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7 3 3 Cost Variance Analysis PDF
7 3 3 Cost Variance Analysis PDF
4
Project Control
David Bolton
WBS 6.4.1: Solve Problem #3 found on page 467 of the Meredith and Mantel text.
A software development project at day 70 exhibits an actual cost of $78,000 and a
scheduled cost of $84,000. The software manager estimates a value completed of
$81,000. What are the cost and schedule variances and CSI? Estimate the time
variance.
AC = $78,000
PV = $84,000
EV = $81,000
AT = 70 days
Cost Variance = EV AC = $81000 - $78000
Cost Variance = $3,000
Schedule Variance = EV PV = $81,000 - $84,000
Schedule Variance = -$3000
CPI = EV/AC = 1.03
SPI = EV/PV = 0.96
Cost Schedule Index = EV2/(AC)(PV) = ($81,000)2/($78,000)($84,000)
Cost Schedule Index = 6,561,000,000 / 6,552,000,000
Cost Schedule Index = 1.001
Time Variance = ST AT = (AT)(CSI) AT = (70)(1.001) 70
Time Variance = 0.07 days
This is good. The project is a little under budget (CPI = 1.03) and a little behind
schedule (SPI = 0.96). In theory, the PM could spend a little extra and make up that
minor schedule variance. In our PM shop, CPI and SPI between 0.95 and 1.05 is
green so theres no problem here.
Page 1
WBS 6.4.2: Solve problem #4 found on page 467 of the Meredith and Mantel text.
A project to develop a county park has an actual cost in month 17 of $350,000, a
planned cost of $475,000 and a value completed of $300,000. Find the cost and
schedule variances and the three indices.
AC = $350,000
PV = $475,000
EV = $300,000
AT = 17 months
Cost Variance = EV AC = $300,000 - $350,000
Cost Variance = -$50,000
Schedule Variance = EV PV = $300,000 - $475,000
Schedule Variance = -$175,000
Cost Performance Index = EV/AC = $300,000/$350,000 = 0.857
Schedule Performance Index = EV/PV = $300,000/$475,000 = 0.632
Cost Schedule Index = (CPI)(SPI) = 0.857 * 0.632
Cost Schedule Index = 0.542
This is bad. The project has spent more than scheduled and is still far behind where it
should be. CPI is yellow and SPI is red. Expect to be on the Directors radar with
performance like this.
Page 2
WBS 6.4.3: Solve problem #5 found on page 467 of the Meredith and Mantel text.
A consulting project has an actual cost in month 10 of $23,000, a scheduled cost of
$17,000 and a value completed of $20,000. Find schedule and cost variances and the
three indices.
AC = $23,000
PV = $17,000
EV = $20,000
AT = 10 months
Cost Variance = EV AC = $20,000 - $23,000
Cost Variance = -$3,000
Schedule Variance = EV PV = $20,000 - $17,000
Schedule Variance = $3,000
Cost Performance Index = EV/AC = $20,000/$23,000 = 0.87
Schedule Performance Index = EV/PV = $20,000/$17,000 = 1.18
Cost Schedule Index = (CPI)(SPI) = 0.87 * 1.18
Cost Schedule Index = 1.027
This one is a mixed bag. The PM has overspent (CPI=.87) and is over his earned value
projection but is way ahead of schedule (SPI =1.18).
Page 3
WBS 6.4.4: Solve problem #13 found on page 468 of the text.
The following project is at the end of its sixth week. Find cost and schedule variances
and the CPI, SPI, ETC and EAC.
First, the activity chart:
Budget
($)
Actual Cost
($)
%
Complete
300
400
100.00%
200
180
100.00%
250
300
100.00%
600
400
20.00%
b, c
400
200
20.00%
Page 4
BAC :
1750
Then the Plan Chart showing 50/50 EV reporting for the tasks.
Plan!
Activity
Week:
1
150
150
100
100
125
300
125
200
PV
250
150
525
125
200
Cum
PV
250
400
925
1050
1250
1250
EV
250
150
286
125
40
Cum EV
250
400
686
811
851
851
Actual
Cost
400
180
300
600
Cum
A/C
400
580
880
880
1480
Page 5
Week:
1
CV
250
106
-69
-29
-629
SV
-239
-239
-399
-399
CPI
1.000
1.183
0.922
0.967
0.575
SPI
1.000
1.000
0.742
0.772
0.681
0.681
ETC
1750
1350
899.59184
1018.890259
929.6357227 1563.478
EAC
1750
950
319.59184
138.8902589
49.63572268 83.47826
The project appears to be going OK during the first two weeks. Problems surface in the
third week when task D reports 50% of the planned $600 task value but only completes
20% of the work. The problem worsens in week 5 when task E starts and also reports
50% of task value but only completes 20% of the work.
I think the critical input method of EV reporting might give a more accurate picture of the
project status but it is still going to show the obvious: The project is slipping schedule
(decreasing SPI) and overrunning budget (decreasing CPI, increasing ETC). Notice
EAC in week 6 is $83 and there are still two weeks to go in the program. Not good.
Page 6