Total Pavement Lane in Kilometers : 63.

877 Terminal PCR : 60

Pavement Lane Cumulative Pavement Pavement Lane

Conditional Probability Probability of Survival
Age Kilometers Reached PCR Lane Kilometers Kilometers at Risk of
of Survival P(t) S(t)
(1) 60 Reached PCR 60 Failure
(5) = 1- (3)/(4) (6) = P(1)*P(2)* .. *P(t)
(2) (3) (4)
0 0 0 63.877 1 1
1 23.5 23.5 40.377 0.417985487 0.417985487
2 0 23.5 40.377 0.417985487 0.174711867
3 0 23.5 40.377 0.417985487 0.073027025
4 7.4 30.9 32.977 0.062983291 0.004599482
5 19.6 50.5 13.377 -2.775136428 -0.012764191

Survival Probability vs Pavement Age

1.2

1
Survival Probability

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
-0.2
Pavement Age (Years)