

2.63

31300

Cable, Rubber Insulated

0.11

0.60

1.84

28.62

10.75

2.44

24111

Oxygen
Tanned or Chrome Skins
and Leathers

0.00

0.00

0.14

0.00

0.49

2.38

2.73

2.83

2.31

1.50

1.50

2.36

13.29

16.23

26.37

11.72

8.43

2.25

1.24

0.39

0.07

12.82

0.80

2.17

0.12

15.85

14.72

16.71

10.12

2.07

85.02

85.32

15.51

30.81

2.07

19119
34101
15433

Commercial Vehicles
Instant Food Mixes (Ready
to eat)

21013

Newsprint

25111

Tyre, Tractor Front

15532

Indian made Foreign Liquor

0.04

28.68

0.01

0.39

0.12

1.99

24118

Glycerine

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.83

15412

Biscuits

2.12

5.93

15.70

5.71

1.61

1.68

17223

Woollen Carpets
Aerated Waters & Soft
Drinks
Utility/Multi-Purpose
Vehicles

2.64

0.00

23.24

28.21

0.11

1.65

3.52

0.65

1.97

0.00

0.26

1.59

0.69

2.33

2.59

3.17

0.90

1.58

15541
34104

P a g e | 35

25111

Tyre, Tractor, Rear

20.63

5.27

0.88

18.71

3.08

1.51

24246
15494

Tooth Paste

0.09

2.70

3.63

0.51

0.05

1.47

Malted Foods

0.21

0.75

1.67

1.66

3.53

1.47

24118

Fatty Acid

1.44

1.46

0.66

0.54

2.01

1.22

15432

Chocolate

3.68

10.06

16.52

3.93

0.62

0.87

36911

Gems And Jewellery

0.49

0.29

0.15

0.39

0.79

0.86

19201

Shoe Uppers (Leather)

6.05

41.24

30.27

61.27

0.00

0.81

21012

Pulp Rayon Grade

2.82

4.32

0.30

0.01

1.28

0.80

15321

Starch

0.02

1.61

4.09

0.39

0.24

0.73

24112

Phosphoric Acid

0.26

0.26

0.25

0.72

0.26

0.63

15311

Bran

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.57

Petrolium Product

1.43

2.04

1.50

1.17

0.39

0.57

33111

X-ray equipment

1.26

0.13

0.21

0.11

0.33

0.42

24233

Ayurvedic Medicaments

2.00

0.45

0.88

1.14

0.12

0.25

26960

Granites

0.97

0.81

0.00

3.11

0.68

0.20

15493

Cashew Kernels

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.20

34103

Passenger Cars

0.04

0.00

0.02

0.01

0.00

0.13

24245

Tooth Powder
Fasteners (Excl. ZipFastener)

0.00

0.00

0.05

0.00

0.13

0.06

1.70

0.00

2.38

4.68

1.79

0.04

28991

***

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